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Luck favors the prepared. Long time Stocktwits poster, . Find me there at @360tradingview
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$SPY a couple ways to look at charts IMO. What if your narrative is wrong and
@CathieDWood
definition of the roaring 20s is actually gonna show up.
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@knicks_union
0. What other player suits up for Game 7 in that condition if he doesn’t want to be here. Even if he doesn’t want to be here, we’ll be fine
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@KnicksMuse
It’s obvious to me he spent his offseason recovering from a pretty major surgery for someone who plays hard. As a result, he couldn’t work on as his game or strength conditioning as much. He’s gonna need a decent part of the regular season to get it back IMO. Support the sum
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@garyblack00
Serious question for you though. I've been in TSLA since 2014, why does the short term matter besides giving you a point to add to an existing position if your fundamental reasons for investing haven't changed?
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Did you know that there are 39 (2 are new adds, let's make it 37) companies in the $SPY that are up over 20% YTD? 109 up over 10% YTD. 278 positive YTD. Of the 225 that are negative YTD, they make up 31.22 of the total weighting. The 3 biggest losers are $FRC $ZIONS and $SCHW
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$SPY I'm probably I'm in the small camp of things, but think this market still has legs even though many think a pullback is necessary. On the monthly timeframe the 2 prior crashes clearly showed monster divergences RSI. In this cycle we are not showing those divergences and
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As we get closer to finishing the year:
$SPY 500 some YTD performance:
12 names up over 100%
49 names up over 50-89.99%
21 names up over 40-49.99%
36 names up over 30-39.99%
56 names up over 20-29.99%
76 names up over 10-19.99%
78 names up over 0-9%
for a grand total of 328
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$IWM anyone making the correlation to 10 year rates rising to weakness in small caps is not doing the work. In March 2020, when 10 year rates bottomed so did small caps and they both rose together violently. Then monetary policy changed and the velocity of rising rates decoupled
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$TSLA what if I told you last weeks earnings response was a nothing burger and we'll be much higher in a week or 2 ? Price action doesn't represent what you think IMO
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$QQQ buyers with the statement piece today. Always great to visualize price action w/key events, especially in the news driven environment of the last 18 months. Still a ton of work to do ahead, but it all remains constructive and trendin in the right direction.
#adamandevebottom
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$TLT seeing lots of bonds are collapsing rhetoric out there. To me on the weekly, it looks like solid consolidation before the next leg higher. Rejecting the declining 50SMA into the now rising weekly 20SMA with the right type of volume profile to for me. Bonds go higher from
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$QQQ reminds me of the nastiness that happened before a binary event in November 2022.
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$IWM remember when we use to sell off on 'hot' inflation data. Solid weekly candle wick on pretty large volume. Think it's just 1 sector?
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$MSFT solid consolidation and starting to eek out of the downtrend here. Not sure how this makes the market bearish.
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$IWM How i see the longer term view in small caps. Once we get through the supply zone resistance at 212.44, this will begin to start acting much better IMO. Patience is required, but don't think much longer
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$IWM got to love the breakout retest into the golden cross. Typically a setup for higher.
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$AMD following the path of $NVDA but lagging as no big chip maker has the growth of NVDA (yet that is 😉 ) First comes 217, then we rest for a bit (while everyone calls for the end), then we see 295. See the NVDA roadmap for potential AMD roadmap.
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I’ve muted Biden, Harris, president, election, elect, trump from my timeline. Where’s everyone gone now?
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Here's a $QQQ 2008/09 analog that I don't think anyone's ever made. It's usually all doom and gloom. Remember that clear head and shoulders back then?
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@KnicksMuse
And see a couple of plays before that where the hawks took longer than 5 seconds and no call
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$SNOW now you can be bullish this name (haven't understood the bullishness over the last 6 months), but this is the time IMO.
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I don’t know who needs to hear this, BUT Topping patterns in a sideways market are not head and shoulders. Just cause you can draw it doesn’t mean it’s has to be drawn
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$TSLA brutal few weeks as options flow has taken over. This would be area where bulls would need to step in.
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While everyone continues to talk about the AI Bubble. US Infrastructure continues to breakout after the back test via $PAVE
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$SQ getting to that point where it's interesting and ready to be meaningfully added to your watchlist. Will need buyers to step in around here though.
$SQ no buyers in the base, 49 incoming, if not covid lows of 38 before buyers show up meaningfully.
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$QQQ $COMP $NDX i think bubble is a commonly abused term these days. Comparing the composite to the 2000 bubble. If this is a bubble, this is the worst performing bubble ever, so far. There are similarities, but also suggesting we haven't even started yet.
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$IWM another way to look at the small caps. It seems like a matter of when, not IF.
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$QQQ been talking about this since last June. Was still learning the pattern behavior, so had my points wrong, but concept still fully in tact.
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Remember when $NVDA sold off 4 straight days in to the May earnings report. You've been wrong since then, so if even if you get it right tonight, remember that :)
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$BTC hmm last time it broke out, extension was around 261.8, this time if it breaks out, do we get the same? That's 203k possibility. Insanity.
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In my world, when the larger timeframe shows bull divergences and you're getting a wick (so far) off the rising monthly 9SMA, its something to pay attention to upside continuation, not downside move. Still 2 weeks left in the month, so gotta be watching this zone.
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$AFRM doubtful this looks back if/when it breaks out of the weekly channel.
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$AMD spending a lot of time testing the prior ATH and holding. Break above this and comes that 217 then 250 targets.
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They've been rewarding breakouts for the first time in a few years. Everyone would have you believe its only CHIP/AI names. I give you Fast FOOD for the wins. Let's start with $WING.
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$QQQ why does it seem on every minor pullback the world is ending again, even the bulls. WTF get your composure on. When the stuff in the charts behaving different, then get worried.
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$QQQ $COMPQ this weeks price action was absolutely terrible, no doubt, but the massive Nasdaq Composite, which is comprised of 2500+ stocks, looks constructive. 55% are technology and rest is a mix of healthcare, consumer discretionary and a few other sectors. Chart is a bit busy
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$IWM it's funny Drunkenmiller (need institutional money to make things go higher) is getting all the press, but when the technical confluences line up, buyers tend to show up. 2020 Breakaway gap and 50% retrace were in the same area and we spent the last couple years building a
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$AMZN so this beast just put in the highest monthly close ever. That doesn't seem bearish, but more participation.
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$AMD the path is to 295. Stop fighting it
$AMD following the path of $NVDA but lagging as no big chip maker has the growth of NVDA (yet that is 😉 ) First comes 217, then we rest for a bit (while everyone calls for the end), then we see 295. See the NVDA roadmap for potential AMD roadmap.
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$SQ weekly consolidating the earnings move while MA's catch up. Many charts look like this, just seems to be waiting for the catalyst to move higher. Over 83.29 should be where we can go higher from.
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$FUBO chart with my notes. Setting up a potential break out here if it gets over 22
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$QQQ all of fintwit last week, "let me short that epic reversal/rejection candle last week". Don't pretend to be bullish now.
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$DIS throwback in a reversal pattern on waning downside momentum. It isn't pretty looking, but the risk reward is one for the ages here in mickey.
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$QQQ $NFLX $AMZN $AAPL Here's my views of what's been happening in the markets for the past year. Patterns don't repeat, but sure do rhyme sometimes.
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$SPX solid consolidation at 61.8% move higher of the 2020 50% retracement. When do we see 6100
@JIMROInvest
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$SHOP finally closed above that 80 level. See if it's a trap tomorrow, but if not, could be the start of a beautiful uptrend with shallow pullbacks along the way.
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Really liking the basing formation and grind in $ARKK here. Nice early consolidation start to the year back into the where the buyers showed previously.
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$AMD still looks pretty good with buyers showing where they have been showing for months now.
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$NVDA 3 inside weeks and still nothing bearish I can see (see this weeks volume lol). Been consolidating the outsized move while waiting for the weekly 10SMA to catch up. Tag and rip scenario on watch.
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$IWM imagine we're gonna be hitting a profit taking and resting point here going into megacap earnings.
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$AMZN amazing to see a very similar pattern as the COVID lows setting up in this beast. So far removed from the weekly 200, that a mean reversion is setting up here
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$GOOGL in its history, this stock does not really have monster gap ups. Something that should have you paying attention, not looking for short IMO.
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$SPX back in June, we had a similar squeeze into June OPEX and JPM upside collar with a decent steep move. After we tagged the JPM collar, SPX went on to break up for another 307 points in the 4 weeks that followed. If that happens from this 4515 level, that would imply an ATH
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$QQQ with the quick retest of where 2022 market breakdown was after ATH not providing much resistance on the way up. Retest the supply, shake and bake to start to the year.
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$TLT continues to show constructive price action on the weekly as the rising weekly 20SMA is finding support back to back weeks.
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So many on my timeline are talking about a pullback after Friday’s candle in the $QQQ. Is this another island top or gravestone doji? Nope weekly just broke out after 3 weeks of consolidation on an uptick in volume. 390 next area.
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$QQQ typically first touches of the 50SMA in strong uptrends tend to get bought up.
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Best part of last night was watching the effort, that's what's been missing. Nice to see them rise up. As a fan, that's all you want to see regardless of result. Always nice to get the W, but so much work to do still. Also Bam's a turd
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In a world where the markets are just stair stepping higher, this management refuses to get it's crap together and the chart looks like it about to fall off the cliff. $BA
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$IWM small caps right into the weekly 10EMA and in the process of shaking the tree before we get to the outperformance stage.
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$SPY Larger timeframes is still where I focus on first, especially after a quarter and month end. Short term sure we can get some weakness here and there (typical market behavior), but to me we are just breaking out of 2 year + consolidation and following through.
Your stocks
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$DIS one of the more promising setups going into 2024. Weekly had a false breakdown and mean reverted. Now been consolidating while the daily 50/200 golden cross is setting up (pretty typical). This is similar to what happened to the $QQQ early this year into March, when the
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$PATH simple and beautiful consolidation down in this base with solid accumulation.
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$AMD we resting and everyone calling for the end. All this thing cares about it tagged 2021 ATH and chilling lol.
$AMD following the path of $NVDA but lagging as no big chip maker has the growth of NVDA (yet that is 😉 ) First comes 217, then we rest for a bit (while everyone calls for the end), then we see 295. See the NVDA roadmap for potential AMD roadmap.
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Yes, make sense cuz often times he's looking like he's taking a quiet shit at the podium lol :)
BREAKING NEWS: Mitch McConnell, the longest-serving Senate leader in history who maintained his power in the face of dramatic convulsions in the Republican Party for almost two decades, will step down from that position in November.
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$XLF I'm not sure what people are seeing, but XLF continues to show the double bottom retest at a critical 15 year base.
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$QQQ bulls fired a warning shot IMO, some binary event will break us out of the island. My bias is to the upside, but understand it could be downside as well. Either way, the choppiness eases up soon.
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$TSLA similar move happening here as April 2023. If it follows through, we approach ATH going into earnings.
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$NFLX chart continues its 2 year constructive price action. FCF machine!
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Just maybe, maybe, your narrative is messed up. MEGA caps are not leading (apparently its magically unhealthy now), they are playing catch up. $SHOP is one comparison, $NFLX is the other comparison, bottomed before anything else did. Remember NFLX leads, it does not FOLLOW.
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