🧵🧠🧵: Doing some reflecting and I'm finding this video very psychologically interesting... This was my first shot on the PGA Tour. I knew exactly what it would be and could visualize it for a year in advance, and worried about it for that whole year What actually happened?

@andrewjcarr29 @ChetWil73039063 @Golfingbrock Yeah they essentially tend to ask for monotone losses (pictured), meaning missing worse = worse outcome. However it's a silly demand given it's not like the golf course is hidden from them. Plan for your range of outcomes, I promise you can still optimize over a more complex loss

@andrewjcarr29 @ChetWil73039063 @Golfingbrock There are a couple ways we can mean "proportionality" Skill proportionality would be if I ran the numbers and I saw an even balance between skills driving performance. Driving is way way important now Outcome proportionality is the fairness pros want that's not part of the game

@andrewjcarr29 @ChetWil73039063 @Golfingbrock Yes the game was founded on randomness, but randomness is a sliding scale and can be hard to engineer. Where on the scale we live is still important, for the same reasons that survey design is important when doing things like polling. We want some randomness but not all random

@Matt_Storeman4 @BryanTweed16 Everyone says feel the lead hip move back and around, but what I realized was in transition, lead hip position locally tracks with angle between leg and torso, so instead of thinking about hip position I can try to feel that angle increase. That immediately cleaned many things up

@LouStagner @GregChalmersPGA @ChubbClassic @ChampionsTour Me on that tee:

@MMGOLFSTUDIOS @andrewjcarr29 @ChetWil73039063 @Golfingbrock What I forgot to mention when I said it has one deficiency is that that's its only true deficiency, and that's only relative to itself. Opinions for or against the aesthetics aside, it genuinely is one of the better "tests" you could imagine for modern pro golf

@Top100Rick Yet somehow, having them ride still feels wrong 🤣 This is of course excluding some of the super storied or pro level caddie programs, and a lot of this also goes away if they're kids

@andrewjcarr29 @ChetWil73039063 @Golfingbrock It's the same thing as Bryson at Winged Foot on those 22 yd fairways Differences in latent skill get slowly removed from performance once you make the margins too thin past a certain critical point, and this is a pretty general truth across many many types of competition

@JonNicholsMe @4golfonline To be clear...LCP on rainy days *is* a travesty, just a necessary evil anytime there's less than perfect agronomy, because otherwise the game just becomes kinda unplayable. I don't think divots are such a huge evil as constant mud balls, so the necessary evil becomes unnecessary

@4golfonline Oh also there's the spirit of the game thing, which I know some people will roll their eyes at, but I think the only equitable solution is LCP in fairways, which would to me feel like if Jeopardy switched to asking normal trivia questions instead of its clue, "what is...?" format