Foreign Affairs
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Our September/October 2024 issue is now available online. Start reading here:
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Putin’s regime is living on borrowed time—and if the West holds firm, the Russian leader’s hold on power will likely collapse in the near future, write
@Kasparov63
and
@mbk_center
.
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“To be blunt: for much of the world, it appears that Washington doesn’t value the lives of Palestinian children as much as it values the lives of Israelis or Ukrainians.”
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“Whatever the price of helping Ukraine is, it’s cheaper than fixing the world if Ukraine doesn’t win.”
Listen to the latest episode of “The Foreign Affairs Interview,” featuring a conversation with Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs
@DmytroKuleba
:
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2K
The Ukrainian military will run short on weapons long before its manpower is exhausted or morale breaks, write
@AVindman
and
@DomCruzBus
. But the West has the resources to ensure that Ukraine has the supplies it needs to prevail in this fight.
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2K
Kurt Tong, who served as U.S. Consul General in Hong Kong until July 2019, considers what Washington can do to secure Hong Kong’s autonomy—and what policies would only make the situation worse.
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.
@BernieSanders
calls for an end to a U.S. foreign policy oriented around terrorism and endless wars:
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1K
.
@AVindman
argues that Washington should help Kyiv bring the war with Russia to a swift and decisive end—and explains how preparing to retake Crimea will create an opening for diplomatic talks with Moscow.
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Washington can and should do more to ensure a Ukrainian victory, writes
@AVindman
. First, it must abandon the hope for a stable relationship with Russia—and discard the desire to see Ukraine compromise for the sake of a negotiated peace.
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1K
“Those who failed to foresee the risks of the United States’ current crisis weren’t paying enough attention to Trump’s actual words.”
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1K
“We need to rethink the militaristic approach that has undermined the United States’ moral authority, caused allies to question our ability to lead, drained our tax coffers, and corroded our own democracy,” writes
@BernieSanders
.
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1K
It is time for Ukraine’s partners to part with their halfhearted strategy of support—and pivot to an offensive approach that provides Kyiv with the weapons necessary to gain the upper hand on the battlefield, argues
@n_roettgen
.
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358
1K
The risk that a Ukrainian victory would lead to dangerous Russian retaliation is overblown, writes
@AVindman
. The risks of a Russian victory are far greater—and would entail irreversible damage to the liberal order, security norms, and global stability.
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1K
“Resistance to Russia—and rejection of the kinds of distasteful compromises that might bring the war to a swift end—should also be understood as evidence of the abiding power of ideals and principles in geopolitics.”
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1K
It is not the collapse of Putin’s regime that Washington should fear—but the regime’s continued survival, write
@Kasparov63
and
@mbk_center
.
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1K
If Finland and Sweden join NATO, they will bring substantial defense capabilities that will alter the security architecture of northern Europe and help deter further Russian aggression, writes former Swedish Prime Minister
@carlbildt
.
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1K
A new survey conducted by
@ArabBarometer
’s
@AmaneyJamal
and
@mdhrobbins
shortly before Hamas’s October 7 attack indicated that Gazans desire political change—and that, by and large, Gazans did not share Hamas’s goal of eliminating the state of Israel.
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Learn about the past. Understand the present. Predict the future.
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“Ukraine’s campaign to destroy Russia’s oil refining capacity is putting exactly the kind of pressure on Moscow that the U.S.-led sanctions regime was designed for but has had limited success in delivering.”
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1K
Public support for the EU has increased by double digits in Germany, France, and Belgium following Brexit.
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1K
The Biden administration seems to fear the chaos that could accompany a decisive Kremlin defeat—but rather than destabilizing Russia and its neighbors, a Ukrainian victory would boost the cause of democracy worldwide, write
@Kasparov63
and
@mbk_center
.
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215
1K
As the world’s democracies confront shared global challenges and a brewing fight against authoritarianism, Taiwan seeks to be—and in many ways already is—part of the solution, writes Taiwanese President
@iingwen
.
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1K
The latest arrests of senior figures in Hong Kong’s democracy movement send a chilling message, writes
@jwassers
. The agreement stipulating that Hong Kong would enjoy a “high degree of autonomy” from Beijing is in tatters.
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The latest arrests of senior figures in Hong Kong’s democracy movement send a chilling message,
@jwassers
writes. The agreement stipulating that Hong Kong would enjoy a “high degree of autonomy” from Beijing is in tatters.
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960
“Taiwan has developed one of the world’s most vibrant political cultures by making technology work to democracy’s advantage rather than detriment. This culture of civic technology has proved to be the its strongest immune response to the new coronavirus.”
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358
963
.
@McFaul
argues that the West must help Kyiv put more pressure on Moscow, including by making it more difficult for Russian companies to engage in financial transactions with the outside world.
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215
915
“If Russia wins and Ukraine falls, Central Europe may well be next.”
@P_Fiala
,
@MorawieckiM
, and
@eduardheger
—prime ministers of the Czech Republic, Poland, and Slovakia, respectively—urge the West to stay the course in Ukraine.
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909
“Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu must resign immediately if Israel is to have any chance of rebounding from the destruction he has wreaked on its security, economy, and society.”
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897
“Putin evidently still wishes to subjugate all of Ukraine, not occupy a portion of the country’s territory. The idea that Ukraine can trade land for peace and thus remain free on the land it controls is a fantasy.”
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898
Fiona Hill, who served as a senior foreign policy adviser to President Trump, offers a behind-the-scenes look at the administration’s approach to relations with Moscow.
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“If democracy is allowed to fall in Ukraine, U.S. adversaries will perceive weakness, understanding that aggression pays. The price tag for defending U.S. national security against such threats would be many times higher than the one for supporting Kyiv.”
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863
Evidence of mass surveillance, arbitrary arrest, forced labor, detention camps, torture, and murder in Xinjiang has piled up, but China’s economic power has deterred many world leaders from open criticism. Read
@excinit
on whether this is about to change:
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825
“The arrest of nonviolent activists in Hong Kong is ominous, but unfortunately not unprecedented.”
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We've dropped our paywall for the next three and a half weeks, so now is the time to read up on the issues shaping today's world. Particularly for those who are new to our website, here is a good place to start:
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“The GOP is no longer a party based on ideas or policies but something more akin to a cult.”
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“The current pandemic has distracted international observers from Hong Kong’s struggle and left many local residents fearful of crowds. Chinese authorities know it.”
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Under Xi, the Chinese political system is becoming ever more closed—making the service provided by the foreign press corps even more valuable.
@JEPomfret
discusses the implications of China’s expulsion of reporters from three major U.S. newspapers:
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792
How Spain's overreaction to the Catalan referendum legitimized the call for independence:
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Hong Kong’s status as an autonomous region that respected the rule of law and protected human rights helped make the city a capital of international finance, writes Michael C. Davis. This achievement is now at risk.
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During Franco's early years of rule, the Spanish state inflicted what amounted to cultural genocide on Catalonia.
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“The United States and other countries have pressed for a cessation of hostilities and sought to negotiate humanitarian access to Tigray, but they have largely ignored the horrors in the west of the region. They can no longer afford to look away.”
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One million people could die on the first day of any preventive or preemptive war with North Korea.
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“What has happened in Hong Kong will affect not only its 7.5 million residents but also the entire region—and the rest of the world.”
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“The pandemic appears to have increased Beijing’s sensitivity to questions of sovereignty, from Hong Kong and Taiwan to the East and South China Seas—and to the rugged Himalayan border with India.”
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756
.
@rosenbergerlm
traces the progression of China’s coronavirus information campaign, from Beijing’s response to initial reports of an outbreak to its current strategy of sowing doubt, dissension, and disarray:
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“What has been Asia’s financial hub may find itself reduced to a twenty-first-century version of the fishing village that Queen Victoria’s subjects found when they sailed into the harbor in 1841.”
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Despite doubts in Washington that Kyiv can secure a victory, Ukraine is capable of beating Russia in this war, writes
@AVindman
. The United States must give Ukraine the support it needs to bring the war to a close as soon as possible.
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“When he departs the White House, Trump will have left the United States bereft of friends and admirers beyond its borders, save for a menagerie of unsavory characters who share the U.S. president’s dystopic vision.”
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Nigeria’s international partners, especially the United States, must acknowledge that Nigeria is now a failed state, write
@JohnCampbellcfr
and Robert I. Rotberg.
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“Attacking the ICC shows that the United States supports global justice only when applied to its adversaries. And in doing so, it suggests that Washington’s commitment to the rule of law extends only so far as its short-term naked self-interest allows.”
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760
In a review of two recent books,
@JanePerlez
considers what China’s crackdown on Hong Kong will mean for the city’s residents, for the region, and for the world:
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735
“The fire was already burning; all Putin had to do was pour on some gasoline.” Read Fiona Hill on how President Trump’s approach to politics helped Moscow exploit divisions in the United States.
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In a review of “City on Fire” by Antony Dapiran and “Unfree Speech” by Joshua Wong with Jason Y. Ng,
@JanePerlez
discusses Beijing’s tightening grip on Hong Kong and the waves of protest the crackdown has inspired:
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Trump’s foreign policy has damaged the United States’ ability to address problems before they reach U.S. territory, compounding the danger emergent threats pose, write former Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis,
@KoriSchake
, Jim Ellis, &
@JoeFelter
.
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724
“If Xi continues on this trajectory, eroding the foundations of China’s economic and political power and monopolizing responsibility and control, he will expose the CCP to cataclysmic change.”
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714
In a review of two books on Hong Kong,
@JanePerlez
details Beijing’s takeover of the city and the protest movement that developed in response:
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707
When rising powers have suffered economic slowdowns in the past, they became more repressive at home and more aggressive abroad. China seems to be headed down just such a path, argues Michael Beckley.
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For now, China’s economic power allows it to repress Muslim Uighurs at home while building partnerships with Muslim nations abroad. But growing awareness of the atrocities in Xinjiang may have steep consequences for Beijing down the road, writes
@excinit
.
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Ukrainians will fight with or without new advanced weapons, with or without harsher sanctions, and with or without money to help them run their country—and the West should help them win as swiftly as possible, writes
@McFaul
.
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704
The White House’s indignation over the new national security law in Hong Kong is certainly justified, writes Kurt Tong. But there are better ways to defend Hong Kong than the approach the Trump administration is now pursuing.
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China never fully carried out its commitment to the democratic reform needed to sustain Hong Kong’s wavering autonomy, writes Michael C. Davis. Now, it has brought Hong Kong fully under the national security state governed from Beijing.
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China’s need for democratization is endogenous, argues Jiwei Ci. Reform has created a largely democratic society without a complementary democratic polity, and the mismatch will eventually require that the state democratize to preserve its legitimacy.
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“India is the only big power that can draw on decades of friendship to pressure Moscow. That means New Delhi is uniquely positioned not just to shore up its own geopolitical position but also to prevent a deeply destabilizing and violent conflict.”
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663
Under Xi, the Chinese political system is becoming ever more closed—making the service provided by the foreign press corps even more valuable.
@JEPomfret
discusses the implications of China’s decision to expel some American reporters:
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663
664
“Putin still believes that time is on his side.”
Russia's president expects that the West will gradually lose interest in helping Ukraine—and the United States and its partners must prove him wrong, writes
@McFaul
.
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200
674
On the eve of Hamas’s October 7 attack, Gazans had very little confidence in their Hamas-led government, according to a newly released survey conducted by
@ArabBarometer
,
@AmaneyJamal
, and
@mdhrobbins
.
46
324
687
Beijing has long understood that harnessing information can be a means of exercising geopolitical power,
@rosenbergerlm
writes. And as the novel coronavirus spreads around the globe, China is resorting to extreme measures.
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651
645
“The Biden foreign policy agenda will place the United States back at the head of the table, in a position to work with its allies and partners to mobilize collective action on global threats.”
@JoeBiden
outlines his foreign policy vision:
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658
By helping Ukraine to prepare to retake Crimea, the West can force Putin to the negotiating table and create an opening for diplomatic talks, writes
@AVindman
.
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105
638
A new nuclear deal with Iran would contradict President Biden’s forceful condemnation of the regime’s crackdown on protesters—and fund the same authorities who are brutally attacking citizens in the streets, writes
@AlinejadMasih
.
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258
606
To counter Chinese threats to U.S. vital interests,
@NikkiHaley
writes, it is necessary to think creatively and courageously—and without any illusions about our adversary’s intentions.
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580
Americans have reached a point where ignorance—at least regarding what is generally considered established knowledge in public policy—is seen as an actual virtue.
52
522
591
Today, China’s economic power allows it to repress Muslim Uighurs at home while building partnerships with Muslim nations abroad. But growing awareness of the atrocities in Xinjiang could have steep consequences for Beijing down the road, writes
@excinit
.
16
641
612
“Beijing’s recent actions in Hong Kong—and elsewhere in Asia—raise worrying questions about its evolving objectives and increasing willingness to use coercive tactics to achieve them.”
39
555
603
Fiona Hill writes on how the convergence of Russian and U.S. politics reached a peak under the Trump administration—and what U.S. policymakers today should be doing to reverse this trend and shore up American defenses against Russian interference.
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219
623
.
@AVindman
argues that Washington should give Ukraine the weapons and assistance it needs to credibly threaten to take Crimea by force—and consequently force Putin to the negotiating table.
11
101
635
In a review of two recent books on Hong Kong,
@JanePerlez
details Beijing’s takeover of the city and the protest movement that developed in response:
33
607
602
López Obrador’s nationalistic, enclosed, and less globalized vision of Mexico threatens to derail much of what has been accomplished in the last two decades, and Washington should be paying attention,
@DeniseDresserG
writes.
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U.S. policymakers failed to contain the rapid rise of China. Now, they confront a competitor that may be even more powerful than the Soviet Union at the peak of the Cold War, argues John J. Mearsheimer.
100
238
602
In a review of two new books on Hong Kong,
@JanePerlez
details Beijing’s takeover of the city and the protest movement that developed in response:
32
596
610
Read Fiona Hill on how the convergence of Russian and U.S. politics reached a peak under the Trump administration—and what U.S. policymakers today should be doing to reverse this trend and shore up American defenses against Russian interference.
29
300
630
When reports of the novel coronavirus surfaced in December, Beijing at first focused on suppressing them. Now, as the virus spreads around the globe, China’s information campaign has become more aggressive,
@rosenbergerlm
writes.
33
592
596
Over 50 years of Zbigniew Brzezinski's writing for Foreign Affairs, gathered into one place:
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596
“Beijing has acted with a sense of impunity in its northwestern province, but its abuses there could bedevil its foreign relations with the Muslim world in the years to come.”
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613
China’s economy is stalling, writes Michael Beckley, and this makes the country more dangerous than ever. Washington will have to deter China’s aggression, assuage its insecurities, & insulate the U.S. from blowback should deterrence and reassurance fail.
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584
591
Putin has no interest in a fight with NATO, but that doesn’t mean that Moscow isn’t willing to play a dangerous game of chicken with the West—and the likelihood that this game will end in tragedy will grow as the war drags on, writes
@AVindman
.
27
158
605
Today, China’s economic power allows it to repress Muslim Uighurs at home while building partnerships with Muslim nations abroad. But growing awareness of the atrocities in Xinjiang could have steep consequences for Beijing down the road,
@excinit
writes.
15
500
572
“Ukraine’s partners should move from a half-hearted to a full-throated offensive strategy that provides the embattled country with all the weapons necessary to gain the upper hand and push back Russian forces,” argues
@n_roettgen
.
25
182
613
Putin’s failure to anticipate the West’s unified response to his assault on Ukraine reflects a misunderstanding of how democracies operate: they may be slow to anger, but they respond with fury when provoked, write
@IvoHDaalder
and
@JamesMLindsay
.
14
158
586
In a review of two new books,
@JanePerlez
considers what China’s crackdown on Hong Kong will mean for the city’s residents, for the region, and for the world:
38
602
580
What can the international community do to help end the systematic violence perpetrated by security forces in northern Ethiopia against Tigrayans?
41
827
575
.
@SenWarren
writes that the United States needs a foreign policy that benefits everyone, not just a handful of elites:
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124
564
The U.S. national interest has not been well served by the country’s immigration policy over the last five decades
36
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434
Read
@RushDoshi
on the extent of China’s campaign to control the spread of information in Taiwan:
12
553
565
A new nuclear deal with Iran would contradict President Biden’s forceful condemnation of the regime’s crackdown on protesters—and fund the same authorities who are brutally attacking citizens in the streets, writes
@AlinejadMasih
.
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228
549
On January 11, Taiwanese voters will elect a new president and parliament.
@RushDoshi
discusses China’s efforts to influence the results using a disinformation campaign:
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528
544
Despite some international censure, Ethiopian and Amhara security forces have continued committing war crimes in Tigray, write
@AgnesCallamard
and
@KenRoth
. The world must take a stronger stand.
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790
556
When reports of the novel coronavirus surfaced in December, Beijing at first focused on suppressing them. Now, as the virus spreads around the globe, China’s information campaign has become more aggressive, writes
@rosenbergerlm
.
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541
556
Ethiopian authorities and the international community must put a stop to the campaign of ethnic cleansing taking place in the region of Tigray, write
@AgnesCallamard
and
@KenRoth
. The survival of hundreds of thousands of Tigrayans depends on it.
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655
558
“China has abandoned its promise of a separate system for Hong Kong.”
27
503
542
The Biden administration seems afraid of the chaos that could accompany a decisive Kremlin defeat—but a Ukrainian victory would boost the cause of democracy worldwide, argue
@Kasparov63
and
@khodorkovsky_en
.
35
129
564