Eddie Ghabour
@commonsensebull
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Co-founder & CEO Investment Advisory Services offered through DFPG Investments, LLC (“DFPG”). Key Advisors Wealth Management, LLC and DFPG are unaffiliated.
Lewes Delaware
Joined December 2018
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My take on inflation and the impact heading into next year. Subscribe to my YouTube channel for weekly updates on our game plan.
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@cvpayne
I’m on a plane now Charles. The flight attendant was fist pumping when she announced we did not have to wear a mask.
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Subscribe to our YouTube page for weekly updates and our latest interviews.
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I keep telling my wife she could open a kick ass bakery. She made this for a friend last night .
#cakeboss
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A friend has a big landscaping job that he’s offering $30/hr to help. He can’t find anyone to help. My 16 and 14 year old are all over it. They asked why no one wants to work? I explained this is what happens when govt money enables someone. It creates lazy and losing habits!
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Massive rate cuts and government bailouts are why we are in this position. Now people are begging for more of the same. It’s going to be painful but we need to get off this drug . Nothing the FED does Wednesday will stop this recession from happening. Plan accordingly.
#patience
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Here is today's interview with the great
@cvpayne
. Charles thanks for all you do for investors! Its been a long time since yields have been attractive.
#FoxBusiness
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This is serious question (not being a smart ass) if it’s going to be a soft landing why would the fed cut rates?
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I will be off line next week. No tv interviews no clients meetings. Wife and I are taking a long over due vacation for just the two of us. Wish everyone the best of luck next week in the markets ! I see lots of wine and food in my future lol !
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Charles love the suit and great advice on the tax question! CP delivering another great show for every day investors.
#foxbusiness
#bullmarket
Breaking News
Heading to the studio now for town hall special.
Invested in You
Fox Business 2 PM
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Based on my feed I am a dumb SOB and our government officials are correct in saying all is good and we will see ATH by summer. OR they just called the near term top LOL. I will be on vacation next week but I am sure my haters will keep me informed. Love this game.
#recession
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Every bear bounce I get asked if we have changed our opinion. Since Dec we have been consistent with where this market is going. Funny watching people change their opinion with every bounce. Like in March. I know Markets can humble u quickly but we think we test lows.
#recession
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I lay out 5 reasons why we have not seen the lows during my time with
@Varneyco
this morning. My unpopular opinion has triggered some. Don't shoot the messenger I am just relaying the data. The enitire interview will be on Youtube.
#recession
#data
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When bubbles burst your first few bankruptcies are never your last. Those with patience and buying power may have buys they never imagined possible in 2023. I agree with the saying of buy fear but we haven’t seen fear yet.
#patience
#cashisking
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Part 1 with Stuart. My thoughts on what the Fed should do.
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Here is my unpopular view on our economy. Time will tell if our opinion is still correct. Always thankful for
@Varneyco
having me on the shoe!
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Before anyone asks me today no my opinion has not changed because futures are green LOL. Have a great week!
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Now the focus is on the FED. Hike or no hike? It doesn't matter IMO! Pause does not change the problem of the cost of capital. Money supply will still be tight. Liquidity is still drying up. What about the debt ceiling debate no one is talking about anymore? There is a reason why
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Fed is not cutting, lending standards getting extremely tight, Banks needing bail outs, Debt ceiling debate, record consumer debt, fastest rate hikes in history, CDS on US Treas at highs. Yes I am bearish.
#recession
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Blaming the last 25bps for this pain is like the dude who blames the last drink for his nasty hangover. It wasn’t the first 15 he drank.
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Based on the tweets I am seeing we may be near the bottom ! Sounds like some are getting nervous because of a bad couple weeks. That's why I love the market. Its not for the weak. Here is a tip. Ask yourself where we will be in a few months not days.
#buythedip
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Does anyone really believe that this economy wasn't slowing before the war? Stop using Russia as an excuse. Wait until next month's inflation print. These next few months will be a shit show!
#riskmanagement
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Why is it that every time there is a sign of a problem some beg for the gov't to help? Isn't this why we are in this situation?
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Every July 4th I am reminded how lucky I am that mom and dad took the risk of coming to this great country. I am proud to be a first generation American. Have a great day and be safe!
#america
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Finished an amazing season with a championship! Winning matters. Thank you coaches . # winning
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So funny reading bulls and bears go at each other today. My guess is in 6 months one of the two will look back and wonder how they missed something so obvious. Have a great weekend because it’s bourbon time !
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Removing our economy off the free money drug is a painful but necessary process.
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I keep getting questions on if we have changed our opinion on hard landing. NO we have not ! We have said the same thing for 14 months . If our economy is slowing and inflation is causing FED to over tighten explain how that = soft landing. Cost of capital will be a BIG problem.
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Client asked me if we are now dealing with what I shared with
@cvpayne
was my
#1
concerned in May. (he said he saves clips to keep score lol!) "YES" Thankful that Charles gives me a platform to educate invetsors! The great
@MarkTepperSWP
and shared similar warnings that day.
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My 13 year old surprised Lauren and I with dinner last night ! Tasted better than it looks haha!! He even picked out a great wine! Family nights are the best.
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Who actually believes that raising taxes in the middle of a recovery will help economically ? Higher taxes and soaring gas prices will quickly end the recovery. It won't hurt the rich like they want to lead you to believe. They need to watch
@cvpayne
to educate themselves.
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OPEC presents a real problem to the "FED PIVOT" crowd. Higher oil = higher inflation. What a shit show 2022 has turned out be.
#inflation
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Part of my discussion today with
@TeamCavuto
. What will next year look like with no stimulus and higher inflation?
#process
#riskmanagement
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My wife made a friend a wedding cake this week. She may have to start a new business !
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When I stopped playing competitive sports I had no idea this business would fill that void. My college coach used to say “stay off the emotional roller coaster. Don’t get to high or too low.” This same message is necessary to be the best in this business. Refuse to lose mindset!
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Interest rates are not high. They are where they should be for savers. Adjust to it. Zero interest rate policy should never happen again.
#interestrates
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Boy was I in the hot seat today for being a bear. I loved it. As awlays thanks
@Varneyco
for having me on today! I will make sure my team posts the enitre interview .
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This morning I discussed the risks we have warned clients about heading into this QTR with
@Varneyco
. This market has to break out in one direction or another. Bulls think I am crazy.
#FED
#recession
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I’m gonna take a short break from vacation to join my friends
@Varneyco
tomorrow morning. See you at 9am!!
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Last year when we began to discuss the 2/10 inversion the "soft landing" crowd would say only the 3mth/10yr matters. Based on that it looks ugly. What a historic time to be managing $. Someone is really right or really wrong. There is no in between !!
#recession
#win
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Enjoyed the unexpected debate with
@SusanLiTV
yesterday during my hour with
@Varneyco
. Are you always bullish or bearish or do you let the data drive your decisions? There is a massive difference. Looking forward to the next one.
#FoxBusiness
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I will be joining
@Varneyco
tomorrow at 9am. Pause or hike ? Does it even matter ? Hope you can tune in!!
#FederalReserve
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Today a player needed to talk to me after practice. This usually means there is a problem at home that we need to help with. Much to my surprise he started asking me about the market and certain stocks he was watching. I told him it was one of my proudest moments on the field!
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I wish everyone a wonderful holiday and Merry Christmas. I’m so thankful for my Key Advisors team and family of clients . Thanks to all of you that have followed us all year! You are my other family. Hopefully we brought value to your families! Looking forward to an amazing 2023!
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Thanks for all the amazing feedback in this crazy 2022 market. Our calls were not popular at times but we did our best to help navigate these challenging times. Can't wait to bring it again in 2023!! In the meantime have a happy and safe New Year!
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A clip from today's interview with
@Varneyco
. We need to see some follow through in the markets this week. I am not ready to say the worst is behind us yet. Have a process and execute.
#riskmanagement
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When you cancel student debt you are not helping. You are enabling that person. Maybe that’s the goal but that doesn’t work in the real world. You are setting people up for failure.
#Accountability
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Do you have a defensive game plan for the next few qtrs? Here is my opinion I shared with Stuart
@Varneyco
#riskmanagement
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Pretty sure if my company was in need of an emergency meeting I would not schedule it a week out . Just sayin
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Can't think of a better way to end my week (golfing tomorrow) then being with
@cvpayne
this afternoon. You won't want to miss it!!
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Do your own research on commercial real estate defaults and explain how we avoid a recession. Here is the first part of today's interview with
@Varneyco
.
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Sad to think that investors have been convinced the only way stocks go up is rate cuts. So are they rooting for bad economic data? I would rather be in a world that does not need govt assistance to prosper.
#jobs
#inflation
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I feel better now .
Biden has said that the United States economy is "strong now" and he does not expect a recession.
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AS always I thank
@Varneyco
for allowing me to share my opinion. Hope it brings value to everyone!
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Unlike many who have never made a wrong market call. My team hold ourselves accountable to every call we make. Here is the latest video we just published on what we got wrong. Feel free to share your thoughts.
#winning
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I discussed with
@Varneyco
why a FED pause/pivot won't matter. We will get through this but the process will be painful IMHO. We have not even gotten to the debt ceiling debate yet.
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Here is today's interview with
@Varneyco
. Thanks
@SimonettiLauren
for the interview. Under the hood many areas agree with our theisis. Tech does not. We will see who is right. Hats off to folks like
@fitz_keith
and
@GaryKaltbaum
who got the tech trade right this year!.
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We had one up day yesterday and people were asking me if we have changed our stance. Trust me everyone will know when we pivot. In the meantime we have our lowest equity weighting of the year after yesterday.
#cashisking
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The last time my feed looked like this was August. The debate of the year. Is this time different or just another bull trap?
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Here is my last interview of the year with
@Varneyco
from yesterday. Thanks to everyone for watching me this year! I wish everyone a Merry Christmas and happy Holiday ! Be safe and I will see you in 2023!!
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My last visit on set for the year was a blast! I’m humbled to on
@Varneyco
each week. Thank you !
#foxbusiness
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Reading my feed all day has me shaking my head. The FED setting up a fund to back stop potential bank failures is not bullish. Prayers to innocent families impacted by poor business decisions.
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I will be joining the great
@cvpayne
this afternoon on Making Money. Hope you can join us!!
#FoxBusiness
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Why are some upset that
@elonmusk
shared the macro concerns he sees around the globe? It is refreshing to have someone not feed listeners BS.
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Basing your thesis on a FED pivot is not an investment strategy. SMH.
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I know I sound like a broken record. Just because something loses a lot of value does not mean it is cheap.
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This shoild make everyone feel better. SMH
FED'S POWELL & US TREASURY SECRETARY YELLEN: THE US BANKING SYSTEM'S CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY POSITIONS ARE ROBUST, AND THE US FINANCIAL SYSTEM IS RESILIENT - JOINT STATEMENT
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Listen to why the word transitory is a play on words! Shared our thoughts on this with
@Varneyco
this week
#foxbusiness
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Is the bond market or stock market right? They both can't be right. Buckle up IMO this next QTR may be one for the ages. I shared with
@Varneyco
when we plan to put cash to work.
#recession
#StockMarket
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The problem we have is not this 25bp hike we are getting today. It is the speed at which they went from 0-5%. Pause or hike today doesn't change that. Regionals are going to have a tough several months.
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I will be back with my friends
@Varneyco
tomorrow at 9am. Fed, debt ceiling, earnings . A lot to talk about . Hope you can tune in !
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Anyone who is always bullish is as bad as one that is always bearish. It’s fine to be wrong but when dynamics go against your opinion admit you are wrong and pivot. God knows I’ve had to do that. You lose credibility when you say the same thing regardless of fundamentals.
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Napa was amazing! Having an all star team with a disciplined process allows me to do these things with my family. Thanks
@KeyAdvisorsLLC
team! Your the best. Back in the saddle Monday. Nothing that has happened this week should come as a surprise to those that follow us.
#team
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