@effoff1988 @runningovertome I can see Grande pulling an upset at SAG over Saldana. Saldana still wins the Oscar.

@effoff1988 @runningovertome PGA+DGA winning films usually win SAG too when they get nominated.

@effoff1988 Anora doesn't much need Mikey's win at this point though. It's on route getting directing, screenplay, and possibly editing already.

@suicunes76 @Robertdoc1984 @effoff1988 Anora should be fine as long as Conclave doesn't win SAG. Because then the Spotlight path (Screenplay+SAG) will become available for it.

@Robertdoc1984 @effoff1988 Shape wasn't even nominated for SAG. Anora is in a much stronger position.

@effoff1988 I guess Anora's SAG overperformance (and The Brutalist's SAG underperformance) had signalled this PGA+DGA wins incoming. SAG has become the most important guild lately.

@effoff1988 Sean Baker pulled a Tom Hooper. I bet he wins Oscar too. The industry clearly don't much care about the Brutalist.

@effoff1988 It's a very well made film so I won't complain if that happens.

@effoff1988 These are the people who gave "Force Awakens" a BP nom (11th nominee) - after all.

@effoff1988 They're gonna just sweep - in all 4 categories.

@effoff1988 They failed to get it right in each season. They're very good at harvesting the noms left and right but when it comes to major wins they have mostly failed so far. Let's see how it all turns out with EP.

@effoff1988 There weren't main Netflix push though. They went full steam on EP.

@effoff1988 @Steve_Westside and Fantasia Barrino was the early frontrunner in Best Actress.

@effoff1988 Lone directing wins are rare though.

@DizzyJB @effoff1988 @jarrettandfilm @ewdot2480 Madison only wins SAG if Anora wins ensemble. Long shot at this point.

@effoff1988 @jarrettandfilm @ewdot2480 Part of the reason I'm predicting The Brutalist for CC. I had Anora winning CC before the Globes.

@effoff1988 Madison's best chance was a win at the Globes and she lost it. Demi is in the driver's seat now and would not be a huge surprise if she wins BAFTA too.

@effoff1988 and Saldana could have really won in Lead too.