RT @jonathon_mellor: Come join our team! Senior Infectious Disease Modeller, £37k min, remote or office Perfect for someone with postgradu…

RT @emjnixon: Closing tomorrow!

Our paper is finally out in @Epidemio_Infect. We estimated and compared the incubation period, time delay distributions, and severity of replacing SARS-CoV-2 variants.

RT @emjnixon: *Job alert* Postdoctoral Research Associate in Infectious Disease modelling working with myself and @chris_e_overton to predi…

RT @livunijobs: We are seeking a POSTDOCTORAL RESEARCH ASSOCIATE to work with Dr Emily Nixon and Dr Chris Overton in the research cluster o…

RT @livuniHLS: 📢 Well Done @livuni, @ljmu, @LSTMnews! 8 diverse @ThePandemicInst research projects to assess the longer-term impact of the…

RT @IDDjobs: PhD position (Liverpool, UK) Identifying mechanisms and drivers for Nipah virus dynamics in Pteropus bat populations with @emj…

RT @IDDjobs: PhD position (Liverpool, United Kingdom) Improve theoretical understanding of evolutionary dynamics and the real-world implica…

Our paper on transmission dynamics of Monkeypox is out in @bmj_latest. We investigated the incubation period and serial interval, and found evidence of presymptomatic transmission. @livuninews @UKHSA There's a great summary by @CNN

RT @bmj_latest: NEW research finds evidence for “substantial��� monkeypox transmission before symptoms appear or are detected

RT @DrEstherFreeman: Breaking: Our editorial in @bmj_latest on #monkeypox just came out. Learned a lot collaborating w/ colleagues from Nig…

It has been great working with the team at @MRC_BSU on this project. We investigate what causes observed disease severity to increase as an epidemic grows (/decrease when it declines). Important for comparing severity of variants and explaining changes in mortality over time.

@Dr_D_Robertson @seahorse4000 @OutbreakJake Too early to say. Preliminary results from a single trust suggest that ICU LoS (for each given outcome) has not changed much, but that the probability of mortality on ICU has declined. The national data we have only generate reliable estimates that are lagged by a few months.

@seahorse4000 @OutbreakJake @Dr_D_Robertson So hopefully with shorter non ICU LoS we may have better acute bed capacity than previous waves, but unfortunately not for ICU beds. E.g. in Manchester we're seeing under 5% acute bed occupancy but close to 20% occupancy in ICU. These were more closely aligned in previous waves.

@Fatsloggers @Sime0nStylites @TAH_Sci @JamesWard73 @BristOliver @PaulNuki @seahorse4000 Combined with the elderly nature of patients in hospital long enough to acquire covid (younger patients may have acquired it but been discharged before detection) it was not a good situation. Hopefully with the reduced infection risk more elective work can continue this wave.

@Fatsloggers @Sime0nStylites @TAH_Sci @JamesWard73 @BristOliver @PaulNuki Prelimary results look like outcomes on ITU are improved, but early days due to long lengths of stay. The overall ITU outcomes should improve since more patients in 25-50 rather than 50-75, so expect much lower mortality (based on previous waves) even without vaccine effect.

@Sime0nStylites @TAH_Sci @Fatsloggers @JamesWard73 @BristOliver @PaulNuki So asking staff to pick up the burden of the recovery programme is going to be hard. They will of course be willing to do it, but going to be hard to find the right balance between not overworking the staff and catching up with elective work, on top of keeping staff on covid beds