Bracketology (2/7/2025)🏀 - This would be an amazing tournament.

Houston continues their winning ways as they take down Baylor 76-65. Houston will remain a 2 seed and Baylor will be the last 8 seed in my bracket tomorrow.

North Carolina is now 1-10 against Quad 1 opponents. The Tarheels have 7 games remaining (plus the ACC Tournament) and of the 7, four are Quad 3 games, one Quad 2 game, one Quad 4 game, and a Quad 1a (Duke). - North Carolina is probably not going to make the tournament, but if they want a chance it’s apparent they go undefeated to end the season. A Quad 3 or Quad 4 loss would be the nail in the coffin, but even if they lose their Quad 2 game on the road against FSU or their game against Duke, they’ll be at best 7-11 across quads 1&2. So, assuming they go 7-0 they’ll still need to win an ACC Tournament game or two.

My last four in are: - San Diego State - Georgia - Texas - Arkansas My first four out are: - SMU - BYU - UC San Diego - San Francisco Obviously it’s only February, but IF the tournament started today, there would be a few things to adjust on this. - Wake Forest would tie 2023 NC State for the team(s) with the fewest quad 1 wins to receive an at large (One). - BYU would have the best predictive metrics AVG to ever miss the tournament (32.3), beating 2022 Oklahoma (32.7) - Arkansas would tie Notre Dame 2022 for the worst record against quads 1&2 opponents to receive an at-large at 4-9.

These are the listed team’s NET, metrics, and quad results.

I took a dive into the bubble picture in “normal” seasons (2019,2022,2023, & 2024) and sorted through some facts. It’s important to remember every bubble/team has different contexts.

Tuesday at 7 PM is going to be fun

@KNacht2018 I have many questions

@Trusoles No doubt New Mexico is hot and a really good team. I think you’ve opened my mind on this and I’ll considered adjusting accordingly next week. If you go through my tweets you’ll know I love the Lobos!

@Trusoles I definitely do watch Mountain West basketball, in fact I was very torn over Miss St vs New Mexico. I went with Miss St because New Mexico has two pretty brutal losses unfortunately.

@TNCOWBOY0 Yeah it is strange. I’d imagine Florida’s big wins in non con plus Tennessee the first time and now Auburn on the road really boost those metrics. Tennessee still will hold the last one seed for me.

@TNCOWBOY0 Personal top 28 so like an AP poll but I’m the only voter lol

RT @TonyPatelis: Screw the Super Bowl. Nebraska plays basketball today.

LSU bro💀

Clemson does it again as they defeat an AP Top-5 opponent for the 5th consecutive time, this time the Tigers take down Duke. Clemson=7 Seed Duke=1 Seed

Auburn will remain the #1 overall seed and Florida will be the #5 overall seed after the Gator’s 90-81 victory over Auburn in The Jungle.

Florida is 2-0 against AP #1 opponents this season

Wade Taylor hits a CLUTCH three to propel Texas A&M over Missouri on the road. Is A&M the most underrated team in the nation?

Kansas State defeats Kansas in the Sunflower Showdown. This will likely be an another quad 1 loss for the Jayhawks because K State is 80th in NET yet will likely move up to top 75 tomorrow.

Freshman Jase Richardson is playing amazing today for Michigan State. 25 points on 7/9 shooting.