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Shiladitya Bose Profile
Shiladitya Bose

@bosechem

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Following
279
Media
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Statuses
329

A happy go lucky guy. A complete Bhakt. Had taken a 6-month sabbatical from twitter. Lost all my tweets and followers in the process.

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Joined November 2021
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
30 days
Difference b/w 2004 & 2024: 2004 - United Andhra Pradesh & Bihar destroyed NDA. 2024 - AP/TG & Bihar saved NDA.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
4 months
Travelled to interior Malda, Birbhum, Raiganj last week. Armchair pollsters suggesting o/way consolidation of Ms towards TMC wud be stunned with final nos. Anti incumbency against TMC is real. Such levels were last experienced against Left in 2009/11. @Antardrshti @bipbhat
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
All such attempts have been crushed by CAPF. Local TMC ldrs are abusing EC, left/right/centre. In fact, this time I'm finding TMC g00ns somewhat sluggish...... @Antardrshti @thepheonixguy
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 years
Based on my recent visit to Shimla, my prediction is as follows: Result may be a repeat of 1998 Assembly polls outcome. BJP has made a spirited comeback from the situation that was prevalent a year ago when a near rout was staring at the face of BJP. @Suyash75 @ViratHindu24
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Kolkata Bongs hv shifted to BJP in large nos. But real supporters of TMC in Kolkata are non Bongs viz Marwaris, Gujjus, Punjabis etc. BJP must breach this votebank to win in Kolkata. If they succeed, there's no looking back @thepheonixguy @GuptaSourasish @Antardrshti @bosechem
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
3 months
A brilliant list. On date, in Durgapur-Bardhaman seat, it's advantage TMC due to terrible performance of incumbent BJP MP. Nomination of Dilip Ghosh nullifies the local anti incumbency. Medinipur has been adjusted accordingly. @Antardrshti @bipbhat
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
They will also get roasted within Greater Kolkata. Margins of victory will get reduced massively. If polls are free & fair, just like Ph 1-3, and BJP manages to continue with the momentum, there are 50% chances of 1-2 seats flipping. @Antardrshti @thepheonixguy @bosechem
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
The violence during 90/10s, perpetuated by Left cadres on TMC supporters, was 10 times higher. The violence during 60/70s, perpetuated by Cong cadres on Left supporters, was 20 times higher. @bong_politics @bosechem
@bong_politics
Bong Political Guru ☀️
2 months
Violence is part of Bengal politics It's expected No need to worry so much It may increase in next phases 😷
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
I repeat..... Even in 4th phase, Left-INC combo has gained well in WB. If this continues in subsequent phases, Didi should be worried...... VERY WORRIED. 😱 You should understand the meaning of this!!!! @Antardrshti @thepheonixguy @bong_politics @upamanyu70 @bosechem
@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
2nd & 3rd phase. Left-INC combo is gaining well in WB. If this continues in subsequent phases, Didi should be worried...... VERY WORRIED. 😱😎🌞 @Antardrshti @thepheonixguy @bong_politics @upamanyu70 @bosech
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
4 months
With these vote % the figs would be BJP - 34 TMC - 8 Congress - 0 Left - 0 My prediction as of now, is as under BJP - 20 (42%) TMC - 21 (43%) Congress - 1 (7%) Left - 0 (6%) Final prediction after 3rd phase of polls. @Antardrshti @sreeramjvc @Sootradhar
@THEHINDUTRUMP
Mota Bhai - The Proud Hindu
4 months
West Bengal Prediction: BJP - 25 (48%) TMC - 16 (40%) Congress - 1 (6%) Left - 0 (4%) This has been my prediction since the last 2 months and now everyone is saying the same. Jai Shree Ram.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
They will sit at home. Check vote % M dominated segments of Birbhum & Bardhaman as of now. @Antardrshti @bong_politics
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Also, after getting feedback of voting pattern in Ph-4 in Matua dominated areas and indifference attitude amongst M voters, D1di has suddenly started supporting CAA with "conditions." @MukulAgarwal66 @Antardrshti @bosechem
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
30 days
This is extremely unfair. @Antardrshti 's record is superb. One must understand that no one can get 100% right every time. I still consider him THE best till date. You hv my support bro!!!
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
I cannot fathom how can a seasoned polititian & grass root leader like D!di can commit such a blunder. During their peak rule (80-90-10s), Left used to keep these organizations on their shoulders with huge largesse. @Antardrshti @bosechem
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
"Supporting" and "Voting" are totally different. In 2006-07, I supported Left when they wanted to set up TATA factory in Singur. Ditto when MMS notified FDI in retail secor in 2012. But I never voted for either Left or Cong, till date. @Antardrshti @MandarSawant184 @bosechem
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Ground feedback for strong Regional party, ruling in a large State till Ph-4. मध्य और दक्षिण में half! उत्तर और पश्चिम में साफ!! No wonder they are now desperate and hv resorted to rigging & violence in M dominated booths..... 🤣😂🤣😂 @Antardrshti @bong_politics @bosechem
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
If this can happen in an assembly constituency with >55% M population in Bashirhat Lok sabha, then one can estimate the levels of anti incumbency. @Antardrshti @bong_politics @thepheonixguy
@abpanandatv
ABP Ananda
1 month
তৃণমূলনেত্রী মমতা বন্দ্যোপাধ্যায়ের রোষের মুখে মিনাখাঁর বিধায়ক ঊষারানি মণ্ডল। #mamatabanerjee #abpananda #abpanandalive
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
2nd & 3rd phase. Left-INC combo is gaining well in WB. If this continues in subsequent phases, Didi should be worried...... VERY WORRIED. 😱😎🌞 @Antardrshti @thepheonixguy @bong_politics @upamanyu70 @bosech
@upamanyu70
Upamanyu Bhattacharya
2 months
West Bengal results will be stunning. Supremo will learn that media management and social media perception handling has its limits. One sided voting by Bengalis so far.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Hooghly leaning BJP. Howrah leaning TMC by a whisker. Can be breached with proper booth management @thepheonixguy @Antardrshti @bosech
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
4 months
PK sensed this. Hence on TV, he mentioned BJP wud surprise everyone in WB. Hooliganism during Panchayat polls, uncontrolled extortion, cut money etc has pushed rural public to the wall. Rural revolt against ruling party happened in 1967, 1977 & 2009. @Antardrshti @bipbhat
@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
4 months
Travelled to interior Malda, Birbhum, Raiganj last week. Armchair pollsters suggesting o/way consolidation of Ms towards TMC wud be stunned with final nos. Anti incumbency against TMC is real. Such levels were last experienced against Left in 2009/11. @Antardrshti @bipbhat
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Do it fast........ If u delay, Rahul Baba - Sam Pitoda combo is waiting to snatch Rs.20.0 lacs from your "seat". @web_vj @bosechem
@web_vj
Anshul Agarwal
2 months
Sitting on 40 lakhs cash.. what to buy today?
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
29 days
In WB, it takes a minimum of 30 years and lot of sacrifices to crack this "puzzle". Left took 30 years (1947-77), D!d! took 34 (1977-2011). In both cases, perseverence was the key. @AbhishBanerj @MandarSawant184
@AbhishBanerj
Abhishek
29 days
BJP's vote share in Bengal stuck at 39% since 2021 Seems every Bengali who was favorable to BJP has already voted BJP Meanwhile, BJP's attacks on TMC are consolidating anti-BJP votes in favor of TMC! Assam & Odisha turned into BJP bastions ... but Bengal remains a puzzle.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
30 days
In such case, 2024-29 will be like 1999-04. BJP losing in in almost all State polls. And in 2028, the luxury of MP/Raj/CG sweep will not be there. @Antardrshti
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
Check the crowd. Not even 1000 ppl. No wonder the panic. @Antardrshti @bosec
@nepolionking
卐//KROENEN//卐
1 month
লোক কাহা হ্যয় 🤣
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 years
BJP got 61% H vote in '19. Fell to 57% in '21, mainly due to induction of corrupt TMC ldrs & sidelining local BJP cadre, who chose to sit at home on voting day TMC got 85% M vote in '19, slightly rising by 2-3% in '21 Real hit was shift of ~5% CPM/INC "secular H/M" to TMC in '21
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
30 days
UP voteshare trends BJP/NDA = 43.4% INDI alliance = 44.2% This is in lok sabha. Clearly, non Yadav OBCs hv shifted from BJP. Expect a bloodbath in 2027.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
This is the reason as to why vote polled (in nos.) by BJP is increasing exponentially, whereas for Cong, it is stagnant. @Antardrshti
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
There can be only 2 possibilities: Either Cong is getting convinced that their alliance with AAP is becoming a liability with zero gains in Delhi & Punjab. Or Alka Lamba is next in line after Radhika Khera.
@IndiaToday
IndiaToday
2 months
Congress spokesperson @LambaAlka stands in solidarity with #SwatiMaliwal | #ITVideo | @PoojaShali
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
Even after 2019 polls, when BJP delivered stunning results in WB, there was minimal post poll violence. @Antardrshti @anish3456789
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
30 days
Repeat of 2004. 2004: BJP loses but gain in a new terretory Karnataka. 2024: BJP loses but gain in a new terretory Orissa.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
cc: @Antardrshti @bong_politics Even local police is "palti maaroing". 😂🤣
@SudhanidhiB
Sudhanidhi Bandyopadhyay
2 months
Police officer takes to brutal slapping of an unconfirmed party worker, possibly TMC after the latter took to trouble mongering & intimidation near a booth at Berhampore. Video by White Politics (Facebook)
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
They haven't heard od West Bengal elections during 80s, 90s & 10s.......when there was no social media, whatsapp. Voter intimidation, political ki11ings, scientific r1gging, etc... In that way, one should appreciate Didi's tenacity for taking on the Left single handedly.
@RandomBengali46
Politically Dumb 💀
1 month
West Bengal is not for Twitter Beginners. Even we get scared inspite of having seen so many ruthless elections here full of bloodshed, It's natural for others to get scared as if nothing's going well on seeing random incidents of violence. 🙏
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
29 days
Hv a limited space @Antardrshti ji. We should deliberate the way forward.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
7 months
The 56 assembly seats in Greater Kolkata region holds key. @Suyash75
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
More then the "expected plan of action" by members of INDI alliance, stand of D!di indictes her nervousness and inevitabilty of the outcome. @Antardrshti @bipbhat
@ANI
ANI
1 month
All senior leaders of the INDIA alliance have been called by Congress to stay in Delhi till tomorrow night or day after tomorrow morning. West Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee has also taken a positive stand on this. A meeting will be held after the election results. If the number of
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
WB BJP supporters after watching exit polls nos for West Bengal
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
30 days
This is a clear indication of poor ticket distribution by BJP/NDA, coupled with poor performanes of local MPs. @India_Progress
@India_Progress
Realist_Indian
30 days
NDA vote share more than INDi in Maharashtra. But seats totally opposite!!!
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
The way voting is taking place, I am worried that the figure might shoot up to 105%. 🤔🤨
@bong_politics
Bong Political Guru ☀️
1 month
Bengal may cross 85% today 😂
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Hv you talked to ppl on the ground or tweeting based on Twitter/FB/Media? There's huge anti incumbency in G Kolkata. Only saving grace for TMC is weak organisation of BJP here. But in 2019, BJP won seats where their presence was practically 0. 2021 & 2024 are different @A_G951
@A_G951
AG
2 months
@bosechem Laxmi r Bhandar dada that scheme consolidated women one of the reason I am not hopeful
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
As of now, it is reverse. M votes are splitting whereas Hs consolidating. There are indications that a small % of disgruntled Ms are shifting to Left-Cong. @Antardrshti @Sanju_996 @bosechem
@Sanju_996
SD
2 months
@Antardrshti Expected margin in Krishnanagar? Personally, I'm bearish on this seat because the Left has gained ground in Hindu-majority cities in the last municipal election, which will erode the anti-Mamata vote, while the Muslim votes are unlikely to split.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Instead of going into macro vote%, go for micro. 1) Get assembly wise +/- vote% for the lok sabha seat. 2) Check demographics, strength of party in each assembly segment. Then you can hv a fair idea on who gets the advantage of lower/higher turnout. @MandarSawant184 @bosech
@MandarSawant184
Mandar Manmohan Sawant
2 months
I have checked voting % in Rajasthan (12 seats) and Maharashtra (5 seats) and while voting percentages have fallen as compared to 2014 and 2019, they are like 6-16% higher than in 2009 when the BJP voter actually sat home or voted Congress. Hence not much truth to the fact that
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Definite traction amongst minority voters. Also in many areas, this section is sitting at home. No wonder TMC is pan1cking. @MukulAgarwal66 @Antardrshti @bosechem
@MukulAgarwal66
mukulagarwal (Modi ka parivaar)
2 months
It seems the ground reports are true and that the left alliance with congress is getting traction?
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
Absolutely. But losing "badly" is important.
@anish3456789
Anish Halder
1 month
@SubradipP @bosechem @Antardrshti I think this election itself is make or break. If she loses this election badly then it's game over for her. Just like it was game over for com after 2009 election.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
27 days
Add 11 seats of Bengal & 7 of Delhi to this. PS - D!d! was the sole NDA MP from WB in 2024. @Antardrshti @bosechem
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Post Maliwal assault case, I guess Kejriwal would now be thinking "साला, जेल में रहना ही ठीक होता......!!!!! 🤣🤣🤣
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
4 months
2nd para.......Then u are unaware of the ground realities in the State. Only Kolkata seats are an exception. It's up to BJP to grab this godsent opportunity. @ViratHindu24 @Antardrshti @jugan
@ViratHindu24
Virat Hindu 28 🇮🇳 🔱 🕉 ⚔ 🔥 ⚡
4 months
Some BJP supporters frequently put questions to me that same things were being communicated from ground in bengal then why results went other way. I think Demography + Kolkata + S24 is stopping BJP from getting 25-30 Lok Sabha Seats is my take and BJP would reach 21-22 LS.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
30 days
Add to that: Force BJP MPs to spend 70% of their time in their respective constituencies. Ask for a monthly report on their performances. @Sootradhar @bosechem
@Sootradhar
Jayess
30 days
@narendramodi Now that the results are out. Urge you to do course correction: 1) Stop depending on the Bureaucracy= Work towards lateral entry of professionals = Educated Middle Class. 2) Focus only on the Economy = MEA of India must not double up as MFA Russia. We need
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Shiladitya Bose
30 days
Major bloodbath in urban centres NDA - 37 INDI - 50 A real turnaround and a story in this election. @Antardrshti @AryamanBharat @bosechem
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
Looking the sheer desperation of the libbie / woke gang regarding Lok sabha 2024 results, it appears SOROS has given them an ultimatum - "इस बार भी यदि RahulG नहीं जीता, तो कसम से, आप लोग का funding हमेशा के लिए बंध!!"
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Sandeskhali stings will NO WAY affect voting. It'll just make good headlines. Else, Narada sting wud hv been the Waterloo for TMC in 2016. It was aired bang in the mid of 2016 WB assembly polls, and Left-INC was giving a tough fight then. @bong_politics @Antardrshti @bosechem
@bong_politics
Bong Political Guru ☀️
2 months
Exactly 99% people already decided whom to vote They don't change their preferences by any fake issue or fake narrative in Social media or by godi youtubers
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
Last 50 yrs (>=35): 2004 polls: Left alliance - 35 seats 1991 polls: Left alliance - 37 seats 1989 polls: Left alliance - 37 seats 1980 polls: Left alliance - 38 seats @Antardrshti @Daga2849 @bosechem
@Daga2849
Pratik Daga
1 month
@sahil_vi @Antardrshti 22-25 is realistic. Anything beyond 28 is impossible this time. Even at their peak of power(in terms of vote %), no party/alliance have won more than 35 seats in WB at least in the last 50yrs. So, no chance of 38 to BJP. BJP can win over 30 only after it wins the state assembly
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
My a/c got hacked in June 2021 and I deleted that a/c. Thereafter took a long sabbatical from Twitter. Started afresh in end 2022. @NikhilShembekar
@NikhilShembekar
Nikhil Shembekar
2 months
@bosechem Didn't see your tweets since a long time..
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
29 days
Post 2019 LS debacle, this formula was adopted by D!d! in WB. And is quite successful. @Sootradhar @MandarSawant184
@sajjanjnu
Sajjan Kumar Singh
29 days
The common thread from the verdict in Uttar Pradesh and Odisha, despite one going against the BJP and other rewarding the saffron party is one: keep bureaucracy and police in check and give elected MPs and MLAs real power to serve the people.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
29 days
Awadh & Purvachal fiasco has to be thoroughly introspected. Take a leaf out of D!d!'s method. Post 2019 LS shock, she took direct feedback from local ldrs of EACH assembly seat to know the ground realities/grievances. Then she went for course correction - Laxmi bhandar, IP @C etc
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
BJP alone is 68-70 as of now. Plus 2 toss ups. Party is fighting in 75 seats. Rest are aliies. @Antardrshti @bong_politics @bosechem
@bong_politics
Bong Political Guru ☀️
2 months
@Antardrshti Bjp sweeping UP with 70+ seats no doubt
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
Effects of H-consolidation in WB. Police cracks down on miscreants who had ransacked Ram Krishna Mission in Siliguri last month.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
29 days
BJP won only 65 seats out of 249 from these 5 largest States. @Antardrshti @Sootradhar @MandarSawant184 @bosechem
@TimesAlgebraIND
Times Algebra
29 days
This is an interesting thread. Out of 5 big states - UP, Bihar, Bengal, Tamilnadu, Maharashtra Only Bihar has voted for NDA Bihar needs special care & love from New Govt
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
Now a U-turn......
@Jairam_Ramesh
Jairam Ramesh
1 month
INDIA leaders will obviously meet after the results are declared. Any other meaning being given to it is completely misleading and false.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
In this election season, just saw an election catchphrase painted on a wall, in Kolkata Chirche Baal, Aasche Laal Vote for the Left Candidate.......
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Am tracking only few states this time viz., WB, Orissa, UP, North East. @SathappanV2029
@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Ph-4 & 5 holds key. Till now polling was in BJP strongholds, barring Murshidabad & Jangipur. Now the real fight begins. Will update after getting full feedback, both from local BJP as well as TMC ldrs. @SathappanV2029
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
cc: @Antardrshti @thepheonixguy I'm getting similar reports.
@SudhanidhiB
Sudhanidhi Bandyopadhyay
2 months
TMC goons are today working overtime in trying to rig but BJP along with Central Forces are foiling their attempts everytime. Visuals from Durgapur where they came with a gang to cause trouble but was sent back.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Krishnanagar - Yes South Kolkata - No In fact, BJP had won Krishnanagar seat earlier during 1999 Lok sabha polls. South Kolkata is a TMC bastion, just like Surat seat for BJP. @Goldenb56025661
@bong_politics @bosechem @Antardrshti @thepheonixguy Does that mean BJP can win even the tough seats like Krishnanagar and south Kolkata etc.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
4 months
Visit interior villages of WB. You'll be stunned with the feedback!! I doubt C voter staff has visited a single village in interior Bengal. Kolkata wokes on TV & Twitter do not represent the State. We learnt this in '67, '77, '09 & '19. @ViratHindu24 @Antardrshti @bipbhat
@ViratHindu24
Virat Hindu 28 🇮🇳 🔱 🕉 ⚔ 🔥 ⚡
4 months
If C Voter survey is to be believed then Adhir Chowdhury is losing the loksabha election as according to their survey the Congress party is getting Zero seats from Bengal. I had predicted Yusuf Pathan winning from Behrampore Loksabha Seat.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
😂😂 जनता का सैलाब!!!!
@twAbhishek16
Dictator
1 month
@bosechem Rigging?
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
12-14 for BJP. @SathappanV2029
@SathappanV2029
Vish Sathappan
2 months
@bosechem Lok sabha
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Then you have not been on the ground either in Hoogly or in Greater Kolkata region. @A_G951
@A_G951
AG
2 months
There is no major anti incumbency against Mamata at least in greater Kolkata region if there is any anti incumbency out GK that will be off set by organization & muscle power for example in Hooghly TMC is winning
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
@subhsays
Subham.
2 months
TMC district president Apurba Sarkar is failed to retain Hindu votes - claims TMC MLA Humayun Kabir. Internal clash of party is in full display! On June 4 it will get more clear who did Sabotage whom ?
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
28 days
To begin with, start a universal basic wage program by transferring Rs.5-6k/month to lady members of BPL families. Backend infrastructure is already available. Just see impact in the entire country. @Antardrshti @Sootradhar @bosechem
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
30 days
Check the trends of dalit majority seats in North & West India. Total swing towards INDI alliance. This swing has been topped up with Urban seats.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Didi should be worried You should understand...WHY?........ @MrNoOne1991
@MrNoOne1991
..No one
2 months
@bosechem @Antardrshti @thepheonixguy @bong_politics @upamanyu70 If INC+Left is gaining. BJP is losing? Or only M votes shifting?
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
A day before the #ExitPolls2024 , here are the past records of various agencies. @Antardrshti @bong_politics @Sootradhar @MukulAgarwal66 @rahulkanwal
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@sardesairajdeep
Rajdeep Sardesai
1 month
Friday column: The 2024 Campaign is over, a day to go for exit polls. After travelling across the country, What are my TEN key takeaways from an election campaign that has seen a lot of heat, very little light. Read each takeaway carefully including a post-script that could give
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
@subhsays
Subham.
2 months
Itahar MLA and president of TMC minority win Mosharaf Hossain has said ,"Migrant workers aren't coming. In my assembly 28k didn't come . Our expectation was 50k lead. Impossible now." Itahar is Muslim dominated and has recorded the lowest turn out among all VS of Balurghat PC
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Will update all during the next Podcast discussion with @Antardrshti on Twitter. @Karthik_Bharat1 ..
@Karthik_Bharat1
Karthik
2 months
@bosechem @Antardrshti @thepheonixguy @bong_politics @upamanyu70 Shiladitya Ji Any update from your side regarding WB Phase 4 with prediction?
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
INDIA alliance........ Getting converted to "Tukde Tukde" alliance @DiptarupChakra2 🤣🤣🤣
@DiptarupChakra2
Diptarup Chakraborti
2 months
@bosechem Former. Channi too attacked AK in Punjab
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
30 days
Even if BJP comes back in a coalition, all reformist policies, 100-days program etc etc will now be on the back burner. I doubt Modiji will agree to head a coalition Govt. Now i comprehend the reasons for PM meeting NiKu yesterday.
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
29 days
UC-Dalits-Muslims, the rainbow alliance that revived a flagging INDI alliance.
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Shiladitya Bose
30 days
Exactly 5 days back (31st night) I had a bad dream. In my dream, I saw Modiji giving a farewell speech on DD channel. On waking up next day, I had a hearty laugh and brushed it aside. Now I guess it was a premonition. @Antardrshti @Sootradhar @AryamanBharat
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
1 month
😂😂😂😂
@Swamy39
Subramanian Swamy
1 month
This coming Saturday I shall vote for the BJP candidate for Lok Sabha, ( East Delhi), Fmr Deputy Mayor Harsh Malhotra. He has a good record of service to public, and deserves to be Lok Sabha MP. I live in East Nizamuddin.
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Shiladitya Bose
3 months
Then you r unaware of Greater Kolkata voting pattern. NonBongs (Gujjus, Marwaris, Punjabis, Bihar/UPites etc) are rock solid behind TMC. Originally they were pro Cong, shifting allegiance, post 2000. Check TMC leads in areas of Central & N Kolkata during 2019 & 2021. @Sootradhar
@Satdharma25
🇮🇳 ज्ञान अमृत(मोदी का परिवार)
3 months
@SudhanidhiB Very few Hindi speakers actually vote for TMC They will never disclose this when asked This meeting should be to seek their help monitory or physical
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Shiladitya Bose
2 months
BTW, disaster struck Atalji led NDA on this very day, 20 years ago. Didi was a part of NDA, then. I vividly remember the stunning reverses that were trickling in. In Kolkata, both BJP & TMC offices wore a deserted look, with Left sweeping in TMC strongholds of Greater Kolkata.
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Shiladitya Bose
1 month
Now, now............. This was expected
@ANI
ANI
1 month
All senior leaders of the INDIA alliance have been called by Congress to stay in Delhi till tomorrow night or day after tomorrow morning. West Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee has also taken a positive stand on this. A meeting will be held after the election results. If the number of
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Shiladitya Bose
29 days
Sir, But it's also a fact that INDI alliance was way ahead in all social media (instagram, X, FB, WA) platforms. It was our forte till 2019. And that matters to all social groups & youth. We sincerely hope corrective action is taken b4 its too late. @amitmalviya @Sootradhar
@amitmalviya
Amit Malviya
29 days
The Congress will stay out of power for another 5 years. That would make it 15 years in a row. And they are celebrating it. Classic case of cutting off one’s nose to spite one’s face… The Congress has also lost the opportunity to whine endlessly about the EVMs and create chaos.
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Shiladitya Bose
1 month
Highly exaggerated vote share for BJP. 1) Left-INC won't go below 12-14%. Even in 2021, they polled 10%. 2) If BJP actually gets 57.14%, they would win 38-40 seats. @bloody_media
@bloody_media
Bloody Media
1 month
My Final Prediction for Lok Sabha Election 2024 : West Bengal BJP : 24 ( 57.14% ) TMC : 17 ( 40.48% ) Others : 1 ( 2.38% )
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
29 days
In 2004, Atalji won by 2.15L votes In contrast, Modiji managed to retain his seat by a mere 1.3L votes. This is the worst electoral performance by any PM candidate since 1975. Whereas I consider him the best among PMs till date. PS. RahulG wins Rai Bareilly by 4.0L+ votes
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
By Yes, I mean there is a definite lower voting trends in M dominated constituencies till now. @thepheonixguy @Antardrshti @bosechem
@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
2 months
As of now, Yes. Let's see till end of day. @thepheonixguy @Antardrshti @bosechem
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Shiladitya Bose
2 months
4/5 confirmed for NDA..... 1 tossup, leaning SP @VairaagiBaba
@VairaagiBaba
वैरागी बाबा
2 months
@bosechem @Antardrshti @bong_politics Alliances winning all theirs seats?
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@bosechem
Shiladitya Bose
29 days
BTW, Cong would find is extremely difficult to handle & take on an "accomodative Modi", post 2024. Handling a "dictator Modi" during 2014-24 was much easier.
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Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Ph-4 & 5 holds key. Till now polling was in BJP strongholds, barring Murshidabad & Jangipur. Now the real fight begins. Will update after getting full feedback, both from local BJP as well as TMC ldrs. @SathappanV2029
@SathappanV2029
Vish Sathappan
2 months
@bosechem How is it looking this time bose da?
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Shiladitya Bose
1 month
"If you are upset with me then slap me, but please do not vote for BJP." @guru__ghantaal
@guru__ghantaal
Gautam B.
1 month
@bosechem What is she saying Bose dada?
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Shiladitya Bose
30 days
One important matter missed by all analysts. Performace of local MPs matter a lot. And in 2024, it has become a deciding factor. The perfomance of most BJP MPs was pathetic to say the least. UP, WB are the biggest examples.
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Shiladitya Bose
30 days
BJP has done badly in Purvanchal region where, barring pockets, Ms do not wield much influence. Also check Jangalmahal areas of WB. This tells a story
@SheetalPronamo
Sheetal Chopra 🇮🇳
30 days
Ayodhya ( Faizabad constituency ) Hindu population is 84.75 % and yet BJP candidate is trailing badly and he may lose also Wow Hindus what a return gift you have given to Modiji for giving us Ramjanmabhoomi Shame on Us as a community 😡
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Shiladitya Bose
2 months
I doubt 2024 figures include postal ballot. @manda
@MandarSawant184
Mandar Manmohan Sawant
2 months
Latest figures for Maharashtra Phase 1 voting shows 63.25% Now the difference has reduced for 4 seats while Chandrapur has exceeded 2019 voting % Nagpur : -0.45% Gadchiroli : -0.72% Chandrapur : +2.68% Bhandara Gondia : -3.91% Ramtek : -1.3% Upward revision is still possible
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Shiladitya Bose
1 month
@5Forty3 Dear Sir, 5forty3 site isn't opening. I guess it's a tad unfair to your paid subscribers. I hope you'll take corrective measures to rectify the site as inaction will only fuel mistrust. Regards
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Shiladitya Bose
29 days
This is the worst performance of NDA in Maharashtra since 1998. Even in 2009, NDA won 20 seats in the State.
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Shiladitya Bose
2 years
My reading is that OPS/Agnivir wasn't the factor. It was rebels who did BJP in. Cong gained only 1.9% whereas BJP lost 5.8%. The remaining 3.9% VS loss was rebel factor & anti incumbency. Historically in HP, Cong&BJP used to swap voteshares. 42-43% for winner & 37-38% for loser
@alok_bhatt
Alok Bhatt
2 years
Ofocourse Himachal is a set back for us in the short run and more for people and governance in the long run. OPS is one curse that will come to haunt everyone; bad economic must never take precedence over electoral compulsions and kudos to BJP for sticking to that
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Shiladitya Bose
2 months
Bong voters from Purba bongo.....whose parents experienced 1947 partition. Remember, BJP's vote share shot to 12% during 1991 polls, from a meagre 2% in 1989.
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Shiladitya Bose
30 days
Now I shudder to think of the bloodbath in Oct 2024 state polls. @Antardrshti @bosechem
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Shiladitya Bose
30 days
BJP has lost both seats in Manipur to Cong. Matter of time that the CM will also switch sides. BJP at 17% now, 3rd in terms of voteshare, a huge drop from 51% in 2019. Cong rises from 28% to 48%. @Antardrshti @bosechem
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Shiladitya Bose
4 months
Will give my final nos after the 3rd phase. By then religious consolidation, district wise in the State would be clear. @nitinagarwal80
@nitinagarwal80
Nitin 🇮🇳
4 months
@bosechem @ViratHindu24 @Antardrshti @bipbhat Sir what’s ur range after visiting bengal.. as i have followed ur predictions at the time 2021 elx .. ur said that ur initial prediction of under 100 for bjp but swayed away by pollsters wrong predictions that bjp is growing ..
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Shiladitya Bose
29 days
Dear Sir, BJP got decimated in the Meiti dominated Inner Manipur seat. Meitis are Hindus, mostly UC, some of them janeudhari. @PrinceArihan
@PrinceArihan
Savio Rodrigues 🇮🇳
29 days
‘Churches destroyed’ in Manipur consolidated the Christian and Muslim minorities in South Goa but ‘Ram Mandir’ built in Ayodhya could not consolidate the Hindus in Ayodhya itself.
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