timh πΊοΈ
@bnstim
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π»π¦β’ upse β28 π» β’ probably hunting for more data π β’ eurovision fan on the side πΆ β’ currently reading: i am a cat π± β’ bns/timaps!
Kalakhang Maynila
Joined June 2022
To commemorate #EDSA here are the mapped NAMFREL results of the 1986 Presidential/Vice Presidential election. (which was also the first set of maps released under BNS !). May the spirit of EDSA continue to live on in us in pursuing reforms toward a better Philippines. π΅π
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Diokno ng Akbayan idala sa Kongreso! π³οΈπΉ. Chel Diokno placed 12th in NCR with 33.1% of the vote. Running as the first nominee of Akbayan, though they have similar coalitions, it is seen he will boost their numbers significantly for 2025. #DioknoSaKongreso #Balota2025
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This independence day, let's revisit 2022 once more as move forward for 2025 πΊοΈβͺ. In vote-rich Metro Manila, Marcos dominated easily albeit pockets of strong Robredo support in wealthy subdivisions and for Isko in Tondo. Barangay-level map below ππΌ.#MaptheNation. [1/x]
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"Dynasty-slayer" Rep. Kaka Bag-ao (@kakabagao) defeated members of the powerful Ecleo clan three times in a row, serving two terms of Rep. of Dinagat Islands and one term as Governor. In 2025, she returns to reclaim her seat in Congress under the Akbayan-Liberal coalition.
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Where did Leni win in Cebu? π΄ . There are three main clusters of Robredo-won barangays, around Dumanjug, around Tuburan, in Bogo City and Bantayan. π . #MaptheNation
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π΅π | 2022 President/VP - Maguindanao. Maguindanao is a fascinating case study of how split tickets and LGU endorsements manifest electorally. President.π΄ Marcos - 49.0%.π Robredo - 42.2%. Vice President.π’ Duterte - 93.4%.π Pangilinan - 3.5%.π΅ Sotto - 1.7%. A thread π§΅
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Marcos needs Mindanao. Through Uniteam, Marcos was able to landslide Mindanao where his family once lagged behind politically. As we look toward 2025, let's revisit Mindanao's Presidential landscape in unparalleled detail. π #MaptheNation
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With numerous opposition PLs in 2025, let's look back at 2022 for whom Leni-Kiko voters in NCR voted for. Newcomer P3PWD led overwhelmingly (17%), followed by Kabataan (7%), Gabriela (6%), Akbayan (6%) then Agri (4%). #Balota2025
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Maybe this is where Trillanes is coming from saying that Tulfo might be good for the opposition. Leni-Tulfo seems viable if Tulfo's numbers are really that. It may not seem ideal but the opposition needs to greatly expand its tent if it wants a future politically.
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Let's be honest, the ads the campaign used could've had more mass appeal outside the base. This one reaches to the masang Pilipino and concretely highlights actual problems Filipinos face.
if our TOTGA made it, this could have been her administration. this is one of favorite Leni ads but unfortunately was not adapted by the campaign. #PinkWednesday.
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Looks like the Left-Opposition has a lot of choices in 2025. 10 Makabayan (so far), 2 Laban ng Masa, and 3 Liberal candidates to choose from.
Leody de Guzman and Luke Espiritu will run for Senate seats in 2025, the labor leaders announced on Saturday, September 14. #PHVote
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Independent ParaΓ±aque Mayoral candidate Drew Uy (@DrewTheDo_ ) performed best in precinct 76040421 of Merville. Uy got more votes than BBM. Mayor.π© Olivarez - 54%.π¦ Uy - 35%.π₯ Zaide - 7%. President.π Robredo - 69%.π₯ Marcos - 24%. Sen. Risa Hontiveros also grew up here πΉ
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#MaptheNation today continues in Negros Island! While remaining relatively strong for Robredo in 2022, Marcos won the island with a 25% swing to him. The race, however, remained close with a win margin of 1.86%. Pacquiao also won 19% of the vote. π
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The Metro Manila opposition is the most solid in the nation πΈπΈπΈ . 10 of 12 candidates in its Magic 12 endorsed Robredo. None endorsed Marcos. Though the bloc is insignificant in most elections, it is a critical bloc for Partylist elections. #Boses2025
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Salamat Noynoy!ποΈ. As we remember the passing of our late President Noynoy Aquino, let's recollect the winning electoral coalition that swept him to the Presidency in 2010, the first Liberal Party presidency since 1961. #WIP for the wiki also! (still have to encode OAV results)
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With Rep. France Castro's announcement as a Senatorial candidate, let's revisit their bloc's previous performances ππΊοΈ. Colmenares '22 ).Though he failed to win any province, his strongest provinces mirrored the Robredo coalition π©·β€οΈ. #PiliPinas2025 #Makabayan #FranceCastro
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In 2022, Metro Manila's electoral map was dotted by a plethora of colors. Over 15 candidates managed to top at least 1 barangay. Though UniTeam dominated the polls, Chel Diokno managed to make it to the magic 12, placing first in much of the liberal corridor. #MaptheNation
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π΅π | 2022 President/VP - Eastern Visayas . Ethnic regional ties, gubernatorial endorsements, to urban and rural splits, all in one region. President .π΄ Marcos - 62.7%.π Robredo - 23.4%.π₯ Pacquiao - 9.2%.π΅ Domagoso - 2.8%. #MaptheNation.A thread π§΅
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Itβs becoming clear the PH midterms is between 3 blocs:. - Marcos administration (Bagong Pilipinas).- Duterte loyalists (Maisug).- Pink opposition. Itβs now up to the aspiring senatoriables to group themselves into these tickets before the boat sinks on election day.
Pretty wild midterms! The midterms are supposed to be the referendum of the sitting president and his administration. But with the latest twist in our politics, consequently it would be an acid test for the Duterte brand. Desperate times call for desperate measures.
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For example, Leni's 2022 performance outperformed any other LP presidential/vice presidential candidate since 2010 in Ayala Alabang Village.
To be fair, Leni dominated the wealthy subdivisions of NCR, but that would probably represent of a fraction of ABC, maybe just Class A even. It's something that would be interested to tabulate and break down one day.
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In 2016, it was the Lingayen-Lucena corridor that sent Rodrigo Duterte to MalacaΓ±an. The LLC comprises Metro Manila, Regions III, IV-A, and Pangasinan. ππ½ Duterte 36%.π Poe 28%.ποΈ Roxas 16%.π Binay 15%.πΊ Santiago 5%. More insights below. ππΌ Results by barangay πΊοΈ
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Handa na ba ParaΓ±aque βοΈπ³οΈ. First Lady Aileen Olivarez is challenging former Mayor Edwin Olivarez for the mayoralty. The clan is divided for 2025. Brgy. Baclaran chairperson Jun Zaide and pro-Leni independent Drew Uy will also gun for the post. #PiliPQUE #Balota2025
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In 2022, Candaba Mayor Danilo Baylon garnered the highest-ever vote share for a gubernatorial opposition candidate in Pampanga, surpassing Gov. Panlilio's share in 2007. In 2025, he will run for Governor once again with Ed Panlilio as his Vice Governor. #Balota2025 #Halalan2025
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πΉ ISKOming Back? βπΌ . Former Mayor Isko Moreno is running for Mayor. He will be up against his former running-mate, incumbent Mayor Honey Lacuna. Isko is an electoral juggernaut. At the time, his electoral victory in 2019 was the largest landslide since 2010. #Balota2025
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Bonus Friday πΊοΈ #MaptheNation . A side by side comparison of the 2016 VP election and the 2022 Presidential election in Negros Island. From a Robredo landslide in 2016 to a thin Marcos victory in 2022.
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One of the largest swings from Leni Robredo to Bongbong Marcos in #eleksyon2022 #halalan2022 were in the Province of Basilan. In Sumisip, Robredo held a landslide lead of +73 against Marcos in 2016 which swung to be a +15 lead for Marcos in 2022. #ElectionTwitter
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To be fair, Leni dominated the wealthy subdivisions of NCR, but that would probably represent of a fraction of ABC, maybe just Class A even. It's something that would be interested to tabulate and break down one day.
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Over the years, the Makabayan bloc's leading candidates have consistently garnered around 10% of the vote. Their best-ever Senatorial performance came from Neri Colmenares' (Bayan Muna) 2016 bid where he received 14.4% of ballots cast. #TaumbayanSaSenado #Makabayan
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#MaptheNation continues today with the Province of Tarlac. A Robredo victory in 2016, the province shifted towards Marcos in 2022. Nonetheless, Robredo managed to hold Concepcion while keeping it close in Tarlac City. π Interactive :
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High time for the Las PiΓ±as opposition to consolidate to oppose the Aguilar and Villar camps. Aguilar dipped below 50% for the first time since 1992.
As her term ends, Senator Cynthia Villar eyes the mayoralty of Las PiΓ±as City in #Halalan2025. She says her decision is not yet final as her husband, former Senate president Manny Villar, encourages her to run for the House of Representatives. Read:
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π¨ | #Breaking The Dutertes have finalized their 2025 Davao ticket under the HTL. π© Rodrigo Duterte for Mayor.π© Baste Duterte for Vice Mayor.π© Pulong Duterte for First Dist. Rep.π© Omar Duterte for Second Dist. Rep.π© Rigo Duterte for Second Dist. Council. #Balota2025
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Wilbert T. Lee (WTL) has had billboards up for a while alongside having a show with Gelli de Belen on GMA. He also launched an org called Winner Tayong Lahat. He (and AGRI) endorsed Leni in 2022. This has the markings of a well-oiled campaign. #PiliPinas2025
Keep your eyes peeled for Wilbert T. Lee of AGRI, looks like he really is gunning for a Senate seat in 2025. #PiliPinas2025.
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"mom, can we have the us democrats party in the philippines". "we have the democrats at home". the democrats at home:.
#DRPSOne #PHCAPoliticalism2025: This is the February 2025 Political TV Ad for the Alyansa Para Sa Bagong Pilipinas Senatorial Slate for the 2025 Elections, featuring Pres. Bongbong Marcos. PHCA CID PHCA-2025H1-2784/February 2, 2025
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Three more maps are up on the wiki!.Cavite Gov 2019, Quezon Gov 2019, Cebu Gov 2019. #MaptheNation
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San Jose del Monte HUC Plebiscite Mapped πΊοΈ. Here is a map (+ interactive!) of the plebiscite results by municipality. Interestingly San Jose del Monte voted against the measure while Marilao and Meycauayan supported it. Stay tuned! @IanIslander3
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Drew Uy, a Leni-aligned independent, rises to second in the ParaΓ±aque Mayoralty Election besting Jun Zaide and ACO πΈ. He garnered 9.95% of the vote in 2022.
"Malayo pa pero malayo na rin" - Paranaque Mayoralty bet Drew Uy. He posted the survey results conducted by Paranaque Ngayon and thanked his supporters. No surprises with the results though. Paranaque is still an Olivarez country.
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The good thing about 2025 is the primary liberal opposition has only two bets, both with high name recall. The only issue would be how opposition voters will pick their 10 other slots, and if they pick those who might endanger Bam and Kiko. that might be an issue.
Going into the campaign period, let us revisit the state of the liberal opposition πΈ. In the last senatorial race, the opposition was not a solid bloc. They did not straight ticket. It's important to consider this dynamic in mobilizing the opposition for the coming elections.
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Something I do analyze often are the patterns of the NCR rich areas and yes, Roxas did spectacularly bad for Liberal candidate in these areas. He still did overperformed around ~30-50% of the vote. But, Leni got 60-80% of the vote in the same areas. .
The uncomfortable truth about Philippine politics is, βthe richβ are no different. Class ABC supported Rodrigo Duterte. Based on latest SWS, supported Sara Duterte. We can moralize all we want. The path to a better country is winning election not moralizing.
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On Marcos, outside Ilocos Norte, his strongest province was Sulu where he got 95.7% of the vote. But, despite that landslide, Marcos failed to win one municipality -- Hadji Panglima Tahil which Robredo won.
Marcos would not be in MalacaΓ±ang if not for their coalition with the Dutertes. Throwing back to 2022, view the coalitions that defined Mindanao, from Pacquiao's rural dominance to MILF's endorsement for Robredo πΈπ₯. π§΅Thread and link below β¬οΈβ¬οΈ.π
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Requested map!. 2022 Presidential Election minus Marcos (PFP) votes. Inspired by map made by @ChannelMarsy, with % scheme. Leni carried all of the island of Luzon, except for Isko's hometown of Manila. Leni, Pacquiao, and Mangondato also split Mindanao among themselves.
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π¨ | In a landmark ruling, Sulu is out of Bangsamoro, recognizing the 2019 provincial-wide result to reject ratification of the BOL that converted ARMM to BARMM. Towns in Sulu both landslided (99%) for yes and no, with a final "No" margin being about 26k votes. #MaptheNation
The Supreme Court has upheld the constitutionality of the Bangsamoro Organic Law but rules Sulu is not part of BARMM since it rejected the ratification of the law.
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First Makabayan candidate for 2025 announced!. Let's see if the coalition will announce more bets, coalesce with LP-KANP-Akbayan, or be an independent bloc in 2025. #PiliPinas2025.
Breaking news: In response to teachers' clamor, ACT Teachers Partylist Rep. France Castro announces 2025 senatorial candidacy in today's 42nd anniv celeb of Alliance of Concerned Teachers (ACT). #ParaSaGuroAtBayan #ParaSaPilipinas #TeacherFranceCastroSaSenado
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Cebu has drawn the line. Will its Bisaya bloc shift toward Marcos rather than Duterte in 2025?. Abangan.
Cebu Gov. Gwendolyn Garcia has declared their full support for President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. in the wake of the breakup of the UniTeam of the countryβs chief executive and Vice President Sara Duterte whom she and her party supported in 2022. READ MORE:
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#MaptheNation returns tonight with an intensely colorful map of the 2022 Partylist Election by Municipality. Due to the large number of parties, the colors may be similar and the legend does not seem to load -- hover instead over a town to see who won.
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This is why winning NCR is critical for non-regionalist PLs.
One of the Senatoriables to watch out - Congressman Bonifacio Bosita of 1-RiderποΈ. The motorist union 1-Rider unexpectedly landed second place in the 2022 Party List election. The union ran the numbers in Metro Manila and its neighboring populous provinces. #ianmapsπΊοΈ
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In the 2022 Presidential election, Marcos landslided the Cordilleras, winning all but one barangay in the region. Meanwhile, Robredo did her best in western Ifugao (Baguilat hometown) and in Baguio City. President .π΄ Marcos - 83.3% .π Robredo - 9.9% . #MaptheNation
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