Bill Blue Line
@bill_baruch
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President - @BlueLineFutures , @BlueCreekCap & @Blue_Line_Cap . . Contributor on CNBC and Fox Biz. Email: bill @bluelinefutures .com
Chicago, IL
Joined November 2011
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First Economist and now Barron’s. Stay nimble friends.
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This week we welcomed our third into the world, Olivia Laine. 🎀❤️
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So many kids fresh out of college complaining about wages and not being able to afford the lifestyle “they were promised”. In 2007 I was making $24k/year on a commodity desk. I got the $5 foot long, ate half for lunch and took the other half home for dinner. Times have changed,
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Enter to win 1oz iiTRADER Silver Coin. Its easy, just go to
http://t.co/D8UEu2YLhs
scroll down and submit information
http://t.co/Je33i0ATqk
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I want to give a shout out to
@allstarcharts
he was one of the biggest bulls for the whole rally but somewhere end Q3 he got bearish and then very bearish. Not only did he call this melt down, he wrote about it in a more relatable way than anyone I have seen in this industry 👏
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I am no conspiracy theorist, but if the U.S. Dollar cannot rally after stronger GDP, Durable Goods and Jobless Claims then somethings up.
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$NVDA double beat, confirmed guide and Blackwell. Just got into NYC for
@HalftimeReport
tomorrow. Risk off tone today carrying. This is where I see support in
#ES_F
and
#NQ_F
. Seasonally cautious with $GLD $SLV
$SPY $QQQ
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The Fed will loosen and the economy is not falling apart. Good news is good news again …. For now.
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Is the AI trade back? Did it ever leave? $MU blowout beat and raise, $NVDA one month highs, $META record close. But let’s also talk macro, $USD strengthening. This is what I’m seeing.
$QQQ $GLD $SLV $SPY
#ES_F
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Stocks slipped from the highs, but why? Good days from $META $MSFT $AMZN $XLF $XLE. Will we get 25 or 50 tomorrow?
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Joining
@HalftimeReport
@ScottWapnerCNBC
and team today from the NYSE at the top of the hour. Big day for $NVDA. Don’t miss it.
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Little known fact about Chicago. The biggest fireworks show is put on in a little neighborhood off the Blue Line by a family. Crowds gather and legal or not authorities allow. It by far trumps Navy Pier.
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I will be on
@HalftimeReport
from Huntington Beach
@FutureProof_HQ
. Big Fed decision tomorrow and I’m sure we will be talking about some Tech! Tune in
@DivesTech
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That was a good close, great to not fall apart again. One day to go, can we clear last Friday’s settlement? Leadership showed up $NVDA $AVGO $META, great earnings from $LLY, and even the $XLF +1.6%.
$QQQ $SPY
#ES_F
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Core PCE incoming. I’m not bearish but this is would be concerning.
$SPY $QQQ $MU $NVDA
#ES_F
$TLT
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CPI and now 10yr auction. Just imagine if all the negative news is flushed out today and then PPI comes in light tomorrow. And China New Loans is supposedly due overnight, never guaranteed though.
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There is a problem in this country.
People say lack of housing forces local residents into the streets, but James says he came from Texas to San Francisco for the drugs, the non-enforcement of anti-camping laws, and the $820/month in welfare & food stamps. James says he sold fentanyl, 2 weeks ago, to a 15-year-old.
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$XLM Stellar has been my biggest position recently. Of course took some off the table on this double. But after a little shake out.... I expect cream to rise to the top. Hate it or not, price action doesn’t lie. I believe
#Stellar
will outperform going forward.
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Let’s do it again! Back at the NYSE for
@HalftimeReport
. It’s a bull market and stocks are breaking out the next leg!
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New look outside Ceres at the CBOT. Big renovation coming along great!
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Today in 1998, my mom suddenly passed away on Mother’s Day. Don’t just tell your mom how much she means to you tomorrow. Do it every day you can. Thinking of you!
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Sun is out. The girls are controlling the streets on this crisp spring morning.
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@Trader_Dante
I had a registered CTA few years back. Was up 100% on 300k in first 12 months. Couldnt raise any serious cash because gains were too much too quick. Was my wake up call that real money looking to invest does not like the"wow factor" you speak of. Take big risk to get those gains.
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Holy smokes! Gangbusters day $TSLA $NVDA $AAPL $URI $OC and so many more. But this is not the time to let your guard down. Here is why.
$SPY $QQQ $GLD $TLT
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A blowout Retail Sales report. This was not just a snapback from a bad December. This was the best since... you guessed it... last January.
The consumer is alive and well, underpinned by a 54-year low Unemployment Rate.
This is a leading indicator for more inflation.
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Back at the NYSE for
@HalftimeReport
. Bank earnings, Michigan inflation expectations, Fed speak and more. Lot to discuss. Don’t miss it!
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This was my favorite interview of all time as a young trader in the thick of things.
Thanks for sharing
@qcapital2020
Tepper in 2010 telling you to buy everything
Sounds familiar hmmm
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Just landed back in Chicago, can’t wait to see the wrecking crew.
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Accident on 65 north of Louisville is slowing the trek. But teamwork at its best. My wife Amy in the drivers seat, kids hanging in, and I have markets/emails on the laptop. Should be at
@PStreible
by dinner time.
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Are you not entertained! What a monster session for $NVDA $AVGO and now $META $QCOM after the bell. Fed Chair Powell gives the nod to a Sept cut and a record close for
#GC_F
. I will be on
@HalftimeReport
tomorrow for the hour tune in!
$QQQ $SPY $GLD $SLV
#OOTT
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At
@RaviniaFestival
for
@ofarevolution
. Great evening and listening to them always reminds of one of my favorite teachers, 6th grade reading, Mrs. Roberge.
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$NVDA Jensen Huang finished his speech at Goldman Conference literally on the low tick of $QQQ and $SPY
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Longshoreman strike across U.S. East Coast and Gulf is serious news. This could easily create market volatility. Keep an eye on developments. $SPY $QQQ
Harold J. Daggett, ILA President and the union's Chief Negotiator
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$DELL just included in the S&P 500.
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I discuss Bitcoin $BTC bottoming on
@TradingNation
. Paves the way for a 70 percent surge
@CNBC
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June Crude at $15 is a much, much bigger deal than May Crude negative yesterday.
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Bought put hedges across stock and metals portfolios. Set stops on futures and even went a little short. Stepped away for the first day of school, breakfast with the littlest, and now back at the desk. Anyone want to get me up to speed?
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Today on
@HalftimeReport
on $AMZN
@Downtown
said “EPS at $1.03 will represent a 60% increase y/y, if you have been a shareholder this is the moment you’ve been waiting for, all of that getting lean translating into leverage”
EPS at $1.26.
IMHO it doesn’t stay down here.
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Only thing that could make this better is if Gold and Silver held the early bid.
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Watching the debate and my 5 year old got out of bed and came downstairs to sit with me. After 2 minutes. She goes, “dad are those old people?””
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Back at the NYSE for
@HalftimeReport
. Tons to talk about in the macro world - Gold, Silver, other commodities, rates, Fed - and I have a new position that may surprise you! Don’t miss it!
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Happy anniversary to this amazing woman! 5 years and counting!
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It was a long day but it was a great day, made it to Stillwell’s in Dallas.
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Massive report. Street was looking for $59b RPO. I see
#ORCL
making it’s way to $155 this year. Another 20% from premarket level.
@DivesTech
is right - AI Revolution! We will start seeing infrastructure and software drive the next leg.
Investors are trying to put a puzzle together around AI and we got another big clue from Ellison/Oracle last night. The most important number for the Street is $80 billion of RPO (grew 29% yoy) that blew away Street expectations on AI/cloud demand. AI Revolution thesis 🔥🏆🍿🐂
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Let’s rock! In studio joining
@ScottWapnerCNBC
and the gang for
@HalftimeReport
at noon ET. Don’t miss it!
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Happy Sunday! Futures are about to open. Huge week last week. Can it carry over?
$NVDA $AMD $WDC $SLV $GLD $QQQ $SPY
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Rainy day but a big day for $TSLA $BAC $JPM and big finish for
#SPY
$QQQ despite wonkiness from JOLTS.
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Joining the
@HalftimeReport
with
@ScottWapnerCNBC
from the NYSE. About to kick off don’t miss it!
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@BillAckman
@federalreserve
Bill, great name by the way, with all due respect, you do realize Bonds are higher because the Fed's efforts are working and inflation is being tamed? (for now). The most recent economic data is confirming this.
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What a bloodbath! $GOOG $TSLA got the ball rolling but this was wide spread. On the bright side $SPY $QQQ testing big supports and $IBM $NOW lifting in after hours. A lot of week left, catch me on
@HalftimeReport
tomorrow.
$NVDA $META
#ES_F
#NQ_F
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Just landed back in ORD. Interesting session for $SPY $QQQ $NVDA leading into tomorrow’s Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation indicator. Here is why.
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Joining the
@HalftimeReport
today in studio. A lot to talk about in this environment. Make sure to tune in at 11 CT!
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Happy Mother’s Day to my amazing wife Amy. I am so excited to celebrate you today, though you deserve many more. You are my rock, my center, my best friend, helping me through the thick and thin, the highs and the lows. I couldn’t be me, without you being you. Not only are you
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Kicking the week off on
@HalftimeReport
. Big jobs beat Friday shifting Fed cut expectations and earnings season gets underway. Tune in!
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Out of half Friday and other half today. Hedge worked great, but the important thing is to monetize it at some point. Happy to discuss, DM me.
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It’s not ironic that Jobless Claims at 187k is best since last Jan. Going out on a limb here, but this is the best read for months to come.
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Happy Friday! Put on your rally caps! I’m back at the NYSE for
@HalftimeReport
to close out the week.
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At the NYSE for
@HalftimeReport
. A big day after $NVDA earnings and so much more to cover. Tune in!
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Let’s finish the week strong! Back at the NYSE for
@HalftimeReport
and there is a lot to cover. Make sure to tune in 12 ET!
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Great start to the week. Was last week the retest with lower volatility that came in August 2015 and February 2018? This week will be crucial for $SPY $QQQ. We added to $JPM but the market needs leadership from tech $AAPL $NVDA to really dig out.
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@MarketRebels
Illinois needs to throw the kitchen sink at getting business back here. I'd imagine some really great breaks for $TSLA. Pritzker and Lightfoot have burned this state down.
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Options are risky, but if you’re looking for a little YOLO fun, I like the 9/20 $NVDA 155/170 call spreads for about $1.00. Great payout structure. More on my earnings thoughts below.
@snorlax_uw
#lottery
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What a wild week! No better way to finish it off than at the NYSE for
@HalftimeReport
. Let’s close the week strong! 🦾
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The Fed decision is Wednesday at 1:00 pm CT, and
@CMEGroup
FedWatch derived from Fed Fund futures is signaling a 50bps cut with a 63% probability.
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Back at the NYSE for
@HalftimeReport
. A lot to cover with big tech and AI moving today, jobs tomorrow, Fed next week. Don’t miss it!
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