Ben Raue
@benraue
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Labor, Greens and independents have won 20 seats off the Coalition and not a single one of them was outside the five big cities. This election was decided in urban Australia. There’s a chance Labor will hold every seat in Adelaide. Remarkable.
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I've been coding the gender of councillors elected in 2012, 2016, 2017 and it's amazing how many you google and instead of getting a council profile you get a profile for their real estate agency.
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I am gobsmacked about the cruelty of closing playgrounds in Melbourne.
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And what proportion of *people* in NSW are foreign born?
(it's 35%)
This is unbelievable!
Nearly 25% of all social housing in NSW is lived in by foreign-born residents.
Meanwhile, Aussie families are being left in limbo.
Listen to more of the crazy figures HERE.
🎧🎧
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I’m sorry but I am not going back to 2 hours commuting every day when it doesn’t make me more productive and it means I see my kid less just so that CBD businesses do better.
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So the commissioner just said “if you’re going out for a coffee you’re going to get a fine”. So why are cafes allowed to do takeaway??
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Why does New South Wales, the largest state, not simply eat the other five?
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I remember the first time I visited Melbourne everyone down there was comparing Melbourne and Sydney and I had honestly never heard people talk about that in Sydney.
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They’ve filled up the toilet paper and tissues section at the local Coles with easter eggs.
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The NSW government issues a sensible order prohibiting the dead from rising and attending the cricket and you all complain. They can’t win.
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I’m not gonna tell you Jodi McKay has been a great leader but you couldn’t pick a seat less representative of the marginal seats that will decide the next election than Upper Hunter.
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A quick reminder that Anthony Albanese’s parliamentary career before becoming PM was longer than any PM other than Holt, and twice as long as Rudd, Gillard, Turnbull and Morrison.
“We have a government with very little experience… a finance minister who was effectively mayor of a regional town,” - Liberal Senator
@hollieahughes
sledging former ACT Chief Minister turned federal frontbencher
@SenKatyG
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Single member electorates are a terrible way to elect a parliament and I won’t stop being angry about it, or about a party getting full control of govt on a third of the vote, even if I’m glad the other guys aren’t in power anymore. Sorry not sorry.
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Congratulations to all the people who’ve been lobbying to force me to wear a mask while bushwalking or walking the dogs. It won’t do anything but I hope you feel good.
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A consent app won’t help prove a single sexual assault but it will make it harder to prove some assaults.
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The Uluru consultation process was pretty clear that Indigenous people consulted did not want a symbolic statement of recognition. It’s not a compromise position.
Oppose the voice if you want but don’t pretend this is some middle ground.
Sadly, it is too late, but I wish Albo had split the Referendum in two. I would vote 1000% for strong, deserved, recognition of Australia’s indigenous history in our Constitution. But it is a total NO to enshrining an indigenous lobby group in the Constitution.
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First of all, no of course the Libs aren't taking Barton seriously. Labor holds it by a 9.4% margin and look set to gain a big swing.
But this is a cheap shot. It's hard to find people willing to stand where the party has no chance so it often is left to young people. Lay off
This is the liberal candidate in the seat that Linda Burney currently holds .do you think the liberals are taking this seriously?
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So if two women are having a baby and both identify as a “mother”, and a hospital needs to know the name of the person giving birth (I can think of many reasons why), they can’t use precise language?
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The seats of the following Liberal PMs are now held by ALP or independent:
-Turnbull
-Abbott
-Howard
-McMahon
-Gorton
-Holt
-Menzies
The only ones they hold now were the seats of Fraser and Morrison.
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A lot of the outcry about the Sydney lockdown now really seems to be motivated by this sick wowserism. Why are liquor stores open? Why is Bunnings open? Why are you allowed to walk around without a mask on outside?
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This isn’t a short sharp lockdown. There’s no end in sight. So imposing restrictions that, for plenty of people, are basically impossible to follow, is a recipe for people giving up and just ignoring them.
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So the Daylight Saving Party won a seat in parliament representing the Mining and Pastoral region, a region famously opposed to daylight saving, from 98 primary votes (0.2%). Will Labor use their immense political capital to fix this broken system?
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Just realised Albanese is the PM with the longest pre-PM parlt career in a long time. 26 years.
-Morrison - 11
-Turnbull - 11
-Abbott - 19
-Gillard - 12
-Rudd - 9
-Howard - 24
-Keating - 22
-Hawke - 3
-Fraser - 20
-Whitlam - 20
-McMahon - 22
-Gorton - 18
-Holt - 21
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Stephen Miles can keep saying that the Greens won South Brisbane on LNP preferences but she got a 5% primary vote swing, and managed 46.4% of the 2CP in 2017 without LNP preferences. This isn't just about LNP preferences.
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Basil Zempilas got to be "lord mayor" of his "city" off the back of one thousand eight hundred and fifty five votes.
29.4% of the vote. It's first past the post, so no preferences.
WA local government elections are a joke
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A party polling 38% insists it will only govern alone. Just remarkable.
@Leo_Puglisi6
Thanks Leo.
No minority government - I don't know how much clearer any of us can be.
Every seat the Greens take off Labor means Labor is one seat further from gaining 76 seats.
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All through this pandemic Sydney has done the heavy-lifting of bringing in freight, returning Australians, yes even vaccines for the rest of the country. And we've been paid back for that with hate and venom.
This is going to get ugly - NSW pleading for extra Pfizer, when other states blame them for not locking down earlier and are just closing themselves off from all of NSW to mitigate risk.
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@Adam_Creighton
“I've always shown mine so thought it was normal.”
Excellent journalism there Adam
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I can’t believe Mark Latham won a seat in the chamber that has counted Fred Nile as a member for the last 38 years.
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I’m not an expert on whether the CPRS was good policy but I know a bit about politics and the theory that the Greens voting against the CPRS led to “a decade of climate action” is just fantasy based on a specific alternative history.
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If anything we have more of an obligation to bring people home from India now. If the higher positivity rate reduces the quarantine capacity let’s cut numbers from countries where the disease is more under control.
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The funny thing about parliamentary politics is when you only hold the balance of power in the Senate you sometimes need to negotiate and won't achieve your policies in the exact order you would prefer.
“Truth, Treaty, Voice - in this order”. This is the official policy of the Australian Greens adopted in 2020 on recommendation of the party’s Blak Greens 1/23
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Does Lyle Shelton have any connection to NSW at all? He was a Toowoomba councillor, ran for the Nats in Toowoomba North, ran for QLD in the Senate for the Australian Conservatives. Nile really has that party under his thumb.
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So there's a breakaway ex-Greens councillor who had formed a ticket to run for Shoalhaven and I had all their candidates listed on my website and wondered why they only ran for mayor - turns out they stuffed up their noms and she's unvaxxed so couldn't enter the office to fix it
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The people snarking about train drivers earning too much are not the people who have a problem with high pay for, say, bankers or CEOs. They just don't think workers performing a public service should be paid decently.
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Yes hello I have a question. In the book “Where Is The Green Sheep” there are two sheep who appear to be in space. The Moon Sheep is wearing appropriate helmet protections presumably to assist with breathing. The Star Sheep, however, is not. What’s the go?
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The Victorian government will defeat Covid, even if they have to fine every single person in the state.
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Someone I know got married yesterday after consulting me about potential wedding dates that were least likely to clash with a federal election. Anyway that’s a service I provide now, apparently.
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David Leyonhjelm probably shouldn't have claimed victory for that LC seat. He is currently in 22nd place for 21 seats.
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Let’s just say you built a bunch of new housing and the inner west and it had no impact on house prices. It would still be good. That’s more people able to live close to amenities, needing a car less than in less dense parts of Sydney, and with less commuting time.
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So it turns out, after asking for the name of the 'birthing parent', that Medicare form then asks the person to identify their relationship to the child with the first option 'birth mother' - so much for erasure!
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I’ve tried to stay out of this argument but this is so ridiculous. Some people seem to have just adopted as fact a fantastical alternative history theory that everything in Australian politics would’ve turned out differently if only the CPRS was passed.
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PVO must be really good friends with Porter to have completely wrecked his reputation like this.
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Now that I know that the Ramsay Centre will be collecting a bunch of high-ATAR conservative young people, sequestering them in Wollongong and giving them a subpar education, maybe it’s not such a bad idea.
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I don’t feel strongly about 4 year terms in themselves but my attitude to a change would be strongly influenced by what you do with Senate terms.
End the Senate overlap and elect the whole Senate every 4 years - big fan
8-year Senate terms - strongly opposed
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Not sure when I'll share it on the blog but I spent a bit of time hypothetically splitting HOR up into multi-member districts (target 5 member) and then calculating results of 2022 election and it came out like this.
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Explain how.
Did you know that all of Victoria’s number plates are made at the Hopkins Correctional Centre in Ararat? This is a crucial part of rehabilitating prisoners and transitioning them back into society.
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Things I learnt while testifying before a NSW parliamentary committee today:
- Some MLCs don't like it when you suggest that eight years is too long for a parliamentary term.
- Some lower house MPs don't like it when you suggest that having a single local member isn't great.
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Big fan of private companies buying sports rights and then giving them back to a public broadcaster for free. Let's do it more often.
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Wow that’s a fast milk truck!
MILPERRA | A milk truck has broken the sound barrier on the M5 motorway. The truck has crashed near Henry Lawson Drive and debris has spread over a large area, damaging the roadside sound barrier. Milk was leaking but has been contained. The driver is uninjured.
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I have a collection of Bunnings plaques. Most stores have one. Every single plaque has the name of a male sports person. I don't know why but I find it fascinating. If you have one send it to me!
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Van Badham should never be forgiven for her role as lead chearleader for those who wanted to deny voters the ability to easily mark their own preferences in elections.
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The House of Lords isn't elected, the Senate is. That policy makes sense in the former, not in the latter. If you wanna pass your manifesto without interference you should simply win a majority of seats in the Senate.
Senate President Scott Ryan says Australia could adopt the UK Salisbury Convention where Parliament won't block a policy that is explicitly part of a party’s election manifesto
#auspol
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The idea of HECS was that people earning a high income after a uni degree should pay back some of the cost. Now we’re charging $100k debts and asking people earning $47k (not much of a salary premium) to pay it back 1% per year (ie forever).
All my finance mates on $200k at 24 years old are stoked to hear that the Greens will make lower-income tax payers help them pay off their HECS debts
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Food $200
Data $150
Rent $800
Commuting everywhere by helicopter $10,000
Utility $150
someone who is good at the economy please help me budget this. my family is dying
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If you currently reside in the Greater Sydney region, go ahead and argue for a hard lockdown over Christmas. If you don’t, shut the hell up. Have your border closures but leave us alone.
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Can someone point me to the national policy platform of “the independents”?
Hey
@abcnews
how about pointing out to viewers that you have failed to include independents in your
#votecompass
before pushing more people to participate? With record amounts of voters anticipated to NOT vote for old parties, your compass is flawed.
#auspol
#independents
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The supermarkets moved to technology that reduced costs but increased the risk of theft. If it was such a bad deal they'd go back to employing checkout staff. Otherwise I am very sceptical that this is a big problem for them.
OPINION: Coles’ shock jump in second-half costs was in large part down to the wave of retail crime that started offshore and has now reached Australia.
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Just because the Victorian lockdown (which involved much higher case numbers) featured a bunch of unnecessarily cruel restrictions doesn’t mean we need those in Sydney.
Shops open - can drive Penrith to Bondi - adamantly NOT Melb
Does "please" guarantee compliance?
Real world experiment. 🤞
Last 6 days Sydney - infected peeps out & about.
Mon 13/18
Tues 12/19
Wed 11/22
Thurs 15/24
Fri 15/31
Sat 12/35
(
@juliette_io
)
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This person blocked me because I pointed out to someone else that comparing the Labor vote to the Liberal primary vote excluding CLP, LNP, NAT wasn’t a fair comparison. Some people…
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Whose idea was it to interrupt hold music every 15 seconds with the same repetitive message, making me think that someone might be finally picking up the call.
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I absolutely call my Mac a laptop, what are you talking about?
People who own a MacBook don’t call it a laptop and people who own a Tesla don’t call it a car.
What are some other examples where the brand/brand name overtook the colloquial name?
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Did the SMH seriously publish an op-ed from their pollster suggesting that the answer to the notoriously unrepresentative result is to revert to first past the post? Bonkers
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It would be completely insane to not be doing this.
The crossbench is operating on a united front by formulating strategy in joint meetings, co-ordinating campaigns on issues and discussing amendments to legislation, leaked communiques between independent MPs reveals. Read on:
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CPRS: ALP + Greens + Xenophon was one seat short of a Senate majority in 2008-11 Senate. That extra seat was Steve Fielding's, which would have gone to the Greens if Labor had preferenced Greens over FF at the 2004 election. The Rudd Senate would've been very different.
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God no. Enough with tech people trying to redesign our voting system.
Why Australia Should Ditch Paper Ballots And Switch To Online Voting
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The journo on ABC breakfast reporting on the impending heatwave is doing a live cross from a beach (I think Bondi?) when she should really be in Penrith.
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So 6/11 Greens federal MPs supported Di Natale for the leadership. Four of those six (Milne, Simms, Ludlam, Waters) are now gone.
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When people express disbelief that a teenager like
@Leo_Puglisi6
can be so capable and intelligent (and thus an adult is secretly doing work credited to him) they're really just revealing how mediocre they must've been as a teenager (and probably still are).
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If you’re on the board of a body being boycotted, you’re not choosing to “protest in a different way”, you are the one being protested against.
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Randoms from outside Sydney telling us how soft our lockdown is, will get blocked.
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This is completely false. It doesn't include any votes for Liberal candidates running for the CLP/LNP in NT/QLD, or any of the votes for the Nationals. It's actually about 5.3 million votes for the Coalition.
AEC results First preference votes for Labor 4,524,457
Liberal 3,548,653. Hardly a wipeout for labor. The rest got by lies and deception.
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Firstly, the idea that Kooyong is suddenly far more competitive for the Liberals is nuts. It is difficult to calculate a "notional" 2CP for Monique Ryan in an area where no equivalent independent ran, but I estimate that Labor polled 47.8% of the 2PP in the transferred area.
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Labor people would be wise to have some humility and understand how much the voting system has benefited them before getting it into their heads about their “mandate”.
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Alright here’s my take on the ecological fallacy applied to seats with large Indigenous populations. Don’t do it!
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The current federal government polled 32.6% of the primary vote in 2022, the lowest primary vote for a party winning government since the start of the modern party system.
Chalmers says there’s a “coalition of weirdos in the Senate” holding up the housing bill… cracks up Gallagher who is otherwise keeping her serious budget face next to him
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@cathywilcox1
They don’t have a Voice. Māori voters have the option to enrol on a separate electoral roll which elects a number of dedicated Māori members separately from local electorates. They are full members of parliament. Totally different structure. Also seems to work well.
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I feel like the discourse around Norman Swan has gotten unhinged. I think his current push for lockdown is wrong but it’s also not that uncommon a view (cf the Vic govt). And while he’s been wrong sometimes, so have others and I think he’s had a useful contribution.
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It'd be funny if the whole Israel Folau thing ended in schools losing their anti-discrimination exemption.
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I know some houses which are ready for renovation. They’re called “social housing”
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Putting up portraits of the monarch, naming hospitals after his mother, putting his face on currency. All of these are choices. Governments don't need a constitutional change to just stop doing this.
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