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@astrohxncho
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a man of election maps. armchair psephologist. and i make campaign trail mods too. proud national union gang member.
undisclosed city in california
Joined September 2020
πAmerica in 2016: To Heaven but with a Political Party. πZOOM INπ
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this is from a real trump 2020 ad. what did he know
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Good evening. Jimmy Carter is now 100 years old. Only 1 of these 5 men who ran against him is still alive.
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π»πͺIn Venezuela, dictator Nicolas Maduro went up for 're-election' to a 3rd term in office. In the face of obvious irregularities and fraud, the opposition has managed to digitize & publish a full 80% of results with a thumping victory for their candidate, Edmundo GonzΓ‘lez.
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when he makes videos about the "incel revolt" it's because there is DEMAND. and so he fulfills it.
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in this collage:. Senator "Over 9,000" roll call votes.Senate Majority Whip.The Last Amigo.The 44th President.Embajador de EE.UU a Mexico.Who?.The First Casualty.The 48th Vice President.Gone After 2010.Yankee Ted Cruz.
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gee thank you new york times now i'll know who's winning this election
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I'd like to let everyone know that when Karl Rove tasked himself with making his final prediction for 2008 he managed to predict the exact 2012 map, 4 years early
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i have been granted the results of exactly *one* future primary. here it is
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Good morning. Today is November 2, 2024. This is the final Sabato's Crystal Ball prediction, exactly 20 years ago:
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ok now i know that replying to Live 1924 events like a Daily Mail commenter is a good bit because people out there will actually take it seriously.
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πFmr Navajo President Jonathan Nez ran in AZ's 2nd against HFC member Eli Crane, with hopes of boosting Native turnout & helping Dem chances in the state. That turnout did come, but many Native voters split their ticket between Nez *and* Trump to the tune of 6% districtwide
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π«California held its 2024 mock election this month. The results show an incredible overperformance for Trump, garnering 35% of elementary, middle, and high school voters. In 2016 he got 20%, and in 2020 18%. #ElectionTwitter
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wikipedia is longer serious. they have officially fallen to the cult of the infobox
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i looked at the actual speaker list and found these names as well. Bill Clinton.Christopher Dodd.Cory Booker.Paul Ryan.Eric Garcetti.Darrell Issa.Hakeem Jeffries.the governor of Hawaii.Grover from Sesame Street.Gianni Infantino.Steve Jobs' son.Tom Vilsack.Steve Mnuchin.
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@McKay4Senate in Peronist America she would have an incredible set of debates with Thomas Massie.
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There's a current debate on whether to have a Wikipedia article for the 2028 election at this time. A key point of discussion is whether there will be an election at all
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@number_pizza111 the Mediterranean has actual heat waves but they don't have AC. meanwhile britain freaks out when it's not even 80 degrees.
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the last one
When was the last time there was a Presidential election with such an overwhelming favorite with almost 4 months until the vote?.
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should I post about his keys for senate runs? because that exists.
I can't get over the fact Allan Lichtman ran for senate in Maryland in 2006 lmao
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@WealthyAutocrat the thing is the ca flag probably follows the actually important rule of flag design: being able to remember it from memory. because it's super distinctive. it's a fucking brand. redesigning it would be like pulling a 2010 gap it'd be a disaster.
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wrong. *i* come from the future
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πAs far as the numbers go, they match up rather well with an exit poll from US firm Edison Research, which found Edmundo winning by 65% to 31%. The results are assembled from polling station receipts collected by poll watchers, many of which have been independently verified.
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πin 1974, as ronald reagan retired from the governorship, California elected a successor with a familiar name. jerry brown, son of fmr. gov. pat, won a close victory amid the fallout of watergate. here's the map by the state's 43 CDs at the time #ElectionTwitter
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πΌBy contrast, the official CNE, essentially controlled by Maduro, released "preliminary results" which are farcically fake, without any detail, and mathematically improbable. I would link to their website, but it has been down since election night.
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the poll they cite has trump losing 1% in a full field while jill stein gets 1% and chase oliver gets 0%. the MoE is Β±2.1%. yes that's right, they wrote an entire article based on random noise.
A recent poll shows Jill Stein's appearance on the ballot might be hurting Republicans more than Democrats, a reversal from 2016.
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Here it is mapped
Who would you have voted for in the 1932 Maryland Presidential Runoff?.
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The world's slowest county map is complete
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π¦π·here's a map of results from the greater buenos aires area in today's second round election in argentina. aquΓ tengo un mapa de los resultados de gran buenos aires en el ballotaje de hoy en argentina. #ElectionTwitter #EleccionesArgentina2023
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πΊοΈhere's George Gallup's final prediction for how the 1936 election would turn out, informed by genuinely scientific polling. while it didn't quite predict the extent of FDR's landslide, it still put his polling methods firmly on the map. #ElectionTwitter
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with labor day coming up here's my prediction map
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@LinkofSunshine it came out of a long piece that got published in the Rolling Stone making the case that the 2004 election was stolen. June 1 2006.(actual infographic was by Kevin Hand)
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πΊοΈin 1892, the Democracy won comfortably, with Grover Cleveland elected to a 2nd term along w/ a House majority. as a deep economic depression set in, and order broke down, this majority went into flames as they suffered the greatest midterm loss in US history. #ElectionTwitter
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@souljagoytellem one thing about this little thing written by someone who clearly watches too many movies. of course he would've bought insurance which covered terrorism. the towers had been bombed in 93, it was a risk that logically would've been considered.
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@maxtmcc TL where lyndon johnson loses the race, and (party switched) coke stevenson is picked up by nixon as a running mate to broaden his appeal. and then he gets shot and coke stevenson becomes a republican president.
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they predicted pete buttigieg.
'Sure! I'm for the New Deal - I.M.A. SIMP' β American pin from the 1940 presidential election attacking President Roosevelt and the New Deal.
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June 25, 2007.CNN "Political Ticker" blog."Poll: Bloomberg could have Perot-likeΒ effect"
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Willard M. Romney, United States Congressional delegate from the Utah Territory (Democrat). ca. 1875, daguerreotype
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βοΈmay be the first time i've posted a dave's redistricting map here. this is what NH's 400-member house of representatives would look like if it used single-member districts. every district represents roughly 3,444 people. map shows 2020 pres. results. #ElectionTwitter
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πΊοΈthe kennedy brand was strong with hispanic voters for decades. when ted kennedy challenged president carter in 1980, he lost by large margins in the texas primary. except in the rio grande valley, where over a dozen counties gave him a majority of the vote. #ElectionTwitter
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@maps_black aca tengo mapa del conflicto, el tipo se encerrΓ³ dentro del cede del partido .
current state of the civil war of Les RΓ©publicains (per OSINT, 13 June 2024)
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here's what the 1992 election would look like if dukakis won. oh. oh dear.
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πCalifornia in 2016: To Heaven but with a Political Party
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Jihadists talking different after ChatGPT came about.
HTSβs Political Affairs Department has put out a series of new statements: . βThe liberation of Syria is a victory for all its sons who sacrificed for the unity of the land and the people. On this occasion, we affirm our commitment to strengthening societal unity and establishing.
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AP file photo.Dec 20, 2001. Inside "Charlie's Barber Shop".Carthage, Tennessee.Al Gore's home town
incredible that Al Gore's home county is like, Ground Zero for realignment. it gave him over 60% of the vote, but even when Bredesen ran for Senate, he only got 32% there.
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πAlthough the servers are oversaturated, and they don't have information from all municipalities, the independent results can be found here. Unlike with Maduro's CNE, the page is not down.
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ποΈOn March 12, 1968, New Hampshire held its Democratic primary. After a months-long political avalanche following the shock of the Tet offensive, & at the urging of a legion of college students, nearly 42% of voters chose Senator Eugene McCarthy over their incumbent President.
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face it: this is going to happen and you will like it
Confirmed: the anti-Israel astroturfing of JVP/INN. Paid or not, protesters should be demanding Hamas to release the hostages and surrender.
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TIL these graphics came from a Rolling stone article written by. ROBERT KENNEDY JR ππππ.
Bush and his goons will never let Kerry win. This election is nothing but a farce. Vote Nader.
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quite funny to go into the comments and see all of his fans go "b-b-b-b-but. "
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he spam visited indiana in campaign trail.
Looking at the trend map from 2004 to 2008, it remains a massive mystery why Indiana was not the ~R +8 it was supposed to be and how Obama won it. Single most impressive Presidential result in the 21st century.
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πcompiled state-level swing from the 2000 to 2020 pres. elections. πΊπΈNPV swing: D+3.93%. π΅3 biggest dem swings: VT (25.47%), CO (21.86%), AK (20.89%).π΄3 biggest gop swings: WV (32.61%), AR (22.18%), TN (19.35%).βͺοΈ3 most solid states: WI (D+0.41%), MS (D+0.37%), NJ (D+0.11%)
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πΊοΈin 1994, lieberman coasted to re-election as a democrat, while also being endorsed by βa connecticut party,β the political vehicle of then-gov. lowell weicker, who lieberman had unseated from the senate six years prior. here's the map with the ticket un-fused. #ElectionTwitter
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@Vanderheinz @maps_black es porque tomar 51,2% del total no da un numero exacto, pero se puede redondear en excel muy fΓ‘cilmente y es seguramente lo que hicieron. cuando haces los calculos esta a 0,000003% de ser exacto.
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@McKay4Senate realoppenheimer: Don't forget your daily click for the Spanish Republican Army, friends.
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he was just trying to outdo the original
The Ron DeSantis campaign should be studied for decades to come as a case study on how not to run a campaign.
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π¨βπΎbob dole resigned from the senate in june 1996 to focus on his presidential run; his appointed replacement was lt gov. sheila frahm, a pro choice moderate. she lost by 13 points in the special primary to rep. sam brownback, an evangelical conservative. #ElectionTwitter
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The two actual contenders on economic stimulus: If we touch this, then this, then adjust this, we can provide the perfect amounts of stimulus to. Mike Gravel: Hey pal, remember George McGovern?
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