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wnba, nfl, best ball thoughts. ok at prop betting, tail @ own risk. not financial advice etc. don’t be a dick 🤝roughly 1000 props in on here + counting :D
Law of Large Numbers
Joined May 2022
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RECAP 8/10 🍏🌟
Fowles o6.5 1H Pts✅
Shep o5.5 Pts ✅/ 6.5 reb✅
Turner u4 Pts ✅
Peddy o12 Pts ✅
Lean
Mabrey o3.5 reb ✅
Shep o7 1H PRA✅
Plays go 5-0
Leans go 2-0
Total 7-0 day! Show love💚🍏🤝
#dfs
#WNBA
#prizepicks
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WNBA 7/11🍏🎯
Mini-sweep.
Plum o9.5 1H Pts✅
Sykes o14.5 Pts✅
Sophie u10.0 Pts✅
3-0 today🔥🍏
Also cashed a +300/+980 on Sykes 20+ and 25+ pts✅✅
DONT LET ME GET HOT.
5 games tmrw.
See. You. There.
🍏🍏🍏🍏🍏
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40 likes/RT for slate
prefacing tonight by saying it’s only a 2 game slate, MUCH more chance for variance. i played heavier last 2 days so I can go lighter today. BOL🍀
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Already talked abt in space but loving -
Aja o9.5 reb
Stewy o9.5 reb
Loyd o17.5 Pts
Gray o5.5 ast 🌟
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WEURO 1/25
Back to back WEURO sweeps
🍏🧹🍏🧹🍏🧹🍏
McBride u20.5 p✅
Iagupova o21.5 PRA✅
Gus o20.5 p✅
Vuko o10.5 p✅
Magarity o21.5 PRA✅
Ezi u24.5 PRA✅
Baaaaang. Show some love if you tailed :D
7
1
36
About to dive into tmrw WNBA board
⭐️50 likes = plays⭐️
3-1-1 last slate
4-0 slate before that
13-3-1 L5 slates, including 4 of 5 cards resulting in profit✅🍏
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35
POD.
PHX is horrible on Defense (dead last in DRTG)
Has had 17 and 35 pts vs PHX (8-20, 21adj FGA) and (12-21, 24adj FGA)
9/14 games w 20+ FGA, 11/14 games w 20+ adj FGA
Has had consistent alpha USG even as the rest of a talented roster (Satou+Natasha+Tea) fight for her scraps
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shoutout
@ConsCasino
for the early etute tip but… pretty sure these got flipped. Etute should have the 11.5 ish line as she’s under 18.5 5/5 this szn and 1/1 vs opp, winton should be 18.5: she is avg 18.6, is over 11.5 5/5 this szn and 1/1 vs OPP.
GL finding a pair: both r good
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Prizepicks Slate 8/18🍏
Thornton u5.5 reb
Gabby u8 pts
EDD u7 reb /o19.5 pts
Bird o8.5 Pts
**slate is not in order today**
Lean
Gray u4.5 reb
AT o14.5 Pts
Cwill u10.5 Pts
BOL if tailing. Let’s make some $$
#WNBA
🌟😁
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30
Recap 8/12
On fire🔥
Gray o4 reb🅿️
Peddy o3.5 ast✅/o6.5 1H Pts✅
Burton o4.5 Pts✅
Diamond o13.5 Pts✅
Delle donne o6.5 reb✅
Lean
Jefferson o9.5 Pts❌
Peddy o11.5 1H PRA✅
Gabby u6.5 Pts✅
Stewy o22.5 Pts❌/o7.5 reb✅
Plays go 5-0-1
Leans 3-2
Great day! Show love🤝🍏
#wnba
7
2
32
Imo shep can’t get anywhere near this tmrw. Under 2/2 vs CONN , even in the game she started when Sylvia was out.
Conn give up least reb + are good in the paint . They will give Shep trouble
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(Prizepicks) Slate 8/20🍏🌟
Aja o9.5 reb
Dolson o8.5 Pts
Meesse u3.5 ast
CP o4 ast
Turner o7 reb
Leans
Sloot u7/7.5 ast
Meesse o9.5 1H PRA
Azura o7.5 1H PRA
Expect Aja and CP to move overnight. Also expect sloot to move to 7.5 on most sites, where I still like the under. BOL
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China/France SWEEP
Xu PRA✅(fs also cashed)
Gabby PRA✅(fs also cashed)
Chartereau o8.5 Pts✅
Badiane u5.5 reb✅
I’m going to bed, full recap in AM after Allemand plays. Currently 2-1-1 and leans 3-0. catch y’all tmrw🍏🌟
#fiba
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Had an active shooter in the casino we were in last night. Never seen anything like it. 4 shots fired, just one injured but still unreal tbh. Grateful my gf and I are ok and so thankful no one died . Hope y’all are having a good and safe 4th 💚🍏
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Only miss L5 is a hook, and now Taurasi and SDS are out. She’s gonna be letting that mf FLY
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WEURO.
Rhyne is gonna have insane volume no matter whether she’s in WNBA or WEURO.
Ndour went under 9/10 last WEURO
Ezi avg 0.68 PRA/min in WNBA & I expect it to hover closer to 0.8 in EURO. Even w/ her WNBA rate any min range of 22+ is promising🤝😁🍏
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WEURO 2/22
6 picks. 6 gms.
Araujo o7.5 p
Zandalasini o12.5 p
Stamolamprou o12.5 p
Casas o7.5 p
Goree o18.5 PRA
Yvonne u19.5 p
Lean
Hebard o22.5 PRA
Garbin o9.5 p
When PP puts up board I’ll put out some recommendations, these are all UD :)
66% WEURO hit rate, let’s stay hot🍏
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Slate 8/11 (+ hit rates)🍏🌟
Copper o5 reb 66%
Hiedeman o4.5 1H Pts 62%
Jackie o3 ast 78%
Sykes u5 reb 73%
Aja o16.5 1H PRA 50%
Meesseman o5.5 1H Pts 68%
Stokes o1.5 1H Pts 41%
Lean
Sloot u4.5 reb
Meesse u4.5 ast
Gray o5.5 ast
Copper o2.5 ast
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if you take plays off my page I would always appreciate a tag. I do a ton of research and it takes 2 seconds to hit the @ sign.
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Think this is also a great look. It’s playoff bball now. Heavier starter based rotations and it’s 2 layups vs what I would call the worst remaining paint team
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WNBA 8/6🍏
Rhyne o16.0p✅(3Q cash)
Cloud u15.5p✅
Arike u22.5p✅
Mabrey o13.5p✅(2Q cash)
BAAAANG.
4-0 day🔥
All posted here, with writeups, for 🆓.
👍/🔁 appreciated if I helped!
See you Tuesday for a 5 GAME SLATE
💚🤝🍏
WNBA 8/6🍏
UD only app w lines so far but pp should be right behind w same lines.
Rhyne o16.0p
Cloud u15.5p
Arike u22.5p
Mabrey o13.5p
May add more, may not. BOL if tailing 🍀
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5
1
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21
8/21🌟
Thornton u5 reb / u14.5 PRA
EDD o2.5 ast
Hiedeman o1.5 3PM
AT o14.5 Pts
Loyd u17.5 Pts
Bird o8.5 Pts
BOL
#WNBA
🍏
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1H SLIP 🍏🍏🍏
Austin 20/27
Wilson 15/26
Hamby 18/26
Gray 15/25
Vivians 18/27
Love this slip. Show some love, like/rt if tailing!✅
#dfs
#wnba
#prizepicks
#playerprops
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Reminder🍏
I say this often but I am here as a resource! Feel free to dm me anything , from how your day is going to gambling questions
Here are some topics I’ve covered w/ ppl in the last 24 hrs:
-Why 2 picks > 5 picks
-Implied odds
-The sites I get my data / odds from
Etc. 💚😁
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bruh. if anyone trashes my plays whether on here or discord, I will simply not post them.
I have a 60%+ hit rate I’m gonna be fine with or without y’all 😭
i refuse to build a toxic community. that shit is lame asf
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I’m gonna keep saying Fowles o6.5 1H pts till it gets moved. 15/18 games this szn (83%) , 1/1 vs PHO this szn . 3 of L5 and 8 of L10
Fav pair rn is Loyd u8.5 1H pts. Gone u 15/23 (65%) , under in 3 of L5 / 7 of L10 and 3/5 since Charles’ arrival. 🍏
#dfs
#wnba
#prizepicks
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2
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20
fiba.
at o34.5 fs
aja o34.5 fs
nurse o9.5 Pts
talbot o5 ast
xu o26.5 fs
lean
carleton u5.5 reb
BOL
#fiba
2
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19
1
0
19
WNBA 7/12🍏
AT o14.5p
Nneka u21.5p
Coffey o7.5p
Arike o21.5p
I will probably add a couple rivals props tmrw for my UD ppl, but I will pin those to profile when they’re out.
This is all for now!! BOL if tailing🍀
3
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18
Hamby in 3 gms vs PHO
13 pts / 4 reb
13 pts / 7 reb
24 pts / 7 reb
Lot of P+R that will be redistributed , mainly by Aja & Stokes. Keep an eye out
2
0
18
SLATE (& hit rates)
Peddy u11.5 Pts (61%)
Aja u10.5 1H Pts (60%)
Hiedeman o4.5 1H Pts🌟(60%)
Sophie u3 3’s (
@Kranis_DFS
)🌟(82%)
Parker u13.5 Pts (58%)
Quigley u12.5 Pts (61%)
Mccowan o7 1H Pts🌟(42%)
Meesseman o5.5 1H Pts🌟(67%)
#dfs
#wnba
BOL 🌟🍏🤝
3
1
18
WNBA 6/4
wheeler o6.5p
copper o15.5p
hiede o10.5p
Stewy o23.5p (UD) 24.5 also fine on PP
Gray o12.5p
May add one more prop from rivals board but we’ll see.
BOL if tailing 🍀🍻
2
2
16
78% hit or push, hit 2/2 vs CHI (6 ast both games) gets a USG bump w/o hamby
1
0
18
WNBA 8/9
loyd o24.5p
Chey o15.5p
Bonner o18.5p
Diamond u12.5p
May add 1-2 more but I’ll have it pinned to profile if I do.
BOL if tailing🍀
5
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16
favs list rn (waiting on BEL/AUS injury report before I finish looking at that gm) 🍏
K Alexander o20.5 PRA (fs also fine)
Y. Anderson u5 reb
Guirantes o17.5 Pts
Allemand o23.5 FS
Xu o17.5 PRA
Gabby o20.5 PRA
Chartereau o8.5 Pts
Badiane u5.5 reb
Now it is bedtime
2
2
17
Better in green🍏
Maybe I’ll have to start posting these 😭
4
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16
Slip for both apps
short writeups
Marine o4/6 w a hook. Also the only bad miss she played a season low 20 min(prob an outlier). 1.5 spread tmrw, should be in line for high min.
Kayla: o3/6, gets league fastest pace FENER tn. Lots of shots should be going up.
Mavunga⬇️
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16
Slate 9/6
Cwill o3.5 reb
Aja u11 reb (UD)
Bonner o5 reb
Loyd o2.5 ast
AT u10 reb (UD)
BOL, if you don’t like a pick don’t tail it :) do your own research, don’t just blind tail🍏🤝see you around 11 for the recap
2
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17
ik I’m late to the party but UD has flex picks now? And a 4/5 is 2.5x??? I might be switching
1
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17
I’ll post my current 2 favorite 2-picks for tmrw slate that I’ll also be mixing and matching for …
5 RT / 20 likes
#dfs
#wnba
Had a 7-1 day today (recap in bio) , hoping for another good day tmrw🍏
#prizepicks
2
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16
FIBA🍏(in order by game not confidence)🌟
Nurse o9.5 pts
AT o7.5 reb
Meng Li o19.5 PRA
Talbot u8.5 pts
Xu o7 reb
Lean
Alexander o9.5 reb
Achonwa u7 reb
Carleton u5.5 reb/ u23.5 PRA
Talbot u19.5 PRA
BOL let’s make some $$$✅
#dfs
#prizepicks
#underdog
#FIBA
4
1
16
No overthinking…
WEURO 2/1
Laksa o17.5 p
Brooks o17.5 p
Gus o31.5 PR
Resimont o7.5 p
Bertsch o22.5 PRA
Ayuso o15.5 PRA
Some of em will move so get em in when you can. Most writeups already posted
2
1
15
If this doesn’t go 2/3 or better idk what to tell you😅
Kayla already bumped on UD so don’t be surprised if she moves
2
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16
List rn, I’ll add as I find more I like. Slate will mostly come from a narrowed list of these unless there’s crazy value tmrw
Siakam u6.5 ast
Tatum o4 ast
DMitch o5.5 ast
CP3 o9.5 ast
Booker o4.5 ast
Anfernee o28.5 PA
Trae u9.5 ast
KPJ u7 ast
Hayward o4.5 ast
0
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15
CFB odds : 1st set DK 2nd set bet365
SS:-225 o1.5 // -192 o1.5
DR:-300 o0.5 // -250 o0.5
BC:-185 o1.5 // -175 o1.5
TM:-165 o1.5 // -156 o1.5
PT:-192 o1.5 (bet365 only)
:D🍏
0
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14
Here is every single play I’m considering today + hit rates. I know it’s a lot but just some more data for y’all (and myself)
:)
0
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Current comprehensive list—
Slate will come from a narrowed list of these plays
Copper o14.5
Loyd u17.5
Loyd o2.5 ast
CWill o4 reb
Copper o4 reb
Bonner o4.5 reb
Emma o10.5 pts
Tina o Pts
Tina o reb
(UD)
Jonquel u16.5 Pts
CP u17.5 Pts
Tina Pts (+0.5) > Jackie Pts
Cwill o7.5 Pts
0
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14
this is the “roster diff” card
Korea C’s: 6’0, 6’0, and 6’1
Xu is 6’9
2018 WC: 18 25 15 9 10 22 8 PRA
Jonquel: coming off a finals loss and I’m expecting her to play well. Only reason I think she would miss is blowout.
In the quals last yr she had: 47 44 36 33 PRA
BOL
#fiba
🍏
3
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15
it’ll move, 54.5 rec yds line and 5.5 reception line with 53% implied over… he can go over without touching end zone
Doesn’t have awful odds to score either. Plenty to like here :D
2
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15
Recap
K Alexander o20.5 PRA❌
Y. Anderson u5 reb🅿️
Allemand o23.5 FS✅
Xu o17.5 PRA✅
Gabby o20.5 PRA✅
Lean
Chartereau o8.5 Pts✅
Badiane u5.5 reb✅
Guirantes o17.5 Pts✅
Very slight 3-1-1 day.
Leans go 3-0.
on to the next, likes/rt are appreciated if you won $$$ last night🌟
1
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15
Lots of value in both of these imo. CHI is so good on the perimeter… going thru their game logs there is rarely an opp player who has 3+ 3PM. Also both Sophie & Peddy don’t have many games this szn of >3 3PM🍏😁
2
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15
7/22 Slate🍏
McBride u10.5p
Mccowan o10.5p
Kah o17.5p
Loyd u25.5p
Ezi o13.5p
BOL if tailing, I flexed the 5man but m&m or play to your choosing :) 🤝
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