ALISD ⚡
@alisdtrading
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Proper Supply & Demand since ‘16 l Curated a Personalized & Unique S&D Strategy | In a lane of my own | This is a Journal, NFA
Joined July 2011
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S&D + Mkt Structure:
-HTF S&D Zones are the most powerful Areas Of Interest we can utilize to identify REVERSALS
-LTF model COMBINED w/ LTF S&D Zones *WITHIN HTF Zones* give us the LOWEST RISK, HIGHEST PROBABILITY entries.
Focus list:
-LOCATION
-STRUCTURE
-TIMEFRAME
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I am looking for the same set up every single time.
*Proper* Supply & Demand analysis is the KEY here. Originating S/D Zones give us our area of interest ~ they show us WHERE we want to do business. Low Time Frame CONTENT tells us HOW to do business
TRUE S&D thread on the way🧵
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So much chatter about $TSLA lately... I want to play too.
$TSLA has found itself in 2D Supply, w/ no proper 2D Demand until 🔑 $500. AS ALWAYS, just bc price is in a S/D Zone does not mean entry. Proper LTF Rev Structure must present itself to short. See pinned tweet.
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Crazy this game, isn’t it? Mastery of one set up and you can make a career out of this. To everyone in the arena daily, I tip my hat to you. Profitable or still aspiring to be, it takes a different type of individual to show up every day. Don’t give you, you got this.
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Later that day I posted this, my mother passed on... 😪
We truly are defined by our reaction to any given situation. I know she is proud of the way I am handling everything.
To my mom, I miss you dearly and I promise to continue to make you proud 🐬⚡️
We’re defined by our reaction to any given situation… What/who do you want to define you - someone else, or yourself? Whatever you do, give your heart to ⚡️
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I'd like to include one thought here on $TSLA
There has been insufficient reason for buying anywhere in this HTF Demand Zone, per our rules on Mkt Structure
Note the Diagram:
-Allow Price enter HTF Zone
-Price MUST REVERSE LTF Trend
This is how we use ZONES and TREND REVERSALS
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Pros vs Novices.
Price now into (weak) Supply and my long positions are fully managed. I'm still anticipating Higher Supply to be delivered, but my job is all but done now.
Throw me a ♥️ / RT / Follow, and I'll continue to make these posts here on X. Else, back to my lair.
⚡️
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Certainly not something I share often, but I am super proud of this.
MTD + $57,000 and its only the 9th... This may very well be my first 6 figure month.
Major shout outs go to:
@rbc_trading
@Trendspider_J
Both of you have played a big part in this 🙏
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$TSLA
~ Before and After ~
Thanks for playing.
#ALISDSupplyandDemand
So much chatter about $TSLA lately... I want to play too.
$TSLA has found itself in 2D Supply, w/ no proper 2D Demand until 🔑 $500. AS ALWAYS, just bc price is in a S/D Zone does not mean entry. Proper LTF Rev Structure must present itself to short. See pinned tweet.
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It really only takes a few solid trades a month to make a serious living doing this. Don’t overcomplicate it, be patient, and let the easy money come to you…
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stop calling bottoms in a downtrend with supply above
stop calling bottoms in a downtrend with supply above
stop calling bottoms in a downtrend with supply above
stop calling bottoms in a downtrend with supply above
stop calling bottoms in a downtrend with supply above
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I think we’re sitting on a potential 1k points to downside in NQ.
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Friends- this is SUPPORT, not DEMAND. The theories are complete opposite. Support levels USE buy order meaning they FILL THEM. A Demand Zone is a Zone in which there is *potentially an abundance of UNFILLED orders. This is why we see Sup. turn Res. and ZONES *truly support price
$GME On watch tomorrow for a potential reaction off this demand zone 🔎 🎮
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WHAT A DAY! 15.6 miles hiking Fitz Roy @ El Chalten! This place is truly one of a kind, I’ll remember this forever.
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$NQ -1600pt.
Doesn't seem too far out of reach at this point, does it. Price is now back to Fair Value, and is extended. Its reasonable to see a bounce into next week, but it will likely serve to pick up more Supply.
This is the power of TRUE Supply/Demand analysis.
⚡️
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They're using $NVDA to trap the Bull.
I wont fall for it.
I'm ready with Supply Zones on $NVDA that pair w/ my NQ outlook.
⚡️
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Let mkt rally just a bit more, get the masses believing in this rally.... Daily Supply overhead on $NQ
My eyes are there.
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Since joining FinTwit(x?) in '16, its been really cool to see the evolution of the trader - regardless of strategy used.
I'm grateful to have been able to be a part in hundreds of traders' development.
It'll be real interesting to see what the landscape looks like 5yr from now.
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$NIO
There is but one Zone that matters now.
$NIO
For me, its all about the Low Time Frames from here.
This is the Curve in which I am working within.
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guys, we're not just wrapping boxes willy nilly on support levels and calling them Demand.
Support is where price has proven to SUPPORT price. In doing so, it USES BUY ORDERS
Demand is where price STILL CONTAINS A SIGNIFICANT AMT OF BUY ORDERS = HAS *NOT* BEEN TESTED
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Well, here’s the final update on this. Just 5 days later mission is complete. In just 17 trading days (MTD), + $102,163. Nailed the /NQ short yesterday, and the bottom of /YM today. The only reason I’m posting this is for documentation ~ this marks my first 6fig month at 24 y.o.
Update on this
So close I can taste it.
12 days to go. Not going to push anything just to hit a number, but I want this thang. Lets see where we end up.
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$NVDA
Key Supply & Demand Zones. We find ourselves in The Middle. Best trades will come at the Extremes.
Here is where I am interested in doing business.
⚡️
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$NIO
For me, its all about the Low Time Frames from here.
This is the Curve in which I am working within.
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It is always at the end of a move that the crowd is the loudest.
No one wants to Buy in Demand, and
No one wants to Sell in Supply -
because it simply does not "feel good."
I invite you to plant a firm foundation in fact, rather than feeling.
⚡️
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The Market is an Auction.
Buyers and Sellers are COMPETING for the best price, all whilst the Market is attempting to find its Fair Value.
In the end, WHERE there is more competition to Buy than Sell, price will rise - and vice versa.
This is Price movement in totality.
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You tell me then. Where are we?
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$TSLA
M/W
I have my eyes on TSLA as we are ATD of nested Weekly SZ inside Monthly SZ. Gaps up into Supply should be treated as exhaustion gaps, and should not be bought
From here I monitor LTF for change in trend + NEW Supply. If entry given, risk is minimal with lofty targets
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$NQ
Daily
Daily Candle (outside bar) with a stiff rejection ATD of Daily SZ. I'm counting a LD
Interestingly, price bottomed in Daily DZ &rallied to Daily SZ, but failed to print New Demand. If bears hold it means one thing: price will seek equivalent Demand. Key spot here
⚡️
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$NQ_F
I'm looking for a squeeze to trap bears, followed by a sell off from supply to trap bulls buying the "inv HnS breakout."
🚶♂️
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$NIO
Coming into Target 1 (6.05), and this is still the curve.
You Buy Fear, and Sell Greed.
Not the other way around.
⚡️
$NIO
For me, its all about the Low Time Frames from here.
This is the Curve in which I am working within.
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As Price will Trend, one side of the Equation is "in control."
This control does not shift until the Trend does, and subsequently with it we see a "Flip" in the Supply & Demand Equation.
This is what I am on watch for - and there is but one Zone that matters on $NQ.
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$NQ
Its a simple thesis, really ~
Would be a shame if the move from the Aug 5 lows is all just a big trap into Supply.
🐯
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#BTC
🪙
A potential scenario for as Bitcoin enters 1hr Supply. There is no Quality Demand until 27k.
If we can get a low time frame Trend Reversal/Impulse Down + New Supply, I look to take swing shorts.
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In a Market, there are two parties present: Pros and Novices.
We see the same behavioral tendencies from both parties repeated.
Pros always buy after a move down and sell after a move up.
Novices always buy after a move up and sell after a move down.
This will never change.
⚡️
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If i can find short entries around here, 18723 is my first target with 18395 as my secondary.
I am on the hunt in the coming sessions.
Now 18,888
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Rally-Base-Rally & Drop-Base-Drop are the only True, Quality, FRESH Zones.
DBR + RBD are NEVER AUTHENTIC Zones. Stop using them.
Few
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We're in Supply. Let's see if the bear steps in here. I'm calling for trap.
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Instead of looking for common entries, try looking for common Stop Losses.
There is where you will find the best entries.
The lesson that continues to present itself throughout my entire life, is that it pays to be radically opposite popular belief.
🎯
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Core Session Students:
What was your experience of the course? I'm interested in hearing your feedback below! ⚡️
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Trap was set, and the Bears defended the distal of daily Supply.
New Supply in development - they did a great job of tricking the bull
There is but one task left for the bear to get the ultimate victory
I'm ready with Zones and plans to crush Live Streams next week w/ the team
So I guess it was a Bear Trap again - figures.
Bull Trap is now set.
Being long here? Only a Novice.
⚡️
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As a trader, one of the biggest pieces of advice I can give to you is this: build a team and work together - treat it as a business and each other as co-owners in the business. This is the mastermind principle. Growth will come at an exponential rate working together. ⚡️
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I lost 10 followers right after posting $NIO.
Bottom must be in innit
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Youre now at the critical juncture, where Bulls are trying to establish a Low of Day.
New Demand entering the Market & bulls are putting on their best effort. They need to lift from here, as failing '590 will likely bring us to 453.
Bear trap as far as I'm concerned thus far.
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$TSLA
I see no reason to change my overall analysis. The Distal of Weekly Supply still marks the top. Since my first post the trend has been firmly down, no New Demand has printed, and price is seeking Liquidity.
You're being silly if you think $TSLA does not see $91 again.
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