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Frank Zorrilla
@ZorTrades
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CEO at ZOR Capital โข https://t.co/K9V7geg2mN Private X room (SUBS) JOIN HERE https://t.co/z3l2mpaVxU DMs OPEN chat w/me https://t.co/P02WAMNA1M
NEW YORK
Joined January 2009
๐ Big Movers โ Feb 12, 2025 โ
Intel ($INTC +8%) โ VP JD Vance backs U.S.-made AI chips ๐บ๐ธ๐พ โ Kala Bio ($KALA -30%) โ CEO resigns, interim leadership named โ
Gilead ($GILD +7%) โ Big banks raise price targets after strong Q4 ๐ โ Biogen ($BIIB -6%) โ 2025 profit forecast misses expectations ๐ โ
Firefly Neurosciences ($AIFF +66%) โ Accepted into Nvidiaโs AI program ๐ โ Vertiv ($VRT -9%) โ Strong Q4, but weak 2025 outlook disappoints โ
NXP Semi ($NXP +5%) โ Morgan Stanley upgrades to โOverweightโ ๐ โ Atomera ($ATOM -39%) โ Mixed Q4, weak revenue guidance โ
CME Group ($CME +3%) โ Reports record-breaking 2024 earnings ๐ โ Teradata ($TDC -18%) โ Mixed Q4, CFO departure adds uncertainty โ
Barrick Gold ($GOLD +7%) โ Strong cash flow, Q4 beats estimates ๐
โ Spire Global ($SPIR -50%) โ Flags risks to maritime business sale ๐ข โ
Lucid ($LCID +7%) โ Benchmark initiates โBuyโ rating, sees 75% upside ๐๐จ โ BlackBerry ($BB +11%) โ Divests Cylance, Trump rally adds momentum ๐
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๐ Market Recap โ Feb 12, 2025 ๐ Indices: S&P 500: ๐ป-0.3% Dow: ๐ป-0.5% Nasdaq: ๐ Flat ๐ฅ Key Moves: $CVS ๐ +15% (earnings beat) $TSLA ๐ผ +2.4% (bounce back) $SMCI Super Micro ๐ผ +2.8% (bullish guidance) ๐ Inflation: CPI ๐ +3% YoY (above expectations), pushing 10-Yr Treasury yields to 4.62% ๐ ๐ข๏ธ Oil: ๐ป-2.7% (Ukraine peace talks) ๐ฐ Bitcoin: $97.8K ๐ผ | Ethereum: $2.74K ๐ผ
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๐ The Trade Desk tanks 37% on Q4 revenue miss & weak guidance! ๐ฐ Revenue: $741M (+22.3% YoY) vs. $759.5M est โ ๐ Adj EPS: $0.59 (beats $0.57 est) โ
๐ Adj EBITDA: $350M (misses $365.9M est) โ ๐ฎ Q1 Guidance Disappoints: ๐ต Revenue: $575M (vs. $582M est) โ ๐ EBITDA: $145M (vs. $192.7M est) โ Margins mixedโOp 26.4%โ, FCF 23.9%โ
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๐ CVS surges 15% on earnings beat & cautious 2025 outlook! ๐ Revenue: $97.7B (Q4, beats $96.8B est) | Full-year: $372.8B ๐ฐ 2025 EPS guidance: $5.75-$6 (no full-year revenue forecast) CEO David Joyner is taking a "cautious & prudent" approach to regain investor confidence after Medicare headwinds. Wall Street approvesโJPMorgan backs Joynerโs conservative stance. ๐๐ก
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๐ Reddit stock plunges after mixed Q4 results! ๐ป $RDDT -18% AH as DAUs miss estimates (101.7M vs. 103.8M expected) ๐ Revenue: $427.7M (+70% YoY, beats $405.5M est) ๐ธ EPS: $0.36 (misses $0.48 est) CEO blames Google Search volatility, but says traffic has rebounded. ๐ Q1 outlook beats: ๐ฐ Rev: $360M-$370M (vs. $359M est) ๐ Adj EBITDA: $80M-$90M (vs. $72M est) Can AI search & user growth turn things around? ๐ค๐
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๐ Robinhood's Q4 & full-year 2024 were record-breaking! ๐ฐ EPS: $1.01 (vs. $0.44 est) ๐ Q4 Revenue: $1B+ (first time ever!) ๐ฅ Crypto rev: +700%, driving 236% surge in trading fees ๐ Assets under custody: +88% to $193B ๐ต Net interest rev: +25% to $296M ๐ Full-year revenue: $3B+ (all-time high!) Post-Trump rally fueled equity & crypto trading, sending $HOOD +14% AH! ๐
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๐ Confluent $CFLT Soars on Earnings Beat & AI Growth! ๐ Q4 Blowout: โ๏ธ EPS: $0.09 (vs. $0.06 est.) โ๏ธ Rev: $261M (vs. $257M est.) โ๏ธ Subscription Rev: $251M (+24% YoY) ๐ก AI Play Strengthens: โ๏ธ Expanded Databricks Partnership for real-time AI-driven decision-making ๐ค โ๏ธ Used by OpenAI & top enterprises for data streaming ๐ฅ Stock Pops 23%+ to $37.20โ11-month base forming with $34.08 buy point ๐ Mizuho Raises PT to $38, cites Databricks deal & 38% Confluent Cloud growth
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๐ Upstart $UPST Q4 & FY24 Earnings Recap 24% OF THE FLOAT IS SHORT๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ Q4 Highlights: ๐น Revenue: $219M (+56% YoY, +35% QoQ) ๐น Loan originations: $2.1B (+68% YoY) ๐น Adj. EBITDA: $38.8M (vs. $0.6M in Q4 '23) ๐น Adj. EPS: $0.26 (vs. -$0.09 in Q4 '23) ๐ FY24 Highlights: ๐น Revenue: $637M (+24% YoY) ๐น Loan originations: $5.9B (+28% YoY) ๐น Adj. EBITDA: $10.6M (vs. -$17.2M in FY23) CEO Dave Girouard: "We launched into 2025 with unparalleled energy & optimism for AI lending."
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๐ What to Watch Tomorrow ๐ Economic Data: ๐น CPI (8:30am ET) ๐น Powell Testimony (10:00am ET) ๐น EIA Energy Inventories (10:30am ET) ๐น Fed Speeches: Bostic (12:00pm), Waller (5:05pm) ๐น Monthly Budget Statement (2:00pm ET) ๐๏ธ Pre-Market Earnings: $GOLD, $CVS, $BIIB, $AVXL, $KHC, $VRT ๐ง After-Hours Earnings: $HOOD, $RDDT, $QS, $CSCO, $FSLY, $TTD, $PAYC, $UPWK, $APP, $MGM, $ALB
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After-Hours Market Movers: Gainers: โข Upstart Holdings $UPST: Surged 26.08% to $84.90 ๐ after reporting a surprise Q4 profit with EPS of $0.26 vs. an expected loss of $0.04. โข DoorDash $DASH: Climbed 6% ๐ following an optimistic 2025 outlook, anticipating increased Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of Marketplace GOV throughout the year. โข Monarch Casino & Resort $MCRI: Increased 2.3% ๐ after reporting Q4 earnings of $1.36 per share, beating estimates of $1.15. Decliners: โข Lyft $LYFT: Dropped 10% ๐ due to disappointing guidance, projecting Q1 gross bookings between $4.05B and $4.20B, below the $4.23B consensus. โข BlackLine Inc. $BL: Fell 14% ๐ after issuing weaker-than-expected FY2025 guidance, forecasting EPS between $1.97 and $2.10, below the $2.28 consensus.
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On Feb 11, 2025, markets closed mixed: S&P 500: +0.03% to 6,068.50 ๐ Dow Jones: +0.28% to 44,593.65 ๐ Nasdaq: -0.36% to 19,643.86 ๐ Movers: Coca-Cola $KO: +4.7% after strong Q4 earnings. ๐ฅค๐ต DuPont $DD : +6.9% on upbeat 2025 profit forecast. ๐งช๐ Tesla $TSLA: -6.3% amid concerns over Musk's bid to acquire OpenAI. ๐๐ค Policy Updates: Tariffs: President Trump announced a 25% tariff on all foreign steel and aluminum imports, effective March 12. ๐ก๏ธ๐ Fed: Chair Powell signaled no rush to cut interest rates, citing a strong economy. ๐ผ๐ Investors await the upcoming Consumer Price Index report for further economic insights. ๐
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๐จ Fed Chair Powell: "The economy is strong and has made significant progress toward our goals over the past two years." ๐ช๐ He warns against cutting rates too fast, saying it could stall inflation progress. Powell testifies before Congress as the Fed navigates policy amid a strong job market (4% unemployment) and lingering inflation concerns.
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๐ ๏ธ $CLF +18% โ U.S. steel tariffs reinstated, boosting domestic producers. ๐ $ON -8% โ Q4 miss & weak guidance send shares tumbling. ๐ฐ $BOOM +10% โ Received buyout offer from Steel Connect at $10.18/share. ๐ธ $UI -5% โ Gross margins shrink, Barclays cuts PT to $222. ๐
$GOLD +2% โ Gold shines as prices hit $2,900+. ๐ $HOLO -4% โ Hits all-time low after revealing $200B Bitcoin investment plans. ๐ $ROK +13% โ Earnings beat estimates despite 8% YoY revenue drop. ๐ $GME +10% โ Surges on BTC rumors after CEOโs pic with Michael Saylor. โ๏ธ $ULCC +7% โ Barclays raises PT to $14 on strong Q4 results. ๐ $RIVN +5% โ Opens commercial van sales to all fleets, but retail remains hesitant. ๐ $BDRX +22% โ FDA grants Fast Track designation for cancer treatment. ๐ $NET +4% โ Analysts raise PT but keep โNeutralโ rating. ๐ $AXSM +21% โ Settles Teva patent dispute over depression drug. ๐ $TD +4% โ Sells 10.1% stake in $SCHW, using C$8B for buybacks. ๐ ๏ธ $SWTX +35% โ Reports of Merck KGaA buyout talks. ๐ $MSTR +2% โ BTC holdings now 478,740 BTC ($46.4B). ๐ฅ $HIMS +7% โ Super Bowl ad scored big with investors. ๐ $MBLY +12% โ BofA upgrades stock to โNeutralโ from โUnderperform.โ ๐ต $GRRR +17% โ Ends ATM offering to avoid dilution.
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