NQWilli
@WillixKrypt
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Quarterly Theory. Student of @xyjtrades Passion.
Joined May 2023
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Quarterly Theory (Study)
Came across quarterly theory and instantly backtested it in higher Timeframes and i found out that this is very strong to identify different market cycles and HTF BIAS.
I thought i share this with you to maybe provide some value to someone out there!
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Weekly PO3 review (Journal)
- Classic Expansion (tuesday low of the week)
- 1H MMBM
This are my notes on the recent week where i drawed out the relation of Time and Price of the specific day with the specific phases of the current unfolding MMXM.
Hope u find value in it!
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📒 -> Intraday Profiles simplified
1. Intraday Profiles can make anticipating PM session easy.
TIME > PRICE
• Morning Trend -> Afternoon Continuation
• Morning Trend -> Afternoon Reversal
• Morning Consolidation -> Afternoon Trend
PDF:
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📒 -> Quarterly Theory is Fractal.
U can use it for the Yearly / Monthly / Weekly / Daily / Session / Micro
It doeas not really matter how u look at price, it can be MMXM, PO3, QT etc everything works if you understand it correctly.
here are some examples for different Cycles.
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Backtested some Protraction profiles today since its no trade monday.
understanding this can make you profitable for sure, poorly i only can trade PM session due to my work times.
The pictures below are all on the 15min TF.
maybe u learn something new!
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🧪Weekly Review ~ PM Micro Cycles ♻️
📒
↳The Highest Probability Setups form as a consequence of a HTF IRL <-> ERL move and also descripe a MMXM.
✍️ -> For Micro Cycles i use 1min for identification and 15min ERL <-> IRL
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Just made this to teach a friend of mine about MMXM and he found it really helpfull so maybe my understanding of MMXM in relation with STDV can help some of u as well.
Dont wonder about my "Gearbox Thinking" its a mechanic thing 😂
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Journal Purpose!
MMXM + Weekly Profile + PO3
This is a log from my journal about Weekly Profiles, u can see how Weekly Profiles are working in combination with MMXM and ERL / IRL.
I personally wanted to see a classic expansion week but quickly saw that it has to be Midweek or CR
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Made this to show my guy
@ov_alex7
my understanding of MMXM compared with TIME and PRICE, wanted to show him the relations between Daily/Weekly PO3, IPDA Market Cycles and the Economic Calendar.
Now im sharing it with you, i hope you can find some value in it.
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QDT (Quartile Distribution Theory) + STDV Theory (Study)
Learned something new in last lesson with
@XYJtrades
that lets you predict the probability of differnt stages of an MMXM
A.I.Z (All in Zone) is nothing he said, thats basicly just my own term for the that
Hope u like it!
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Intraday Profiling (Study)
Im backtesting Intraday profiling atm and im trying to implement this into my trading strategy to avoid more false signals.
You are basicly focusing on the PO3 between 8am -> 4PM and if the DOL (Daily ERL / IRL) has been met or not
Hope u like it!
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Intraday Profiling (Journal)
Intraday profiling can seem very complex at the beginning, but once you understand these profiles in realtion with the other PO3 development (Weekly PO3 / Daily PO3) you are truly a time expert.
This are my Journal notes on that, i hope it helps!
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London / NY ~ 90min Cycle
London = 12:00AM -> 6:00AM (XAMD)
NY = 6:00 AM -> 12:00 PM (AMDX)
✍️ -> Note the reaction of True Open, this is how the algo works.
London traded into a very small 1H BISI but at the end of the day it still was a IRL -> ERL move.
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1:30PM -> 3:00PM ~ Micro Cycle⏱️
ERL <-> IRL Dynamics = High Probability Cycle
✍️-> No Entry because it pumped way to strong, OTE was never retraced again.
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Dealing Ranges & Displacement Ranges also combined with TF alignment and MMXM
Something i had troubles with at beginning i hope it helps someone 🙏
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Weekly review (Journal)
Midweek Reversal x MMSM
Monday -> Accumulation
Tuesday / Wednesday -> Manipulation into Premium PDA (4H Breaker Block)
Thursday / Friday -> Expansion towards Daily ERL (1H MMSM OGC)
The placements of those FIB´s where a bit more dificult this week.
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Worked on a PDF about Weekly PO3 all weekend for the homies in the Mentorship.
In my opinion teaching is the best way to identify if you really understood something or not and if u do you fortify your knowledge.
Here is a part of this PDF for your support!
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Todays PO3 study
Daily IRL -> ERL
Potential Weekly PO3 = Bullish Classic Expansion (Monday Low of the Week)
Potential Daily PO3 = Void Profile
Yesterday we saw that we failed to displaced below Friday Lows inside the Daily IRL what indicates a bullish day.
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Live Trade (Quartely Theroy)
-> Micro Cycle
• AMDX (MMSM)
↳ Q3 Expansion
MMXM are just the Manipulation and Distribution of PO3 development.
Closed the Trade after a close trought a High probability OB at 0.5 of the IDR
Took 2 Partials at True open.
Still delivered.
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BTC Monthly Cycle ~ Quarterly Theory ⏱️
Bearish Cycle as a concequence of Weekly ERL -> IRL dynamics. ♻️
✍️ -> We anticipate a Bearish Weekly Cycle on BTC because we KNOW that we are inside of a Bearish Expansion Quarter of the Monthly Cycle.
Cycles repeat.
Anticipate it.
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Weekly PO3 (Journal)
Nothing much to talk about in this Weekly PO3, this week was basicly the Close of OLHC of the Monthly PO3 development and was just building up Liquidity in form of Low resistance Liquidity above this Daily IRL (Inducement)
We should run this LQ in future.
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AM Session ~ Micro Cycle
⏱️12AM -> 1:30AM
↳ AMDX
15min IRL -> ERL Dynamics ♻️
✍️ -> Sync with the HTF Orderflow (15min) leads to better results
Anticipate it, it will repeat over and over again on all Timeframes.
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Weekly PO3 development (Journal)
This is my study on the recent week you can clearly see the corelation of PO3 and MMXM concepts.
hopefully u can find some useful informations in my Weekly Look back.
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♻️Quarterly Theory (PM Micro Cycle / EUR/USD OSOK)
✍️-Studied and Demo Traded some new knowledge i gained.
Poorly i was not able to take the OSOK Trade due to my Work.
⏱️->Time is all you need.
Nothing to fear if you have Time on your side.
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Quarterly Theory⏱️
PM Session Micro Cycle ~ 1:30PM - 3:00PM
↳AMDX
✍️-> Entry after CISD on 50% dip in combination with double SMT, took 2/3 off at true open since true open was also 50% to full TP, Final TP at previous Quartal High.
+4 RR
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Weekly Profile from last Week:
Midweek Reversal Profile
Monday: Bank Holiday = Accumulation
Tuesday, Wednesday (No HIN until FOMC) = Manipulation into Weekly IRL
Thursday, Friday = Distribution into Weekly ERL
4H MMSM and 4H MMBM
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NFP Probabilitys:
Monday = No trading Low Probability
Tuesday = Trading
Wednesday = Trading
Thursday = No trading Low Probability
Friday = Trading (High Probability)
Stay safe out there these NFP days can be violent.
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Live Trade ~ Quarterly Theory (Demo)
♻️ Micro Cycle (12pm -> 1:30pm)
• AMDX
↳Q3 Expansion
✍️ -> I should let my SL do its thing and try not to manipulate my result by closing before the "Big Move"
and only close if the price closes below my invalidation point.
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The first 3 of around 10 -15 PDF´s for
@XYJtrades
Premium Discord are almost ready.
Its designed for beginners or people who fell victim to overcomplication of different things.
Better be ready for this one...
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Weekly Outlook
Potential Profile: Midweek Reversal
Monday / Tuesday = ACC
Tuesday / Wednesday = Manipulation into Discount PDA
Thursday / Friday = Expansion into Daily ERL
At the moment we can see a huge SMT at the daily lows this supports this idea if it holds.
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Reupload since it was unsorted
I made a PDF about everything i know about orderpairing.
I was first indroduced to it by
@XYJtrades
and made some studys on it.
Hope u like it.
May God be with you.
PDF Link:
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PM Live Trade
1H - 5min - 30sec
1H IRL -> ERL
5min Bullish CISD and MMBM
30sec MMBM
We had a SMT at Lows and saw order pairing out of that bullish OB on 1H at first i took a wrong entry short but quickly realised that is just shorted the bottom.
Max 2 Trades per day always.
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Classic Expansion Profile (Journal)
You can perfectly see the connections between Weekly Profiling and MMXM in this example.
Market always moves from ERL to IRL or IRL to ERL
and books price in form of MMXM´s
I hope this gives you a better understanding of the concepts 🙏
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Weekly Outlook
I basicly get some flashbacks back to the week from the 26th of Feburary to the 1st of March where we also went up to Daily ERL and we closed the week between a huge BISI and ERL.
But as always we have to wait for Monday to provide some information abou the week.
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Tight ranges lead to large range expansions.
the Expansion began yesterday on ES after we induced the Daily BISI all week long, it shall begin today on NQ as well, we also see a Bullish Daily PO3 development at the current moment.
We have Low Resistance LQ above.
PUMP IT.
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Teaser:
Working on a huge PDF pack with all the concepts simplified that are coverd in Afyz mentorship.
I have a homie wich is amazing at UI development and programming and he created this cover for this pack.
Check him out if you are interested in his services!
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PM Live Trade - Half Risk (Low prob Day / FOMC week)
1H - 5min - 30 sec
1H ERL -> IRL
5min MSS and Stop Hunt
30sec SMT and Entry at Premium -OB
Missed my TP by 0.50 points, took TP as soon as the MSS on 30sec appeared, since the DOL was reached + 4th STDV of 30sec MMSM.
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Have been affected by the Dunning-Krüger effect in the last 2 days
To be honest i suffered quite a bit from this, but I picked myself up and realized that I need to create a simple and understandable plan for myself in the PM session,
thanks
@XYJtrades
for never giving up on me
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Weekly Outlook
like i already said i will begin to post my guesses on the opcomming week by watching the News Calender
We have CPI on Tuesday and the rest of the week is also packed with news.
Here my analysis.
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Check my guy Alex out, he is a young trader at the age of 16 and in the trading Business for about 6 months now.
I teach him everything i know and share my mistakes with him.
With time he will be profitable im sure about that.
Give him a follow to see his development.
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PM Demo Trade (Journal)
Monday Protocol = No Trade only Study!
Went short on this one since my narrative was Bearish and i wanted to see a move down in at least the 4H BISI
Exited the Trade because of 15min Structure and a potential 1H IRL -> ERL (Bullish)
1% better every day
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Disapointent, Pain, anger are just resulting from wrong expectations.
Think back whenever you expected a specific outcome and this expectation got rejected it most likley resulted into pain.
Expect everything.
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Made a small PDF about a simple concept:
Daily Rebalance Theory
Study this its worth knowing.
Blessed Weekend to you all.
PDF Link:
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Stop switching the Lane.
Stay on your Lane.
DOMINATE your Lane.
and NEVER EVER give up!
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Basicly the easiest methode for anticipating daily PO3 development and finding entrys in it.
This mans education is not comparable to the education of others, he is in his own class for him self.
Glad that our ways crossed my Friend and Mentor.
Watch this video.
Protraction Profiles Youtube Video~ Intraday Profiling.
⇢ Every daily candle has a OHLC
⇢ London session provides intel for NY open
⇢ If,then logic; Simple, Repeatable, Actionable.
Premieres tonight with live worked examples of the framework.
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For me, trading is not about making money its just the tool.
It should embody my passion.
To free myself from the chains of this depressing world.
To fulfill my destiny.
To be able to give the people I love the life they think they could never have.
Trading represents who I am.
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Just got out of cinema and saw we reached 500 followers.
I have no words that descripe what i feel exept of a big and honest thank you!
Never thought to provide so much value to you guys.
I also want to thank my brother
@XYJtrades
for the massive support.
Love you all!
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PM Live execution
Narrative:
Daily PO3 4th STDV reached
Daily ERL (DOL) reached
4H Orderpairing + SMT at Low
OHLC (playing the Close of Weekly Candle)
5min SMR (MMBM)
2:1 RR🔒
Partial at 50% to Full TP
Weekly Profile:
Midweek Reversal (Bearish)
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Just took that photo from the night sky with my phone after watching at this view for a while.
Whenever u endure difficulties in your life just take a step back, view it from the bird's eye view and ask yourself:
Does it really matter in the face of the big picture view?
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This are the things i always remind myself of when i feel emotinal.
1. Focus on the Process not on the outcome
2. Choose to not feel harmed and you wont be.
3. Best looser wins (Journal ur losses and study them)
4. Emotional pain comes from unfulfilled expectations
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FOMC Outlook
Want to see a Midweek reversal from this ATH in ES, we are also accumulating for all day on ES what could result into a AMD, STDV are aligning...
DXY looks bullish into that Mothly SIBI again.
lets see what happens!
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This is a Trade for the Journal.
I did not Trade it because my rules are different, but I anticipated it as it formed.
1H - 5min - 1min
MMBM + STDV + PO3 🧪♻️
It is always the same logic.
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@AdityaNair003
thats a good point going to do this more often in the future but since im backtesting this in charts rn i actually have a example for u
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23.02.2024
MMBM + STDV + PO3 + Devils Mark 🧪♻️ 😈
Follow your plan...
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PM Session Live
Some would be feeling bad for missing the real move.
I exited at my invalidation point and followed my rules, my thesis was completley right.
Tomorrow is NFP and this day has the lowest probability of the week so its better to play it safe and take what u get.
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@XYJtrades
Congrats G.
Best education out there and also the best mentor out there, i took the risk of trusting a stranger from the Internet.
Then i found out that he is not doing it for the money at all, he is a man with a good heart and the best education out there.
God bless him.
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Everyone says, well you should be harmless.
Virtuous.
You shouldnt do anyone any harm.
You should sheath your competetive instinct.
You shouldnt try to win.
You dont want to be too agressive.
All of that.
Its like no.
Wrong.
You should be a monster and learn to control it.
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@InnerDiscipline
yep we displace trought 0.5 that DOL is going to be hit we are in my so called All in Zone 😂
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@XYJtrades
You earned it brother.
But you still accumulating, q1 is not over yet, wait for true open then you'll be like that usual Burj Khalifa PA on FOMC days.
Glad to be on your side.
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@XYJtrades
Always ask yourself
Did i do enough?
Have i done all i could to get a step closer to my dream today?
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@Tradetigz
Basicly the same a mmxm is part of a PO3 move, but yeah PO3 is the overlaying concept
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Glad to call this man my Mentor hes like Wikipedia for trading trust me.
Market Manipulation Explained With Game Theory 🗒️
React to this post if you want
@alextlaz
and I to drop an in depth PDF on this topic.
Premise:
Assuming every trader makes a rational choice... (which we know is not always true)
the optimal outcome for both traders and
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The process of nature is incredibly complex. It is impossible to distinguish between good and bad. You can never know what the consequences of "good" or "bad" are and what will result from it in the future.
You cant controll it
Concentrate on your inside and not external things.
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@30SecGod
There is no true and false in trading it all resides to experience, i have learned that not everything that ICT talks about is a Law.
But im still okay if you have a different opinion brother im sure that you know whats best for you.
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@XYJtrades
Definitley not my best notes to an concept but maybe its still understandable for everyone.
But the most important part:
I understood it now 😅
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I always feel the urge to perfection, standing still is very difficult for me.
At the moment i am 100% focused on the mental development and apply good habits in my trading so i know this urge of constant progression in technical analysis can destroy you.
It haunts me.
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@InnerDiscipline
no problem brother, its not always possible to expect everything but even if you fell for the trap of a false expectation you can still remind you that the pain you are feeling right now is only due to the false expactation you had.
This really helps when you get disapointed.
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“There is only one way to happiness and that is to cease worrying about things which are beyond the power of our will.”
~Epictetus
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@InnerDiscipline
studied some PO3 stuff from u too, your chart pics are very helpful brother keep on doing this stuff!
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