David Schlotthauer
@Weatherunited1
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Sacramento, CA
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This is by far the worst damage I have ever seen, at least since Mayfield on December 10th. This is in Greenfield, Iowa
Courtesy of Vince Walti in Greenfield, IA
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Strong Tornado from Norman Smith near Ford City, Tx I believe.
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This was quite the tough capture tonight, but I strongly believe I witness a very rare once in a lifetime aurora borealis viewed from about 38° north latitude near the city of Lodi, California.
#Auroraborealis
#NorthernLights
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This is absolutely concerning on many levels.
First off for one thing, I have not experienced a slight risk of severe weather, that I could remember in my entire 28 years i’ve been alive, raised and born in California. And secondly, this is tornado driven for a 5% chance of
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This is a bad and alarming as it gets, latest 00z GFS wants a bombing cyclone nearly 75-100 miles off the coast of San Francisco. This could very well result in sustained winds of 35-50 mph with winds gusting over 75 mph along the coast & higher elevations. Now to be specific,
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@hurricanetrack
There are early growing signals of a very busy period ahead from August 15th through the peak of hurricane season. Here you can see green and blue colors (Rising Motion) over the Atlantic & Africa and Orange/Red colors (Sinking Motion) over the EPAC.
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Wow. An entire windmill shredded & mangled from a violent tornado near Greenfield, IA.
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It is unfortunately looking like the first full week of December is going to be completely dry with temperatures well above average, a similar scary scenario that leads to the ridiculous resilient ridge in the face of a very strong El Niño. So because we’re seeing this pattern
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Looks like the GFS is beginning to latch onto an El Niño emergence pattern for the west.
@CAStormLover
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Wow, it is quite concerning to see just how warm the Atlantic is in the deep tropics with cold water at least slightly below average in the far northern Atlantic usually lends to a very very busy hurricane season. It is also jaw-dropping to see Upper Ocean heat content in the
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I'm really starting to wonder if the GFS is on to something pretty big in terms of tropical development in the Gulf Of Mexico in the next 7-10 days.
Now if we just believe the latest 00z GFS run from June the 13th at 11 pm PDT this is centered worth watching but we all know all
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CourtesyWow, this is very crazy what a violent tornado can actually do to Windmills near Greenfield, IA. Courtesy of Andrew Pritchard.
The damage is catastrophic possibly in the 75th to 90th percentile
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I'm really getting concerned about the AOI now has a 10% in the next 2 days with a 70% chance in the next 7 days. This one has a lesser chance of turning north as mid-Atlantic ridging returns. The gif below shows the last 4 model runs from the GFS and let's be clear, the GFS did
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@DylanFedericoWX
This very much looks like a situation you typically find in early September. But wait, it’s only late June.
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Wow, this is absolutely concerning for the central California coast. This looks so much like an Extratropical storm, with defined rainbands and pressures that are low. 80+ wind gusts are likely. Are you Ready, Californians
#CAwx
#Californiastorm
#cyclone
#Weather
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El Nino is quickly developing as another Kelvin wave moves across the Pacific, leading to weakening trade winds. But something concerning about this El Nino is it's running ahead of 1997/98 El Nino, and therefore confidence is increasing on a "Super El Nino" This Fall
#ElNino
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My gosh, I have never in my entire life seen a hurricane model read a forecast of 897 mbar. This is the forecast intensity on, tropical storm, Lee in the next 4 1/2 days. Potential max winds with this at the surface 185 to 190 miles an hour with 150 mbar winds which is at 5000
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A max flight-level wind of 161 knots or roughly 185 mph with SFMR winds reaching as high as 190 mph certainly may deserve a 175-180 mph upgrade in the next NHC update. Also, the central pressure fell to 927.9 mbars.
This makes
#BERYL
now a catastrophic category 5 hurricane.
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Quite surprised about how hyped up this season is for it to still be hyperactive. The latest GFS model says "It's not going to be busy in the Atlantic possibly through the end of August"
#Tropicswx
#tropics
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00z 8/8/2024 ECMWF-EPS is going pretty aggressive with the tropical wave coming off of Africa. This needs to be watched carefully.
#Tropicswx
#tropics
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@hurricanetrack
@EthanB86419472
@CAStormLover
OMG, This is absolutely ironic. SST's temperatures reach a crushing 33.2 degrees (92-92 degrees F) off the coast of Louisiana, and it's not just the shelf water either. It extended about 100 miles off the coast. With light winds,
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I might have just witnessed a funnel cloud or a small tornado just south of my area near Stockton, CA at 12:51 pm PST. Today is going to be a wild day with the potential for funnel clouds, small hail, and immense downpours that could lead to flash flood potential. Please stay
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Wow is all I have to say at this point as the continued light winds over the past 2+ weeks in the Gulf Of Mexico continue to allow SSTs to warm quite quickly. Now the 32.2C isotherm (89.96F) continues to expand over the deep waters in the Gulf per NOAA/NESDIS. Now Based on some
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Wow, this is pretty concerning all over again. The latest 00z models are out and we could be headed back into a very wet pattern with major flooding possible along with strong winds. Here you can see the 10-15 day rain totals on the 3 global models.
#AtmosphericRiver
#CAwx
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1am EDT UPDATE:
Almost 100 Lightning strikes in the eyewall as Ian begins to intensify I believe. Cloud tops -95C western side.
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An urgent weather discussion has been released due to serious blizzard conditions in the next 12 hours, along with heavy rain & high winds. Therefore, a class S3 warning has been issued (Extreme Storm Warning) for the Sierra above 5000 feet with high confidence that at least 8+
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I'm very surprised that the NHC has kept Beryl at a 150 mph hurricane as of the 2pm Advisory. Based on lots of lightning happening in the eyewall, I'm second-guessing at least a 155/160 mph Hurricane now.
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Wow. Recon Finds SFMR winds that meet the criteria of a category 5 hurricane with flight-level winds at 140 kts. It's tough to say if it's a cat 5 but pressure certainly supports it.
1st Pass into the center.
#HurricaneLee
#Hurricane
#UPDATE
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@CAStormLover
Why in the heck do people travel in this kind of weather? Like are you freaken serious. Getting out of your car is stupid and childish.
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We are now witnessing possibly a stronger tornado on velocities. Near Dodge Place, CA, the VROT is 45.7 kts.
Just in: The fire has been mapped in at 120,312 acres and burning at about 3-5 mph. This is an explosive rate of growth.
live updates will continue as needed.
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Here's a look at the very impressive Negative Phase (Upward Convection) MJO getting ready to slosh eastward towards Central America and the Atlantic. I'm quite concerned we're going to end August very active with many tropical cyclones.
Play the Video to see how this may unfold
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El Nino Watch has been issued by NOAA as a possible strong to very strong El Nino event get's underway; yes I've been up most of the night waiting for the mid-May update. The full El Nino discussion is set for Monday morning on my channel.
#ElNino
#Weather
#ClimateActionNow
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Once again
#Bery
continues to intensify, according to the extrapolated air pressure of 933.6 millibars which once again I am not surprised while not in the intermediate advisory from the NHC it could be in the next advisory with winds at least 160 miles an hour. Also, the
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Wow, I am telling you seriously, I have not seen such an expansion of many weather alerts covering over 15 states as winter storm Gerri is going to soon undergo explosive cyclogenesis. In fact, latest Hi-Rez models along to go with the latest European model indicate a pressure
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@hurricanetrack
Wow Mark look at the Sea Surface Temperatures off the Coast of Lousiana. I have looked very closely and we may have SST near 32 C or 89.6 degrees, therefore, my average departure of SST in the Gulf are 30.3 C or 86.4 degrees Fahrenheit. This is concerning Mark
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Wow, it goes to show you how far we are ahead of schedule with upper ocean heat content. In fact, some of these numbers are rivaling those seen in late August or early September.
@hurricanetrack
@philklotzbach
@AndyHazelton
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To Repeat, a strong to Violent tornado is 2 miles SW of Silver City, MS. Complete destruction is occurring. The last measured gate-to-gate shear is 190 mph. This is a deadly situation.
#TORNADOWARNING
#Tornado
#violenttornado
#tornadoemergency
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It doesn't get any more concerning than this. The latest 12z ECMWF & GFS deterministic continue to uptrend on a very wet, possibly a near historic amount of rainfall for Northern & Central California 3/10 - 3/16. Major flooding & Strong winds are looking likely.
#CAwx
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Tropical Weather Outlook 8/16/2023 - 3 pm EDT
1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located 800 miles WSW of the Cabo Verde Islands is shows signs of organization. Environmental conditions look quite conducive for tropical development as the wave drifts westward.
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Here’s a look at my new weather station. It is called the Davis Vantage Vue Pro 2 Pro Plus. You could find the weather data live online at
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This is ironic. Al is ready for the letter "C" named Storm. Debby is next in line.
@hurricanetrack
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Look how many tornado warnings there have been today. This is very wild as Ian inches closer to the florida coast.
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Can you tell me why the NHC has not upped this to a 100 mph Hurricane yet. Doppler Radar Volocities support 100 mph winds. Surface pressure is now at 975 mbars.
@NHC_Atlantic
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It appears that
#Beryl
is recovering quite quickly after a ERC with a 15-mile wide eye underneath the overshooting cloud tops of -80C. It's also to note that a few bursts of lightning activity indicate that Beryl may begin to rapidly intensify soon, should this trend continue. On
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The decreasing signal on the ECMWF-EPS for the tropics seems to show that the imposed hyperactive season may, in fact, not pan out; this is likely due to a positive (westerly phase) QBO that tends to tame hurricane seasons like this one. Due to this I've lowered my seasonal
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Pretty much all the 06 & 12z global weather models beginning to agree on a potential hurricane if not not, maybe even a major hurricane within the next 7-10 days.
This System coming off of Africa within the next 24 hours could be the one we do not want to have, and I'm very
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I want to let you all know that I have arrived safely in Fort Stockton Texas, completed the 2nd leg of our journey today. Gonna complete the third leg of the journey tomorrow as I prepare myself and my family for one of the best celestial events ever. The great North American
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A substantial severe weather episode, possibly a regional outbreak of severe weather, is looking probable for Monday across the Red River valley, northern OK, & just east of the I-27 corridor. All severe hazards are likely to be significant especially after 23-00z (6-7 p;m CDT)
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There's enough consistency among all of the global & hurricane models that we could be dealing with another & 3rd major hurricane of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season. If some of the hurricane models come true, such as the HWARF, HMON, and HAFS-B, then a strong category 3 or 4
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I have issued an urgent weather statement that goes into effect at 11 PM tonight until 6 AM due to a line of severe thunderstorms, with very heavy rainfall and potential damaging winds.
latest satellite imagery along to go with surface observations indicate that decent moisture
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Well, I gotta say that you normally do not see much of the ensemble family over 5 to 7 inches across the Sacramento valley with almost a foot of water equivalent in the coastal ranges north of the Bay Area. This yields pretty good confidence that we will have a very active wet
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Just FYI, If Beryl can reach 130 mph by Sunday night. This would make Beryl the strongest Hurricane ever in June for the Atlantic.
@hurricanetrack
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@NHC_Atlantic
I'm letting you all know that Dorian is Category 5 Hurricane with winds around 165 mph based on Recon data and the appearance of the eye. The 150 mph I feel is not right. I'm sorry to say.
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Have a great vacation it at Columbia State Park in California. However if you hate the hot weather today wouldn’t be the great day to come up it’s currently 87° here I guess it wouldn’t be that bad but it is definitely warm. I hope you all are having a great day as well.
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Peacock in my front yard during my live stream. What a rare site
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Confidence is increasing on an extremely
hyper-extensive EAJ (East Asin Jetstream) Due to the GFS now picking up on the chance to see 2050 & 200MB winds to exceed 235-250 kts (270-287 mph) is beyond extreme for mid-December climotoligy. Based on this data and Ensamble support, I
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Wow it looks to be quite the windy one for Saturday and Sunday for much of the central valley including for the bay area when gusts could reach 50+ miles an hour. To go along with the wind high fire danger is also anticipated.
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We’re getting back into it yet again for the second time in February this time looks for significant and lasts into very late February.
This makes sense given the ensembles that indicate anywhere between 4 to 10 inches of rain across much of California with several feet of
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It's still hard to believe that it's been snowing hard this long since Thursday afternoon in The Lake Tahoe area. Estimated Snow accumulations at Sunnyside Lake Tahoe since Thursaday are around 6 feet with higher elevations getting so far around 8-10 feet of snow.
But look at
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The latest radar imagery indicates Idaila continues to rapidly intensify winds estimated to be 115 mph.
#Hurricane
#HurricaneIdelia
#UPDATE
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Once again Lee has not stoped rapidly intensifying with an ironic 80kt wind increase within a matter of 24 hour hours. It's not very likely that this could make a run for 185-190 mph by Friday afternoon.
This is absolutely terrifying to see from a recon mission.
#Hurricane
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Wow, I really hate seeing portions of the Gulf of Mexico reach around 33.3 to 34C SSTs right off the coast of Cape Corel; not only that but SSTs are only .1 or .2 degrees shy of 34 C not far off the coast of LA. Also, Pat's Path Predictor Alerted me that OHC may be breaching 200
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I'm pretty concerned about Tuesday's storm For California as possible rapid deepening could occur. Hurricane-force gusts, heavy rain, snow, and damaging winds look possible. Get ready California!!!
#CAwx
#weatheraware
#AtmosphericRiver
#flooding
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You better be kidding me 06z HRRR model....Wow, if this storm develops, as this model says. Central & NorCal could be dealing with hurricane-force wind gusts & heavy rainfall. This could be the storm we all don't want. Stay tuned for updates
#CAwx
#weatheraware
#AtmosphericRiver
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Yesterday‘s windstorm here just east of Lodi was absolutely unimaginable, I am not saying this to cause fear or hype, but seen a large tree branch almost hit my aunts house that I can’t even pick up because it’s that heavy tells you something. The fact that this wind event
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@hurricanetrack
You've got to be freakin kidding me. Like wtf, sorry for my language but 4 areas to watch where like 8 days ago we had like 1 area to watch. It goes to show you Mark 1 week as you stated in your video makes a huge difference.
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You better be kidding me about this one. The new ECMWF weeklies are out and they show above-normal precipitation totals possibly into early April. This would mean March could have very few rain-free days.
#CAwx
#AtmosphericRiver
#wxtwitter
#PineappleExpress2023
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What in the name of GFS. Like are you kidding me. 2 tropical systems. And FWI this is within 5-7 days.
@hurricanetrack
@WxcenterNazario
@PatsPredictor
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What a rare site to have a tornado warning yet again near my location
#tornadowarning
#CAwx
#severeweather
#largehail
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While Ian is rapidly weakening just south of Arcadia in Florida this remains a catastrophic major hurricane with 130 mile an hour winds. A Weather station in Punta Gorda, FL reported a sustained wind of 99 miles an hour with a wind gust up to 140 miles an hour.
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California is getting prepared for one of the strongest wind events since December 1, 2011. I am going to be out in the field collecting weather data to learn more about these type of offshore winds. It will be a rough one folks. 🔥💨⚠️
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It's hard to fathom why meteorologists or weather enthusiasts on YouTube keep on saying things like "major tropical development likely "or" development about to occur.
For 1 thing, there will likely be no tropical development after
#Ernesto
, at least through at least the
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Tropical Weather Outlook 8/15/2023 - 7 pm EDT
1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located 300 miles WSW of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers & thunderstorms. Environmental conditions look marginally favorable for tropical development as the wave
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Hello everyone enjoying my first couple of hours on vacation at Big Trees, CA. Expect to see me hyper active on social media through the weekend.
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Recon Finds Idaila is now a major hurricane with central pressure as low as 944 mbars.
#HurricaneIdalia
#hurricane
#UPDATE
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Man, this is terrifying to actually see on the 4th GFS run in a row. The GFS continues to show a storm stalling near or over Pensacola, FL, in about 5 or 6 days, then may move south beyond that time frame and further strengthen.
With SSTs in this area, they are in the 75th
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Okay now. We have another strong to possibly a violent tornado near Amory, MS moving northeast at 65 mph. To repeat this is a strong to violent tornado. Tornado Emergency is now declared.
#violenttornado
#strongtornado
#tornadoemegacy
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Latest Sattlite data along with a 4th pass into the center by recon inicated Ian is stronger with a centeral pressure of 959 mbars and winds that are around 115 mph. It's nedless to say we may have our second major hurricane of the season.
#HurricanIan
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@DylanFedericoWX
I love it when climatology works in our favor. It's not a bust until the season officially ends on November 30th. I expect 24-29 named storms, and I'm afraid we could be tracking 6-8 named storms at once at some point during this hurricane season.
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URGENT Winter Weather Discussion
#0001
As of 1:12 pm PST Thursday, February 29, 2024
Latest satellite imagery indicates increasing orographic flow over the Sierra Foothills & Mts as a stout 500mb jet of 100 kts begins to impinge on Sierra. While precip has remained minor in the
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Special Tropical Update On Hilary at 9pm PDT Thursday
Based on ADT data
Location: 16.27N / 110.03 W
Winds: 130 mph / Gusts 165 mph
Central Pressure: 932mb
Movement: WNW (300°) at 13 kt
Remarks:
Hillary is rapidly intensifying tonight. It is now a powerful category 4 hurricane
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Tropical Weather Outlook 6/23/2024 - 1 pm EDT
1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of disturbed weather located about 125 miles ESE of the Caribbean is producing disorganized showers & thunderstorms. Environmental conditions, while not favorable now,
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Significant flooding event that we are currently dealing with here in Northern California. Sump pump could barely keep up with basement flooding.
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I'm very shocked to wake up to a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 130 mph; additional strengthening is forecasted today.
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My July members are out.
I Forecast the following:
Named Storms = 15-20
Hurricanes = 5-9
Major Hurricanes = 2-4
ACE Number is 165
This is due to a weaker La Nina then what was forecasted, and the RONI is still quite negative, suggestive that the atmospheric coupled pattern is
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