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Rohan Gupta

@WealthSolitaire

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CA | Offbeat Investor | Invest with VISION | Knowledge based Wealth Creation | No recommendations | All views for educational purpose | Not SEBI registered

Joined December 2023
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
29 days
๐€๐Ÿ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ ๐‡๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ (๐”๐ฉ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž) BIG BREAKING - ๐๐ž๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐‹๐ข๐ง๐ค๐ž๐๐ˆ๐ง ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐›๐ฒ ๐•๐ž๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐š ๐€๐ข๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ (๐Œ๐š๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ) โœ…Another new route addition by Afcom (Maldives), connecting to a Globally Acclaimed Airlines (Etihad) 1. First flight itself at ๐Ÿ—๐ŸŽ% ๐ฅ๐จ๐š๐ ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ !! - ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐ญ๐จ๐ง๐ง๐ž๐ฌ (๐ฌ๐ž๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฌ) out of 22.5 tonnes flight capacity 2. This schedule will connect to an ๐„๐ญ๐ข๐ก๐š๐ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ - one of the leading global airlines โœ…Co is ๐œ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  a niche segment for itself - no one has ever thought of this or done this before (Cargo from India to other South East Asian countries, which is then by other leading airlines, connected to European nations, other countries). โœ…Dry lease operations started on 18th Decโ€™24 and already ๐Ÿ ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ ๐š๐๐๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง ๐Ÿ‘ ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ค๐ฌ: 1๏ธโƒฃ 30Decโ€™24: Bangkok route added 2๏ธโƒฃ 11Janโ€™25: Maldives route added _____________________________________ Walk the talk by management! People worried about the off take / load factor - but company showcasing within 1st month itself, the strong execution capability 1. High profile sector , 2. Co creating a niche & almost monopoly currently 3. Strong experienced Promoters , 4. Massive massive growth potential 5. If execution continues at current pace, trading at just 10-12x FY26E PE Note: Not a reco, DYODD #Afcom #Multibagger
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
2 months
๐€๐Ÿ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ ๐‡๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ (๐”๐ฉ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž) ๐Ÿ’กDry lease operations have started GSSA tie up also done (see ss)- HUGE positive as this ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ฌ ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ% ๐จ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐š๐ค๐ž ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐ญ itself)โœ… Mentioning again, ๐Ÿ“ ๐๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐š๐ข๐ซ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐Ÿ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ๐š๐ง๐ง๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐๐€๐“ (refer my previous tweets for detailed calculations) โ–ถ๏ธ2 commercialised โ–ถ๏ธAnother 2 of IPO funds should be onboarded in next 3 months โ–ถ๏ธAnother 1 aircraft in next 6 months __________________________________ My view on valuation: Aviation w strong entry barriers & limited competition deserves 45-50PE Afcom FY26E should conservatively do 120Cr which translates to 6000Cr MCap โ–ถ๏ธThis is conservative. PAT can go as high as 175-200Cr as well which indicates potential of 10,000Cr MCap co
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
5 days
@BeingRaunak Not tracking
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
5 days
No specific reason, at that time felt it ran up too fast too quickly (had gone 3x-4x in 2 months, so I booked) Itโ€™s been consolidating since. Will evaluate for re-entry maybe In general, now with EPC valuations returning to normalcy, I feel these stocks will perform only on actual performance / meeting guidance
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
5 days
@mak14ag Thanks ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿป Entry I always mention straight away. However, exit when I post stock specific, it creates panic and most followers feel stuck then if they donโ€™t get to exit due to lower circuit (happened in Teerth Gopicon) But such kind of an overall update doesnโ€™t lead to panic
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
5 days
@sachin_1601 Bought on listing day at 100. Added at 375 Added at 500
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
5 days
@Ankit_Goyal07 @bliss_of_self @pareek_kp My info on Afcom till date has always been accurate , you can check my previous tweets. Confident this time as well, info should be correct. 2nd aircraft should start operations next week or maximum by 3rd week of Feb
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
5 days
@sachprat07 Yes exactly
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
5 days
There is slight delay in 2nd aircraftโ€™s operations. It is estimated to commence from next week . 1st aircraft is already running 6 schedules a week. No big negative in my view, just slight delay which is inherent risk in this sector (have mentioned risk of delay in each tweet of mine). I continue holding 95% qty.
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
6 days
There is slight delay in 2nd aircraftโ€™s operations. It is estimated to commence from next week . 1st aircraft is already running 6 schedules a week. No big negative in my view, just slight delay which is inherent risk in this sector (have mentioned risk of delay in each tweet of mine). I continue holding 95% qty.
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
13 days
@rretailinvestor Yes will post an update. I continue to hold above all. Only might cut down some exposure in Atmastco to deploy in other opportunities
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
18 days
@ChetanyaMi92042 @Ankit_Goyal07 Holding all. Alpex Iโ€™m expecting very strong Q3 and can see 900-1000 levels once again Mason and SA Tech are strong businesses and can continue holding for long term
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
18 days
@mak14ag No.. but finding out and will post an update soon
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
18 days
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
26 days
๐“๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐ซ๐š๐ข๐ฅ ๐‹๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  Q2 Update - Strong set of numbers Revenue 1096Cr (+19% QoQ ; 12% YoY) EBITDA 12.6% PAT 55Crโœ… (up 10% QoQ ; 20% YoY) On face of it , Q3 seems decentโ€ฆ.. โ€ฆ..BUT, above numbers ๐๐ž๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐๐š๐ฒ๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ข๐ง ๐๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐š๐๐ž๐ฌ๐ก ๐จ๐ซ๐๐ž๐ซ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง (in August) โ–ถ๏ธMeans pace of execution ๐ฉ๐ข๐œ๐ค๐ž๐ ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ ๐ง๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ก ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐’๐ž๐ฉ๐ญ๐ž๐ฆ๐›๐ž๐ซ โœ…Can expect ๐›๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ ๐‡๐Ÿ H2 FY25E: Rev 3500Cr ; PAT 200Cr โœ…Additionally, capex plans of ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐ญ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐ฎ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ
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@WealthSolitaire
Rohan Gupta
1 month
๐“๐ซ๐š๐ง๏ฟฝ๏ฟฝ๏ฟฝ๏ฟฝ๐ซ๐š๐ข๐ฅ ๐‹๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  (๐”๐ฉ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž) Solid, high growth T&D stock at half the valuations While market is worried about Bangladesh issues, ๐‚๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐ฅ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ ๐ซ๐š๐๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐€ ๐ญ๐จ ๐€+ โœ… & given full clarity on payment, execution, delays, etc (read in ss 1) Key points to note from the rating report: 1. ๐–๐จ๐ซ๐ค ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐จ๐ง ๐š๐ญ ๐ก๐ž๐š๐ฅ๐ญ๐ก๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ž 2. Payments being received on ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐›๐š๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ 3. Political unrest caused delays for ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ 15-20 days ___________________________________ Co also proposing to acquire Gammon Engineers under distressed sale โ–ถ๏ธEntry in ๐‡๐ฒ๐๐ซ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ : Big potential as Gammon Engineers did ๐ซ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ+ ๐ข๐ง ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ โœ…Once acquired and turned around, 3yrs down the line Transrail can easily ๐ฆ๐š๐ค๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐š ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ% ๐๐€๐“ _________________________________ Again mentioning, Transrail is at almost ๐ก๐š๐ฅ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฏ๐š๐ฅ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง of peers like KEC, Kalpataru, Skipper & Transrail has much higher growth triggers in place Could see very quick re rating My previous tweet having the detailed note on Bangladesh issue โ–ถ๏ธ
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