Rugby Union betting 🏉. I have a paid service for all of my bets - DM for more info. P&L Tracker below, currently at +173 units for 2024 ⬇️. 18+ BeGambleAware
June Premium Results :
Staked 🟰158 units
Returned 🟰195 units
Profit 🟰 +37 units
ROI 🟰+24%
Takes it up to +173 units profit (17.9% ROI) so far in 2024.
On the menu for July:
🥇 Olympics 7s
🌍 Internationals
🇺🇸 MLR
🏉 U20s World Champs
DM for info to join 📥
Does anyone the route for a Nation like
@Uganda_Sevens
to get onto the HSBC 7s World Series? How often are teams given the chance to qualify?
I can’t be waiting another 4 years to watch Phillip Wokarach play again.
Thanks for those that have pointed out qualification for next years World Series is via the Challenger event in a few weeks time in Santiago, Chile 🇨🇱.
Groups B and C are stacked.
Hong Kong 🇭🇰, Germany 🇩🇪 and Uganda 🇺🇬 are three sides to watch out for.
Although the price has shortened a bit, sharing a bet sent to Premium Members this morning, as it’s an absolute gift 🎁
Fiji 🇫🇯 over 16.5 vs England 🏴 @ 1.91 (skybet)
After a few months off and some time to reset, I’m itching to get stuck into some rugby again.
Over the next few months, I’ll be honed in on MLR, Premiership, Super Rugby and of course, the 7’s.
Hope everyone’s been keeping well, I’m excited to get the ball rolling again 👊🏻
Weekend Review 🔎
Units staked : 12.25
Units returned : 21.65
Units Profit : +9.4
Weekend ROI : 76%
Will continue to track this every weekend, as well as a rolling P&L too.
@WayneBarnesRef
Huge congrats on a stellar career Wayne! 🙌
You’ve set a high bar in your refereeing standard and bi-lingual communication.
Enjoy your well earned retirement !
4/4 🍾
DC +5.5 vs New York @ 1.8 ✅
DC lineout was still terrible but thankfully the ball they did get, was shifted wide and they found some success in the outside channels as hoped.
3/3 this weekend so far
🏴 Sale win vs Bristol @ 1.8 ✅
🇳🇿 Chiefs win vs Canes @ 1.83 ✅
🇺🇸 Free Jacks -8.5 vs Toronto ✅
May have another later on, waiting for MLR points lines
MLR Play 🇺🇸
Have a big fancy in the MLR this weekend 👌
But doing something different - if you want to follow on my play, just drop me a DM today & I will share a screenshot
The caps are very different across books so I’ve done the graft and sharing the best lines for you 👊🏻
3/3 this weekend so far
🏴 Sale win vs Bristol @ 1.8 ✅
🇳🇿 Chiefs win vs Canes @ 1.83 ✅
🇺🇸 Free Jacks -8.5 vs Toronto ✅
May have another later on, waiting for MLR points lines
Enjoyed running through this weekends games with
@BrentGraham
@hanrickswart
on The Handicap show this evening!
Recap of my plays:
Internationals
🏴 -17.5 vs 🇯🇵
🇦🇺 +3.5 vs 🏴
🇫🇷 +5.5 vs 🇳🇿
🇦🇷 +14.5 vs 🇮🇪
Value play:
Eng🏴 HT / Boks 🇿🇦 FT @ 8.0
NPC
Otago +5.5 vs Naki
Pleased to announce I'll be doing some, Domestic, European and International Rugby Union previews & tips for
@betfred
moving forward.
To kick things off, here’s my preview of tomorrow night's Harlequins🃏vs Leicester🐯 match:
Henry Arundell delivers the goods 🤙
First try @ 19.0 ✅
Anytime try @ 3.2 ✅
A cracking chip and chase, to kick off a rampant London Irish, eventually winning 59-20.
Prem Rugby Cup 🏆 🏴
Irish ☘️ vs Leicester 🐯
Henry Arundell to score anytime @ 3.2
and first scorer @ 19.0 (365)
This kid is electric ⚡️
He’s broken through recently and seized his opportunity. Made 8 starts for Irish and Eng u20, scored 7 tries. (Inc 2 tries vs tigers)
MLR West Conf Final 🏆
Have a main play & a longshot for SD vs SEA
Yesterdays DM approach worked well, seemed like people could get on & the cap didn’t move too quick
Anyone that DM’d me yesterday will get the play soon- anyone else please drop me a DM too & I will share 👍
That’s the worst I’ve seen Free Jacks play in a while. Very sloppy in possession and couldn’t win their own lineout. The latter was due to DC’s Baillie who was an immovable object today.
Butttt the minus lands ✅
Onto tomorrows Western Conference 👊🏻
These land comfortably in the end. As expected, the underdogs both won. ✅️✅️
Will be quiet on here for a while to focus on family and work, but i'll be back. Hope everyone had a great weekend ✌️
Had a great last month on MLR bets - it continues to be my most profitable league🇺🇸 🙌
And you can hear my previews and tips each week
@MLR_Betting_Pod
From now on, my extra MLR bets (on top of bets picked on the pod) will be posted on the pod Twitter page so give us a follow!
@WokorachPhilip
No problem Philip! You and the whole Ugandan team have definitely gained some more fans after this weekend.
Go get the job done over in Chile 🇨🇱 🔥
Super Rugby is back!
It’s one of my favourite competitions both from a fans and betting perspective so I for one can’t wait 👊🏻
A few podcasts suggestions to get up to speed on the squads ⬇️. Well worth a listen!
@RugbyFixation
@Pick_DriveRugby
@Draftrugby
Come on the Tahs!
Happy Thursday everyone! 👋
With the MLR over, it’s time to switch focus to internationals and NPC.. and then it’s not too long until the World Cup 🇫🇷 🏆
But before then, I’ve been busy working on something behind the scenes that’s almost ready to go.
Stay tuned tomorrow 👀
Had a few weeks off recently and been enjoying some family time on holiday. Hope you are all enjoying the summer too!
Starting doing my Premiership Rugby pre season research and it’s getting me so excited for the season to start next month!
Will have a few outright bets soon👊🏻
MLR 🇺🇸
San Diego -14.5 @ 1.9
Can’t understand how this line hasn’t moved all day after team news. San Diego only resting a few, it’s an A/B side with a stacked bench. Seattle have a B/C side with 6 players making their professional debuts.
San Diego should take this by 20+
Super Rugby 🇦🇺 🇳🇿
Blues -17.5 vs Tahs @ 1.91 (365)
Blues will be targeting a BP here & have picked a team to get it. Tahs have a weak side, with injuries, suspensions and wallabies rest all factoring.
I see this Blues side dominating up front and out wide- they’ll win by 20+
The Comeback bet
Chicago win vs Toronto @ 2.0 (boyle)
Think this has big value and can see it being -4 or 5 by KO. Chicago will be desperate to get off the mark this year against a poor Arrows team, who have some injuries.
Also, Billy's finally arrived in the windy city 🥶
Gallagher Premiership 🏆 🏴
Bath 🛁 vs Wasps 🐝
Over 52.5 @ 1.9
Money coming for Bath after team news. Attacking side with Bailey and Ojomah in. But with Wayne Barnes on the whistle, I prefer taking overs on a line which is a few points too short IMO.
I like over 48.5 in NY vs DC later.
Weather now clear in NY & this line feels an overreaction to knockout rugby.
I still see each side scoring tries points in this game. Neither defence is strong enough to keep the other out and it’s in neither teams DNA to slow the ball down.
MLR 🇺🇸
San Diego -14.5 @ 1.9
Can’t understand how this line hasn’t moved all day after team news. San Diego only resting a few, it’s an A/B side with a stacked bench. Seattle have a B/C side with 6 players making their professional debuts.
San Diego should take this by 20+
Well that went pretty well..
Gloucester 🍒 +13 @ 1.91 ✅
Newcastle 🦅 win @ 1.91 ❌
Sarries under 31.5 pts @ 1.83 ✅
Gloucester 🍒 win @ 6.0 ✅
Exeter HT / Quins FT @ 7.5 ❌
Singleton anytime @ 3.4✅
What a result for the cherry and whites!!
Weekend Acca 🏴 🇳🇿
Tasman 🦈 win vs Canterbury
Bay of Plenty 🔵🟡 win vs Waikato
Wasps 🐝 win vs Bath
Saracens 💫 win vs Quins
Sale 🦈 win vs Worcester
Priced @ 7.0 (Paddy)
Will start doing one of these each week from now on, hopefully can land this first one!
Early picks so far
URC 🌎
1 unit Connacht 1-10 @ 3.75 (365)
2 units Bulls Win @ 1.8 (skybet)
WC 🏆
2 units Wales 🏴 win @ 2.0 (skybet)
NPC
2 units Wellington -5.5 @ 1.9 (Pari Match)
A good weekend, almost a great one. Seattle 8 pts up with 3 mins left but NOLA scored at the death 😏
Seattle -3.5 @ 1.9 ❌
Toronto u3.5 tries @ 1.83 ✅
More pens than tries in Dallas @ 11.0 ❌
BTTS in each half in CPT @ 1.8 ✅
O56.5 in Chicago @ 1.9 ✅
San Diego o33.5 @ 1.8 ✅
Rugby Championship 🏆
NZ 🇳🇿 vs Australia 🇦🇺
Australia over 16.5 pts @ 1.8 (Pari Match)
Just like the Wallabies, this line is GOLD. 🦘
I’d be taking over 19.5 if that was the line. Aus covered this in last 5 H2H’s, and NZ have conceded 17+ in 9 of their last 10.
France win by 1-7 lands @ 7.0
✅🇫🇷🍾
Thought the French were going to butcher a narrow lead AGAIN, but then produced a monstrous scrum to earn a late penalty for the win!
Allllleeezzzzzzz
Australia 🇦🇺 vs France 🇫🇷
1pt on France to win by 1-7 points @ 7.0
After a moment of madness cost the French last week, they’ll be eager to take this Test series into a decider. Was very unimpressed with the Wallabies last week and happy to take shorter margin for extra value.
November Premium Results :
Staked 🟰 62.3 units
Returned 🟰86.1 units
Profit 🟰 23.9 units
ROI 🟰+38% ROI
Overall Results (since July 2023)
💰307.3 units staked
📈 +74.8 units profit
🎯 +24% ROI
And no slowing down over Xmas - 7’s is back & European cup too 🙌
DM to join 📥
Gallagher Premiership 🏴
Lines are out for the weekend, and again looking for that early value.
2 plays so far:
Exeter 🐻 -4 vs Wasps 🐝
Gloucester 🍒 +2 vs Irish ☘️
Malaga 7s 🇪🇸 🏆
Really excited for Friday when the 7s kicks off again, in Malaga. Travel restrictions means NZ, Fiji or Samoa can’t play unfortunately.
Germany and Jamaica join in their place, and Pool A will only have 3 teams.
My outright pick, and some thoughts below ⬇️
Commonwealth 7s 🇬🇧
Uganda 🇺🇬 +15.5 vs Kenya 🇰🇪 @ 1.9
Uganda 🇺🇬 Win @ 7.0
Coach McGrath has had some more time now, but Kenya are on an awful run, losing 15 of their last 19. Including losses to Japan, Madagascar and.. Uganda.
Damien seems to be getting ahead of himself..
Gallagher Prem 🏴
Gloucester🍒+4.5 vs Bristol 🐻 @ 1.8 (skybet)
Glouc had a wobble vs Wasps 🐝 but they can’t afford any more slip-ups in the race for Top 4 -we’ll see their strongest side do an absolute job on the Bears on Friday night. This should be a choice game at least.
Okay.. I’ve just about calmed down now.
HARLEQUINS HAVE WON THE 20/21 GALLAGHER PREMIERSHIP 🏴🏆
Quins win @ 5.5 lands ✅🍾
What a story they’ve had this season. Ups and downs. Written off time after time. But the resilience and fight shown has been remarkable. 👏
Gallagher Premiership Final 🏴
Sat 26th Jun
1pt on Quins win 🃏 @ 5.5 (Pokerstars)
Happy to take a punt on Quins at this price.
My thoughts below 👇
Prem Cup 🏴 🏆
Saints 😇 vs Quins 🃏
3 units Saints over 34.5 @ 1.83 (365)
Expecting another midweek points-fest under the lights at the Gardens tonight.
Settled Saints pack, but with added firepower out wide with Hendy & Collins 🔥
Tom James at 9 will push the tempo too⚡️
MLR 🇺🇸
Seattle -9.5 vs Chicago @ 1.9 (-110)
Can’t see how this is a single digit cap, but I’m not going to complain. I capped this at -16.5 but wanted to flag early ahead of
@MLR_Betting_Pod
as it’s not going to hold at 9.5.
Two teams in very different places..
Very excited for 7’s to be back this weekend!
The World Series legs are now a staple on my betting calendar and I’ll be looking to get off to a good start in Dubai this weekend 🇦🇪
It’s a shame the men’s comp is cut down to 12 teams, I’ll certainly miss Uruguay, Kenya and
Looking forward to being back on the show tonight. There’s a fair amount of rugby on this weekend to talk about! 🙈
Tune in from 8pm UK time. Link below 👇
Nice to bounce back well after disappointing results last weekend.
No angles I like for todays games- so going to have an afternoon off and have some quality family time.
Happy Sunday folks 🙌
I like over 48.5 in NY vs DC later.
Weather now clear in NY & this line feels an overreaction to knockout rugby.
I still see each side scoring tries points in this game. Neither defence is strong enough to keep the other out and it’s in neither teams DNA to slow the ball down.
Nice finish to the day🦈💪
Sale +10 @ 1.91 ✅
Hope everyone had a great weekend!Plenty more coming this week with R4 Heineken cup, Currie Cup, URC and the return of the 7s in Malaga! 🇪🇸
NZ 🇳🇿 vs AUS 🇦🇺
Already taken points unders for this game but have one other play for now:
2pt on Will Jordan to score @ 2.2 (Paddy)
Shouldn’t be above evens. Back in the side and will want to impress.
5 AB caps (3 as sub)
158 mins
9 tries
Averages a try every 17 mins
🤯
Sharing a play I like in the Prem Cup tonight 🏴
Cornish 🏴☠️-11.5 vs London Scottish 🏴 @ 1.85
My attention won’t be on France & Italy tonight, but instead on SW London.
Reasoning below ⬇️
Champions Cup 🏆
Leicester 🐯 vs Leinster 🔵
2 plays:
💰💰Leinster -4.5 @ 1.8 (skybet)
💰 Leinster -11.5 @ 3.25 (365)
I’ve rarely backed Leinster this season, but I really fancy them this weekend. It will be tight up front but the Leinster backline will win this tie IMO
Arundell blows my mind.
Clearly he has gas for days, but it’s the ability to manipulate defenders that excites me the most.
What a talent.
Cap him now Eddie. I beg you.
English Premiership Outright Bets
Few things I like so far:
Tigers 🐯 to finish top 4 @ 6.5
MacGinty 🦈 top points scorer @ 8.0
Marchant 🃏 top try scorer @ 26.0
Lynagh 🃏top try scorer @ 41.0
Would love to hear what other outrights you guys are on!
Saints last quarter fightback means the +7.5 lands. ✅
No luck on the HT/FT though ❌. Saints had an awful first half, peaking with Alex Mitchell butchering a sitter. Think Eddie Jones would have hooked him after that
🎧 Tune in at 12.30 UK time tomorrow.
Hopefully the Conductor and I can find some value bets in this weekends Gallagher Premiership games to make your lunch break profitable 🙌
Catch our special
#GallagherPrem
betting preview live @ 13h30 Friday SA time. The teams will have just been announced and
@UKRugbybets
&
@BrendonWessels
aka The Conductor will get stuck into the handicaps - appreciate you spreading the word
@BrentGraham
Nice to get back to winning ways in the final Tournament of the World Series 7s season in Madrid.
🇪🇸 +11.5 units (+30% ROI)
🏆 Season results - across 8 tournaments :
+88.9 units (+26% ROI)
Next month.. Olympic 7s! 🥇
What a weekend of Rugby we have ahead!
🏉 6 Nations:
🏴🏴 Calcutta Cup
🇮🇪🏴 Ireland vs Wales
🇫🇷🇮🇹 France vs Italy
🏉 1st weekend of Super Rugby
🇳🇿🇦🇺🇫🇯🇼🇸🇹🇴
🏉 🇨🇦 Vancouver 7s - with Dupont set to debut
Weekend plays:
3pts on Lions -37 vs Stormers @ 1.91
2pts on Argentina win by 1-12 @ 3.1
2pts on Australia win and Fiji +26 1st half handicap @ 2.15
2pts on Australia -4 @ 1.91
1pt on Argentina win by 1-12 and Australia win by 1-12 @ 8.0 (following
@thecrowetips
)
Some early movement in the Gallagher Premiership handicap lines. You can still get a few of these but I’ve taken:
🃏 Quins -4 vs Bristol 🐻
🍒 Gloucester +3 vs Sale 🦈
😇 Saints +5 vs Wasps 🐝
🐯 Tigers win vs London Irish ☘️
👊🏻
April Premium Results :
Staked 🟰144 units
Returned 🟰185.5 units
Profit 🟰 +41.5 units
ROI 🟰+29%
That makes it +125 units profit in 2024 so far.
Big month of May planned with European cup, Premiership, Super Rugby and MLR.. but first Singapore 7s 🇸🇬!
DM for info to join 📥
Great start to the weekend for the MLR podcast picks 🇺🇸
Seattle +1.5 ✅
Over 44.5 ✅
Love it when a team covers the total points line! Seattle’s knockout record is now 6-0 👊🏻
Still time to listen in to our views on the Eastern Conference final ⬇️
Gallagher Prem 🏴
2pts Exeter -12.5 vs Wasps @ 1.91 (Skybet)
There’s only one direction this cap is going, think it could get out 15/16. Wasps picked up key injuries / suspensions vs Saints and have struggled this season.
I expect a ruthless Exeter side to put Wasps away.
Lions 🇿🇦 vs B&I Lions 🦁
Sat 3rd July
2 bets for me, after seeing the B&I Lions 🦁 team:
2pts on B&I Lions -21 @ 1.91 (Skybet)
1pt on B&I Lions to win each half by 12 or more points @ 4.5 (Boyle)
Let’s hope Russell pulls out some tricks!
Should be a cracker at the Stoop today and I expect tries to be traded back and forth.
Adding one play which I think has some value:
1 unit on Saints HT / Quins FT @ 6.75 (unibet)
Will be sharing unit sizes from now on. For reference, I have 3 units on Saints +7.5.
Bristol 🐻 vs Sale 🦈
There’s been a lot of support for Sale in the last few days which has brought this into a choice game. I still fancy the Bears at home to win this. Dry forecast so taken two other plays:
Bears over 20.5 pts @ 1.83 (skybet)
Purdy to score @ 3.25 (365)
Thoroughly enjoyed the 6 Nations final day yesterday!
Big congrats to Ireland and their fans for winning a back-to-back Title 🏆 🥳
And likewise Italy deserve a huge amount of credit for their results and performances - they've bounced back well after a disappointing RWC 🇮🇹
Not much rugby this weekend but still managed to find some winners!
Connacht +13 @ 1.91 ✅
Bet builder @ 2.0 ✅
Also followed
@NealHoogwerf
brilliant shout at HT to take Tigers win @ 2.0.
Back to the Premiership and URC next weekend, hopefully all the games are on!
MLR 🇺🇸 🏉
Seattle 🌊 +17.5 vs Austin 🟠
Too big of a cap in my opinion, I though it would be a lot less than this. Seattle have a strong side out and I expect them to be competitive.
Expecting big performances from skipper Hattingh and midfield maestro Lopeti.
Spent this evening in the kitchen with
@thecrowetips
, cooking up a tasty Double for Saturdays Test matches. 👨🍳👨🍳
3pts on:
🏉Aussies 🇦🇺 over 10.5 pts
🏉Boks 🇿🇦 vs Lions 🦁 over 35.5 pts
Priced @ 2.17 (Boyle)
Gallagher Premiership 🏴
One early play:
2pts on Bristol 🐻 win vs Wasps 🐝 @ 1.83
Pat Lam will want a reaction after a poor showing vs Sarries. Expect Randall to start and inject some tempo. Wasps have a number of injuries across their squad testing their squad depth.
Bristol 🐻 vs Irish ☘️
Two plays tomorrow night.
Bristol over 3.5 tries @ 1.8 (skybet)
Creevy anytime try @ 3.1 (365
Line should be 4.5 for me. Lloyd at 10, and a dry night in Bristol means running rugby.
Creevy in cracking form. Irish maul going well as of late.
Super Rugby Rd 2
2 early plays:
Tahs +8.5 vs Reds @ 1.9
Force +1.5 vs Rebels @ 1.9
Tahs are not the same side this year, expect them to push the Reds the whole way.
Force continue to impress me, whilst the Rebels look lacklustre. Force will want to go one better this week.
@rugbyontnt
@thepaulwilliams
@autumnnations
@tntsports
@discoveryplusUK
To the more avid rugby fan - I'd say this is pretty good news. The more competitions that one service carries, the better value watching rugby becomes.
To the casual rugby fan - this isn't great. Prime has significantly higher UK household penetration and is a third of the cost.
August 2023 UKRB Premium Results :
Staked 🟰 53.3 units
Returned 🟰83.3 units
Profit 🟰 30.0 units
ROI 🟰+56% ROI
And with the WC warm ups over, it’s onto the big dance in 🇫🇷. Message me if you want any more info to get involved 👍
MLR Sunday 🇺🇸
DC over 3.5 tries vs Toronto @ 2.0 (365) - or take over 24.5 instead
DC win @ 5.75 (Betway)
LA -7.5 vs Seattle @ 1.85 (Virginbet)
DC have shown they can score tries and will push Toronto all the way.
LA team is a Championship side vs a depleted Seattle side.