Tom
@TradingThomas3
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$SPY, $SPX, $ES_F, $QQQ and $NQ options/futures trader. Sign up for my private twitter @ for Trade Alerts.
New York, NY
Joined June 2018
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Hit some nice trades in September with minimum losses, let’s close out last quarter of the year strong 💪🏻
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Robinhood took the buy button off on $GME, canceling every buy order 😳
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if you invested $10 in $NVDA 10 years ago, it’s now worth 1,028,938.
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“Hedgies are doomed, they don’t have 12M shares of $GME to sell to Kitty”
Ryan Cohen: 70M shares offering
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According to JPMorgan, Retail traders unloaded $3.1 billion in assets this past week, making it the third worst week of net selling in history 👀
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Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson says he expects the S&P 500 to fall to 3000-3300 in Q1 of next year 👀
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People actively rooting for war because they got a couple of puts is disgusting.
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You just witness the 5th largest intraday reversal in history for $SPY, you can now tell your grandkids you were apart of history.
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JPM notes “If CPI prints 6.9% or lower, the print could be technical end of the bear market.” 👀
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$META lays off 11,000 employees so they can do extra $40B share buyback 🫣
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New York City Approves $12.4 Million for Tesla Police Cars $TSLA
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See a lot of people wanting emergency cut or 50Bps cut to save market. If either of these happen, hide your wife and hide your children, load entire port in puts.
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Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson says we are going to 2950 in 3-4 months 💀
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Lol July jobs revised down to +89,000 from +114,000 and June jobs down to +118,000 from +179,000
All rigged.
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$NVDA huge breakout last week, look for retest then rocket to the moon 😉
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Calling $tsla top here, if im wrong will just delete and call new top tomorrow.
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Leaked internal documents show $AMZN is cutting costs further in anticipation of a severe economic downturn 👀
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$NVDA After selling more than $700M of stock, Jensen Huang said he is done for now 🚀
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I will call a Nasdaq crash here, if I’m right I will retweet but if I’m wrong I will just delete.
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Since we been in this bear market, it has used these double bottom breakouts as traps, everyone of them have caused a lot of pain to dip buyers. We are currently in one, will this one be any different?
$SPY $SPX $QQQ
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$AAPL will announce firing next week and $SPY will thrust to 600 thereafter.
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JPMorgan says take profits on this rally as it will start to fade in the first quarter 👀
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$AAPL is reportedly scaling back production of the new iPhone 14 due to seemingly low demand for the latest iPhone, which features the same design as last year's iPhone 🤣🤣🤣
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Smart money dumping hard, dumb money buying every dip 😅 $SPY $SPX
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$NVDA closed today in Frankfurt at $139.92 so big gapup coming, bears can't even get a break when market is closed.
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$SPX $SPY JPMorgan on potential market reaction to CPI tomorrow, basically 82.5% chance market will rip 😅
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Morgan Stanley’s Chief Investment officer Lisa Shalett in a phone interview “We think folks buying in here are buying into yet another bear market rally. This feels so much like January of 2000” 👀
MS must have loaded the boat on puts
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Average bear market duration in the last 150 years is around 290 days~, so 4-5 more months of this ☠️☠️☠️ $SPY $QQQ
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According to JPMorgan, Retail investors sold $3.1B the last 5 trading days 👀
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FOMC Wednesday, big tech earnings Thursday and jobs Friday. Time for $vix to shine.
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JPMorgan and Goldman says retail are bullish on $NVDA ahead of earnings while big funds have been exiting last month or so 👀
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Tom Lee says there’s a chance the Fed pauses hiking for all of 2023, sparking a massive stock rally 👀💀
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I think it will be disappointing if this bear market ends without even 1 limit down.
❤️ if you agree.
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Cathie Woods sold $TSLA to buy $PLTR, please get this woman some help.
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Everyone and their mom bearish on $FB into earnings, which means it rips.
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50 BPS hike in March probability now down to 14.3%, was 90% week and half ago.
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Tepper and Druckenmiller both unloaded majority of their $NVDA positions 👀
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Goldman Analyst- Buy the dip on $NVDA ahead of earnings, stock is set for major turnaround 🫥
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Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson says Winter is coming, brace for 20%+ drop 👀
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JPM hypothesized a 5% drop in the $SPY within 5 min, that would force all outstanding 0DTE position to be unwound which could lead to $30.5B of delta selling and a 20% pullback 🤣
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Retail investors are buying the dip in financial stocks in unprecedented amounts, $1.43 Billion on wednesday which is double from previous week.
we know how this ends.
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$GME Interactive brokers showing 210k shares bid 27.59 😂, 4AM pre market open should be interesting.
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Recap this week
-GDP negative again
-Earnings are garbage
-Feds raised 75 BPS again
-PCE inflation highest in 40 years
$SPY up 4%, minds are blown left and right🤣
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Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson believes corporate America is going into the worst earnings recession since the 2008 financial crisis 👀
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JPMorgan’s top chartist says the $SPX to tumble all the way back to 3,500, retesting bear lows 😂😂😂
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JPMorgan on CPI reaction
37.5% chance — The CPI rises 0.2%-0.3%: A print like this would give the $SPX a boost of 0.25% to 0.75%.
30% chance — The CPI rises 0.3%-0.4%: JPMorgan sees the $SPY falling 0.5%-1% under this outcome.
22.5% chance — The CPI increases 0.1%-0.2%: A
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$TSLA -12%, biggest drop since 2020,
go politics go broke, am i right?
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$SPY 4% drop in the market and only 70M shares traded? wheres the volume?
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Investors pulled $352M from $ARKK Wednesday, according to Bloomberg that was the biggest outflow since March 2020. Do I smell capitulation?
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$NVDA has an implied move of +/- 10% tomorrow, translating to a $316 billion move in market cap. To put that in perspective, over 95% of the companies in the $SPY have a market cap smaller than $316 billion 😅
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Wall Street’s worst years since 1945
2008-down 38.5% , 2009- up 26.46%
2002 -down 23.4%, 2003- up 28.68%
1974-down 29.7%, 1975 -up 31.55%
2022- down 20%, 2023- ?????
you decide.
$SPY $SPX
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Holy shit lol this guy rich. $VIX
Big buy sweeps on $VIX 55C 9/18 20,000 bought
Imagine 55 vix 😳
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Remember Bear market rallies are just as ferocious as the drops. We are likely to see one next week, should i drop another prediction this weekend?
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$SPY reporting earnings tomorrow @ 8:30, CEO Biden speaks at 10
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Bank of America says Tech stocks like $AAPL and $MSFT are ‘table-pounding buys’ ahead of quarterly results this week.
Kiss of death.
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$QQQ is up almost 1% while 41% of its holding is down 2%, crazy stuff.
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$VIX Every time we approached this 34-35 area on vix this year, we have rejected, this time different?
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8:15 ADP employment
8:30 Real GDP Q3 second reading
8:30 Advance economic indicators
8:50 Fed Bowman
9:45 Chicago PMI
10:00 Pending home sales
10:00 JOLTS
12:35 Fed Cook
1:30 Jerome Powell will speak at Brookings Institution
2:00 Beige book
Jammed pack wednesday 🎢
$SPY $SPX
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Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson is calling top, recommends investor to take profit here, he sees absolute top for $SPX at 4150 👀
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JPMorgan on protential CPI scanerios tomorrow.
10% chance of a print above 0.40% — a selloff in the range of 1.75% to 2.5%.
35% chance of a print between 0.30% and 0.40%, inclusive — JPMorgan anticipates the $SPY could either advance a quarter percentage point, or lose as much
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There has only been one other time in history that $QQQ finish in the green while not a single mag 7 name was green. The other time was Nov. 9, 2016.
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Trading psychology on $TSLA
2 weeks ago- “Not buying here, we are heading to $100”
1 week ago- “cmon give me 1 dip and i will go all in”
10% drop today - “we are heading lower. i will wait”
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$2.4 trillion options set to expire tomorrow, a lot of it on 4500 $SPX, should see it unpin tomorrow.
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Morgan Stanley names $NVDA a top pick, says sell-off is overdone and it’s a great time to buy 😳
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Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson says sell any bounce on this government intervention, next leg of bear market has begun 👀
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Debt talk is just a bear trap. They will drop the market a bit because talking tough is part of negotiation. They want to get all the bears excited, only to rip it back up when they announce a deal at the end of the week. Then you have the potential to sell the news, good traders
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JPM Trading desk on CPI scenarios for tomorrow
40% chance — CPI between 4% and 4.2%: $SPY would pop between 0.75% and 1.25% under this scenario,
35% chance — CPI between 4.2% and 4.4%: $SPY would trade between breakeven and 0.5% higher under this outcome, the traders
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$GME Implied move for tomorrow's youtube event is higher than earnings next week 🤣
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Similar action at similar levels both into CPI prints, Spooky. $SPX $SPY
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Between 2 p.m. and 2:30 p.m., traders appeared to have bought more than 24,000 $NVDA call contracts that expire Friday with a strike price of $1,940. They bought it in small lots of about 900 contracts, which could be indicative of retail traders, and paid $24,000 in total.
WSB
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We have a Federal Reserve that is actively hoping for mass layoffs in the workforce to cool down rampant inflation that they created. No one will be held responsible. Wild.
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Looks like everyone is bullish $NVDA into earnings tomorrow 🥱
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