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So...
I thought you might like this.
2023 season Defensive Handbook.
~400 pages of free information to help you have an intermediate understanding of how last year's NFL defenses were put together and performed.
Enjoy!
8
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59
Here's all visits by team broken out by position.
Some things I see:
- The Bucs are looking hard for more OL help.
- The Rams want another RB
- The Cowboys are focusing on defense
- The Ravens know they need a LB
- The Browns and Jets need some big O linemen in the worst way
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544
New league idea: vampire.
Normal start-up draft except one team does not get to pick at all. They just have to make a line up from waivers.
This team is the Vampire.
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Isaiah Crowell has 3,803 rushing yards in the NFL.
David Johnson has 3,128.
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Here it is!
My 2021 NFL defensive scheme handbook.
Your indispensable guide to understanding defenses.
What they do, how good they were, how they differ, what was really going on.
#NFLDefense
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The fantasy football industry is way too focused on "listen to me! I can predict the future better than those others".
And not nearly focused enough on "We all suck at predicting the future. So how can we prepare for and account for that?"
12
18
192
Most targeted players in the NFL after W1:
Ronald Darby 11
Denzel Ward 10
Adoree' Jackson 10
Steven Nelson 10
Terrance Mitchell 10
Anthony Hitchens 10
Dre Kirkpatrick 10
Tre Flowers 9
Shaquill Griffen 9
This is good indication of players that oppositions are targeting
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187
I'm old fashioned.
And English.
And I do this for a hobby - not as a career move.
If you want someone to provide free information for you - manners go a long way.
8
7
154
I play in leagues with roster size ranging from about 25 to 100.
I often think "its so great having large rosters so I can hold players I really like"
At no point do I ever find myself thinking "waivers are great. Doing them every week is fun".
Make your rosters bigger.
12
27
135
Isn't thinking Mecole Hardman will be awesome (because he might slot into Tyreeks role) a bit like thinking ASJ will be awesome (because he might step into Gronks old role)?
34
16
134
First rookie pick of the season is in:
Treylon Burks at 1.08.
22
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127
People who don't respond to a trade offer are the worst.
Accept, reject or negotiate.
Leaving it hanging on MFL so you can snap accept if news breaks is a dick move.
13
19
116
Hayden Hurst and Breshad Perriman in Baltimore.
Should both be entering their prime playing age in about 2011.
3
18
111
Hey there football fans.
I humbly present my 2022 defensive handbook.
A detailed look at what defined 2022 defenses, how they differed, what they were good at, and what they were bad at.
I hope you find it interesting, educational or both.
17
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113
I've left my old job. Don't start my new one until the 30th.
For this week - given its my only source of income - I'm a proffessional sports writer.
13
5
108
People always get pissed off when I share team my predicted defense rankings.
So here's a version that represents what each fanbase currently think.
17
4
107
I stupidly read some Carl Nassib comments.
There are some horrible, ignorant people around.
But the thing I thought was notable were the "it doesn't matter, just dont mention it" people.
That's not really good enough.
Carl himself mentioned why he thinks this is...
Representation
6
9
108
I tried to get most of my
#FFIDP
thoughts down in one place.
I't not exhaustive but I think it's helpful - particularly for less experienced IDP players.
Let me know if it's useful.
17
23
95
My trip is booked to the US to see a college and NFL game later this month...
I am very, very excited.
8
1
97
Here is the link to my big project for the year – a report breaking down every defense from the 2020 regular season to try and give people an idea of how they worked and what the tendencies were.
Access it here:
12
27
95
With rosters pretty set before the start of the season I thought I'd share team-by-team
#FFIDP
projections.
Let's gooooooooooooooooooooo............
11
32
96
Waivers are so boring.
Big benches>>waivers
10
3
93
Last time Dez had 1000 yards in a season: 2014.
Last time Megatron had 1000 yards in a season: 2015.
1
32
88
I'm giving serious thought to starting a new podcast about defensive football in general.
Going into detail on certain players and schemes.
Hmmm.....
15
8
89
Leonard Fournette in first 2 seasons:
1479 rushing yards.
487 receiving yards.
...
Trent Richardson in first 2 seasons:
1523 rushing
683 receiving
16
30
84
Tyreek Hill getting hit whilst defenceless.
But the authorities don't come to his aid.
The irony.
4
15
84
Kalen Ballage might be the worst player in the NFL.
So far this year:
19 rushes for 29 yards. 1.5 YPC.
7 targets. 3 catches. 29 yards. 3 drops. 1 INT when targeting him.
He is atrocious.
16
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84
A load of my rookie drafts this year have been full of people sitting on picks for hours and hours trying to trade them away.
By all means try and trade your picks. But don't spend a whole day on it. Consider the other 10+ people waiting.
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69
Stop.
Tagging.
Players.
...
Especially when the chat isn't even positive.
4
7
72
I made you a thing.
Yes: you.
It's a template for making your own
#FFIDP
projections.
Make yourself a copy, fill in the scoring, fill in the details and voila!
You'll have rankings.
So what are you waiting for?
Dive in and do your own.
1
12
72
This season Leonard Fournette has a touchdown for every 214 times he touches the ball.
Christian McCaffrey has scored every 16 touches.
5
10
70
If you want to be a football writer then you should be creating regular content. Even if it's only you who reads it.
No-one is going to believe "I'll start creating loads for you even though I've never shown the inclination before".
It's about the work. Not the audience.
9
11
66
Give me Joshua Kelley over Anthony McFarland in a heartbeat.
I think there's a good chance Kelley has a defined, significant role as a rookie.
21
2
68
"Andy Reid knows LeSean McCoy so well"
They haven't worked together since 2012.
What job were you doing in 2012?
Who was your boss?
Does that boss have a good idea of what your current capabilities are?
18
5
66
I'm hungover and my daughter is learning how to play her ukulele along to music from a jewellery box.
This is pretty bleak.
2
1
67
I'm done with Tyreek Hill.
His earlier assault on his girlfriend was horrific. But his supporters claimed he was a new man and deserved a 2nd chance.
Well he had his 2nd chance.
If someone you knew had done what he's done you'd burn the relationship and never look back.
12
3
65
There are a lot of people that don't like Tom Brady because he plays for a well run team that wins a lot.
I do not understand this.
Why be a football fan if you don't want to appreciate good football - wherever it comes from?
9
1
65
Corey Coleman to Buffalo.
No kid with his talent deserves those two teams as his first few years in the NFL.
12
6
65
Latest top 24
#FFIDP
2020 projections by position.
I look forward to you all telling me how wildly wrong I am!
😃
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Every time the Vampire team wins a weekly matchup they have to swap one of their starting line-up with one of their opponents at the same position.
So they'll start weak but with each win get a bit stronger.
If they manage to beat a good team they'll grow much more powerful
3
5
66
Ziggy Ansah pressures per year:
2013 34
2014 71
2015 66
2016 43
2017 37
2018 20
2019 9
Anyone see a trend?
15
4
61
My favourite thing about dynasty is stockpiling deep talent. And holding over a timescale of years.
I don't understand the appeal of small rosters and waiver churn.
70+ rosters are great. It makes the game about talent evaluation rather than short term resource management
8
12
62
Switch your whole league to bestball for the rest of the season.
6
3
63
Whatever charts I post [and there's a LOT] there's always someone who thinks it's super unfair and misleading of me to post it because they like the data in a different visualisation.
Cost of doing business on Twitter.
Here's the same data but also showing total visit numbers.
7
10
61
Is Twitter really down on Devin Singletary and Kerryon Johnson because their teams picked new backs?
They already shared a backfield. They now share a backfield with someone else.
If you thought they were in line for workhorse gigs then that was just foolish of you.
17
3
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Here is the link to my big project for the year – a report breaking down every defense from the 2020 regular season to try and give people an idea of how they worked and what the tendencies were.
Download it here:
[warning – it’s pretty big]
5
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61
LBs drafted in a recent startup.
Players I consider 3-down inside LBs in green. Ones with potential to do that in 2018 in orange.
The position is ridiculously deep. You can wait so much longer than you think you can.
9
12
61
The first player ever cut by the Carolina Panthers was...
Bill Goldberg
6
11
58
Ryan Tannehill cap hit this season:
Titans $1.875m
Dolphins $18.423m
That is not a typo.
2
9
59
Limited IR slots on big rosters sucks.
9
2
59
Updating my 100% free and publicly available projections post cut day.
Will be finished and released in the next 24 hours.
#FFIDP
3
7
58
A note to my American chums who might watch the game in England tomorrow.
It's being held in Tottenham.
That's pronounced TOT-num.
Not TOT-en-ham.
10
6
57
"Man who thinks his child and girlfriend should be terrified of him handed $54m"
What a world.
6
5
58
Yannick Ngakoue is being a dick and 30 teams are thinking "I'm not sure our locker wants this guy".
The Jags are thinking "I can't wait to get rid of this headache"
The Jets are thinking "let's mortgage the future for him"
3
6
55
Beat reporters (and anyone else in attendance) know they'll get a ton of likes and shares if they say a rookie or hype player stood out in training.
And their job requires them to rack up engagements.
They're telling us what we want to hear.
11
11
57
Out of interest this is most pressures over the past 5 years:
1.Aaron Donald
2.Von Miller
3.Khalil Mack
4.Michael Bennett
Jordan
6.Geno Atkins
7.Ryan Kerrigan
8.Fletcher Cox
9.Carlos Dunlap
10.Brandon Graham
6
15
53
Here's my current best guess at the 64 every down inside LBs in 2018.
16 of these wont even be an LB4.
32 of these won't make it into LB3 territory.
But no-one ever wants to say a LB is worse than LB4 value.
Which 16 won't even make it into LB4 territory?
14
16
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Here's my current top 50 LBs.
Feel free to disagree as much as you like and tell me how stupid I am. It's fun to debate.
But if you don't give any reasoning I'll have to ignore it I'm afraid.
#IDP
54
9
54
Hey chums: you don't need an apostrophe in positional abbreviations.
QBs not QB's.
Plurals do not require apostrophes.
You're typing in an extra character to be wrong.
11
3
53
My wonderful daughter is ten today.
10!
Where did all those years fly away to?
Amazin decade.
I'm so lucky to be her dad.
6
0
55
"I'd like to trade up but I don't really want to give up any good assets. Will you take this long list of crap instead?"
6
4
51
Tevin Coleman is not a good football player.
He can just some big runs on outside runs when he gets space to run.
But he's a poor inside runner because he has very little wiggle or change of direction.
Just straight line speed.
Disappointing year coming IMO.
21
9
49
Updated
#FFIDP
projection data for 2021.
Totally free.
Help yourself.
Enjoy.
Scoring is noted on a tab - but you can adjust to your own settings pretty easily.
12
9
53
Not a subtweet. Not calling anyone out in particular.
But I come on Twitter in the morning and it's full of "people outside the US are asleep and we can't make draft picks"
Whilst those same people don't pre-draft at all and us non-US types have to wait several hours for them.
14
2
52
Updated regular season 2022
#FFIDP
projections.
All 100% free and open.
All my historic accuracy and results are all somewhere on my feed.
So feel free to check how much you can trust these!
Enjoy.
2
11
52
Crazy talk.
I'm always surprised by the number of people who seem to think most football players are just wallpaper to the glory boys who carry the ball.
How can you claim to really love the sport of football if you only really like 6/22 players on the field?
IDP in fantasy football is like if we included fielding in fantasy baseball. This is just nonsense.
26
1
12
14
4
49
If the Rams TD allocation was slightly different it'd have been 2 Gurleys 1 Kupp
7
11
51
Derrick Henry touches and yardage for each season of his career.
3
8
50
With the season about to start I know I'll be wrong on a ton of stuff.
I project about 600 players.
Football is too complicated to predict perfectly.
The key is seeing what is wrong and moving on quickly.
Being wrong is ok.
Staying wrong is bad.
Make adjustments.
Adjust.
React.
6
3
51
Something I've been meaning to do for ages.
A QB periodic table.
Most "periodic tables" don't understand periodicity [in the chemistry usage].
Here I've tried to reflect both periods and groups.
How did I do?
22
2
50
How I think defenses will shake out in 2020.
This is in NFL quality - nothing to do with IDP.
46
7
48
It's beneficial for people in minorities of all kinds to have visible role models.
So that they can feel less isolated.
It's hard for people like me (white, straight, male, comfortable) to really understand this.
So we have to listen when minorities tell us it's important.
1
1
50
I see a lot of leagues. And the majority have some sort of unusual wrinkle to them.
About 70% of those wrinkles are just bad.
We're in an age where everyone is desperate for their league to be unique and cool.
Its like people getting awful tattoos to show what a rebel they are
12
4
48
Can't wait for a week of videos of receivers making routine catches and Twitter swooning over them.
5
3
50
Chuck Norris can't cover Kenny Golladay
7
15
50
I am always grateful and honored to receive an invite from
@ScottFish24
Thanks big fella!
#SFB11
6
1
49
A key part of fantasy football is realising it when you've made a mistake.
Accept it.
Move on.
Hanging on to old, misguided opinions does not help you.
A year ago I was trading for Eddie Lacy and Sean Spence. Total failures.
But I accepted the sunk costs and moved on.
13
1
47
As always during the season I'll be sharing a ton of snap data in handy, digestible formats.
If you can do me a favour - a couple of retweets really goes a long way.
Thanks!
5
26
49
I am currently the top fantasy football player at stone henge.
7
0
48
Xavien Howard so far this season:
15 targets
5 catches
151 yards
3 INTs
4 PDs
Passer rating of 32.2
Wow.
Out of 15 targets he's got his hands on 7 and only let 5 be caught. Mad numbers
#FinsUp
3
15
46
Trade bait is basically a list of bad players who are still over valued by the current owner.
8
6
45
I spend 11 and a half months telling myself Not to get carried away by rookies because their perceived value is so inflated.
But two weeks out from the draft...
3
5
44
Remember Hard Knocks less than a year ago?
Everyone was saying "I'm blown away by how great Jameis Winston is. What a leader. What a man"
Hard Knocks is not news. The team approves the edit. Its just PR. Don't get sucked in.
7
1
46
A rough view of how I see the LB landscape going into the season.
I've got 32 guys I'm confident in as full-time players.
Another 24 who should play most snaps and could maybe be full-time.
7
4
46
For
#IDP
purposes Khalil Mack should instantly make Leonard Floyd, Akiem Hicks and the Bears secondary better.
Mack will be a LB though on MFL so that Twitter riot will be fun
9
6
42
Across all NFL teams so far this season each team has averaged 669 defensive snaps for rookies.
The Dolphins have recorded 1,721
That's over 2 and a half times as much defensive rookie playing time as the average team.
2
9
41
Current list of players that I'm willing to bet on as full-time linebackers in 2022.
29 guys I feel confident in.
#FFIDP
15
6
45
I just traded for Eli Manning.
I feel dirty.
15
0
43
One of my favourite league rules:
Everyone has a rival for the season.
Whoever's team scores fewer points than their rival has to have a pizza delivered for the winner.
On the same day so the winners get to glory in it.
7
5
42
Kenny Golladay is getting so much ridiculous hype I keep thinking he must play for the Dolphins
5
7
41
Some thoughts on JJ Arcega Whiteside.
I picked up another share of him today.
I absolutely love his situation and I think he's one of the better value picks in rookie drafts this year.
Here's some reasons why.
#Thread
8
6
44
Here's my current DE projections for 2018.
Scoring system has a huge impact here. The balance of tackles vs big plays is key.
Why do I have your guy too low?
Why do I have my guy too high?
#IDP
32
8
44
If Cam is right and having sex makes you a worse QB...
Jimmy G is going to be horrible this year.
6
3
43
2021 defense.
As cap gets going I thought I'd throw down some thoughts about how I see each NFL defense in 2021 lining up.
3
18
43