Theory Trading
@TheoryTrading
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Part Time Equities Trader, Short Seller
Hilbert Space
Joined December 2020
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+$20k. Best day of my trading career and parabolic through all time equity highs. Crazy to think that just one year ago I had gotten off of a trading hiatus after a rough 2022 drawdown and was risking $300 per trade. I've been burning the candle at both ends working a full time
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+$60k record month for me (Tradersync doesn't include $4k loss on $ENVB today). Definitely an outlier month with insane opportunities and I don't expect to maintain these numbers as we inevitably slow down. Years of work and mental pain went into a month like this, so I'm going
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+$5.1k $SLNO A+ D2 short. It had a very high probability of a red close, but I'm quite disappointed that it faded significantly less than all of the other 500%+ runners I backtested. Expected a lot more action today in SC, but not much going on other than $PIXY
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$GFAI +$4.9k - First Red Day. A+ setup so I sized up a little.
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+$7.8k I believe this what you call an "all day fader" $ACON
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+$4k today and a +$40k all green record week for me. I didn’t do anything special this week, I just executed in very favorable market conditions for my system. $INBS $TOP
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+$12k best P&L day of the year. Tricky day, but I was aggressive on $POL and $SMFL after what happened to shorts yesterday. Unfortunately, I'm only halfway to climbing out of the drawdown that started at the end of last month. Hopefully many more ADFs are around the corner.
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+$4k $TUP - A+ FRD/Max dollar block short. +$12k this week off of three trades. Was flat on the month until this week. Didn't do anything special, just waited for the "free money" setups to come to me.
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Some rare honesty on fintwit: rando full blown tilt on $PBM for no particular reason considering I was up 100k+ this year. Made a good chunk back on $SGD. Absolutely dreadful trading today, but finishing the week green by some miracle. HAGW
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+$13.3k insane action again. Probably the craziest week for small caps since 2021 with huge P&L swings for me every day. Very much looking forward to a mental break with the upcoming long weekend. $CPOP $GXAI $HTOO $HOLO $SMCI
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$SHOT +$6.6k. Finally an A+ first red day setup, although I payed a fortune for the borrow (0.11 is absurd for a 35M float). Hitting the road so covering a little early, but I don't eod fade FRD anyway. Happy Thanksgiving to all.
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+$14.4k second best day of the year. Probably the most insane market I've seen since 2021. $DBGI $OMH $BMR $ARBB
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+$8k today and +$30k the last four trading days. Drawdown fully recovered and then some. Definitely the most edifying month for me this year as a trader. Many painful lessons were learned and new discoveries were made, which will all make me a much better trader in the long run.
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Moving away from daily P&L posting as I mentioned earlier today, but I had too much fun in Bangkok tonight to care. One last full edge leak chart with P&L today. What an amazing city. $VVPR
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+$13.6k - The insane action continues. Two A+ setups on $OCEA and $AISP. The only regret today was only taking a starter in $OCEA. Avoided $APM short. $NKGN $SWIN
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+$6k $SGMT $DWAC. Didn't click the short button today.
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+$4.4k $ABVC. The stock market gods have answered my prayers for one good non haltfest gapper. Taking the 44% gain and back to hiking.
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+$4.4k $QNRX. Just short the open like a dummy, go to the beach to drink mojitos all day and then cover near eod. EZ trading
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+$6.1k $TPST D2 - really nice setup, but not a great ADF considering the 2000% range it had. Avoided all of the haltfest tickers today. Would be nice to get some "normal" gappers, but seems this all they can pump in this low liquidity market. $OPGN, $SECO, $RSLS
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+$2.4k $GDC - Gap up short. Nice to finally get an easy one.
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+$9.3k - Action packed day. Drawdown now 80% recovered, so I might have some money for Christmas presents after all. Hope everyone has a great holiday break. I'm very much looking forward to a break from the markets after a very stressful month for me.
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Call me a piker, but I'll take a 50% gain in 3hrs after an offering any day of the week.
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+$8.4k today from $PCSA long and some other new short setups, which I'm keeping private for now.
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+$7.2k - I never expected a 50% winner in 30m to turn out to be a massive pike. I should have held until eod like a pure system bro I guess. $IFBD
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$CVNA - FRD/Max Dollar block short. First trade on it all year. Not much going on in small caps as of late.
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+$8.6k $OCEA - quick cut and reshort in the afternoon. $AISP - also an early paper cut and bias switch long. Took some time for the squeeze to develop.
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First and last long pretentious post discussing some content changes:
Maybe it’s all of the Buddhist temple visits here, but I’ve had some more time to reflect about long term mindset changes I’ve been wanting to implement for a while now to improve mental health, mindfulness,
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$RDHL another max loss well over the broker limit after the huge halt up to 2.5 with an entry at 1.42. Biggest drawdown of the year for me with back to back max outs with slippage after what was a good month for me until this week (still green). Not much I could have done here.
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$CYTO - gap up short (starter size). Easing back into trading after ~1 yr hiatus due to finishing my PhD, a new job & move, and poor market conditions (drawdown) in 2022. Looking forward to trading with things being more stable now and will get back to posting when time permits.
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Annihilated on $DTSS. Compounded risk up today due to my recent green streak and got stubborn on this 700%+ no news runner. Worst loss in two years, but fortunately only offsets yesterdays big day.
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It's been very easy for shorts the last few weeks (despite a lot of shallow fades), but that doesn't mean I'm going to repeat my old mistake of missing stress-free faders fearing every gapper is the next potential black swan. $BDRX
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+$3.3k $BNOX and $GPCR. Strong +$10k week to end an otherwise very slow month. I hope this action can continue into October. $FEMY
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+$4k - $TUP and $YELL FRD. A little bit sloppy executing $TUP. Really enjoying this current multi-day runner cycle. +$18k on my last 6 trades just waiting for the easy plays to come to me. The key going forward is to stay patient and humble.
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+$6.1k $INM and $LIAN. Finally got a nice fader after everyone got blown out on $INVO yesterday.
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+$7.1k $MLGO and $SVFD. Cherry picking one of the few winners from this week. A fraction of the borrows I wanted became available after open, which was very frustrating as this could have been a 3x larger winner. Almost makes up yesterday's double max day, but not quite.
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+$9k after borrows. Main winner $TGL. Market has been slow for my strategies as of late and I don’t plan on changing my criteria to adjust to a slow cycle. $TRUG
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+$5.8k first green day of the year. I was looking for more unwind on $MINM, but I'll take it. $OMGA quick paper cut.
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Total mess today with Das routing issues & wifi problems. Just going to call it a day. Disappointing for a day with good action, but I'm not going to continue to trade in a bad headspace right before my trip $CZOO $AVTX $GCTS
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I'll enjoy a few minutes feeling like Mr.🏹before the usual reversal $MINM
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In case anyone has been missing my pike job charts $LIPO
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+11.2k $VSTE and some $CXAI longs from the road. Visited the Taj Mahal and I'm headed to Thailand next.
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+$3.2k cycle shift in small caps today. $AIMD straight ADF from the open. $BNZI bad stop out in hindsight, but it's the same move that kept me from many max outs during the last 6 weeks. I wouldn't be surprised to see small caps cool off next week.
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Maxi on $RENT today and of course I didn't short the two that tanked straight from the open. At least I got to spend the day in paradise.
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+$3.4k $AIRE and $BCDA. Seems like we are in the reclaim/shallow fade part of the cycle.
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+$3.9k $ICCT short and -500 $NCNC long. Discretionary adds to $ICCT caused me to stop out and reshort HOD. I have to do a better job of sticking to my inital plan. $NCNC long pm expecting $MEGL or $SAI sympathy type run after yesterday's black swan. Disappointing action today.
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$MNK +$2.9k - D2 Gap up Short (Fully Systematic). Second trade of the week. High range D1 gappers are non-existent as of late, but nice to get some MDR plays. $TUP
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+$3k $BNOX. Clean fader until noon. Missed my cover targets while AFK and ended up giving $1k back on the afternoon discretionary adds. Solid trade, but sloppy execution today.
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+$5.3k off of $NVFY to end a slower week in small caps. Not happy with any of the shallow fades this week, but it beats losing I guess.
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$CDIO chart from today (added to the swing and brought risk up). Benji jokes aside, I've been working on longing more especially with how crowded HTB shorting has become.
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Not much worked out today. Pyramided heavily into $CADL, so took a decent loss despite what the chart looks like. Same with $MDAI. $GCTS-the one ticker that worked I had small size on. Just a frustrating end to the week for me.
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Max out on $CRBP. Unavoidable system loss here and glad that I covered before the skip ups into the 30s. It seems like we are headed into another strong cycle. $ACON $IVP
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April 2023 +$13.1k on 9 trades (8 wins, 1 loss). Really only my second month back to "active" trading after a ~1yr hiatus. Only traded my A+ setups while working a full time job (missed a few as well). Will continue to execute my system using Pareto's law while compounding.
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+$1.7k $BRSH. It went up too much, so I shorted. Then it went up more, so I added to my loser and held until I made money. Just as my day trading mentor taught me in the chatroom.
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$TENX - edge eroded ssr super nanofloat biotech short 🙃
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Feels a little too easy HTB shorting small caps as of late. I know a long overdue maxi is around the corner, but I'm taking what I can (within system criteria) while conditions remain favorable for shorting. $GSUN
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$FFIE - I most fortunately shorted the only gapper that wasn't a headache today. Busy days and getting home late, so I will be posting charts a bit more sparingly. $CTNT $MVV
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$RENT - Big winner on this first red day setup. I have to board a 16hr flight home, so piking here. Last day in Asia and India. New Delhi is a city which I would describe as chaotically beautiful. Attaching some pics before it's back to the grind and just charts for a while.
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Who needs edge eroded data? Just blind long the trash up 1000% and make 100%+. $HOLO
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I didn't hit $JXJT at open. Yesterday's big loss clearly affected me today. Took $CHNR instead for a loss which was mostly offset by the $DTSS winner. Walking early as I'm off my game today.
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There's more to D1 gappers than shorting the open based on D1 red close probability. Currently working on refining a metric to predict the probability of a push (and the percentage) after the open in hopes of obtaining higher RR trades.
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+$7.5k off of a couple of edge eroded trades. Looking out for all of the system bros today, so no charts. I’ll have to take the 50%+ hit on the likes.
#edgeleak
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I guess stocks can only all day fade 60% from the open for so long. $EVAX
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Some A+ opportunities on $GDC and $FFIE today. I'll post the "uglier" chart today. All in all a good but stressful 4/4 green week (skipped Monday) with lots of volatility. I suspect some "easier" shorting conditions are around the corner.
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+$4k $SXTC $CGA. Have to board a flight, so covering early today. Really nice parabolic run of +$37k the last 6 trading days and a great comeback this year after a red year in 2022. Hopefully the action remains hot as I enter year 4 of trading. Happy New Year to all.
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+$1.2k - small caps remain hot. I went under half size on all plays today as I'm on vacation and a bit under the weather. Loss on $ARBB, but recovered on $IINN and a new strategy that I'm keeping private for now.
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+6.8k updated P&L after a couple of more trades on $HCDL and $NEXI. Recovered about a third of this week's losses today.
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+$4k ($200 locates) $NBTX - very straightforward and stress-free D2 setup. Always very nice to have tightly packed consolidation resistance to risk off of and maximize RR. $TRVN circus haltfest today up ~400% will be on watch for tomorrow.
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@shortninja4
@cmnd
@morgantrades
Imagine paying him $700/month for “tape reading training” and then finding this out. Should have been obvious from the start.
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+$2.3k $LIFW and $PXMD. Glad to see small caps are heating up a bit. $CDIO
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-$900 $SLNO. Very happy with my execution on this loser ($15k position). We were long overdue for a black swan, but I could not avoid shorting a 400% gapper. Tomorrow should be interesting. $FEMY $DMK.
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-$2.1k. Max out with slippage on A+ setup $TPST. Recovered some on $SPRC D1 with resistance, but expected more fade. Hard to get any momentum going in this market. The plays are either haltfests, or very short crowded nanos.
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-$5k red day mainly from $OCEA D2. It was borderline, but system had me take it. Hopefully it turns into a MDR $HOLO $ZVSA.
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+$700 $SPRC small winner. Good month so far without any real red days, but no A+ setups to size up on.
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Pike day trading from the TSA checkpoint line. No idea if I will have internet on my 14hr flight to Japan. As usual another very active market day when I have travel planned. $LUCY $BOF $BCDA
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$STAF - up 200%+, no news, no cash, and appealing a decision to be delisted. The usual small cap A+ elite trader long setup.
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+$2.2k $BIOC. Really slow week for my setups. Will work on potentially expanding my playbook to nano and microfloats this weekend.
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+$5.4k $INTS. Very messy chart today. Ending the week slightly green, but completely mentally drained after three max outs and continued tricky price action this week. Trading through a drawdown after sizing up while working full time has not been easy the past few weeks.
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+$6.2k. Small caps definitely slowing down after an insane few weeks of action, but we still had some opportunities today. Will be mindful of avoiding overtrading/dopamine seeking trades as we inevitably slow down. It’s probably an ideal time to bite the bullet and do a wire out
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+$1.4k (43%) - $GSIT Long. Working on adding some longs into the playbook.
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Unfortunately, I won’t be having my first all red week thanks to $ALT. Long term data for this particular type of D1 says to nail and bail. Nice to get some green on the board after my worst week of the year. HAGW
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Fintwit special today: cherrypicking the $BENF chart, which bailed me out of an oversized and sloppy loss on $SGBX. Got a bit caught off guard with how strong that move was given the weakness as of late, but ending small green after pricey borrows despite some poor trading to end
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The early small cap "black swan" polling results indicate that I'm safe to short these until June 🙃 $CPOP
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Felt good enough to trade from bed today. Nice green day shorting $LASE and $DXYZ.
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-$1.5k $INBS $MINM. I hope that I don't trigger too many system bros with that early "stop out".
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$BNRG-traded like Bao today (I'm green, just trust me). Don't trade jet lagged and on 36hrs+ of no sleep. You might also accidentally end up -30% bagged ON long on $LUCY after covering and forgetting to cancel a stop order, which later gets filled as a buy. Time for some sleep.
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At least when you have a max out day in Thailand you can go stuff your face with noodles and head right to bed vs thinking about it all day.
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Wrecked on $HOLO. Would be nice if we got a D2 off of this. It's been a while since we had a good one.
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+$1.8k $BJDX. First trade in almost two weeks. Capital preservation is the focus for this dead slow month. Happy to be avoiding the daily $AVGR traps, my system said not to short every day this week. Will be on watch for tomorrow if it can extend more.
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