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Subscribe to our free weekly newsletter, The Mexico Weekender! Get access to exclusive content not available on our website, like guest writers, expanded articles, a news run down, and lots of other perks.
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Mexico just wrapped up the most violent election cycle in its history. The assassination attempt on Donald Trump holds lessons for its leaders.
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Mexico's opposition alliance is dead, and its parties are discredited. Where next for opposition politics in Mexico? We explore the state of things with
@Arturo_Sarukhan
in today's feature.
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As Claudia Sheinbaum gets to grip with her economic inheritance, she might be mindful of the apocryphal Chinese curse "may you live in interesting times." Read our latest on Mexico's economy here.
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Following
@Claudiashein
's recent cabinet appointments,
#Mexico
will have two
#climate
scientists in charge. What does that mean for a country reliant on oil revenues?
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The assassination attempt on Trump holds lessons for Mexico. Here's what Mexico's leaders should be thinking about as they process events in the US
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#MexicoCity
's creative scene is booming. To make sure the boom doesn't turn to bust,
#Mexico
needs a skills strategy.
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Seven of Sheinbaum’s cabinet picks currently hold positions in Amlo’s govt. Three will hold the same position. Historic amount of continuity between different presidents’ cabinets.
Siete secretarías del próximo gobierno serán encabezadas por personas que han sido parte del gabinete actual, tres de ellas tendrán al mismo titular. Eso es algo nunca se había visto en la actual era constitucional.
Mi Bitácora de este viernes 👉
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@Arturo_Sarukhan
Mexico doesn’t owe AMLO (or any other politician) “departure presents.” The gift Mexico gave AMLO was being allowed to serve in the first place. That senior Morena figures don’t understand this is precisely the danger of all this.
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@ElParece
Not sure many people understand he already tried during his 1st term but was thwarted by the "adults" in the room. This really isn't talk, and there won't be any such adults around next time.
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Mexico's upcoming regulator bonfire poses real risks for the incoming Sheinbaum administration. Eventually, it could undermine AMLO's legacy with his own supporters.
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“The film community in Oaxaca needs the attention of the state. They focus heavily on tourism but not on the stories they promote. Culture is never on the agenda.” -
@nolirome
speaks to us about a vital cultural initiative she's leading in Oaxaca:
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AMLO may need reminding there’s no pausing relations with other countries or their embassies; you either have them or you don’t.
@Arturo_Sarukhan
tells us “It is gobbledygook and diplomatic malpractice.”
AMLO puts Mexico’s relations with the US / Canadian embassies on “pause” over their criticisms of his judicial reforms.
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Anti-judicial reform protesters in Mexico City have breached the Senate plenary and forced an indefinite halt to proceedings.
🗣️ Cientos de manifestantes irrumpieron en el Senado para protestar en contra de la Reforma Judicial, mientras en el recinto legislativo se realizaba la sesión en la que se discute el dictamen.
📹
#VIDEO
:
@sharonmercado57
| EL UNIVERSAL
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@JACrespo1
All the ingredients of a serious economic crisis are there and brewing. It’s not helped that Biden admin has treated AMLO w kid gloves for 4 years. But Morena’s arrogance toward their int’l partners mixed with truly terrible policy decisions are going to bite them.
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We caught up with
@EAnthonyWayne
this week to look at the 5 key questions US policymakers will be asking as
@Claudiashein
takes power in Mexico.
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Important from
@MarioMal
on Sheinbaum's proposed "super-secretaries," who will be overseeing Mexico's previously autonomous regulatory bodies inc
@CNH_MX
@INAImexico
@cofecemx
@IFT_MX
. Huge reorganisation of the state. Big implications for consumers & investors, & advancing
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If you’re in NYC don’t miss this, particularly Buñuel’s The River and Death. But a lot of great and rare titles here.
@FilmLinc
via
@juancalder
Spectacle Every Day: Mexican Popular Cinema (
@FilmLinc
).- "a sweeping retrospective of Mexican cinema from the 1940s through the 1960s, to be presented at FLC from July 26 through August 8. With new restorations of many works rarely screened or some...
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Important reality check on the Zambada arrest from
@VFelbabBrown
, who knows better than most.
Here is my detailed take on the pros & cons of El Mayo's arrests & high-value targeting
The Sinaloa cartel arrests: Stunning tactical success, strategic blunder? | Brookings
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“What you've seen is a drip, drip, drip of deterioration of Mexico's reputation, credibility, and stature in the world," says
@Arturo_Sarukhan
in a wide ranging conversation with us about the damage he says AMLO has done to Mexico's global standing.
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Sheinbaum faces a bitter “day after the night before.” This reform, pushed through with gangster-like tactics which undermine her feminist & leftist credentials, could unravel her presidency. More on last night’s vote:
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Opposition figures in Mexico are keeping a close eye on PAN Senator Miguel Ángel Yunis, currently under state level investigation, as the one among their ranks who may help Morena pass its judicial reform. From
@politicomx
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And for those of you who want to dive deeper into the judicial reforms, this thread from
@Juan_OrtizMX
is a much more exhaustive rundown of what’s in the proposal. 👇🏼
🗳️📌Dictamen de la Reforma Judicial 19/n: Nadie gana más que el Presidente
📍Los sueldos de los funcionarios del Poder Judicial, tanto a nivel federal como en los estados y la Ciudad de México, no podrán ser mayores al del Presidente de la República.
📍Esto se aplicará a
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Mayors are targets in Mexico. But Alejandro Arcos is 1st state capital mayor to be murdered since the 90s. His murder came during the same week Sheinbaum unveiled her govt's security strategy & pushed on w/ AMLO's judicial reforms. Arcos' killing signals perils ahead for both.
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@ElParece
This is crucial. No clue if AMLO was in anyone’s pocket or not, but the reality around García Luna has to be understood here if you’re interested in having a rounded view of informants’ potential motivations and the political dynamics in play at the time.
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Gerardo Noroña is in as Senate President. A not wholly surprising choice given his closeness to Sheinbaum, but one which is unlikely to calm the nerves of Mexico’s jittery partners.
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👇🏼
Lopez Obrador's statement this am that he is "pausing" (diplomatic practice is being coined and reinvented as we speak in Mexico!) relations with the US and Canadian embassies in Mexico City is red meat for his base. A more serious prospect that the Biden Administration - and the
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AMLO & Sheinbaum fundamentally can’t - or won’t - read the (geopolitical) room, according to
@Arturo_Sarukhan
today in
@ElFinanciero_Mx
. Worth reading 👇🏼
✍️
La expresión de no saber "leer el salón" refleja nítidamente el hecho de que ni el gobierno saliente ni el entrante entienden -o quieren entender- el impacto financiero, bilateral y geopolítico que las reformas de AMLO tienen y tendrán para 🇲🇽. Mi columna
@ElFinanciero_Mx
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From a UK perspective, Morena has entered the same sort of up is down, black is white universe that the Tories entered after the Brexit vote. They have committed to a fundamentally incoherent and economically illiterate idea of the world, in service of a charismatic demagogue &
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Mexico's judiciary workforce has begun an indefinite strike in response to AMLO's "aggressive" judicial reform proposals, via
@infobae
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AMLO's judicial reform win is a Pyrrhic victory. It sets Mexico on a slow, painful drift out of the North American club of democracies. Sheinbaum will spend her term picking up the pieces, but they may not fit together again. Our take on yesterday's events
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In a day full of eye-watering figures, here is one more: Pemex accounts for 60% of all oil company related debt in the entirety of Latin America.
Pemex registra 60% de la deuda de petroleras en América Latina: Fitch
De 11 empresas de la región, la deuda al cierre de 2023 asciende a 176,000 millones de dólares, de los cuales 106,056 millones corresponden a Pemex, de acuerdo con la calificadora.
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This 👇🏼
Mexico president AMLO is insisting on non-intervention in Venezuela. Not sure how that squares with harrassing, detaining and deporting Venezuelan refugees in Mexico as per its agreement with the US. Especially as there will now likely be many more seeking refuge/to get to the US
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ICYMI: The upcoming regulatory bonfire in Mexico is unnecessary and counter-productive. It will become an albatross for the incoming Sheinbaum administration. More from us here:
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Last week we published our take on the major implications the judicial reform has for Mexico as it nears renegotiation time for USMCA:
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… simply won’t have the skill, common touch, or economic room for manoeuvre to meaningfully address. Tories also thought US would prop up their economic madness through trade deals & other concessions which never arrived. In the space of one parliament, the Tories went from…
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Like AMLO, Claudia Sheinbaum is set to reject the world stage, which will further undermine Mexico's global position. Mexico’s int'l partners should stop waiting for Sheinbaum to emerge as a pragmatic reformer. She very likely won't.
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AMLO says "the best foreign policy is a good domestic policy." So on the week Mexico's domestic policy got a lot of foreign attention, we took a look at the current state of Mexico's foreign policy with
@Arturo_Sarukhan
&
@JJGomezCamacho
.
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The full judicial reform proposal has been published. 👇🏼is a helpful, quick thread outlining some of the key points.
Desde mi punto de vista, los cambios sustanciales a la Reforma Judicial en el dictamen que está circulando son los siguientes 🧵
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PAN Senator Yunes’ father has taken his place in the Senate, and appears here flanked by Morena figures, expressing his “total independence,” in what frankly looks like a hostage video. In the context of what’s gone down today, there’s just no other way to read it.
Acompañado por los senadores de Morena, como Félix Salgado Macedonio y Óscar Cantón Zetina, Miguel Ángel Yunes Linares reitera que votará con total independencia sobre la Reforma Judicial
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@HundMati
“La victoria de Sheinbaum encapsula la profunda frustración con la transición democrática en México, que no ha cumplido sus promesas.” Eso es 💯 correcto.
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Full list of 18 constitutional reforms AMLO is tabling on 1 Aug for committee approval, ahead of new, Morena supermajority congress in Sept. Inc judicial reform and militarisation of the National Guard. Safe to say these are major items receiving the slightest formal scrutiny.
🗳️📌APROBARÁN LAS 18 REFORMAS CONSTITUCIONALES DE AMLO ESTE 1 DE AGOSTO
Se prevé que la Comisión de Puntos Constitucionales de la Cámara de Diputados sesione este 1° de agosto, a las 11 am.
Repasemos los temas:
📍Reforma Judicial
📍Guadia Nacional bajo mando de la SEDENA
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Claudia Sheinbaum has announced a much needed new Cabinet-level Ministry for Women. It will be led by
@CitlaHM
who will have a very full in-tray come October 1st. Via
@eleconomista
:
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…an aura of political invincibility to being toxic & loathed. For those of us who were always anti-Tory & anti-Brexit, this was welcome relief. We suffered through that era, but nowhere near as much as their core supporters did. Morena is repeating all this. 5/5
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Everything about this statement from El Mayo is extraordinary.
BREAKING: Statement released by El Mayo Zambada through his lawyer says he was ambushed when expecting to meet Rubén Rocha Moya, the governor of Sinaloa, and Héctor Melesio Cuen Ojeda, politician who was killed on the days of the arrests.
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Once you embrace a politics based around fantasy, without any guardrails, as the UK did, things start to go very badly, very quickly. He doesn’t understand it, but the institutions AMLO hates so much are precisely what has kept his project from going totally off the rails & thus
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“Never forget we are waiting for you. Never expect us to forget you.” A moving portrait of Cristina Bautista, mother of Benjamín Ascencio Bautista, one of the 43 disappeared students of Ayotzinapa. By
@LuisAntonioR_mx
via
@PdPagina
#Portafolio
📸Benjamín Ascencio Bautista es uno los 43 estudiantes de Ayotzinapa que fueron desaparecidos por policías municipales y el crimen organizado en 2014. Cristina Bautista, su madre, lo busca desde entonces.
✍️📷
@LuisAntonioR_mx
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AMLO’s equivocation on Venezuela was always cynical, shortsighted, and, frankly, stupid. But it looks even more so against images like this.
La pequeña asamblea de ciudadanos que preside
@MariaCorinaYA
Venezuela no se rinde, tenemos las actas, ganamos!!!
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AMLO is channelling the impossible Brexit logic of Britain's Boris Johnson. Boris' party learned the hard way that a tug-of-war with reality only ends one way in politics:
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After this week’s events, it’s clear Mexico’s political opposition still doesn’t get AMLO’s playbook. More from us here:
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Three former PRI leaders have brought a formal challenge against Alito Moreno’s internal party power grab. On Tuesday we wrote about what Moreno’s continued leadership means for Mexico’s opposition.
Expresidentes del PRI impugnaron ante el Tribunal Electoral la asamblea nacional y las reformas a los estatutos del partido. Alegaron que la asamblea se realizó de manera ilegal y que las reformas permitirían a "Alito" Moreno permanecer en el cargo hasta 2032.
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Heavily indebted Mexican telecoms firm Altán Redes would become “the new Pemex” under plans to bring it under CFE’s control, reports
@ExpansionMx
via
@Analupace
Altán Redes se convertiría en 'un nuevo Pemex' bajo el control de CFE, advierten 👇
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As soon as this slate of reforms actually becomes reality, the contradictory tensions at the core of this unreality are going to manifest in a series of unpredictable (but totally foreseeable) ways which will strain the electoral coalition he’s built, and which Sheinbaum - like
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Sunday listening from CDMX based artists
@mernasta
and Rodrigo Blanco.
¡Estamos de estreno! 💥
@mernasta
y Rodrigo Blanco regresan con el single "Marte", un viaje espacial y futurista con un flow muy particular.
¡Disfruta y comparte!
🎧
#poramoralarts
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AMLO has proposed “faceless judges” as a means of tackling organised crime. He did this standing in front of a chart which quite literally broadcast the names and locations of judges overseeing organised crime cases. 👇🏼
AMLO dijo que le preocupaba la seguridad de jueces que resuelven casos de delincuencia organizada
Por eso propuso reservar su identidad: jueces sin rostro
Ahorita, frente a AMLO se están exhibiendo nombres y ubicaciones de jueces que resuelven casos de delincuencia organizada
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Essential reading from
@AmerQuarterly
on the poor record of prosecutors in Mexico. Any reform of Mexico’s justice system should address this. Unfortunately AMLO’s does not
Prosecutors in Mexico are responsible for both investigating and prosecuting crimes. But they have astonishingly poor results, writes
@TMattiaceHRW
.
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