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The Tail That Wags The Dog

@TailThatWagsDog

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The function of a financial market is to transfer risk. I design and develop decision support tools for AI-human hybrid investing. Medium-term horizons.

Never advice. Just ideas.
Joined August 2024
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
3 months
1/2 All stocks and options posted are examples only. These are not recommendations to buy or sell any security and they do not represent in any way a positive or negative outlook for any security. Potential returns do not take into account your trade size, brokerage commissions,
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
5 hours
Pop Quiz 0DTE Options Heads Ques #1: What do you think all that call activity is at the open ... coinciding with a pre-market decline? Ques #2: What do you think is going on with that spike in put activity at the lunch time low? - - - - - - ANSWER KEY 1. Bought 2. Sold
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
7 hours
2/ Those are in green. (I calculate changes in gamma exposure returns.) The white squares mark dark pools peak buying instances (rolling forward). And you can see why I was bullish the Friday data. The volatility bands are based on Jeff Augen's work. (Educational only.)
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
7 hours
@LongSiempre @_TruthOutThere Gracias por el amable cumplido. Estoy feliz de ser de ayuda.
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
10 hours
@slimbo_klice Yup.
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
12 hours
@_TruthOutThere Part quant ... part luck. When an old EF Hutton guy speaks, I listen.
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
13 hours
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
13 hours
This was a prediction, made on Friday. Whereas dark pools had been selling strength (while still net long), beginning February, they began buying strength. My (proprietary) algorithm evaluates 20 aspects in dark pools price dynamics, not just those mentioned on X. Just sayin'.
@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
2 days
Image Left • YTD, dark pools buying support, selling resistance, buying more than they're selling. • Also buying more than they're selling of QQQ, TLT, and GLD. • See insets for details. Image Right • Until recently, dark pools were trimming positions as the market moved up.
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
1 day
@thestkmarket Time will. Not sure. Thanks for your kind comments over the years.
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
1 day
Not sure if you guys are aware of how helpful the Nasdaq website is ... when it comes to researching a company. Take, for example, Cero Bio ... a small biotech ... but if you have a moment, check out the insights you get from the folks at the Nasdaq:
@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
1 day
Speaking as a physician, focused on the cellular biology side of medicine ... the work that this company is doing ... will some day be really valuable. I hope they do well. Dark pools currently accumulating. Never advice.
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
1 day
Speaking as a physician, focused on the cellular biology side of medicine ... the work that this company is doing ... will some day be really valuable. I hope they do well. Dark pools currently accumulating. Never advice.
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
2 days
@DissonantTrader If ave buying volume > ave sell volume, then buy volume/ave buy volume ... vice versa when selling volume dominates.
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
2 days
“The degree of risk present in a market derives from the behavior of the participants, not the securities, strategies, and institutions.” Howard Marks "The Most Important Thing"
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
2 days
@TRarebare Hear you.
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
2 days
@SciFlows Grateful.
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@TailThatWagsDog
The Tail That Wags The Dog
@TailThatWagsDog
2 days
@improvingtrader I'll share the breakdown later. But ... yup.
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