Daniel O'Sullivan
@TRBHorseRacing
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The art & science of racehorse performance analysis. WFA Performance Ratings, times, sectionals, data insights & more. #punting #betsmart #thegreatgame
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✳️ANNOUNCEMENT✳️
🏇TopRate - A smarter way to study the form!
🗓️Today marks the beginning of an exciting new era with the early rollout of TopRate. Details below 👇
🎦Haven't seen the overview video yet? Watch below to see how TopRate makes it easy to level up 📈your
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To put some context around the speed shape in The Turnbull... Winx ran first 800m in 50.82s / last 800m in 43.98s. That's a 41 length difference! Her last 600m 32.21s and last 200m an unbelievable 10.87s. Lack of speed and her position made it impossible for her to be dominant.
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🏇Verry Elleegant - a 114 WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊to win the 🏆Melbourne Cup
*⃣ Best overall Cup rating I have since 2008.
*⃣ The fastest time rating on record
*⃣ A dominant 4L margin to 3 well credentialed chances - big margins behind them.
🌏Absolute world class!
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The loss of any young life is tragic, but to think that a young man & his family can go from experiencing the career high of winning at the pinnacle of our sport to this utter life-changing devastation just 6 weeks later is a sickening feeling. Life is so fragile 💔🙏🏇
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Listening to Matt Hill call events at
@Beijing2022
So well researched, great delivery & theatre. He's an elite broadcaster by any definition, 🏇racing is lucky to have him. With decades still left in his profession, I think he'll end up as one of the great voices in 🇦🇺 sport.
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🏇Unpacking the Queen Elizabeth Stakes ⏱️⚖️📊
⏱️In the run:
*⃣ Pride Of Jenni went at a similar speed to the 800m and 600m mark as she did in the Australian Cup. Her extreme leading margin was hugely contributed to by the incredibly casual nature of the chasing pack.
*⃣ As an
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Rothfire🏇🔥 ran a 107.5 WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊 in his dominant Run To The Rose win on Saturday.
The very best 3YO performances we've seen in recent history sit in the 107 to 108.3 range: Nature Strip, Yes Yes Yes, Bivouac, Exceedance, Trapeze Artist, Flying Artie.
#elite
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What a remarkable legacy completed by 🏇Verry Elleegant - Winning a Melbourne Cup🏆 by 4L on Good ground with 57kg. Historically significant! Add a Caulfield Cup + numerous G1 WFA wins at 1400m to 2400m - incredible! A mare that will be still talked about in 100+ years time!
🏇🏽Verry Elleegant⭐️ Something to add to the conversation about her deeds - since the Oaks April 19, everything about her says “elite stayer” 2400m best & likely further. Historically, horses of that profile that regularly won at 1400-1600m WFA are among the best we’ve ever seen.
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Santa Ana Lane has run a stunning 110.7 WFA Performance Rating winning the TJ Smith on Sat. That's the best sprint performance in the world this season. He was +1L better than Trapeze Artist's 108.5 dominant 2L win in 2018 & much better than Chautauqua's wins 105, 107.8, 106
#WBS
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BIVOUAC - A world class 111.2 WFA Performance Rating🏇⏱️⚖️📊 from his dominant G1 Darley Sprint Classic at Flemington on Saturday.
That's the second best sprinting performance we've seen in Australia over the past 5 years behind Classique Legend's 111.7 win in The Everest ⚡️
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🏇CLASSIQUE LEGEND - A stunning 111.7 WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊winning The Everest on Saturday.
That's an elite world class performance that should see him ranked the world's best sprinter in the next update.
Exceeds Nature Strip's 111 & Santa Ana Lane's 110.7 career peaks.
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NSW Racing boss Peter V’Landys just stated in his opening remarks:
"Let me just explain something. The people that fund the industry isn't the punter, it's isn't the government, it's the owner of the racehorse."
We can all debate the chicken or the egg, but these comments
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Will they give up on "restraining" Nature Strip? He's a fresh 1000-1100m speed machine! 8 starts for 7 wins in that range when 21+ days btw runs - last 5 ratings: 105.5, 108, 106.5, 108.5, 108. That's elite G1 class on the global stage. Why try to make him something he's not?
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🏇ESPIONA's win at Flemington (1400m) earned a 104 WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊
*⃣ Top 3YO filly this season. Fangirl 101 next best.
*⃣ Within 1L of the best 3YOF's we've seen up to 1600m in past 5 yrs - Sept Run, Sunlight, L'Gaby, M'Journey, V'Elleegant.
*⃣ Only her 2nd start!
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Put aside the overtaxing of punters, surely the strategic plan for racing should now be about reducing costs to own & train a🏇➕various staffing issues? Why not put $50m+ into strategic subsidies? The threats to a better industry in the long-term are not a lack of prizemoney.
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Calls that Anamoe 🏇🏼 needs to go back to a mile is a huge knee jerk reaction, trying to add a palatable explanation to the nature of that defeat. His three best career ratings are all at 2000m. There were no such calls when he was beaten a lip in the 2021 Cox Plate as a 3YO and
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💻Data in 🏇racing is a huge asset, I'm one of the bigger data nerds in the game. However, it's important not to get carried away with it & think racing analysis is a science. It's just as much an art-form.
Embrace both elements of the🏇game and you'll be better of for it.👀⚖️💻
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🏇GIGA KICK: His L600m rating⏱️ in the Challenge Stks is my fastest from 1,569 runs at RAND 1000m since Aug 2016.
* Early speed dictates the potential to run an elite L600m & not all get the same chance in their career, but this is still a big 😮 from Giga Kick - a 3YO!
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🇫🇯🌴Fiji home project - Vaulina & her family lived in the green shed you see below for 17yrs. Today it was a privilege to see the completed home that now stands in its place & experience their emotional gratitude 🥲 All made possible with the generous help of🏇racing friends🙏
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The acceleration and sustained speed that 🏇🏼Dubai Honour has put on display here is something to admire. The overhead view shows it so well.
⏱️His final 800m of 46.39 secs at the end of 2000m in the QE is within a length of what impressive sprint winners Zapateo (46.26) and
Re-live Dubai Honour’s epic Longines Queen Elizabeth Stakes win from above.
Catch a different angle of the UK 🇬🇧 star’s stunning Group 1 win at Royal Randwick.
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Twitter is the place for an ever increasing volume of “look, I backed a winner”posts, but I’ll do the opposite & lament how tough the punt can be! My best bets have looked more like lays the past few weeks. Close 2nd’s etc. Nothing I haven’t seen before, but it still hurts 😫
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Time for a post 🏇🏼 carnival wind down with this superb bottle of Yarra Valley red 🍷👌🏼 and my amazing wife, a huge support across the Spring, especially of my long hours.
#blessed
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🏇ZAAKI🔥 - An elite 110 WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊 in his 7L Doomben Cup win.
Only 3 horses better at 1600m+ in last 5yrs
👉Winx 110+ (9 times)
👉Hartnell 111 (2016 Turnbull)
👉Francis Of Assisi 110.5 (2016 QE 10L win)
🎯Last 2 Cox Plates: Sir Dragonet 106, Lys Gracieux 108
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This is terribly sad news 😢Deane Lester is an icon of the 🏇racing industry. He has made an immeasurable contribution to the sport & its participants, big & small, over 20+ years. I would love to see RVL honour him well into the future via a stakes race or media scholarship?
We can report sadly that Deane Lester has passed away tonight at Melbourne’s Alfred Hospital aged 54.
Our condolences go to Deane’s family including mum Sandra and his partner Leanne.
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ARCADIA QUEEN: An outstanding 108.5 WFA Performance Rating winning the Kingston Town Classic. Only bettered this season by Winx's Cox Plate win (111 +1.7L) - Since 1/8/2015 only 3 horses: Winx (many), Hartnell (2016 Turnbull) and Humidor (2nd to Winx in CP) have rated better.
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Back in Fiji 🇫🇯🌴 for 2 weeks working on community projects + some R&R. Here’s over 1,000 exercise books for the 120+ kids that are part of our 2023 school 🏫 sponsorship program. The kids belong to families that struggle to afford to their school uniform & supplies each year.
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This is a proper track update 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼
Too often, media in other States tell us nothing more than the forecast weather, rail and track condition… with some marketing talk about what a great days racing it will be. They provide zero extra information to what can be read on the
We walked the track at Morphettville with
@eaglepunt
this morning ahead of a blockbuster Goodwood Day!
He gives us a bit of an insight to how the track should play out for the last day of the 2024
@sportsbetcomau
Adelaide Carnival, and a review of last week 👀
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Something quite remarkable is in play NZ at the moment... apprentice jockey Kozzi Asano has now ridden 8 winners in a row. Thursday New Plymouth rode the last 5 winners at $1.7, $5, $9, $3.3, $4 and today at Gore the first 3 races at $6, $6.5, $4.2 (in from $7). Surely a record??
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🏇STORM BOY ran an elite 105 WFA Performance Rating ⏱️⚖️📊 to win the 2YO Magic Millions Classic on Saturday.
Everything about this performance, from the clock to margins to the way he did it working early and still the strongest late, says it was one of the best juvenile
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This is a long one… The problem I see at the moment is that on many fronts RV is losing the communication & narrative battle, with just about every stakeholder. It doesn’t matter how necessary or how much merit your ideas and strategic initiatives have, if the communication
"You've got to make racing as fan-friendly as possible."
RV CEO Andrew Jones explains the idea of jockeys wearing ear pieces & mics during a race 🎙
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🏇 The average Sydney & Melbourne Saturday race market percentages:
*⃣ 2021 - Half 1 = 116.1%
*⃣ 2021 - H2 = 116.4%
*⃣ 2022 - H1 = 116.8%
*⃣ 2022 - H2 = 117.9%
*⃣ 2023 - H1 = 118.6%
The 2023 figure of 118.6% doesn't paint the full picture:
▶️Jan to March = 118.1%
▶️Apr to June
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🏇STATE OF REST ran a 108 WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊 to win the Group 1 Prince Of Wales Stakes at Royal Ascot.
Since the start of his 3YO season: 97🇮🇪 - 103🇺🇸 - 106🇦🇺 - 106🇫🇷 - 105🇮🇪 - 108🇬🇧
4 x G1 wins in 4 countries - He has elite talent and constitution🏇
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Interesting question... "If Dr Grace Forbes was aware of CT scan results, which she believed put Marmelo at risk of catastrophic injury, why was he allowed to gallop at full speed with Hugh Bowman riding, in front of her and others at Werribee on Tuesday?"
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The theory that a top jockey🏇 going to a race meeting for just one ride means something about the expected performance of that horse makes perfect sense. Here are stats for one of the greats, D Oliver. A big profit when he goes to a meet for just 1-2 rides💰
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It's one of the greatest-ever race calls. Still gives me goosebumps after 20 years!
"The champion's in desperate trouble..."
Let's start Australian Cup week with a bang! 💥
It was 20 years ago when Lonhro produced an incredible performance to win the Australian Cup 💖
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Very sad news 🥹
What a 🏇horse! - Son of the mighty Octagonal, raced 35 times for 26 wins, including 11 Group 1s. A record that we will unlikely see by a stallion in the modern era as they typically go to stud much earlier.
📽️His 2004 Aust Cup win will still be replayed in
🇦🇺 NEWS: It is with a heavy heart we announce the passing of the people’s champion, Lonhro: 1998-2024.
Read more:
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🏇Without A Fight ran to a 108 WFA Performance Rating ⏱️⚖️📊 in his 2023 Melbourne Cup 🏆 win.
In the past 15 years, only Verry Elleegant (114 in 2021) and Protectionist (111 in 2014) have rated higher. A serious G1 WFA quality performance!🏆💪
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"Pikey in the last" is much more a punting myth than fact.
🏇W Pike in 2019/2020 season:
😀All Rides: 233 / 828 & -4.8% POT
😩Last race of each meeting: 16 / 95 & -29.5% POT
A much more accurate catch cry would be "Pikey in the first!" 34 / 89 & +12.5% POT
@kevinmcdowall4
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In this case, the owners should recognise that Mr Brigthside didn't win the race because he wasn't as fast as Pride Of Jenni over the 1600m trip. At their previous peaks, there was nothing between them. She's gone to a level on Saturday that he's never reached in his career. It
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INCENTIVISE - Ran a 108.5🏇WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊in his 12L Tatt's Cup win.
All the traits of a seriously elite racehorse:
✅Tactical / cruising speed
✅Terrific acceleration
✅Stamina
✅Overall time ability
Only Zaaki (110 G1 WFA Doomben Cup) better at 2000m+ this season
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊
Five highest rated "winners" on Sat 15/8:
👀North Pacific - 104.7
🤩Clairvoyance - 103
💪Behemoth - 102.7
💎Savatiano - 102.2
📈Varda - 102
North Pacific looks top class ... Clairvoyance is a G1 filly! Tremendous substance & quality up to 1200m.
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⭐️WA Filly Clairvoyance - despite not yet winning in stakes grade - her 101.5 & 103 in Aug ranks her in the top 5 x 3YO's in Aust. A 101 rating on Sat gives her 3 runs @ 101+ within 4 starts... a remarkable early career profile. On track to be a G1 sprinter
@LewieWilloughby
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊 - Five highest-rated winners from Fri-Sat:
*⃣ Imperatriz 106 vs 108 last start. Also has a 107.5 in NZ. Elite⭐️
*⃣ Think About It matched his previous best first-up. Perfectly set up to run a new peak in The Everest. Hawaii Five Oh elevated
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I don't like to remind the Twittersphere about every "result", but this is a little different. Yesterday was a good reminder of a valuable punting principle: If a bet doesn't make sense to you, then don't reach for it just b'cause you fear missing a winner that most others like.
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Boom WA 2YO Filly Amelia's Jewel a 97.2 🏇WFA Performance Rating ⏱️⚖️📊 in the Karrakatta
*⃣ A sustained (rather than brilliantly fast) finish off a strong pace + late strength = big engine!
*⃣ Clear 100+ potential beyond 1200m
*⃣ My view - 2nd best 2YO in Aust behind Fireburn
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Research to puts Farnan's early speed & run into context.
⏱️Past 3 seasons - 35 x 3YO's (all mkt odds) led over 1200m at a speed rating within 1 length of Farnan's OR faster!
🏆8 of the 35 won (22.8%). 5 beaten <1L
Some are talking like Bowman got Black Caviar beaten.
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Aust has record debt-to-income & GDP levels, very close to the world's highest. Now the Govt encourages mid-income earners to take $125k+ more debt for a $25k subsidy, to renovate already over-priced homes🏘️as we head into a recession. What could possibly go wrong?
#prayers
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊- Five highest rated winners from 28/10:
*⃣ In the last three years, only Nature Strip (x3), Eduardo (1), Bivouac (1) and Classique Legend (1) have rated higher than Imperatriz up to 1200m. She now has 2 x 108 ratings.
*⃣ Romantic Warrior 105
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🏇I'm excited that this passion project I've been working on is nearing a phase 1 completion.
➡️Stay tuned for more details over the next 7 days!
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I love listening to
@TrinderAdam
speak. He goes beyond the generic comments that many give & goes into detail about what he observes and thinks about the horse. It provides great insight into a trainer’s mind. Outstanding commentary for racing fans 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼
"If she doesn't run a strong 2000m tomorrow she won't be in the Cox Plate."
@TrinderAdam
has full confidence in
@mysticjtas
, but he also has a plan B. 🚀 ♦️
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The great irony of COVID-19 🇦🇺 is that the people criticising early govt measures as “over the top - we need to think of jobs & the economy” are among those that didn’t follow early advice. That collective behaviour has now cost ‘000s of extra jobs & destroyed the economy further
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Kosciuszko: JAWWAAL for
@beermitchell
clear best choice remaining for slot holders imo. I think 97-98 at the weights puts you in the placings with a chance to win. With 55kg Jawwaal sits at 95.3 to 95.8 on his last two runs - career best form. Just 1L off the 97-98 standard.
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Nature Strip silenced the knockers in The Everest (105 WPR). 1000m-1100m is definitely his best though & as a proven 108 horse, I'd love to see him go: G1 Lightning (Feb) & then the G1 Kings Stand (Jun) + G1 Nunthorpe (Aug) in the UK, all fresh. Has the talent to win all three.
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Land of Plenty entitled to feel ripped off missing
@allstarmile
wild card. 13th in voting, a G1 mile winner, beaten 0.5 & 1.1L in his last two runs G1 WFA 1400m... an upward ratings spiral this prep, crying out for 1600m to peak. That profile misses out, because they wanted a Ldr
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🏇TOPRATE - A smarter way to study the form!
This passion project has required more than 5,000 team hours of design, development, and testing, and I'm over the moon with its current state. There's more to come... this is only phase one!
🙌Stay tuned for news about TopRate's
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LIBERTINI - An elite 108 🏇WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊on Saturday in winning the Premiere Stakes.
That's +2.2 lengths on her previous career peak, which came last Spring as a 3YOF
The best sprinting performance so far this season ahead of:
🔥107.5 Rothfire
⚡️106.3 Gytrash
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BAAEED - A 116 🏇WFA Performance Rating⏱️📈📊in his Judmonte International win at York.
To put some 🇦🇺 context around his performance:
🏇Winx's career best ratings were 115.5 (8L win in 2016 Cox Plate), 115, 113.5 and 113
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STAY INSIDE - A 105.7 🏇WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊 winning the G1 Golden Slipper.
A brutal lead speed by Profiteer set up a very fast overall time. Stay Inside's ability to absorb that pressure and then put the race away by the 150m mark was a serious top class performance!
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊- Five highest-rated winners from 3/2:
*⃣ Lady Laguna a new peak (up from 98)
*⃣ 2YO's starting to heat up 🔥Coleman 99.5 now sits 2nd on the 2YO rankings behind Storm Boy 105. Highness 99.3, then Lady Of Camelot 99. There's plenty of
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊
⏩Top 15 rated 🏇horses based on 🇦🇺 performances in the 2023 calendar year. A weighted average using 60% of their best rating and 40% second best.
*Horses with only one run this year are omitted i.e. Zaaki, Coolangatta & others.
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🏇AYRTON - ran a 102 WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊 at Caulfield.
In the past 5 yrs, 14 horses have run 102+ within their first two starts. Six have gone on to be subsequent G1 winners.
Ayrton is the only one to have run his 102+ at a distance greater than 1200m.
#raretalent
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Ex DK Weir horses - The stats so far: An in-depth look at the performance of horses that have run for new trainers since leaving Darren Weir.
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊
FIVE highest rated "winners" on Sat 13/2:
💥Nature Strip - 105
☔️Colette - 104.5
💪Tagaloa - 102.5
📈Stay Inside - 101
💎Zou Dancer - 100.2
Stay Inside is now right in the Slipper picture.
Plenty of quality elsewhere... The Autumn is warming up!
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WINX: A world class 111.5 WFA Performance Rating on Sat. Her speed measures were an absolute standout across a consistent day - provided a rock solid foundation for that rating. That's her best since 113.5 in 2017 QE. Up on 111 she ran in 2018 QE & Cox Plate. Just incredible!
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It should also be highlighted - Masked Crusader🏇has been slow away at his last 2 starts. In fact, he's been slow/awkward out in 8 of his 11 career starts.
Those chinks can prove costly at the elite🌏level.
It's poor judgement to be critical of the
@KPMcEvoy
TJ Smith ride.
@KPMcEvoy
🏇on Masked Crusader. Scroll...
👉MC tardy away
👉Eduardo in on top of him
👉Shifts o/s to improve
👉Dirty Work in on top - squeezed out behind. All within 5 secs.
⏱️Big speed increase from 800m. MC couldn't have been any closer by the turn.
❌Criticism totally wrong!
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THE EVEREST 🏔️- Early Speed ⚡️
🏇Eduardo ran ⏱️+11.6L faster than avg to the 600m. By way of comparison he went +3.4L faster than Farnan in the Run To the Rose.
It's the 2nd fastest rating to the 600m I have for 1200m metro races since Jan 2017
@miRunnersDotCom
@PrideRacing
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊
FIVE highest rated "winners" on Sat 7/11:
⚡️Bivouac - 111
👑Arcadia Queen - 104
🎯True Self - 103
🚀Frosty Rocks - 101.5
💎Savatiano - 101
Given recent history, Godolphin's decision to keep Bivouac racing should be applauded 👏👏👏
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All Star Mile: Love the fan vote, but think restrict noms to OHR 95+ & must be 100+ by acceptance. Will get more genuine engagement around a pool of "star" horses, which I'd think is the aim, rather than "I know the owner" votes on horses that don't fit the "All Star" concept.
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊
Five highest rated "winners" on Sat 5/9:
⚡️Gytrash - 106.3 (prev best 106)
💎Dame Giselle - 100.5
🎯Mister Sea Wolf - 100
💪Dreamforce - 100
☘️Humidor - 99.8
Gytrash brilliant! Nature Strip 102.6 better than 96 in his past two preps.
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TE AKAU SHARK'S sectionals on Sat were "Winx like!"
In 6 races where Winx ran a similar early speed to Te Akau Shark on Sat, she ran final 600m ratings of:
+16.2L
+16
+14.6
+13.4
+11.8
+10.6.
Te Akau Shark ran +14L on Saturday. A moderate race pace prevented a more dominant win.
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Some progress shots of the latest 🇫🇯🌴Fiji project my wife & I have undertaken, generously supported by friends across 🏇racing. A slow build (Fiji time!) but the end result for a terrific family in need will be worth it. I can't wait to visit & see it for myself in Jan 2022✈️🇫🇯
A grateful shout out to friends across🏇racing that have generously helped my wife & I in our latest 🇫🇯🌴 Fiji project. A new home for a special family, replacing 19 years in the shed below. A great news story I wanted to share in times of increasing bad news.
Early progress 👇
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊
FIVE highest rated "winners" on Sat 10/10:
🔥Arcadia Queen - 105.0
📈Mr Quickie - 104.5
⚡️Wild Ruler - 102
🏆Ole Kirk - 101*
💎Odeum - 101
💪Montefilia - 101
⭐️Clairvoyance - 101
* Ole Kirk likely rates approx 103 if not held up behind Tagaloa.
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EDUARDO ran a 🌏world class 🏇110.5 WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊winning the G1 Galaxy.
Smashed the clock + big margin spread + gave weight. Order of Command on par with recent / best, all others well below.
Just off Classique Legend 111.7 & Bivouac 111.2 peaks this season.
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A speed-based perspective on why Mr Brightside was beaten on Saturday because he couldn't match Pride Of Jenni's performance, not because of Craig William's ride.
*⃣ In a speed rating sense, he travelled faster than ever in his career to the 600m mark. He wasn't poorly "paced"
In this case, the owners should recognise that Mr Brigthside didn't win the race because he wasn't as fast as Pride Of Jenni over the 1600m trip. At their previous peaks, there was nothing between them. She's gone to a level on Saturday that he's never reached in his career. It
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🏇IMPERATRIZ ran an elite⭐️ 107.5 WFA Performance Rating ⏱️⚖️📊in her G1 BCD Sprint win at Te Rapa (NZ) on Sat.
She put 4.5L+ on a very good NZ Group class field, setting the⏱️alight🔥
Surely "one of" the best performances seen on a New Zealand racetrack.
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It's understandable why VIC racing admin is pleased with the POC tax increase of 10% to 15% - with racing set to receive 7.5% of it. Something is needed to sure up funding for the economic needs of the industry in its current state. It's an important win for a pressing problem.
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊- Five highest rated winners Sat 20/11 👇
*⃣ Western Empire - 106 is proper G1 WFA quality. Very hard to beat in an All-Star Mile - 3 winners so far 105.5, 102.5, 104.2. A step to 2000m in the future is no issue. 2022 Cox Plate a realistic target.
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The most straightforward reference to understand why Storm Boy rated up at the elite level is a comparison on the ⏱️clock to the MM Sprint won by King Of Sparta. At the race level, a slightly faster time, slightly slower race L600m. The time/sectional model places both races
🏇STORM BOY ran an elite 105 WFA Performance Rating ⏱️⚖️📊 to win the 2YO Magic Millions Classic on Saturday.
Everything about this performance, from the clock to margins to the way he did it working early and still the strongest late, says it was one of the best juvenile
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊- Five highest-rated winners from 11/11:
*⃣ Imperatriz affirms her status as our best sprinter.
*⃣ There should be no talk of Pride of Jenni winning due to the others rating down. While they were shy of their best, Pride Of Jenni's 104.8 all
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ISOTOPE: A 98 WFA Performance Rating for her brilliant 10L win at Doomben on Sat. That's the second best debut rating we've seen from a 2YO in QLD over the past 5yrs, behind Houtzen's 102. Her late speed to the line in the context of a hot overall performance was 👌
#substance
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The great 🏇Might & Power💥
Has there ever bee an horse so well named for their talent?
🤮Should've won the 1997 AJC Derby
🏆Won a Melbourne Cup, Caulfield Cup by 7L, Cox Plate by 2.3L, QE by 10.5L, Tancred by 5L. What a weapon!
My all time favourite racehorse🏇
Look at him go! 😍
Let's watch the full replay of Might And Power's 1997 Caulfield Cup victory 🏆
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊
Five highest rated "winners" on Sat 12/9:
🔥Rothfire - 107.5
🎯Fierce Impact - 102
💪Lord Belvedere - 100.3
💎Haut Brion Her - 100
📈Crosshaven - 99.7
R'Camelot 102.7 - higher than winner due to NH 3YO carrying above true WFA.
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊
Five highest rated "winners" on Sat 29/8:
⚡️Anders - 104.5
💪Behemoth - 102.5
📈Holyfield - 101.0
🚀Mugatoo 100.0
💎Perfect Jewel / Kisukano 99.5
Anders was terrific, but the chasers below their best. Some signs to query a high pressure 1200m.
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A grateful shout out to friends across🏇racing that have generously helped my wife & I in our latest 🇫🇯🌴 Fiji project. A new home for a special family, replacing 19 years in the shed below. A great news story I wanted to share in times of increasing bad news.
Early progress 👇
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🏇NATURE STRIP - a 112 WFA Performance Rating⏱️⚖️📊in his King's Stand win at Royal Ascot.
A slight new peak on his 111.6 in the 2021 TJ Smith + other 111-110 performances.
Since 2021 - 7 runs in G1 level races (inc Everest) for 6 wins & a very unlucky 2nd in the 2022 ⚡️stakes
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I'm excited to launch this new venture & brand with a gun group of people, all passionate about racing, sports & punting; Kingsley Bartholomew,
@sothegreatgame
@DreamTeamMatt
@matthewcbowman
Adam Sparrow & Scott Fitzsimmons.
Wolfden - It's Social. It's Betting.
A thread...👇👇
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊
FIVE highest rated "winners" on Sat 20/2:
🌟Probabeel - 103.2
💪Tralee Rose - 103
💎Paradee - 101.2
💥Aegon - 101
📈Emanate 101
🥇Artorius 100.5 in a fast, high pressure Blue Diamond - very impressive late speed / strength
#substance
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊- 5 highest-rated winners 8/10/22
*⃣ Anamoe matched his Cox Plate rating. Can go better.
*⃣ Kings Gambit is a serious 2YO!
*⃣ Golden Mile 96.7 in the Caulfield Guineas - 3.2L weaker than prior 5-year avg.
*⃣✍️More coming - racing . com later today
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COVID-19 🇦🇺 Day 8 @ 564 cases (0 is 100 cases.) Of more relevance: Aust is 22.2 per 1 million population. Unless we are a mile in front on testing rates vs others, it would seem we're far from being ahead of the curve. Next few days trend is critical.
#covid19australia
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Here's my quick calcs on the confirmed runners in the All Star Mile: Weight to be carried in the race at WFA vs their true handicap weight based on official handicapper ratings (using 61kg top weight.)
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊
Golden Slipper winners:
2021 - Stay Inside - 105.7
2020 - Farnan - 104.5
2019 - Kiamichi - 103.3
2018 - Estijaab - 103.3
2017 - She Will Reign - 104
2016 - Capitalist - 104.7
2015 - Vancouver - 104.7
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊- 5 highest rated winners on Saturday 15/4/23:
*⃣ Giga Kick identical to 106.6 in TJ Smith
*⃣ Overpass 102 right up with his 102.5 best when 1.5L 2nd to Nature Strip last Spring
*⃣ She Dances a big new peak. G1 Sangster Stakes?
*⃣ Amelia's Jewel
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊
2019/20 Aust sprinter rankings - based on average of 2 best ratings (up to 1300m):
110.5 Nature Strip
107.9 Bivouac
106.4 Exceedance
106.3 Santa Ana Lane
105.7 Yes Yes Yes
105.6 Trekking
105.4 Gytrash
104.7 Pierata
104.6 Loving Gaby
104.5 Redzel
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🏇🏽Verry Elleegant⭐️ Something to add to the conversation about her deeds - since the Oaks April 19, everything about her says “elite stayer” 2400m best & likely further. Historically, horses of that profile that regularly won at 1400-1600m WFA are among the best we’ve ever seen.
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings⏱️⚖️📊- 5 highest rated winners on Saturday 1/4/23
*⃣ A changing of the guard confirmed in the sprint ranks. Giga Kick 106.6 bettered his Everest Rating, but was beaten by another new star 🌟
*⃣ Mr Brightside on par with his All Star Mile win
*⃣ Amelia's
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Surprised Best Solution gets no penalty for his C'Cup win & the logic as to why. Northerly penalised 58 to 60, Dunaden 58 to 59. How does it help to theoretically equalise MCup chances for those behind Best Solution on Sat? He wins a G1 hcp, yet gets to meet them at same weights.
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🏇Shelby Sixtysix improved from 89.5 to 104.7 WFA Performance Rating peak⏱️⚖️📊
I have over 745,000 horses >3YO that have run off a rating peak of <=92 since 1/8/2015.
He's just the 4th to improve to a new peak of 100+ in one run. Others: Invictus Prince, Sayed, Allez Tara
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Mystic Journey: a 105.5 WFA Performance Rating in the
@allstarmile
+0.6L on her 104.3 Aust Guineas. Hartnell, Alizee, Le Romain approx 1L off their very best, but MJ did this 3W off a strong pace... so we still don't know her ceiling! TAS has a 104.5 peak from Golden Rose.
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ISOTOPE backed up her 98 on debut with a new peak on Sat - 100 WFA Performance Rating. Better time & sectionals than Open winner Just Orm, carrying +14kg more vs WFA. In the past 5 yrs, only 7x2YO's have run 98+ in each of their first 2 starts. She has genuine G1 potential 🌟🏇
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊 - Five highest-rated winners from Saturday 14/10:
*⃣ Fangirl went like a 🚀with tremendous acceleration and speed over the final 400m. A big new peak rating (up from 102.5)
*⃣ Think About It continues his 📈 going from 103-->105 in his Everest
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🏇WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊- Five highest-rated winners from 16/3:
HEADLINES:
*⃣ Pride Of Jenni set a record early speed rating for Caulfield 1600m (since at least 2016). Outstanding sustained speed! She improved her on her previous peak of 104.8.
*⃣ Mr Brightside
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