Folks here's a look at the last 4 runs of our models....notice the southward trend...and the new evening runs are continuing this trend. While the trend is good we will have many far reaching impacts here in Central Florida. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Latest global models trying to figure out what to do next week with broad low in Caribbean and are struggling with what to do with it. Stay with
#weshwx
as this process tries to sort this next system out.
#weshwx
A look at our latest futurecast winds shows the eye of
#Milton
coming up the I-4 corridor then over to northern Brevard county. Many folks will see winds over 74 mph and a few will see winds potential over 90+ mph. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
8 PM TROPICAL UPDATE: Chances this forms into a tropical system remain steady at 40% tonight. *IF* this storm can form the majority of models indicate a T.D. or T.S at this point. For me, right now anyway, rainfall is my biggest concern based on what i'm seeing.
#weshwx
Here's a look at our latest global models folks. They continue to struggle with what to do this week with a broad low in the Caribbean. What we do know is that whatever is able to develop will be weak but could bring plenty of rain. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Here's a look at the timing of
#Milton
across Central Florida. Looking like around midnight Thursday with our latest futurecast model. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Latest models are coming in and there still is a good spread in location and timing. The GFS and HWRF are the farthest north and slower while the Canadian and UKM are down near Fort Myers and quicker. MOST models remain over Central Florida. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
A ton of folks asking me if they should evacuate. Along the west coast YES where
#Milton
makes landfall. Through the interior we are good BUT along the COASTLINE of Flager/Volusia we could see some surge on the backside of our storm so we need to watch that.
#weshwx
With the 11 am advisory we have a new wind forecast prejection for Central Florida. This is highly dependant on track, speed and intensity. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Our evening tropical models are coming in on
#Milton
and a very slight push south can be seen however wind, surge, flooding and the risk for tornadoes ALL still remain in our forecast. Let's hope this trend continues. Stay with
@WESH
for updates.
#weshwx
Here's a look at the 2 PM Global models folks. A definite push westward today folks. Could be flooding concerns if this verifies. Also none of the models is forecasting a hurricane while over us. Stay with
@WESH
as we monitor this tropical wave.
#weshwx
Hurricane warnings now up for most of Central Florida except the coast. Hurricane force winds are expected within 36 hours for most of us. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Our latest Futurecast model shows a major hurricane making landfall Thursday night east of the Florida Big Bend area. This is such a large storm there will be tropical storm force wind gusts over most, if not ALL , of Central Florida on Thursday. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
The 11am advisory is in and
#Milton
is accelerating NE and winds are down from 155 to 145 mph. It will come ashore as a CAT3 folks. This is a very dangerous storm with far with far reaching impacts. STay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Global model trends today have nudged southward as a front MAY push whatever develops south of the Northern Gulf Coast. Still waiting on EURO AI. We still need to watch the trends but this would still be a big rain maker for Central Florida. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Global models are coming in tonight and the trend on a few of them have been a bit stronger. Rainfall amounts on a few of them are also a bit concerning and will likely change going foward so keep checking back for updates.
#weshwx
Milton has weakened this evening BUT is still a powerful CAT5 hurricane. The forecast is still for a major hurricane at landfall overnight Wednesday. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Ok today was my landscaping day while on vacation today. Thought pavers would look good around a few of the trees at my house. Below are the before and after pics. Total cost was 85$ + 4 hours labor
Here's a look at our latest futurecast model folks and you can see that
#Milton
explodes as it pulls away from the Yucatan Peninsula. Our greatest impacts look more like Wednesday evening into Thursday. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
#Here
's a look at where
#Milton
's worst winds track overnight. Winds north of this area will gust to 75 mph well north of the main track folks. Stay with
#weshwwx
for updates.
Today my son has grown into a man as he has turned 18 today! Anthony we are so proud of you and the young man you have become! Keep smiling as you are just beginning your journey in life which we know is going to be a good one! Mom, dad, sis and doggy Stella love you!❤️❤️❤️❤️
Todays a proud moment in the Mainolfi household as our Maria Mainolfi is turning 21 And graduating from Rosen Hospitality! 🎈🎂🎉👩🎓🎓 Maria we are so proud of you and can’t wait to see where life takes you next! Your future is so bright! We love you!
Rainfall, not wind, could become the biggest concern later this week as something tries to develop and move into the Gulf of Mexico. Stay with
@WESH
and
#weshwx
for updates.
There has been a push southward with our tropical models this morning. The Euro and GFS do remain over Central Florida. Notice the models in relationship to the 5 am cone. It will be interesting to see if NHC shifts cone slightly south or leans on Euro/GFS.
#weshwx
Just wanted to try and give folks a timeline for planning purposes. PLEASE remember this is subject to change as over the weekend our global models have various solutions on the track and speed of our tropical wave. Be sure to keep checking back in for updates.
#weshwx
Here's a look at our latest futurecast models. Notice how the bands come up well in advance of the storm. With these feeder bands we will be watching the risk for tornadoes late Wednesday into Thursday! Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Evening global models are in folks and a few things stand out:
The trend on the models is a little stronger then this mornings runs but we need better consistency.
Timing still looks to be next week for now and heavy rainfall remains my biggest concern.
Stay with
#WESHwx
Here's a look at the latest computer models and the timing of
#PTC9
. Expected to make landfall as a major hurricane Thursday evening east of the Big Bend area. Stay with
#WESH
for updates.
#weshwx
Our afternoon Futurecast model is taking a turn to the east unlike our other models. Have a look and we'll continue to watch the trends on all of our models. Stay with
@WESH
for updates.
#weshewx
Here's a look at the latest GFS wind gust forecast. It remains one of the most aggressive models. Strongest winds remain up in Marion and Sumter counties. This likely to change folks so keep checking back in. Tropical storm force gusts for all.
#weswhx
Tropical Depression
#14
has formed in the Gulf of Mexico. This is the system that looks to threaten us mid-week.
Take a close look at this. We'll need to be watching things very very closely...
More of course on
@WESH
2 News...
Model trends with our global models are trending stronger with a continued flood threat come next week. Once we get an invest and Hurricane Hunter's sample the environment we will get a much better idea of what could be headed our way. Stay with WESH 2 News for updates.
#weshwx
Had a great birthday dinner celebration tonight as my girl turned 22 today! Happy birthday to my beautiful daughter! I’m so proud of you the woman you are becoming!
As our tropical models are now coming in I wanted to show the animation so we all can see the timing of our next system this week. Stay with
@WESH
as this will likely change a few times this week.
#weshwx
Latest model trends are trending wetter for us and a little bit stronger than previous runs. Flooding could become an issue if this trend continues. Still many moving parts here to figure out folks so keep checking back in for updates.
#weshwx
Folks an active
#August
appears to be setting up as there will be another wave coming off the west coast of
#Africa
that will also need to be watched. We've got you covered so just keep checking back in for updates as we roll through hurricane season.
#weshwx
A look at Central Middle school today in the
#Melbourne
area as the hail made it look like there was a snow day! Incredible hail pics today across Central Florida.
#WESHwx
Visible satellite shows some big storms now beginning to wrap around the eye of
#Milton
signaling its intensification. It's now expect to strengthen into a CAT4 hurricane. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
One more note on the tropics. We have three named storms in Isaac, Joyce and now Kirk. The system behind Kirk will likely become Leslie. None of these appear to be headed our way thankfully. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Folks here in Central Florida are likley to see significant rainfall over the next 24 hours and that will create a very high risk for flooding. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Yesterday
@JimPayneWESH
announced his retirement come this September. I can honestly say he’s one of the finest coworkers anyone can ever ask for! Hardworking, compassionate and a leader in the news room! Jimbo I’m so very happy to have been able to work with you! Congrats!
Nasty line of storms now approaching the west coast of Florida. Over 2000 lightning strikes and now a tornado watch for all of Central Florida. Stay with
@WESH
for updates throughout the day.
#weshwx
Here's a look of the CURRENT size of
#Helene
over the state of Florida for a size comparison. Simply amazing folks and explains why ALL but 3 of the 67 counties in our state are under a warning! Stay with
@WESH
for updates.
#weshwx
Here's a look at the latest global models noting the trends in strength, timing and location. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates on this developing feature as it will be slow to evolve.
Here's a look at where we think the strongest winds with
#Ian
will move across Central Florida based on the latest model data we have. Stay with
@WESH
for updates as these winds in overnight and early Thursday!
#weshwx
Here's a look at our latest futurecast model showing the timing of the squalls with
#Helene
. The winds are stronger on the west side of the Florida Peninsula but all of us will experience tropical storms wind gusts. Have a look.
#weshwx
BREAKING: Winds with
#Helene
are now up to 140 mph! This is a very dangerous storm for folks east of the Big Bend. Wind across Central Florida tonight is running 45-65 mph. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Breaking:
#Milton
no forecast to become a powerful CAT4 hurricane over the gulf Tue-Wed. On Wednesday wind shear will increase and should begin to weaken it. It's forecast to make landfall as a major hurricane on Wednesday. Stay with
#weshwx
for updates.
Our latest Futurecast model is showing a well defined feature moving into southern Gulf on Wednesday. Gulf storms in September can grow to be large and with us on the east side we would need to watch those bands as they come ashore. One of may things I'll be watching!
#weshwx
Here's a look at our high resolution satellite simulation of
#Ian
. Notice how it tracks from around Fort Meyers then across Central Florida by Thursday afternoon...something we will continue to watch as most models aren't following suit.
#weshwx