Super฿ro
@SuperBitcoinBro
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Pinned Tweet
This is my long-term base case for $BTC
USD is going to zero when priced in sats
May or may not be more pain in store for hodlers but don't get too cute trying to play the dollar long
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@vallieres_david
If you've been investing for 40 years, then you know such obvious patterns rarely play out.
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$BTC monthly
$150K into the halving and $1.5M cycle top
sure why not
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$BTC daily
potential inverse head and shoulders is intact with almost perfect symmetry on the right shoulder depth
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$BTC weekly
potentially forming an inverse H&S targeting $80K
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$BTC daily
if this is a repeat of the 2017 ATH breakout, then this could be the retest before the final shakeout
the weekly chart is much stronger now than it was then, so I don't expect a repeat, but good to be aware in case we see a stiff rejection here
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if $BTC bounces to the center of this channel it could reach $150K
I rarely post moonshot targets, but we saw 22X off the 2018 bear market bottom, this would only be a 10X from the 2022 bottom
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if $BTC repeats the final shakeout below the 50 MA as in 2017, it could be the last best entry before the bull run resumes
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$BTC 2017 fractal still on track
this sweep below the 50 MA has been shallower, so far, with the April 2021 high providing additional support
if $BTC repeats the final shakeout below the 50 MA as in 2017, it could be the last best entry before the bull run resumes
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$BTC 3-day
piercing the lower Bollinger Band has marked every major low since the bear market bottomed out
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$BTC weekly
similar behavior around the HMA 78 as the 2017 bull run
final retest before blue skies?
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@stevegraham
Why do people wait in line to board the plane?
Just wait til they call your name and you can make your grand entrance like a king once all your subjects are seated.
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$BTC 4H
a similar setup in February saw a 45% rally to a new ATH
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the middle of $BTC's monthly log channel is around $200k
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$BTC 2 week MACD is approaching a bullish cross while the signal line is below zero
This marked the end of the bear market in every cycle
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$BTC daily
continues to track the forecast almost perfectly
moment of truth coming soon
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$BTC 1H
potential megaphone forming after equal moves above and below the pre-ETF high and low
this pattern targets $55K+
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the market confirms our trendlines were drawn correctly
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$BTC 3-day
since the bear market bottom, BTC has not broken the midline (20 MA) without first piercing the upper BB
$BTC 3-day
piercing the lower Bollinger Band has marked every major low since the bear market bottomed out
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$BTC monthly
potential flight path
1. new ATH into the halving fueled by ETF
2. shakeout ETF buyers
3. inverse head and shoulders continuation > $250K
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$BTC monthly
a close below the neckline increases the odds this inverse H&S plays out, while a close above could significantly reduce the odds of a deep retracement
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$BTC weekly bull pennant is in play
$BTC weekly potentially forming a large bullish pennant
higher low intact both intraday and on a closing basis
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$BTC finally matched the depth of the final shakeout in 2017, doing its best to liquidate short-term leverage
this prolonged consolidation is extremely healthy on the HTF but can be difficult to maneuver on the LTF, best bet is to chill and stack spot
if $BTC repeats the final shakeout below the 50 MA as in 2017, it could be the last best entry before the bull run resumes
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$BTC daily log
we aren't just re-testing the megaphone, we are also re-testing a breakout of the channel that contained the bull run until now
if the re-test succeeds, the bull is free to run wild
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$BTC daily
if this breakout holds, the next target is the yearly high
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$BTC 3-day potential complex inverse H&S
the 2nd right shoulder matched the depth of the left shoulder's closing prices, TBD if it matches the wicks
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$BTC daily
building the right shoulder after front-running the 200 MA
$BTC daily
potential inverse head and shoulders is intact with almost perfect symmetry on the right shoulder depth
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$BTC dominance monthly
friendly reminder we are nowhere near alt season
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$BTC monthly
7 consecutive higher lows and 2 full months above $60K
after running 3x to a new ATH it pulled back a mere 19% to retest the highest monthly close of last cycle
embrace the base forming here bros, this is extremely healthy
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despite the strong quarterly close, $BTC was unable to clear the bearish retest level
strength on the higher timeframes improves the odds it holds the first support zone near the April 2021 high
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$BTC 3-day
not a single 3-day close below the April 2021 high
a clear difference from the failed breakout in Q4 2021
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$BTC daily
the yellow path isn't going down without a fight, tracking today's close almost perfectly
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if $BTC closes out the quarter above the daily 200 MA, then I expect a violent upside resolution from this extended consolidation
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$BTC is in "buy-the-dip" mode until this full bullish alignment changes
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$BTC weekly
this is not engagement farming and this is not a drill
already $11K higher than the last time I posted this
$BTC weekly
similar behavior around the HMA 78 as the 2017 bull run
final retest before blue skies?
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$BTC holding the range and forming a bullish chart pattern into bullish divergences while testing the 200 MA for the first time since a new ATH
fear = opportunity
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$BTC weekly
looking for a bullish reaction at this internal trendline
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$BTC daily
unbothered, moisturized, happy, in its lane, focused, flourishing
the megaphone is tracking the most likely path as forecast last week, grinding towards the $57.7K target
gonna keep beating the bull drum unless this changes
$BTC daily
bulls woke up and chose violence
decent chance we see a re-test of the megaphone breakout at some point, but no guarantees
long and strong is the way, imo, don't overtrade this
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$BTC closed its 5th consecutive month above $60K
building a strong base for the next leg up
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$BTC daily
bullish patterns on bullish patterns
(1) the Falling Wedge target of $44K was enough to break out of (2) the Inverse H&S with a target $49K which leads to (3) the Megaphone with a rough target of $58K
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$BTC daily log
first test of the 10 MA and 2nd test of the megaphone
while a wick below would be ok, we want a daily close above
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$BTC daily
the chances of a deeper correction are dwindling
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$BTC daily
✅ spring
✅ test
🟩 jump across creek
What will be the "surprise" news to justify the move higher? Maybe CPI cooling on Wednesday?
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$BTC 4H
rare to see the 50/100/200 MAs so tightly coiled
this indicates a big move is likely coming, and the symmetrical triangle favors upside continuation
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$BTC monthly
good things happen above the upper Bollinger Band
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$BTC weekly
3rd consecutive close above last cycle's highest weekly close
this healthy consolidation means the next $20K+ move is more likely to the upside
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$BTC monthly
True Strength Index (TSI) bullish cross incoming
this move is just getting started
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$BTC weekly remains blissfully unaware of lower timeframe volatility
it has a shot at powering through $69K in a single candle
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$BTC weekly
if this holds to the weekly close, it will mark the first time the 0.75 log fib fan was broken before the halving
this could open the door to an ATH before the halving
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$BTC daily
finally closed above $38K
the door to $40K+ is now open
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$BTC daily log
re-test of the megaphone presents a good setup for longs
on a linear chart the retest can go as low as $50.4K, but I'd like to see it hold on the log chart as well
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$BTC 4H
the rising wedge nailed the move lower, eyes on a potential inverse H&S reversal now
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$BTC weekly potentially forming a large bullish pennant
higher low intact both intraday and on a closing basis
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significant deviation from the 2017 $BTC playbook
in 2017 the 2nd breakout rejected to a lower low, and it took over a month before it reclaimed the prior ATH
in 2024 the 2nd breakout rejected to a higher low, and it is already finding support at the prior ATH
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$BTC weekly
this descending broadening wedge is the bulls best shot after losing the range
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$BTC on track for the first ever $10K weekly candle
the first pre-halving ATH is on deck next
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$BTC weekly
2 months above $40K looks like a time-based rather than price-based correction before the next leg up
odds for the bearish case are rapidly diminishing
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$BTC weekly
potential measured move to $62.5K (linear) or $76K (log)
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$BTC weekly
finding support at the 0.75 fib fan, just like the start of the last 2 bull markets (linear charts shown)
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$BTC 4H
a falling wedge and bullish MACD divergence are taking shape after a choppy weekend
favors $65K+ as the next move
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$BTC daily
potential falling wedge taking shape above support
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$BTC weekly
each of these ranges felt terrible at the bottom, and each time was an exceptional opportunity to build your stack
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$BTC daily
full bullish alignment strongly favors an upside resolution from this zone to new highs
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uncanny for a price projection to be so on-point
but this is why I charge the big bucks for my content
oh wait, it's all free, I just want to see my bros win 👊
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$BTC holding strong above the 2023 bull market channel, megaphone, 61.8% cycle fib, 75% log fib fan, etc.
retests of a major breakout are healthy, as they shake out weak longs and trap over eager shorts
bulls have every reason for confidence and conviction here
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$BTC 8H
2 potential inverse H&S setting up, one targeting $71-72K and the other targeting $78-79K
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$BTC daily (right) showing similarities to the weekly (left) a few weeks ago
tightly consolidating candle bodies into a rising 10 MA
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$BTC weekly
I'm not selling into the 200 EMA at the bottom of this range
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$BTC weekly
tight falling wedge into the HMA 78 could lead to an explosive and relentless move higher
$BTC weekly
similar behavior around the HMA 78 as the 2017 bull run
final retest before blue skies?
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$BTC 3-day closed with a bullish engulfing outside bar
each time BTC closes below the 50 MA then quickly closes back above it (or vice versa), a large move has followed
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$BTC weekly
another close above both the April 2021 high and above the highest weekly close of the last cycle
the spring is loaded for a big move higher
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$BTC daily
bullish MACD divergence and a break of the RSI trendline may provide enough juice to break the daily downtrend
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$BTC 1H
descending broadening wedge targets the ATH
daily close above $69K increases odds this plays out
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in 2013, BTC ran over 700% in 40 days after breaking the 2011 high. Then it dipped for 3 months before an explosive 1800% finale
coincidentally (?) the 2024 halving is in 40 days. This sets the stage for a similar performance with a rally into the halving, a period of weakness,
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$BTC 4H
looking for support at a re-test of the triangle or 200 MA
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$BTC daily channel in play
a bounce to the center line would recover the 2023 high
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Friday's $BTC CME gap is filled
the nearest gap is now $36K
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bullish developments on multiple timeframes indicate the low is in and unlikely to break $63K
4H - bullish alignment of 50/100/200 MA
1D - reclaim 50 MA and first signs of bullish structure
3D - bounce off lower BB and reclaim centerline
1W - bounce off 78 HMA and reclaim 10 MA
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$BTC is looking for a weekly close above $16,850 to keep the uptrend intact
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$BTC weekly
a break and re-test of the 0.75 fib fan ignited prior bull markets (linear charts shown)
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