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@StrategasRP

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Strategas is a leading institutional brokerage firm providing macro research, advisory and capital markets services. A Baird company.

New York | Washington DC
Joined February 2012
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
5 years
Private equity multiples are now greater than their public equity counterparts.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
AAPL now the largest single S&P weight over last 40-years.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
This is a great chart... a technical favorite.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Over 40% of the Russell 2000 are non-earners.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Over the last 30 years, there has never been a time when the two largest S&P 500 weights were both greater than 5%, as both MSFT and AAPL are today.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Highest % of small-cap stocks > 200-day since 2003
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Not just Copper working recently...
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Major lows often accompanied with huge price momentum.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
3 individual stocks now each >5% weights in the S&P 500. This hasn't occurred in the last 30-years of data.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Not oversold yet
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Reference points... current decline vs. prior bear markets.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Rare to see >90% of small-caps above 50-day average... historically bullish.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
"FANG" quietly back to the highs.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Unparalleled... small-caps now >40% above 200-day average.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
3 big bases:
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
5 years
Risk-free return or return-free risk?
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
3 important charts.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Transports > Utilities... 2+ year cyclical bear market ending?
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Historic drawdown for Treasuries
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Best 52-week high surge for Materials in +30-years.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Banks not keeping pace with rates.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
It's a trend driven market, not a momentum one.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Rare and bullish.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Bonds oversold throughout the curve
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Surprised? (We are)... Chinese stocks breaking out.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
USD "breadth" divergence
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Notable shift here... Transportation vs. "Stay At Home"
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Remarkable outperformance from the Semis.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Chinese growth stocks breaking out.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
All you need to know about the Financials Sector: Bank = Bad, Non-Bank = Good
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
7-year high for Copper.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Nasdaq has corrected through time.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Historic momentum surge for small-caps
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Rates up, Banks underperforming (again)
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
S&P new high list expanding, participation broadening out.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
On average, companies that split their stock are up 3.7% over the next 60 days
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
As Tech & Growth has corrected... elsewhere OK
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
It's been a brutal 15-years for E.M.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
Extended market breaking out.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Big momentum for Hong Kong.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
S&P as overbought as December 2009.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Synchronized surge for E.M.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
This earned a "wow" from us.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Growth correction does not look over yet.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Is this a headwind? Pace of M2 growth leveling off.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
AAPL weight now > Consumer Staples, Nearing Industrials
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
68% of the S&P 500 traded to a 20-day high yesterday, marking one of the best readings in 50 years, and consistent with the momentum thrust you want to see in the initial few months off a major low.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
2.5-year bear market over for Asia bellwethers.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
5 largest S&P weights vs. the "average stock"
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
The weak continue to get weaker.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Even after a sharp rally, Nasdaq 100 trends remain damaged.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Tech reasserting leadership
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Rare surge from last week.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
This trend continues to play out.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Top 5 vs. Bottom 495 performance YTD... can the "average stock" fill the void?
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
3-year bear market for ACWI (ex. U.S.) is over.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
It's rare to see small-cap new highs this strong.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Semis still vulnerable
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Utes first sector to make a new price high
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Bullish Japan
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Europe SMID-caps have broken out.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Banks... too difficult.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
YTD low for Copper... oversold, but on guard for bigger top?
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Highest % of stocks above 200-day for small-caps since 2013.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Small-Caps Down 40% - Only 3rd Time Since Inception.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
By historical measures, Silver is not extremely stretched yet.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
Tech correcting vs. record 52-week highs.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
Reflation gauge pausing
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Acknowledgement of "the bear"
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
Notable difference here
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
5 years
Three major sectors are on the verge of breaking out from 2-year ranges. This would reinforce the start of a new cyclical leg higher, similar to 2012 and 2016. Charts via @verrone_chris @Todd_Sohn
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
Growth rally has only been a large-cap story.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Watch the equal weight S&P for broader signs of weakness.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
China equities rolling over again
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
New high for cyclicals vs. defensives
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Lower-low in Oil, but not a higher-high in Energy spreads.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Watch the "weak links" for correction depth clues.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
We may not have seen it at the benchmark index level, but the "weakest links" re-tested their lows.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Today marks 3 months to Election Day. The S&P 500's performance in the 3 months thru Election Day is 87% accurate in predicting the election winner – historically if performance is positive the incumbent party has won and if performance is negative the incumbent party has lost.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
Fintech vs. traditional Banks
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Uncomfortable with these groups on their lows
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
5 years
Great trend, but tactically Tech is stretched here. At nearly 20% above its 200-day average,that’s enough to qualify as a statistical extreme in our work. Chart from @verrone_chris @Todd_Sohn
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Growth stocks not buying 8 hikes this year
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Wednesday also marked 65 trading days (3 calendar months) off the March 23rd low. The S&P’s 36.3% gain over that stretch ranks 3rd best since 1950, only fractionally trailing the first few months off the 2009 low (38.8%) and the 1982 low (38.7%). Pretty good company.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Two notable Industrial group breakouts.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Largest weight in Russell 2000... small-cap Biotech has broken out.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
Bitcoin vs. 200-day average - below it often stays there for a while.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Copper extremely oversold
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Nearly 40% of Japan market cap breaking out.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Brent Oil most "overbought" in 17-years (that's a good thing).
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Important relationship... reflation barometer.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
2 years
Semis weak internally.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
Small-cap growth a problem for the broader space.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Materials ending a +2 year bear market.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
Bank new highs spiking
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
A few examples of how deep drawdowns are following the initial bounce off a low.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
Small-caps held where they needed to hold.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
TSM is clearly a boost for the Taiwan equity market breakout.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
4 years
The "average stock" has had a difficult two years.
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@StrategasRP
Strategas
3 years
NYFANG index leadership has weakened.
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