Soumya
@Soumyazen
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Living at the intersection of Deep Learning and Financial Markets. Also a Solana and Jupiter Lover from early days. Currently focused on AgenticAI
Denver, CO
Joined January 2014
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$META and $GOOG ( maybe TikTok) are the lions of ad spend jungle. $SNAP and $PINS are jackals. When hunted food is aplenty, everyone gets fed well. But when food is limited, royalty eats first but jackals stay hungry. Ad dollars get allocated in similar ways.
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New Pinned Tweet-
My Portfolio based on conviction closely resembling allocation-
1. $TDOC
2. $SE
3. $ROKU
4. $PINS
5. $NET
6. $DDOG
7. $SHOP
8. $PTON
9. $CRWD
10. $FB
11. $PLTR
12. $SNOW
13. $TWLO
14. $RKT
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My portfolio reached a milestone today and I plan to celebrate a bit. If your portfolio reaches any milestone, please let me know/tag me and I will retweet. Celebrate your successes. Memories are all we have to reflect upon. Don't let any special moment go past you.
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Current portfolio strategy:
Connected Health - $TDOC $HAAC $GDRX
Social E-commerce - $SE $PINS
Connected TV - $ROKU $TTD
Connected Fitness - $PTON
Cloud Infra & Security - $NET $DDOG $CRWD $TWLO
Enterprise AI - $PLTR
Mobile Gaming - $SKLZ
Space Infra - $SRAC
Travel - $ABNB
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Septum Current Portfolio Allocations Ranked Based on Size:
1. $TDOC $LVGO
2. $SE
3. $ROKU
4. $PINS
5. $FSLY
6. $DDOG
7. $NET
8. $PTON
9. $TWLO
10. $SHOP
11. $CRWD
OtherSmaller Allocations - $ETSY $MELI $FVRR $NVTA $OKTA $TTD $ESTC $BAND $RDVT $VEEV $INSG $WIX $AAVLR $FROG ....
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Fully Invested Portfolio (Allocation size) :
1. $TDOC 2. $SE 3. $PINS 4. $SKLZ 5. $ROKU 6. $NET 7. $PTON 8. $HAACW 9. $DDOG 10. $CRWD 11. $SRAC 12. $ABNB 13. $AMZN 14. $GDRX 15. $AAPL 16. $TWLO 17. $NSH 18. $SFTW 19. $U 20. $NTNX ....and some more.
Planning to ride this for now.
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My current top holdings based on approx. allocation sizes. I was initially planning to post on sub-stack but sharing it here for now:
1. $TDOC 2. $SE 3. $PINS 4. $SKLZ 5. $HAAC 6. $ROKU 7. $NET 8. $DDOG 9. $FB 10. $CRWD 11. $GDRX 12. $AMZN 13. $PLTR 14. $ABNB 15. $NTNX 16. $HEC
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End of Year Updated Portfolio ( Not planning any changes until 2021):
1. $TDOC 2. $SE 3. $ROKU 4. $PINS 5. $SKLZ 6. $NET 7. $DDOG 8. $GDRX 9. $SHOP 10. $PTON 11. $PLTR 12. $FB 13. $TWLO 14. $RKT 15. $AMZN
Also hold $MGNI $NVTA $AAPL $NFLX in smaller portions
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I see $PLTR as a phenomenal company that is currently at an inflection point for commercial Enterprises that Shopify was in 2017 for retail entrepreneurs. As a result I decided to resume my substack articles starting with Palantir that I will publish early to mid next month.
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Current Most Promising Trends from Investing Perspective:
1. E-Commerce Outside US : $SE and $MELI
2. Tele Health and Monitoring : $TDOC $LVGO
3. OTT Streaming TV : $ROKU
4. Cloud DevOps and Monitoring : $DDOG
5. Social Media Monetization : $PINS
6. Cloud Edge : $FSLY, $NET
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Long Term Investing in a nutshell -
1. Do your research and invest.
2. Monitor every quarter if there is a change in thesis
3. Look for new opportunities to add
4. Have patience and cut out the noise
5. Stay focused on your own investments
6. Find ways to improve the process
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$TDOC is a generational growth story and a clear leader in a space that will be increasingly important in the next 5 years as healthcare becomes consumer centric. For such investments, the growth and wealth creation happens over time without a need of a lot monitoring.
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If you are stressed due to the deep declines on stocks you hold, feel free to ask me here. Can be about any stock that I have been bullish on that has declined. I am here to help as much possible. I may not have the best answers but will share my thoughts. Others can contribute
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Over time, I realized that many investors do not listen or read the earnings call transcript regularly. As a result, I am planning to create tweets from time to time with highlights of management comments. It will not be a summary of the call but interesting excerpts I noticed.
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Will keep this tweet for posterity -
$SKLZ is the best business model with the biggest growth potential that I have seen for a really long time. This company can scale fast exponentially and with right execution can reach a 100B market cap in a few years time.
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My current top 6 : $SE $TDOC $PLTR $PTON $CRWD $SKLZ. Then $ROKU $DDOG $ABNB $PINS closely follow. From long term but risky bets, I have $SRNG $RTP and $SRAC. Finally $NET $SNOW $TTD $TWLO $SFIX $GDRX etc. make the rest
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Who wants Septum DarkPool Data . At some point we are moving this to a private twitter profile only for users who are followers and actively contributes to this effort . It will stay free but more exclusive . Thinking this as I sit on a rock next to Gore Creek
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1> $SKLZ Here is what I am aware in terms of market dynamics. Some of it based on discussion with other experts -
Archegos held a huge number of swaps of Skillz. Credit Suisse is still selling them.
This
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Latest Portfolio -
Long $SE $TDOC $PINS $ROKU $SKLZ $NET $DDOG $PTON $ABNB $PLTR $CRWD $HAAC $SRAC $TWLO $SRNG $RTP
Short - Currently 1 growth stock in Fintech space, will be expanding this portfolio over time. Looking also at methods to monetize sector rotations going forward.
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Next time $PLTR declares a shelf offering, you know a big news is coming..
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I saw a lot of folks in Twitter getting rid of $TDOC today, fed up with lack of upward movement and the repetitive drops to low 180s. Last time I saw that was when $ROKU kept hitting near $100 around early June. It took ROKU less than 6 months to treble after that .
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Ark is selling $SKLZ after buying a few months back. I have a ton of respect for
@CathieDWood
but I do not understand the rationale of buying, going on CNBC to support the company and then selling only a couple of months later even before a single earnings report. Time reveals
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$PLTR falling because once it was part of the meme group which have been falling. Palantir is one of the most promising companies and I have been adding to it in increments with each dip.
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Today's scores was extremely important to me as today was monthly options expiration, when a switch to a bull/bear regime can happen. I see a bull trend for growth stocks ahead based on Dark Pool Scores. No one has a crystal ball, this is just what my signals are showing.
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I know many may not agree , but when markets are down like today , I don’t spend any time looking at portfolio or stock holding but immerse in DD for new opportunities that open up during this time . Times like these are most productive for me .
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Have been thinking about my portfolio deeply recently trying to find the one company that has the most clearly visible path to a 10X. I must admit, it is controversial but I ended up with $PTON. As a result, I increased my allocation further to make it my top 5.
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People buy TCL because of Roku , not the other way round . Walmart places TCL because Roku pays Walmart . The TCL Android narrative risk is not material in my opinion . TCL is a commodity . Roku is not . Long $ROKU and added .
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Higher rates took out growth stocks , then stocks overall , then crypto in progress , then will be NFTs , then houses .
Then economy slows . Inflation vanishes . Deflation comes . Fed unleashes again . Cycle starts and continues . Meanwhile …
Peter Schiff basks in glory .
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Congrats to patient $TDOC holders. You waited long believing in Fundamentals & now getting rewarded. $TDOC is my top holding. Also congrats to $SKLZ holders who looked beyond the obvious. Finally remember, markets can humble anytime. Increased my cash position today.
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Dark Pool guys are bullish. As I said before the scores are fluctuating and I don't see a red flag at least in my signals.
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Summer in Colorado . Time to spend more time outdoors amidst mountains than being confined indoors working on computers. Enjoy the summer after two years . Tweets will be a little less frequent next couple of months .
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Final Thoughts before my downtime : Everywhere I look in news media I see warnings of Dot com bust, warnings of a bubble about to burst....yet, when I look at my Septum Dark Pool Scores, I find a completely different story. There Dark Pool is just warming up for another bull run!
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Added to $TDOC position which is already top position . This seems to me as one of the best opportunities currently in market for long term wealth generation . Misperception that growth will slow due to Covid provides the opportunity to get into the stock at such a great price.
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When $TWLO was my largest position & one of the most shorted stocks with folks betting it goes to zero, I had no Ark or Cathy publishing their thesis, trades & thoughts to public. Twilio as a result took 8 months to recover and then become 10x. Times have changed thankfully $SKLZ
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Merry Christmas to all of you. Based on what I have seen in my 3-4 months stint here at FinTwit, here would be my year end advice:
1) Do your own DD. Invest the time. Do not follow a trade just because a FinTwit guy with a ton of followers said that.
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Please join me in congratulation him. A million is always special. I remember hitting this goal when I was employed and was out on business travel in the east coast. Alone in the hotel, I just decided to have a lobster for dinner and took a picture :)
💥$1,000,000💥🎉🥳
Humbled by reaching this milestone
It’s another step on a path that began many years ago
I hope my journey inspires others to start investing early & often
TY so much for your support, this community has truly made a difference in my path 🙏
🦜
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Twitter creating fake ids to mock Fintwit personalities is not funny . Anyone getting trolled no matter if you agree or disagree with the other person’s approach or tweets cannot be supported .
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$SKLZ Getting queries as to why I said Skillz is the best business model I have seen in recent times. Show me a business operating at 95% GM, 4 month CAC Payback, 3+ years of LTV with levers to further reduce CAC & increase LTV, & Strong Network Effects by user cross pollination
Will keep this tweet for posterity -
$SKLZ is the best business model with the biggest growth potential that I have seen for a really long time. This company can scale fast exponentially and with right execution can reach a 100B market cap in a few years time.
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Lately noticed negative tweets mocking a few Fintwit influencers. Is that a good use of anyone's time? We need to say no to these negative tweets that slander people's name publicly. Stop being moral police of anyone. Let their followers decide for themselves. Focus on yourself.
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Just had my "Aha" moment when I saw Roku Homescreen advertising the Roku Streambar with a Buy Button. Clicking it, asks for your pin and then takes you to checkout screen to order it. This shows $ROKU will bet on ecommerce in a big way. One massive revenue stream !!
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I will send out the private twitter handle next week for Quant Signals including DP scores. Followers can ask to join by providing their identity in message sent to that account . No anonymous accounts and only engaged folks . Access will stay conditional and free for now
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$FSLY Position completely exited today from Septum Core Portfolio. Here is a write up post analysis. This is not a SELL recommendation for anyone else. This is what applies to us based on current Risk Profile of Fastly. When that changes, we invest again.
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$TDOC My original thesis to invest in Teladoc is unchanged. It is a long term play and I like leaders in a large expanding TAM with no matching competition ( does not equate to no competition). This is kind of a stock I look at once a quarter to check earnings report.
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$NET Glad to see this forecast come true today. On a separate note, many of you have reached out for Dark Pool Scores after I went dark. I am planning to share my select Quant Indicators in a Private Twitter account ( invite only) in near future. Stay tuned.
@JoTrader4
Yes and I think revenue growth will accelerate . Will have to see whether that really happens
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I had seen tweets when Ark was worshipped & now I see tweets where Ark is vilified. Earlier I had cautioned about not following Ark blindly & I think the current negative sentiment is unfair. Ark makes some great choices. They are in it for long term. My style is very similar.
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Added to my already large $HAAC position today after open. This completes my allocation to $HAAC and plan is to hold it through merger and beyond it. Planning to write my article tomorrow and hopefully send it out tomorrow evening or latest by Sunday . Have a good weekend.
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Money can get financial freedom & eliminate worldly worries. But it cannot fill your life with contentment. Creativity , Learning and Human Connection can only do that . Create , Love and Learn as you Invest. Achieved financial freedom several years ago. So this is first hand.
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$TDOC Solid results. Nothing I saw that changes my thesis. Staying course. The y-o-y numbers are not useful and I would avoid looking at them. If you need to estimate valuation, look at their 2021 revenue guidance, check EV/S multiple ( less than 18) . GM will keep increasing.
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So a really low quality $3 stock ( as per tweets from bears over last few days) was bought by Ark today in the amount of 5 million total. This after Morgan Stanley increased stake to 10% of the company. $SKLZ
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1> A few weeks ago I tweeted about embracing the Abundance mindset. The more I think about Fintwit, the more I realize how perfect it is for applying abundance mindset. Here every making individual gain is not in conflict with anyone else's gain. Information shared helps everyone
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Just sending this out as a caution. No need to panic. Average Dark Pool Scores dropped quite a bit today, so there may be a dip ahead. Not planning to buy anything till scores improve. You will come to know when scores go back to normal.
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$SHOP - Bought in early 50s, when it crossed 100, majority was saying it has run up too high
$TWLO - Bought in mid 20s. In early 2018 when it ran up quick to 50s, a lot people said it has run up too high
$ROKU - Run from 30s to 60s to 80s in 2019, people said it ran up too fast..
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Average scores for growth stocks saw a good jump today in Dark Pool Bullish activity. Hope this translates to a good next week. Just a signal, can be wrong.
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If a portfolio is designed with 10 equal sized investments and over a 10 year period if one investment becomes 100x and rest all goes to zero, even then the portfolio ends up as 10X. That is the VC investment model in short.
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Pulling up old timestamped content is fun. Felt doing it today based on similar time spent today morning on Twitter due to $SKLZ . In 2017 , $TWLO had similar distrust from investors as what Skillz is seeing now and price action was similar ( spike very high then a huge drop)
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$SKLZ Rocketing higher. If they announce Google Playstore news in near future, this is a much bigger stock. My 4th largest position.
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Discount Brokerages taking access away from retail traders show who their real customers are. The trades are sold to HFT firms who front run the trades. Unpopular post but I felt like posting it today though I don't support anyone manipulating markets be it wall st. or retail
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Septum Dark Pool Scores were moderately bullish for our Core Growth Stocks. $ROKU $SHOP $NET $TWLO $FSLY in 50s and $PTON $SE $CRWD $TDOC in 40s. $BAND and $ETSY was strongest in 60s. Relatively muted was $DDOG $PINS $SNOW in 30s.
Please help spread the word if you find useful.
Who wants Septum DarkPool Data . At some point we are moving this to a private twitter profile only for users who are followers and actively contributes to this effort . It will stay free but more exclusive . Thinking this as I sit on a rock next to Gore Creek
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Analysis of Momentus Space $SRAC
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$PINS My third largest position and every tweet I look at now about it is praising the company . A year back it was the opposite when it was in trend & tweets looked more like $SKLZ now. Will re-tweet this again in a year and will continue this chain for perspective.
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Closing thoughts for the weekend. This was a great week for returns. Congrats. These make a difference to us & many around us. The illusion of our egos need to be demolished to open up more, promote others more and embrace people's success more. You can never do too much of it.
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Fintwit has a problem. On the day after SNAP's great earnings, a lot of people were super confident of PINS which was not a great sign. Today, I see tweets blasting PINS. A company has not changed in this 1 week. Fintwit has become an echo chamber. We need contrarians too.
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I made the changes I wanted in the portfolio, since the selloff started last week, including deploying cash & selling some lower conviction pos to add to $NET $PTON $DDOG $TWLO $ROKU earlier. Added to $TDOC $SKLZ $CRWD today. Created space portfolio $SRAC $SFTW $NSH. Now I hold.
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$DDOG Just got a chance to review Datadog Microsoft partnership . This is so big that I feel Datadog is undervalued big time now . I have a significant position in core portfolio but feel like putting in more . First kind of such thirdparty native integration done by Azure .
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Those who are investing in Palantir ( $PLTR) or Joby Aviation ( $JOBY), Ginkgo ( $SRNG) or Peloton ( $PTON) thinking it can give massive returns in short duration may get a rude awakening. But I truly believe in 2-3 years time, based on their execution they can beat avg. returns
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1> $SKLZ I share my convictions but I try to stay away from long discussions & arguments about the thesis mainly because it is time consuming especially when the time investment to do the DD is not uniform across the group. Every phenomenal investment started like this.
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1> $TDOC Per call with Cramer, Teladoc CEO mentioned only 10% of visits are covid related. Since 18% of revenue is visit related, that makes direct covid impact to revenue only 1.8%. There maybe some indirect impact as well, but that is more difficult to quantify.
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4> To all who care to read my tweets, I welcome you once again to join me in this journey of spreading the mindset of abundance. We all can win together, share together, make money together and help each other even more.
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I decided to add to my $TDOC position today. DP scores have been strong consistently for weeks, options markets are bullish and analyst reports have been solid. My fundamental long term bull thesis is intact. Digital health space continues to get stronger with huge VC investment.
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$SKLZ Looks like Big Buck Hunter Marksman game is in Live Beta now. I played the game and enjoyed it. To me it seems to have the ingredients to be a potential hit in future .
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AI and Genomics. $PLTR and $SRNG are my top bets with a long term horizon. Have been adding to both.
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The real challenge of winning big in long term investing is not getting in early ( it is only Step 1) but building enough conviction ( through deep research) to hold it through spikes and drops. That is when big money gets made.
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Why I don’t allow politics in my posts or wall ?
1) It does not help you earn money
2) It ends up in useless partisan bickering
3)it does not help convincing anyone to change sides
4) It is actually an obstacle to build an intelligent community that I want to create
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Spent some time on Twitter today and very few $PTON bulls left. For me, I never understood why the long term thesis would break , except that it is now cheaper as market is pricing the slowdown in demand over next several quarters due to pullback . For me, this is still a 10X bet
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Genomics : I am a hands-on AI/Deep Learning coder, but I can tell you, CRISPR will have more impact on humanity than AI/Deep Learning in future. I decided not to invest in 2017 when it was in early stage but things have progressed much. This is reason, I am devoting my time now
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Powell says that rising interest is rising because of the expectation of a stronger economy and inflation returning to normal levels implying that this is a positive thing . My thinking is exactly same. Ultimately in growth economy growth companies do well. Rotation is temporary.
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One Fintwit personality I want to call out explicitly who never took anything to heart, even if I do a bearish tweet on a stock that he held is
@plantmath1
. For most , the relationship has been tied to stocks they hold. He is exception that a norm. Kudos to him. A great follow.
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$RBLX Starting a thread on Roblox . So far I have been very impressed in my Due Diligence ( which includes talking to my kids as they are my Subject Matter Experts here). I am most fascinated by their business model. Your inputs are welcome in this thread.
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Since I joined FinTwit, I have seen a lot of chest thumping. Investing is not a fight game. The best ones are those who are more skeptical than overconfident, curious than know-it-all, subtle than loud. Think of more like Warren Buffett rather than some modern day TV icons. GN
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You see a tweet blasting a stock that you are long term bullish on. If you get upset, it is a red flag. Just laugh it off, especially if it is an opinion based on price action. A market is made of bulls and bears. A stock will always be trashed. Many of my best picks did.
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After listening to all the key earnings calls yesterday evening I am adding to one position of mine . The Bike with an IPad.
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$SKLZ
1. Few shares available to short. Shorts have tried hard.
2. Blackrock, Morgan Stanley, Ark bought while retail sold.
3. Synchronous gaming features getting tested and live ( available now in Tetris Clash)
4. Tetris Clash and Big Buck Hunter increasingly gaining traction
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1>This will be a running thread going forward as the portfolio gets updated. This week several adds were made ( $CHGG $FUBO $GDRX $AMD $MRVL) in small allocations and $SNOW was sold for a 50% gain). Updated:
1. $TDOC
2. $SE
3. $ROKU
4. $PINS
5. $NET
6. $DDOG
7. $SHOP
contd..
New Pinned Tweet-
My Portfolio based on conviction closely resembling allocation-
1. $TDOC
2. $SE
3. $ROKU
4. $PINS
5. $NET
6. $DDOG
7. $SHOP
8. $PTON
9. $CRWD
10. $FB
11. $PLTR
12. $SNOW
13. $TWLO
14. $RKT
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$SKLZ Remarkably stable while so many other growth stocks are faltering for last 2 days . It is bullish sign .
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Looking for intelligent feedback from my followers. Will be engaging selectively with you based on feedback. Septum top 3 is $TDOC $SE $ROKU. Please tell me what can go wrong fundamentally for any of them? What am I not seeing?
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