ShivaFPL
@ShivaFPL
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18 years #FPL | 3 top 10k | 10 top 50k | @ffscout MTM video- | Weekly Projected Points Model | GGMU |
Texas, USA
Joined July 2012
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💥 We’re ready for new season 💥
2024-25 Projected points model
#FPL
2023-24 data is processed and the model is ready for the season. Similar to the last season, I will post top 15 highest projected points every GW.
RT appreciated
#FPLCommunity
(1/2)
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Among all the BGW and DGW drama, personally it was one of the most exciting week in my life. We are proud owners of this house 😊
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I am working on a xPoints model. It’s in very early stages and I am planning to bring it in for
#FPLCommunity
next season.
Fort DGW28, it’s suggesting me to captain Sa. If I don’t back my own model what’s the whole point!😀
#FPL
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GW6 projected points - top 15
#FPL
TAA 8.98
KDB 8.76
Haaland* 8.65
Salah 8.61
Cancelo 7.97
Diaz 7.69
Son* 7.22
Kane 7.09
Perisic* 6.87
Sterling 6.51
Toney 6.39
Reece 6.33
Neco 6.21 👀
Dias 6.08
Mitrovic 5.92
*xMins projecting 60-70 mins
Details of the model in my pinned tweet
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DGW29 projected points - top 15
#FPL
MacAllister 13.85
Rashford 13.24
Bruno 13.03
Maddison 12.78
March 12.50
Salah 12.29
Mitoma 12.25
Estupinan 12.16
Dunk 11.57
Shaw 11.36
Trippier 11.15
Toney 11.06
Watkins 10.94
Havertz 10.74
Isak 9.44
Details of the model in my pinned tweet
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Foden and Watkins hauls felt great, but this guy made my day! 🙌
4.5m, 0.4% owned
#FPLCommunity
#FPL
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DO NOT make a mistake of overlooking GW38 because of DGW36-37. GW38 has a potential of few cricket scores
Chelsea vs Watford
Arsenal vs Everton
Norwich vs Spurs
Leicester vs Saints
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DGW20 thoughts
- Lewis and Ake will play full backs, Cancelo is a big problem
- United fixtures don’t scream CS, buying Shaw/Dalot now doesn’t feel right
- Zaha is a great punt if you need to take some risk
- Haaland predicted EO ~ 230%
- Darwin Out Kane In
- Cancelo ➡️ Doc/Rico
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{thread}
Here’s why Liverpool defensive triple up is genuine consideration for me this season -
2019-20 season:
TAA + VVD + Robbo = 569 points = 21m
TAA + Salah = 443 points =19.5m
2018-19 season:
TAA + VVD + Robbo = 606 = 20.5m
TAA + Salah = 444 =19.5m
(1/6) ⬇️⬇️
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Looking for a Ronaldo Enabler? or Raphinha replacement ? Let me present to you 👇👇
🔥🔥Ismaila Sarr 🔥🔥
{ A Thread }
Talisman ✅
Fixtures ✅
xGI✅
Vibes✅
Let’s go a bit deeper… ⬇️ (1/5)
#FPL
#FPLCommunity
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#FPL
is at very interesting stage
- Ranks still volatile
- Salah sale has seen teams breaking the template a bit and DGW galore making sure ample replacements around
- Villa look great but choosing the pick is not straight forward
- West ham high EO + good fixtures but… (1/3)
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If you didn’t own following players, what’d be your priority sequence to get them in ?
A. Jota
B. Kane
C. Foden
D. TAA
#FPL
#FPLCommunity
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My verdicts on popular dilemmas-
1. Dias✅ vs Cancelo
🔵 December fixtures congestion is upon us. I can see Dias starting 4 games in 10 days but can’t say that for Cancelo.
🔵 Against weaker opponents with low block, Pep might need left footed player on left wing. Can see...
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WC tip for those wanting to punt on City attackers-
Instead of getting KDB(12)+4.5midf, get Foden+Grealish(16) and have one playing midfielder first on bench.
Better way to play Pep roulette imo!
#FPL
#FPLCommunity
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GW9 no Salah cap: 109k➡️310k
GW34 no Salah: 7k➡️11k
Never felt so low due to FPL. Part of it must be Man United 😞
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WC28 looks more and more likely for my team
-Nicely setup for DGW25
-No Chelsea, Leic and Arsenal means I can navigate BGW27 easily
-GW28 sees fixture swing for Leic, Wolves and Chelsea who’ve got total 8 extra games to play.
-After GW28,only 10 GWs to go, and 2 FH in hand!
#FPL
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For all those waiting for Mitrovic news before making GW10 moves, be ready for this -
“He didn’t train this week but we’re going to assess him tomorrow. Will take decision on his involvement against west ham then..”
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DGW27 projected points - top 15
#FPL
Toney 13.65
March 13.28
MacAllister 13.11
Mitoma 12.83
Estupinan 11.04
Zaha 10.82 👀
Dunk 9.56
Mbeumo 7.88
Haaland 7.85
Saka 7.17
Odegaard 6.96
Rashford 6.55
Salah 6.49
Kane 6.27
Maddison 6.05
Details of the model in my pinned tweet
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If I do end up wildcarding this GW, I’ll go with something like this.
No one is essential right?
#FPL
#FPLCommunity
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GW21 projected points- top 15
#FPL
Watkins 7.14
Palmer 7.04
Solanke 6.84
Foden 6.81
Richarlison 6.68
Darwin 6.63
Saka 6.57
Bailey 6.43
Sterling 6.27
Odegaard 6.22
Garnacho 6.17
Pedro 6.05
Porro 5.94
Alvarez 5.91
Kulusevski 5.86
Details of the model in my pinned tweet
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GW36 projected points - top 15
#FPL
Isak 12.78
Mitoma 12.61
McAllister 12.46
Trippier 11.79
Haaland 9.86
Gross 9.47
Schar 9.19
Wilson 8.92
Estupinan 8.87
Joelington 8.35
Salah 8.06
Welback 7.95
TAA 7.40
Mahrez 7.33
Kane 6.94
Details of the model in my pinned tweet
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Projected points model - *Beta version*
DGW36 projected points- top 10
TAA- 13.28
Salah - 13.08
Son - 12.03
KDB - 11.84
Robbo - 11.25
Dias - 10.66
Cancelo - 10.55
Allison- 10.33
Laporte - 10.29
Kulu - 10.10
Not far behind-
Mahrez - 9.91
Jota - 9.88
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Projected points model update:
The model is ready and will share the top10 projected points every week. Model takes into account -
- fixture difficulty
- player tier (A-D)
- both teams form
- xMins
- explosiveness
- Last 6 games stats (different stats per position)
(1/3)
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🔵 Richarlison vs 🔴 Nketiah
🔵 1 extra game
🔵 On pens
🔵 fighting for survival
🔴 Arsenal: better team
🔴 can keep for GW38
🔴 fighting for top 4
Which one and why?
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DGW7 projected points- top 15
#FPL
Haaland 7.72
Salah 7.56
Son 7.18
*Saka 7.08
Wilson 6.93
Odegaard 6.90
Sterling 6.68
Alvarez 6.52
Fernandes 6.44
Trippier 6.23
Foden 6.19
Rashford 6.08
Bowen 5.91
Mitoma 5.87
Watkins 5.82
Details of the model in my pinned tweet
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As things stand, this strategy is best suited for me to make the most of ALL DGWs 25-29 & BGW30
#FPL
FH26
WC28
FH33
BB36
TC32-37
DGW25
2FT, triple United and double Brighton
FH26
-Currently have no Arsenal or Salah. -Planning to get 6 on FH26 plus Kane, Son and Raphinha
(1/3)
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Going against Salah(C) in tough fixture cost me 21 points last time. Took me a few weeks to regain that OR
A part of me feels going against Salah in this form is risky
Other part feels 24 pointer is very rare and I should not take what happened last time into account
#FPL
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DGW37 projected points - top 15
#FPL
Haaland 13.72
McAllister 12.75
Bruno 12.22
KDB 12.07
Mitoma 11.84
Mahrez 11.49
Rashford 11.31*
Estupinan 11.03
Gundogan 10.86
Shaw 10.47
Antony 10.18
Ederson 10.03
Dias 9.56
Dunk 8.62
Gross 8.13
Details of the model in my pinned tweet
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A bunch of impatient bastards!😅
Risers: Son (10.4) Lacazette (8.5) Martinelli (5.4) Broja (5.2)
Fallers: Mané (11.8)
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Wife’s got bad covid symptoms.Haven’t seen her like that ever. Couldn’t do a covid test to confirm. North Texas is swamped. Consulted a doctor and she’s almost certain that it’s covid. No fever though. We’re double jabbed,no booster yet.Son is 4.Him and me having minor symptoms🤞
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DGW34 projected points - top 15
#FPL
Haaland 13.95
Salah 12.97
Mitoma 12.57
Rashford 12.54
Bruno 12.28
KDB 12.12
TAA 11.95
March 11.36
Stones 11.26
McAllister 10.91
Grealish 10.87
Dias 10.46
Robertson 10.34
Gakpo 10.06
Ederson 9.89
Details of the model in my pinned tweet
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GW38 thoughts-
🔴If you are chasing, Mane(C) has highest upside this GW.
🚫Expect low scoring games between MUN LEI WOL CHE. Don’t buy/captain from these games.
🟠🟤Watford and Villa will be up for it, I’d not advise to buy Auba or Antonio for a hit...(1/5)
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{thread} Popular questions ahead of GW13 -
#FPLCommunity
#FPL
1. Is Foden to Jota Worth?
Jota seems like a great shout for next 3 GWs. 3 games in 8 days, so even if Firmino is getting close, Klopp won’t start him right away, meaning it’s quite likely that Jota gets…
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FH36(🔸) vs FH38(🔹) -
🔸Do a draft for GW36 and see how many different players you’ll pick who are not in your current squad, if more than 4-5, go for it.
🔸Do not save FH for GW38 only based on possible team leaks. Remember
@FPL_Rockstar
confirmed he’d not be giving...(1/4)
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Not sure whether to use a chip?
#FPL
These are broad rules you can follow to finalize or rule out activating a chip in a DGW-
TC -
1. The player needs to be certain to start both games.
2. Preferably on penalties. Odds of getting a penalty in 180 mins are twice as high. (1/3)
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Overthinking? or Valid assumptions?
- Leicester rotation threat outweighs good fixtures
- Robbo to start only 1 game
- Chelsea to play weaker side vs Leeds
- City mentally & physically tired, so may struggle
- Son >> Kane due to Ars & Liv high line
- Can’t cap Salah if chasing
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