Shawn is at shawnfremstad.bsky.social
@ShawnFremstad
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For the many, not the few. Labor, social security, families, disability. Born in Fargo.
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At Mississippi’s current monthly benefit level, a single mother would need to stay on Temporary Assistance for 345 years to receive as much in welfare funds as Brett Favre did.
NEW: The Mississippi State Auditor is demanding that Brett Favre return $828,000 he received in "illegally spent welfare funds" that should have gone to needy families.
But Favre is not among the six facing criminal charges for the scheme.
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Italian Senate approves a new Universal Child Benefit ($250 euros monthly up to age 21) by a vote of 227-4.
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Substitute teacher charged with a felony for receiving six months of health insurance through Medicaid.
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🚨New
@uscensusbureau
release on Long COVID 🚨
—About 4.4 million US adults report disabling Long COVID symptoms—symptoms that reduce their ability to carry out day-to-day activities "a lot"
—Another 9.9 million report LC symptoms that reduce their ability "a little" /1
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Free, universal school meals wins in Colorado! (Latest results are 55%—over 1 million votes—for Yes.)
Ballot measure also requires higher wages for school meal workers and less reliance on processed food.
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One of my fave facts about the US poverty line that partially explains why it's so absurdly low: it assumes households include an ideal 1950s housewife: “a careful shopper, a skillful cook, and a good manager who will prepare all the family’s meals at home”
Every time a policymaker uses “the poverty level,” we all need to be saying out loud what that is, so ppl have the truth in their heads. For a single person, rn the U.S. govt puts the poverty line at $12,880/year, & $26,500/year for a family of four. It’s a ridiculous measure.
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Impact of SNAP's punitive work test:
—NO increase in employment
—homeless people are disproportionately pushed off
—53% reduction in low-income adults (among those subject to work test) who get help from SNAP
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of course the benefit does have a work requirement since it it is conditional on caring for a child
Sen. Joe Manchin this AM on monthly child tax credit:
“Let’s make sure we’re getting it to the right people. There’s no work requirements whatsoever. There’s no education requirements.. Don’t you think if you want to help the children, the people should make some effort?”
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@MattBruenig
@taragolshan
@EricLevitz
@SherrodBrown
if goal is to get US center-right, this seems more likely to work
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We can very "realistically" end poverty as we know it today in US ... it would require policies along the lines of actually existing Nordic Social Democracy, and pundits should be honest about this.
I don't think we can exactly "end" poverty, but a realistic goal is to cut child poverty in half. That's what Tony Blair did with a concerted effort of child allowances, home visitation etc. One major study says the US could cut child poverty in half with child allowances alone.
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Tom Perriello is absolutely right: “There’s a belief among a certain set of Democrats that taking an idea and cutting it in half makes it a better idea when it just makes it a worse idea”
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.
@jbouie
makes two key points in this that need to be more central in progressive discourse about work requirements ...
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Lee Atwater: "You start out in 1954 by saying, “[n-word, n-word, n-word]” By 1968 you can’t say "[n-word]”—that hurts you, backfires. So you say stuff like, uh, forced busing, states’ rights, and all that stuff, and you’re getting so abstract."
Sending $250/$350 per month/per child to everyone, with no work requirement, is welfare
Being pro-family means being pro-work
Our expanded Child Tax Credit idea is a far better approach
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After Lawrence Mead write this in 1992, the Brookings Institution published two of his books, had him as a speaker at several events, and included him as a member of a liberal-conservative task force that was supposed to reach "consensus" on poverty.
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In a 2004 interview, Bruce Reed gloats about the time he “attacked the Republicans for being weak on work and for not having stiff work requirements”. As a result, the GOP “caved to our demands, strengthening the work requirements” in the bill replacing AFDC with a block grant.
While we're at it, can we blackball Bruce Reed, a key figure in the 1996 welfare reform, who coined the term “end welfare as we know it” (and was Biden's Chief of Staff from 2011-13)
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Of 119 million adults reporting having received a positive COVID-19 diagnosis:
—about 29% reported Long COVID symptoms lasting 3 months or longer in late September
—3.7% said these symptoms reduced day-to-day activities "a lot"
—8% said symptoms reduced activities a little /2
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”’Your mom is on food stamps’ works as a taunt because it means she & you are poor. ’Your mom gets a monthly child benefit check’ doesn’t work as a taunt because it just means she has a kid & because the taunter’s mom also gets one”
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This is a dubious claim. Adult women have higher poverty rates at every age than adult men.
Poverty hurts the boys the most: Inequality at the intersection of class and gender via
@BrookingsInst
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we know Canada Child Benefit, which now provides roughly $300/mo per child max, reduced child poverty, this paper looks at employment and finds “no evidence of a labor supply response ... on either the extensive or intensive margin”
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Reminds me of Nick Kristof's claim that "young men are civilized by women and marriage"
"Johnson lives in Parrish with his wife and their five children. He is a stay-at-home father, who makes and sells furniture, while his wife is a doctor in Palmetto."
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From 2017-2019, two nonprofits that ran Families First for Mississippi received $100 million in welfare money and reported helping 652 people receive a Career Ready Certificate, 94 write a resume and 72 complete a job application.”
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Despite the pandemic, Mississippi has managed the feat of even further reducing the number of parents and children it allows to receive TANF financial assistance. This not long after they gave Brett Favre over $1 million of those funds for speeches he never gave.
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Oof, on the time the Obama administration(!), used cost-benefit analysis that involved " asking how much money the victims of rape would be willing to pay to avoid rape and also asking how much money these victims would be willing to accept in exchange for being raped."
If you're considering how policy can address criminal justice, check out this analysis by
@heinzerlaw
about the cost-benefit analysis for regulations to implement the Prison Rape Elimination Act. Reg "reform" is a barrier to action on this & other issues.
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“work requirements reduce SNAP participation by 52 percent. Very low-income and homeless adults are disproportionately screened out. We statistically rule out employment increases of more than 2 percentage points”
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Includes claims like "Black youth...typically demand higher wages before they will work than whites with the same qualifications .... because "passion reigns [among] Black youth" 2/
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In 1990s, three states (AR, AZ, LA) adopted laws allowing couples to enter into a “covenant marriage” that requires a showing of fault to dissolve. 99%+ of couples in these states stick with regular marriage with the no-fault option.
I worry we're going to be seeing more of this in red states soon
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These estimates are from today's Census Household Pulse survey release, . It's first time this questions questions have been asked about Long COVID disability/activity in a federal nationally representative survey AFAIK. /3
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@JStein_WaPo
@amanduhgomez
Also that majority of jobs lost this time around paid trash wages:
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It's 2021 and the Brookings Institution just held an event on poverty that had 14 speakers, all of whom were white and none of whom were from progressive think tanks, but they did find room for conservatives from Heritage and AEI.
Right now:
@RichardvReeves
is kicking off the
@BrookingsInst
&
@AEI
event on
#PovertyMeasures
- tune in for the report presentation and discussion.
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“When you’re poor everything is a 10-step process that ends up costing way more than if you actually have resources,” Vought said before starting his walk to Western Union, a mile and a half away at a Safeway on Georgia Avenue.”
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Related example: "Toward a Mandatory Work Policy for Men", , which is really a call for a Mandatory Work Policy for Black Men; published in The Future of Children, a self-described "academic journal" co-published by Brookings ... 1/
this is a really cool example of a thing I came across in my masters research: alt-right eugenicists sneaking their way into public policy by mimicking the aesthetics of academic journals and think tanks
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Reminds me of time in 2000s when I was in a meeting with liberal DC experts on need to develop big ideas on poverty. When I suggested turning Child Tax Credit into a real Child Allowance, I was told it had to be limited to kids whose parents had at least $1 in annual earnings.
YES!
It's been 6 years since we first published the poverty-busting idea at
@amprog
that America's key child benefit should be:
➤ Fully refundable
➤ Monthly
➤ Larger for the littlest kids (via a Young Child supplement)
I'm ECSTATIC to see the idea coming to fruition.
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More broadly, we should get back to thinking of "social security" as a system that includes social insurance, social assistance and social services. The idea that Social Security is just Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance is a weird post-WWII American thing.
We should take the "insurance" part of "social insurance" seriously but not literally
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New from me on how federal poverty measures rely on outdated assumptions about care, gender roles, and children's developmental and social participation needs.
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Reminds me that in a 2009 book, Haskins and Sawhill described unmarried people with children as "norm-violators."
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”we may have a child that [is] able-bodied, not married, no kids, but he’s sitting on the couch collecting welfare,” McCarthy said on Fox. “We’re going to put work requirements on that individual…”
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tbf, Bruce Reed, who was Bill Clinton's lead political operative on welfare did more than Haskins to push the 1996 welfare debacle to the far right. Even worse, Reed was VP Biden's Chief of Staff and is still one of his main policy advisors.
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First, the "outcomes [of work requirements] are less important [for conservatives] than the maintenance of a particular moral order in which survival — to say nothing of comfort — is earned in the market" ...
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Half of all men (18-50) were veterans in 1960 & 1970—mass forced compulsory sucked but also meant that the military's vast welfare state was there for men. (Today it's only 5.7% and our civilian welfare ain't cutting it).
Once again, recognizing everyone as The Troops solves everything
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”we estimated that a single-payer universal healthcare system would have saved 212,000 lives in 2020 alone. We also calculated that US$105.6 billion of medical expenses associated with COVID-19 hospitalization could have been averted by Medicare for All”
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my j’accuse is that Matt called public schools “parent-hostile”—in reality public schools, however imperfect, make parenting much easier; the actually parent-hostile institutions are private employers and it just doesn’t have to be as bad as it is for working class parents in US.
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@nataliesurely
@KHNews
and not surprisingly, as i wrote about last month, strong relationship at state level between uninsurance rates and vax rate, and vax rates about 8 percentage points lower in states that didn't expand Medicaid
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Growing up in public housing increases adult earnings and reduces incarceration, which is one more reason to build a ton of it.
Forthcoming in AEJ: Economic Policy: "Childhood Housing and Adult Outcomes: A Between-Siblings Analysis of Housing Vouchers and Public Housing" by Fredrik Andersson, John Haltiwanger, Mark Kutzbach, Giordano Palloni, Henry Pollakowski, & Daniel Weinberg.
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Labor unions reduce poverty among both union and non-union households.
“Labor Unions and American Poverty” via
@OSFramework
New article with
@TVanheuvelen
forthcoming at Industrial & Labor Relations Review.
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A social democrat at heart, he sponsored the Comprehensive Child Development Act in 1971, which would have put us on the path to universal child care, but was vetoed by Nixon.
#BREAKING
: Walter Mondale, who rose from small-town Minnesota to become Democratic nominee for president, dies at 93.
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Nancy Folbre: “I often say to myself I’m glad I lived this long so I can say maybe I had a point.”
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Four reasons why
@SocialSecurity
, not IRS, should administer an expanded, more inclusive Child Benefit, a topic that has received shockingly little serious consideration at liberal think tanks.
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By 1966, MLK “no longer regarded poverty as the denial of minimal subsistence needs" and argued it should be "set as a percentage of median income, hence adjusting poverty standards to the rising 'average standard of living.'"
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One of the assumptions here seems to be that "Americans who attended college" and "families in poverty ... low-wage workers" are two distinct groups, but nearly half of low-income young adults today have ... attended college.
$1.7 trillion to relieve Americans who attended college? How about instead spending that govt $ on assistance to families in poverty, subsidizing low-wage workers, helping out-of-work/low-wage adults train for good jobs, or providing high quality child care for low-inc families?
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with
@ddayen
reporting that Bruce Reed is a top contender for OMB director, seems like a good time to re-up this
In a 2004 interview, Bruce Reed gloats about the time he “attacked the Republicans for being weak on work and for not having stiff work requirements”. As a result, the GOP “caved to our demands, strengthening the work requirements” in the bill replacing AFDC with a block grant.
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“punishment of migrant families was compounded by a process that Soboroff describes as either willfully cruel or cruelly negligent. Record-keeping was so shoddy and inadequate that authorities didn’t properly keep track of which child belonged to whom”
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@itsafronomics
@saragoldrickrab
@tressiemcphd
@TrevonDLogan
@SandyDarity
@DarrickHamilton
@choo_ek
@uche_blackstock
@oni_blackstock
@MollyJongFast
@RichardvReeves
@FamilyStoryProj
... which includes this graphic, which provides a summary geneology of the "success sequence" meme back to initial version developed by Charles Murray and AEI
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“one thing I discovered on reddit was nothing is a better motivator to read piles of papers than getting owned online”
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Terrific piece by
@rtraister
on the latest marriage-cure discourse bubble—drawing connections like this between the far right and center-right is considered impolite in the centrist think tank world but so right on.
An uncanny feature of our current age of antifeminist backlash: the return of the marriage pushers. From the brilliant
@rtraister
:
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"Under the Senate Republicans’ HEALS Act stimulus provision, one parent who lives with one minor child would receive a much lower maximum payment ($1,700) than a married couple with no minor children ($2,400)."
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Clinton campaigned on "Ending Welfare" in the 1990s. In fact, current Biden insider Bruce Reed coined the slogan. In the 2000s, Brookings Institution were still saying we needed to "End Welfare" (and pushing marriage and punitive work requirements as the way to do it). 1/2
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Wow, Capitol Hill staffers really need a union.
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This is how you do it
Asked about what he makes of Sen. Manchin’s comment that CTC should have a work requirement
@SherrodBrown
tells me “I think that raising children is work.”
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HPS is an experimental survey, and has limitations (online; huge sample size, but low response rates; self-reporting, no control group, etc), so shouldn't be taken as end of story—but still very important. On data, see also
@ceprdc
and
@WeBuildProgress
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If the goal of Yascha Mounk were to damage his public standing as someone who believes in persuasion, as much as possible, he could hardly do better than this (lying about an APA statement on institutional racism to get attention).
The American Psychological Association pledges to abolish the "disease" of capitalism.
If the goal of these institutions were to damage their public standing as much as possible, they could hardly do better than this.
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I would say that "means-tested programs" are sustainable/expansible as long as they provide a specific IN-KIND benefit to low-income people in a way that creates a coalition b/w powerful corporate interests & liberal non-profit groups that have foundation support (e.g., SNAP)...
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It's Employee Benefits Day (release of
@BLS_gov
's annual report on employee benefits), and millions of people in working-class jobs continue to be excluded from basic benefits like paid leave, short- and long-term disability insurance, and lots more!
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The author of piece thanks the Brookings editors of the issue, Ron Haskins and Isabel Sawhill, who co-directed the Brookings Center for Children and Families at the time, and Harry Holzer, a Brookings Senior Fellow. It boggles the mind that they published this piece. 3/
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The way TANF (Clinton-Gingrich welfare block grant) tried to square this circle is by exempting grandparents/relative caregivers from punitive aspects of TANF that apply to parents--so in growing # of states near majorities of kids receiving TANF are cared for by relatives.
Joe Manchin has talked about how grandparents should be eligible for CTC and that CTC should have work requirements.
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As someone who has worked in think tanks for 2+ decades now & written a ton about families, the notion that "we don't talk about kids with single parents" is bananas—they are talked about endlessly by elites, as any current reader of NY Times knows. It's time for a better meme!
“In a style closer to think-tank report than rightwing screed, Kearney, an economist at the University of Maryland, tries to explain the trend…”
Thank you for this thoughtful book review
@SoumayaKeynes
!
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"attending a state-funded universal preschool generates substantial immediate test score gains, particularly for low-income children. Gains for low-income children from attending targeted preschool are significantly smaller"
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The real problem isn't that poverty hurts boys more than girls, it's that our undersized welfare state lacks the kind of universal social protections that all people need.
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This is such a strange a-historical take. Child poverty is much lower today than a century ago despite marriage being enforced by strict social & legal sanctions back then. If you want to promote purity culture fine, but don't pretend marriage is a scientific poverty cure.
There is a bit of “talking past each other” among child poverty advocates/scholars…
Here is my shouldn’t-be-a-hot-take-
Child poverty is lower when teen childbearing is lower, when two-parent families are more prevalent, when parents work and earn decent wages…
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@oren_cass
@nytimes
Your binary “makers vs takers”framing of mothers is crude and reinforces a peculiar aspect of the American welfare state (child exclusion) that is rooted in racism.
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🙄My progressive view: 1) kids benefit most from men who embrace egalitarian norms & split care duties, 2) lesbian moms & other "non-normative" family types don't harm kids, 3) parents don't have to live together to be good parents, 4) stigmatization of unmarried has been harmful
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A lot of standard dog-whistling, anti-welfare boilerplate in Rubio's piece, but his false claim that Biden plan will "destroy the child-support enforcement system" is a new one! 1/
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AEI piece taken apart here doesn't acknowledge body of research overwhelmingly showing the SNAP work-hours test strips food vouchers from the vulnerable while causing collateral damage & failing to increase work. To learn about that, read
@tlc_soc
& me:
Earlier this week
@AEI
released a blogpost reviewing the effects of work requirements.
I do not think the evidence presented is compelling.
(1/14)
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I'm with the AEI guy over the Harvard/Obama guy on this one.
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A reminder that by "work requirement" what they actually mean is an "earnings requirement for solo mothers, disabled parents, grandparents caring for grandchildren, and student parents" but not for non-employed, non-student, non-disabled married mothers:
On the possibility of a Grand Bargain on the child tax credit:
Lindsey Graham says he’s open to a compromise, but not without the “work requirement,” which is probably the element Democrats are least interested in bringing back.
Marco Rubio told me the same yesterday.
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There were two or three years there where Clinton went a bit too far toward Gingrich. But in the end, we got the ‘94 Crime bill, the ‘96 welfare cuts/marriage promotion bill, the ‘96 marriage-equality ban, & the ‘96 Illegal Immigration Reform & Immigrant Responsibility Act.
Speaking at John Lewis' funeral, Bill Clinton disses civil rights leader Stokely Carmichael (later Kwame Ture): "There were two or three years there where the movement went a little bit too far towards Stokely. But in the end, John Lewis prevailed."
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@JmsOlvr
@AlecStapp
”We conclude that the observed wage patterns are most consistent with men marrying when their wages are already rising more rapidly than expected and divorcing when their wages are already falling, with no additional causal effect of marriage on wages.”
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“We find bigger effects of UI on job match quality for those more likely to be liquidity constrained—women, non-whites and less-educated workers—suggesting UI extensions improve the functioning of the labor market.”
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Hear me out: Biden should accept putting work requirements on the following programs funded by TANF: "marriage promotion" classes, abstinence education, anti-abortion clinics, and “free boot camp-style fitness courses for well-to-do community members.”
Biden says he won’t accept work requirements that impact health care, an apparent reference to Medicaid, and also says he won’t accept work requirements on other programs “of any consequence”
Sounds like tightening on tanf?
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@RichardvReeves
@annastansbury
@John_N_Friedman
I thought this was interesting--one way to think about college is that it's a kind of wage insurance that women are more likely to buy because they need it more than men.
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This piece was published in 2007, but if you have been following recent news on academic racism, the author's name may ring a bell.
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.
@RonBrownstein
implies that Clinton/Bruce Reed struck a great deal in 1996 because “welfare overhaul bill provided unprecedented new resources for job training”, but this is simply false. They gave away the store and got almost nothing in return.
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Many working-class men are struggling, but continuing to promote the misleading meme that women as a class are "surging ahead" of men as a class doesn't help their cause. It's a class struggle, not a gender struggle.
This is a major essay by one of our most important contemporary thinkers on gender issues,
@ChristineEmba
. Please everyone, read it.
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$250 euros is about US$300, so this is similar to temporary Child Tax Credit expansion in American Rescue Plan, but at first glance looks they paying the full credit on a monthly basis, and it will be much simpler to claim.
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Big sex/gender disparities in both Long COVID symptoms and impairments--sex (at birth)/ratio (women/men):
--Ever had COVID: 1.1
--Have Long-COVID Symptoms: 1.7
--LC symptoms reduce daily activities a lot: 1.4
--LC symptoms reduce daily activities a little: 1.7
/5
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My two cents: keep it simple--pay it monthly, in full, as an actual benefit not an "estimate advance", and in a way that minimizes need to interface with IRS and for-profit tax filing services--and take credit.
“The goal is to give the beneficiary a choice between monthly or semi-annual, twice a year,” Sherrod Brown told
@igorbobic
👀👀
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See also, the 1990s obsession with so-called “welfare mothers” (who were thought to be utterly disconnected from waged work) at the same as policymakers were taking steps that would further lock in the long term decline of employment among working class men.
The policy fixation on work requirements and employment is jarring when you acknowledge the disconnect between a roaring US labor market and our decimating -and exceptional compared to peer countries- declines in life expectancy.
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Reporting loss of employment income in last week, but COVID/Long COVID stats:
Ever rec'd COVID-19 diagnosis: 13%
Have Long COVID symptoms: 19%
Have LC symptoms:
—that reduce daily activity a lot: 34%
—reduce daily activity a litte: 20%
—not at all: 8%
/6
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In which Isabel Sawhill at Brookings oddly advises President Biden to “convince a large segment of the population that he does not intend to...expand the welfare state”
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A disturbing fact not mentioned in this story on Georga's TANF program: the number of kids Georgia has in FOSTER CARE now exceeds the number of kids who receive TANF to help their parents care for them in their own homes. c:
@MayaTPrabhu
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Note that while
@DouthatNYT
says a compromise would attach a so-called "work requirement to the [child] credit for parents with kids older than 1", he clearly assumes the requirement should apply to "single mothers" but not non-employed married mothers. /1
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“[Mead] added, “I am not a racist but a leading expert, and this is the conclusion I am driven to.”
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New South Korean child allowances: “300,000 won, or about $274 [a month], for every newborn and infant up to the age of 1 .... Expectant couples would get a 2 million won cash bonus starting next year, along with increased medical and other benefits.”
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I don't recall Brookings getting much, if any, pushback on this back in the day. That calls to End Welfare were widely viewed as normal and good in DC, while ones to Abolish Policing (as we know it) are viewed as fringe and bad, is part of the problem.
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We should acknowledge that the freedom women gained to have, keep and raise children without being married is a tremendous advance. And we should never lose sight of the despicable state and family violence done to women and children before that advance.
Wait, can I endorse an endorsement?
@MITEcon
@davidautor
is right - single motherhood should not be considered a great advance for women.
And we can acknowledge that without judgement & with empathy.
@UChicagoPress
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"narratives that imply men are falling behind women obscure more fundamental divides. It would be more accurate to say most groups of men and women are falling behind white men, particularly Black men, women overall, Black women, and Latinas"
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