Pool 2. Paulie
@Pool2Paulie
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Bid your way out of the machine. trader/angel/miner. @toth_labs
Decentralized intelligence
Joined March 2021
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-where is my focus best applied today
-where can i make the most money
-am i sizing big enough
that's really it
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Been waiting 2.5 years for this moment and now you guys are nervous? Sack up and take a walk.
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I simply do not give a fuck about the etf or the halving
This liquidity cycle is going to pump risk assets so fucking hard the next 12 months your face will fall off
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larry fink: 'we're going to tokenize the world"
you, a scalper: "i'm bearish on this industry"
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One of the worst to ever do it
This isn’t a similar market to 2019.
You’re not getting a 4 year cycle or a nice predictable bull run to pick up generational wealth like a welfare check.
Sorry.
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Back in the day you would just launch the product and the token at the same time. Emissions didn’t matter if the project was good, it just went up.
But no, founders wanted to delay the token so they could boost metrics and raise higher rounds. VCs completely complicit as you
Founders watching entitled airdrop farmers complain about their allocations in the same breath that these farmers immediately dump their tokens are likely reconsidering the loyalty gained, and cost expended, during airdrops.
$EIGEN, $ZK, $ZRO all similar behavior.
We can do
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Do you understand the bubble coming if Sam raises 6T LMAO
It’s 98 not 2000
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Rather than give advice about quitting your job to trade here's some actual statistics.
40% of business fail within 3y (21% 1y)
~61% of crypto participants end the cycle in the red
~60% of traders in tradfi have a positive win rate AND >90% run their accounts to zero (you
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There is no better poetry than AI and memes leading this cycle
The tech that will lead to the end of modern society as we know it
And the lottery tickets as life rafts to try to bail yourself out before it’s over for you
Bet more
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Every time you get scared just open up TOTAL3 on the weekly
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What if 69k was the first sell off and 15k was the bear trap?
What if?
AMC, Gamestop, Bitcoin, 2021 - the whole thing
it was truly the Test Pump
The test for what, you ask?
Testing the manifestation of group attention into the coalescence of capitalized consciousness
The birth of a financialized God
Do you understand?
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the crypto AI trade is the easiest trade i've seen in my life
everything else is just noise and a vehicle to funnel it back into the fastest horses
some of these exist some are soon on the horizon
public markets have very little ways to bet on AI outside of semi mnfg
crypto
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Bitcoin puppets are like BAYC except everyone that bought them before $1000 has a personality and was getting laid
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Why is everyone still so concerned with when to sell?
Every group, daily discussion
Insane
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TIA has some of the most savage PA out there for non believers
look what this weekend's move did to the airdrop threador dick riders
by design.
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'alt szn is never coming all the flows are etfs theyre never going on chain or coinbase reeeeee'
by design.
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youre a stone cold moron selling on chain bags here after the nuke happened 10 min ago LMAO
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Alright we're gonna settle this 'retail' nonsense so we can move on
If you're here now you're sophisticated retail. It's fine, these are some of the best performing participants in markets - solid edge identified (some of you) and not prohibited by AUM scaling
The window
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I don’t understand this obsession over “how long the cycle is”, seems to be only for people who have this fetish about selling the pico top of their bottom buys.
There’s extremely few tokens that are worthy of holding the full cycle, so who cares?
This market has been running
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SOLETH returns since you all locked ETH in Blast
91.49%
hope you beat it!
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almost every argument in trading comes to mean reverters vs trend respectors and calling each other idiots
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Pretty sad to see people just throwing in the towel next year on markets because it won’t be easy mode like 2021.
Do you just not know how to level up your skill set? Too lazy? Too rich? Champions adjust.
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We’re at the stage of the AI narrative where the really early (over 1 years ago) participants start calling every new thing a larp.
They start actually getting angry (meanwhile their OG tech actually pretty larpy tbh)
This is where Leg 1 of the real parabola begins
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Hug your dogs, you never know how much time you have left. RIP to my sweet boy
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I am convinced most people here do not do any research and just wait to be told what to buy
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Look I don’t know how to tell you this more clearly but when you get a whiff of retail coming back into the market *while* stablecoin supply is growing
You simply wait until coinbase is top 10 in the App Store
That’s it.
It’s time.
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I told yall this alt cycle would be significantly bigger than the last one and yall mumbled some dumb shit about Covid stimulus checks as a rebuttal
You don’t get what’s happening underneath
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L2 teams need to focus on making their users rich
That’s it.
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You guys gotta realize price just drives the narrative, it’s not the reverse
There are hundreds of headlines every year that could impact price of a project and it just doesn’t, or it lasts the length of a fart
Number go up is a powerful psychedelic. We’ll make any shit up to
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It’s time to lock in and go on an absolute fucking heater. Let’s go.
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Just sitting on the SEI explorer waiting for someone to launch $SEIYAN
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First 10% wash in majors in months + range high retests and yall are crying
Get a grip brother
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Think about the $10M+ you’ve already fumbled since last summer by selling too early
Now think about your current bags and how you might just repeat the cycle.
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imagine being so low T you want to 'hedge your airdrop'
just log off
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Send it so high Warren downloads the coinbase app on her iPhone
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I log off for one day and all my coins nuke 50% while bome pulls a gorillion%
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ETH traders hit the bid like they haven’t got laid since last cycle
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since 15k every consolidation is about 60-90 days, we're past that now
fuck your chop.
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you're smoking crack if you think a team would get $200m in cash from VCs for running a dex aggregator
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New teams: time to launch your tokens
Old teams: burn some supply you were never going to spend, put some deflationary fugazi in and then change the ticker so we get a new fresh chart. Thanks
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The non crypto natives showed up 10x more bullish than CT
Its a bit embarrassing
This is VERY fucking stupid and unlikely to get enacted into law, but if it does .. Bittensor will be worth more than Bitcoin within 18 months.
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'one last trade then i'm done for the year gonna touch grass'
have you considered not being an absolute bitch after 2 years of garbage conditions?
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You guys talked yourselves into caring about NVDA earnings as crypto participants
It didn’t have to be this way
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Bears are totally fucked
Total bear genocide.
Do you understand?
Bitcoin ATH break 2020 vs 2024
It could dip one more time, but it is more likely to murder bears soon in my opinion.
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I think people are looking to past cycles as justification for this strategy and I think it's very very wrong
Most coins have hype cycles < 1 yr, it's more like 6 months. things that have been running since q4 should very likely be sold by this summer.
This market has
curious how much better we do being chronically online vs just consolidating into longer term stuff, going to sleep for a year and then dumping everything
like sure some ppl just gonna mess up ofc but i think if ur selective w opportunities and size well, its surely like 3x+
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i mean good lord
the .eth cope incoming on this SOL ripper is gonna be epic
right past SOLETH ATH post dencun
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Oh no you staked 25 Tia per wallet thinking you’re gonna be rich
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Crypto and trad markets just full of hundreds of set ups of 18-24 month accumulation range breaks
Incredibly blessed as traders right now
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You guys in your “etf flows” arc are gonna look like the europoor order flow scalpers in < 6 months
History will fucking hate you.
Quote tweet this.
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Eth shitcoining is still knife fighting in the back alley like it’s 2022
Every other chain has made it back out of the hood and is PvE
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Can’t recommend enough to avoid
@SolareumProject
At all costs
Their bot routed me through a $4.5k pool today when another pool had $345k. Slipped me 90% and cost me five figs
No refunds, team said to deal with it. Fuck these guys.
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Cycle top in 24 not 25
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Best part about JTO is we finally have a good SOL beta that should play once the BONK cycle eventually ends
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$10
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you can see the degens nuking their sol for eth in real time to chase base
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Big dick bull gets his pfp back and the etf gets approved within 48 hours
Welcome to the show
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Max cynicism and doomerism is coming
Then we can run it up so hard you’ll puke
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What if we just went violently up and left your cautious ass behind
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understudied asymmetry: small cap AI plays
when all the VC backed protocols start launching later this year in the multi billion FDV range all these suddenly look even cheaper
very different than the L1/infra market which is saturated already with high valuations
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Idk what 20 year old needs to hear this but there are no style points in trading. How you get the PNL is irrelevant. This isn’t some corpo job where you get promoted off intentions or your methodology.
Scoreboard, bitch.
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Decentralized model networks
Autonomous agents
GPU compute power
Some storage
All you need exposure to this cycle
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peak *circ market caps from defi last cycle
notice i said CIRCULATING
uni-22b
sushi-3.5b
comp-4b
run-4.8b
aave-8b
mkr-5.5b
snx-3.8b
I think this is closest to AI this cycle, and AI sector likely tops first later next year before money flows out into just absolutely wild shit
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If your trade thesis is over two sentences you’re likely to underperform what’s coming.
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Shkreli is 41 years old launching meme coins that is hilarious
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trading crypto is not hard mathematically. at all. anyone telling you this is lying.
you just have to size so you are always at the table, and never have to leave the game.
everything else will carry you over a multi year period. it's not complex.
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I’d be way more pissed if I missed an up move than lost on a down move from here
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you would be skullfucking this long if it wasnt BTC and you werent a ptsd ridden crypto native
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This actually is the only chart you need in crypto
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VanEck wrote a paper on crypto AI?
It's so over for the bears
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Trust me they’re gonna send it to 80k in one daily candle once you give up on the breakout leverage trade
By design.
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every time ETH lags you guys go 'wait until the rotation, put some respect on eth'
you sound just like the btc guys last cycle
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Bitcoin is a sniff and a fart and a Saylor twap away from ATH and you guys are straight murdering each other on the timeline
Perhaps after 2-3 cycles you are fucked regardless of how much you make LMAO
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As someone who has been pounding the table on crypto and AI for a year now
I’m looking for the next hot ball of money (short term)
Entire feed is “why long anything else”
Ok
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Sol memes are fueled by doing ketamine in the basement
BASE memes are your square friend who does coke one time and won’t step telling the entire party about it
So few memecoins on base that even are a tiny bit appealing
You guys need to get funnier
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people really still keep asking if the AI rotation is going to keep going
you dont know shit cousin
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Another six fig airdrop this week or next
who is working on this?
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Red coin bid is impressive
Almost like people are front running something
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The application layer built on TAO is going to go so hard
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wow it's almost as if all the things that ran the last 2 months and chilled for 2-3 weeks are running harder than ETH beta again
no way. wow.
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In all seriousness what the fuck are you doing airdrop farming right now
Should be nothing left but running lowly automated processes that you started last summer
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Hello
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Saylor is up 6 yards and you run a $500k long/short book in crypto churning $30m volume a month to make $50k
Sit down.
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I don’t do this often. shill me your garbage memes under 10m
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Stake TIA for airdrops
borrow against staked TIA
buy more TIA to stake for more airdrops
you know how sweaty it get
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The most +EV move right now is to find which of these new CEX coins that listed in the last few weeks is going to pull a 5x
Good luck with ondo Tia etc I’m looking to repeat their performance on a new one
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People logging on here and saying there’s no innovation since last cycle just straight up have their head up their ass
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Once in a generation thinker
Holy shit how is this site free lmaoooooo
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Idk man TIA pulling a near 10x then correcting 60% then consolidating for a couple months is pretty typical bull market PA
You can blame your top buying on vc staking, airdrops, lack of adoption or whatever the fuck
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