Pippa Norris
@PippaN15
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Political scientist at Harvard for three decades, Vice President of the World Values Survey, & founding Director of the Electoral Integrity Project.
Cape Cod/Cambridge
Joined May 2009
President Joseph Biden has done a Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Whatever your contribution in life, wise leaders should know when to depart the stage and let the next generation pick up the torch. It's a genuine tragedy. #Debates2024.
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How authoritarian is the GOP compared with other major parties in OECD societies? Very. The GOP position towards ethnic minority rights & liberal democracy is close to Polish PiS and Turkish AKP, although a few others like Greece's XA are more extreme.
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Just learnt the sad news of the passing of Ron Inglehart. 40 years since founding the World Values Survey, his legacy will endure as one of the true greats in comparative political science & cultural sociology. Sincere condolences to his family & friends.
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New syllabi for Fall 2020 - DPI-418 The Rise of Authoritarian Populism. Harvard Kennedy School. (online).
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Delighted that this paper is, at last, out in real print. An update with new evidence testing the thesis will be forthcoming later this spring.
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Deeply honored to learn that I will receive the Murray Edelman Lifetime Distinguished Career Award from APSA/ICA @poli_com at @APSA2021 in Seattle. It's inspiring to follow in the footsteps of such a distinguished list of friends & colleagues. Time to celebrate! .@APSAtweets
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Here's my HKS Fall 2023 draft syllabus for DPI-413 Democratic Backsliding. Its tough selecting so few readings, not least because so much terrific work is emerging and events continue to unfold. Recommendations for alternatives always remain welcome.
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Want to understand the role of populism in the Brazilian insurrection against liberal democracy? . Here's an interesting study. illiberal attitudes fueled Bolsonaro's support more than populist rhetoric per se.
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Delighted to share the news that I have just been elected to the American Academy of Arts and Science. A tremendous honor!
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Is Trump an anomaly? . Nope. Some cross-national evidence for anyone doubting the persistent link between diverse Authoritarian Populist leaders in executive office & subsequent democratic backsliding. The cases of Brazil, Hungary & India . 1/5
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How refreshing to have such a good-natured UK contest where no one questions the integrity of the election, where winners thank the losing candidates & poll workers for their public service, & where change is in the air. #UKElection2024.
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I get why everyone is interested in the lost sub, I really do. But around 700 people are estimated to have died in the migrant boat sinking off Greece, while the Greek coast guard did nothing. The contrast in media headlines & rescue resources is simply staggering.
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Daron: . Correct, there is a lot to learn from the Labour victory. Unfortunately, this is not it! . A short thread why: . .
There is a lot to learn from the Labour victory.This is a longer (and more coherent version) of a thread I posted a couple of days ago. The Starmer Model by Daron Acemoglu - Project Syndicate
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Reasons to be cautious about claims of the 'crisis of democracy' everything everywhere all at once. European satisfaction with democracy suggests:. 1) complex patterns of gains & losses, .2) specific volatile cases, & .3) avoid sweeping generalizations from cherrypicked cases.
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Dear journalists,. It's not just Trump. Nor just the GOP leaders. Here's the % of the public approving of strongman leaders 'who don't have to bother with elections' around the world. The US is not yet Brazil, Thailand nor Kazakhstan. But neither is it Norway, Sweden & Denmark.
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Why are authoritarian populists in power now in Italy, Argentina, Israel, Slovakia, Hungary, and possibly after 2024 in the US(?) But not in Brazil, Poland, Slovenia, the Czech Rep, the Philippines, and the UK (?)? Discuss!. Time, perhaps, for a 2nd ed - after November??
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Who trusts friends and strangers, updated. Fascinating regional cultures in the long-standing contrasts observed between Scandinavia and Latin America. @ValuesStudies
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New evidence: party polarization over cultural values & liberal democracy predict democratic backsliding since 2000. Warning red flags for the US. See below for technical info on measures & data.
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Personal news. I know that everyone is suffering more badly. But today I lost my cat, Yang. A 17-year old Norwegian Forest cat, sister of Yin, my constant companion, a world traveller living with me in New York, Sydney, Cambridge, & the Cape. She will be sadly missed. Bah,2020!
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This CNN NH Exit Poll table really says everything you need to know about NH demographics.
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Biden White House. 17 executive actions signed on day one. Promises made, promises fulfilled.
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After a loooong wait. My first copy arrived today! Just $27 from Amazon!
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JD Vance is dangerous. A glib, aggressive, young attack-dog.
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A new draft research paper on cancel culture which may be of interest. Comments, critical and constructive, are very welcome. I'll post a brief thread shortly summarizing the main findings. Download: 👉
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Why are university lecturers more leftwing than other professionals? Interesting study by @ianmac201
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There is no virtue in bipartisan compromise when the fate of democracy lies in the balance. Kill the filibuster.
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@realDonaldTrump So glad you asked! . AP has called every US election since 1848, I believe.
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I am shocked, shocked!. "Citizens who experience successful workings of democratic institutions tend to support democracy. " . Who knew. ??.
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Draft syllabus for new class on the Rise of Authoritarian-Populism offered at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government this Fall. Do you teach this topic? Suggestions for additional recommended research readings to improve the draft remain very welcome.
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The highly respected Edison Research conducted an Exit Poll yesterday in Venezuela, finding an overwhelming victory for Edmundo Gonzalez, with two-thirds of the vote. "The opposition candidate had broad support across nearly all demographic backgrounds.".
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Abolish the Senate filibuster rule. Worldwide, parliaments reserve supermajority requirements strictly for constitutional matters, to protect minority rights. Normal legislation, like establishing a commission, doesn't count. There is no justification for its retention here.
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🚩🚩🚩 Red flags for democracy. 🚩🚩🚩. US support for strongman rule without elections rose from 25% in 1995 to 38% in 2017, before the main impact of Trumpism. The maj favor strongman rule in Argentina, Brazil, India, Mexico, South Africa, S. Korea, Romania, Turkey and Nigeria
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JD Vance and Trump's misogyny - and the testosterone-laden GOP convention - are not merely accidental or incidental; the focus on masculinity is central to authoritarian values and strongmen strategies. See.
JD Vance says women should stay in violent marriages “for the sake of their kids”
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Delighted by this unexpected honor, reflecting my formative years and roots in British political science!.
HKS's @PippaN15 has been elected as Fellow to the @BritishAcademy_ for her contributions to the field of political science
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Delighted to learn today that I have been honored by APSA with the 2019 Charles E. Merriam Award! Wow! Hope to see you in the DC annual meeting in Aug to celebrate the unexpected good news! @APSAtweets
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Can I stop offering my Harvard class on The Rise of Authoritarian Populism next fall, do you think? Or too soon. ?.
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Fear and insecurity are classic predictor of authoritarianism. And look at the polarization in world views. Three-quarters of Trump voters see a world of existential threats. Three-quarters of Biden voters see a world of benevolence and love.
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Online lecture on The Cultural Roots of Democratic Backsliding at Carleton University. Register 👉👉
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Where did that go? Apparently I have been teaching at Harvard for 30 years! It was just meant to be a short visit but I sort of stayed around…
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A competitive nomination process within the Democratic Party would generate the greatest popular legitimacy, open scrutiny, media attention, political choice, and grassroots momentum. And probably the best candidate.
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Large gender gap in the #Swedishelections. Authoritarian-populist Swedish Democrats lead among men. Center-left Social Democrats lead among women. A familiar pattern across Europe.
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Unexpected news: Honored to learn I will be given the 2020 Samuel J. Eldersveld Career Achievement Award by APSA's Political Organizations and Parties (POP) section (prob virtually). I follow in the footsteps of very distinguished company! @APSAtweets
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The end of backsliding, the rebirth of autocracy under Viktor Orban's sweeping emergency powers. The EU must kick out Hungary for violating core Lisbon values.
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Pundits go on and on blaming the D's for losing the 'working class' need to understand this terrific graph. Across Western democracies, education is the key cleavage, not income. Why? Because of cultural shifts in values, not economic disparities.
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If Blair had reformed Westminster's electoral system a decade ago, we wouldn't be in #Brexitshambles. We'd have a multiparty system today. Instead, Westminster is trying to force deep internal party divisions into a majoritarian box designed for two main parties. Doesn't work.
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What explains the 2024 US elections? .A free, timely and accessible resource for your students, with analysis by almost 90 contributors! .Hugh congratulations to all the editors for their heroic work! .Download:
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On a happier and more personal note, if I may celebrate, my new house in Sandwich, MA, bought just today. It's a short walk to the salt marsh, boardwalk, and Cape Cod bay. Move in with the chickens, bees, cats, and dog by mid-summer.
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New research paper on "Measuring Populism Worldwide", from the project. Comments and suggestions are very welcome!.
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Get over it. Criminal prosecutions of former executive leaders after they leave office is FAR from exceptional. Here are 76 cases just since 2000, including in France, Italy, South Africa, Brazil, & Portugal.
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@jennifernvictor America is rapidly descending into an 'electoral democracy' not yet 'competitive authoritarianism'. That only happens if Trump wins.
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First Fall teaching sessions at Harvard today, via Zoom, of course. Am I the only one loving it all? . Rate my room? Plant? Check. Depth, check. Artwork, not visible.
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Am I the only one on Twitter who didn't bother to watch the Harry-Meghan-Oprah interview?.
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The White House cult really did drink the grape Kool-Aid. History is going to have to explain the mystery why anti-masks became such a Republican thing. It didn't have to be this way.
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Today U.S. faculty are more liberal, & less conservative, than graduates in the general pop. No surprise. BUT the long-term erosion of conservatives in both series occurs since 1980. So can't be blamed on recent developments-BLM, DEI, MAGA, etc. It's education, stupid.
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New EPS article just out! Why party systems in Western democracies have become more fragmented since the 1960s and yet not necessarily more ideologically polarized.
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Classic example, alas, of the triumph of motivated reasoning by punditry over the wealth of scientific evidence by serious scholars.
Matt Goodwin says developments in genetic science will make younger generations more conservative as they understand the "inherent differences" between different groups.
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On a personal note, I am feeling tonight an exceptional moment of what can only be described as political happiness and relief, like a tremendous shadow over our lives has suddenly evaporated.
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#AcademicTwitter. Map of multidimensional party competition in OECD member states, initial results from the Global Party Survey, 2019. Thoughts?
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A useful sociology-demographic analysis of the Dutch election.
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Why the second administration of Authoritarian-Populist leaders is so much more damaging for democracy.
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1/3 Understanding varieties of populism beyond the simplistic media headlines. A short thread. Here's party competition in the Netherlands, according to Dutch experts in the GPS-2019. The PVV are moderate on core socially-conservative (GALTAN) and Left-Right values.
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My summary of the threats from the first week of Trump 2.0 for institutional and cultural shifts towards authoritarianism in America.
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My greatest nightmares (ranked) as Trump realizing he is losing. 1. Ignores 2nd wave of COVID.2. Exacerbates racial divisions to fire up his base.3. Stokes (armed?) conflict with China over HK to wag the dog.4. Delegitimizes the election & refuses to accept defeat. Yours?.
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New research on electoral integrity. like democratic backsliding, its complicated!.
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We know this but worth saying again with a neat visual: four fiths of Americans did not vote for Trump.
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Political violence is another red flag for the sad state of American democracy.
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#GirtherMovement But what if obesity is part of Trump's closet appeal to his supporters, making him appear more 'authentically American' than skinny President Obama?
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Delighted to learn that my book "Political Recruitment: Gender, Race and Class in the British Parliament" (CUP 1995), written years ago with my old friend Joni Lovenduski, will be awarded the George H. Hallett prize at APSA in Boston. @APSAtweets What a nice surprise!
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So here is the official projection of the outcome of the European Parliamentary elections, and FYI the group descriptions.
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Why did Trump win despite widespread public concern about the threat he posed to American democracy? Perhaps 3 possible reasons - competing policy issues, partisan divisions over the risks to democracy, and MAGA's failure to take his words literally.
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Updated Fall 2019 Harvard syllabus now available: DPI-418 The Rise of Authoritarian-Populism. Suggestions for additional accessible article readings are very welcome.
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The evolution of liberal democracy since 1900 (VDem estimates)
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What was Biden's team of advisors doing during a week's prep in Camp David? He looks and sounds lost & defeated, confused & disbelieving, weak & repetitive. Did advisors not suggest a poker face? Trump is brazenly lying. This debate is a disaster, plain & simple. #Debates2024.
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No one predicted this moment? . Extract from Norris & Inglehart "Cultural Backlash: Trump, Brexit and Authoritarian Populism" (CUP 2019).
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@NormOrnstein How does this GOP rottweiler turn up, like gum stuck to the sole of a shoe, at every bloody hearing?.
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5) In conclusion, you assume that Labour's landslide of seats must be due to the appeal of Starmer's moderate and cautious policies. Nope. This probably didn't hurt Lab, but neither did it expand their popular vote.
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#ElectionNight Here's the age profile. Only age group the GOP won? Over 65s. Critical cleavage for future party politics. From CNN exit poll.
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#AfterMySecondDose (today) I want to thank the brilliant and dedicated scientists for creating the vax, the health care staff for getting shots in arms, and the Biden administration for distributing a gazillion bottles (probably in that order).
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Before we all start every single polisci grant proposal with the cliche claiming that there is a "crisis of trust in government", let us please check the survey evidence. Looks like trendless fluctuations across 36 European nations more than any secular erosion.
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More than 100 scholars warn of serious risks to American democracy and elections: "Today’s statement points fingers and pulls no punches. It’s a powerful example of the academy stepping up and speaking out."
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1/ Do Authoritarian-Populists appeal most strongly to older, less educated voters?. New paper updates some of the evidence on social cleavages in party support presented earlier in Norris and Inglehart "Cultural Backlash" (CUP 2019). An 8-pt thread.
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Meet Sienna. newest addition to the menagerie and so far just perfect! An 8 week old Labradoodle.
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