Saquon Barkley 110+ rushing yards (-122) ❌ Jake Elliott 2+ field goals made (-121) ✅

Super Bowl prop bets - Eagles vs. Chiefs 🏈 🦅 Saquon Barkley 110+ rushing yards (-122) 🦅 Jake Elliott 2+ field goals made (-121) Saquon Barkley has covered this total in 8 of his last 10 games. He'll lead the Eagles offense as they try to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field by running the clock via the ground game. Eagles kicker Jake Elliott has recorded 2+ FG's in 9 of his last 12 games (including 6 of his last 7, with the lone miss the NFC Championship where the Eagles scored 55 points). Both props are listed at DraftKings

Gulfstream Park picks for Super Bowl Sunday 🏈 Gulfstream Park - Race 8 (3:49 pm ET) 🏇 #2 LUVUMORGAN (6/1 ml) First time starter for Saffie Joseph looked good working back in December with NEOEQUOS (4-for-5 in the exacta lifetime), who came out of that drill to win a state-bred Gulfstream allowance race by 3 lengths as a prohibitive -500 favorite a couple of weeks ago (final time 1:10.98). More recently, LUVUMORGAN looked sharp once again while working with older 4yo CATALYTIC (4-for-5 in the exacta lifetime, including a second in the Florida Derby last year), who was last seen finishing second by a head in an older Gulfstream allowance race as a +160 favorite. Big filly can run a little, and should offer good value here.

@FastestPayout @JeffreyBenson12 @CircaSports You'd know better than I would, football isn't my game. A 1-point result would be pretty fun though.

@FastestPayout @JeffreyBenson12 @CircaSports Sure, but no sportsbook is looking to push on the Super Bowl.

MCILROY finished third at 7/1 odds, paying +192 odds to show

Turfway Park picks for Super Bowl Saturday Night 🏈 Turfway Park - Race 10 (10:26 pm ET) 🏇 #4 MCILROY (12/1 ml) First time starter for Rodolphe Brisset worked over the Keeneland all-weather course a couple of weeks ago with GIRL MATH (4-for-5 in the exacta lifetime), who was last seen winning at Turfway Park on January 2. Prior to that, MCILROY had worked twice in a row with older 4yo FIRST OF HIS NAME, who won by 4 lengths at Horseshoe Indy back in June (as a +110 favorite) with tonight's rider Alex Achard. Looks live here at the longshot price.

@FanDuel_Racing @TampaBayDownsFL @KentuckyDerby @WinStarFarm @bradcoxracing Terrific race, and a very nice colt.

Our second choice JOHN HANCOCK wins at +250 odds 👀 The recommended exacta with OWEN ALMIGHTY paid +1250 odds 💰

@fairgroundsnola @FasigTiptonCo Good luck beating GOOD CHEER. Hopefully SIMPLY JOKING will attract enough money to keep GOOD CHEER in playable range. Impossible to know ahead of time (that's why fixed odds and/or head-to-head matchups would be preferable).

RT @PickingHorses: @FanDuel_Racing Tampa Bay Downs - Race 11 (Sam F. Davis Stakes) 🏇 #8 NAUGHTY RASCAL (6/1 ml) We picked NAUGHTY RASC…

Gulfstream Park picks for Super Bowl Saturday 🏈 Gulfstream Park - Race 8 (3:50 pm ET) 🏇 #5 CRUDO (4/1 ml) Quick-footed Justify colt for Todd Pletcher has shown high speed in a couple of recent gate drills, absolutely crushing his lesser workmates. He also previously worked twice in a row with older 4yo APPELLATE, who came out of those drills to win a two-turn turf race at Gulfstream last weekend. Looks tough to beat here. #10 X Y PRIME (6/1 ml) Good price on this flashy grey colt for Jorge Delgado, as he looked sharp and speedy in a fast 46.63 solo drill a few weeks ago. Following that drill, he worked with ROCK D’ORO, who was last seen winning by 3 lengths (gate-to-wire) at Tampa Bay Downs as a heavy -200 favorite. X Y PRIME should run well here at the nice price, and he looks like a good exacta partner with the top pick. #6 SUMMER VIBES (6/1 ml) First time starter for Brendan Walsh has looked decent in training, working with Churchill Downs winner SWEET NOTE before then working with KING OF ASHES, who came out of that drill to win at Gulfstream a few weeks ago. He also worked recently with GOSGER, who finished second in his only start in December. Possible for underneath in exactas, although I prefer the top pair.

He's certainly right up there. Fwiw, I hadn't seen EAST AVENUE prior to the Keeneland Breeders Futurity, but he looked fantastic warming up (snorting and throwing his head around), then he ran to it on the track while crushing the good juvenile colt FEROCIOUS (looking much the same as he had pre-race during a really strong gallop-out). I picked him in the Breeders Cup Juvenile (where obviously he lost all chance at the start), and he seems to be coming into the Risen Star in excellent form after some time to recover. He's also had time to grow and fill out a little since then. Should be ready.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race 11 (Sam F. Davis Stakes) 🏇 #8 NAUGHTY RASCAL (6/1 ml) We picked NAUGHTY RASCAL last time out, when he won the Pasco Stakes at +310 odds (via DQ, as he finished a length behind -200 favorite OWEN ALMIGHTY, who is also entered here and figures to run well). NAUGHTY RASCAL had previously looked very sharp while running a good secoond behind our -110 winner DONUT GOD in the Inaugural Stakes. Bottom line, NAUGHTY RASCAL has shown good speed and has been highly competitive vs. some very good horses (particularly DONUT GOD), and he has also won previously around two turns, whereas today’s favorites OWEN ALMIGHTY and JOHN HANCOCK have not. Further, he’s listed at double the price of that pair. I’ve also seen a quote from NAUGHTY RASCAL’s trainer saying that he should improve today around two turns. Seems like this is where the value lies, although this is a tough race. #3 JOHN HANCOCK (3/1 ml) As mentioned in the MAD HOUSE analysis above, JOHN HANCOCK looked super when beating that good foe, winning by 3 lengths (gate-to-wire) in a fast 1:09.45 (with a final quarter in 24 flat). He should be upgraded here if MAD HOUSE wins in Race 7, and we must also note that JOHN HANCOCK had previously worked with last weekend’s impressive Gulfstream Park winner EMERGRENCE (who himself had previously worked a couple of times in a row with our Holy Bull Stakes second-place finisher TAPPAN STREET). Expecting a good performance here, and I was willing to pick JOHN HANCOCK on top today except for NAUGHTY RASCAL being listed at double the price, and I’m also a little concerned about JOHN HANCOCK’s inner post-draw, with the speedy OWEN ALMIGHTY and NAUGHTY RASCAL drawn to his outside and possibly breathing down his neck from the outset as he attempts two turns for the first time. On the bright side (assuming he does lead early), JOHN HANCOCK should get to the first turn in front and be able to cut the corner and perhaps open a clear lead onto the backstretch. It's also possible he’ll take back and attempt to swing around the other pair (which seems preferable imo), although neither scenario is an optimal situation to be in. Tough spot, but he may simply just be the best horse in the race. Must-use for exactas with the top pick and/or OWEN ALMIGHTY, and a legit win threat (particularly if MAD HOUSE looks good in Race 7).

Tampa Bay Downs and Gulfstream Park picks for Super Bowl Saturday (2/8) 1-for-1 on Friday, with COLLOQUIAL winning by 7 lengths at -133 odds. Tampa Bay Downs - Race 7 🏇 #4 MAD HOUSE (8/1 ml) 3yo gelding for local trainer David VanWinkle went off at huge 22/1 odds in his debut, and ran an eye-catching second behind runaway winner JOHN HANCOCK (entered in the Sam F. Davis Stakes today). MAD HOUSE looked very sharp while chasing that one home through a blazing final quarter-mile, not losing much ground to the winner while going 5 lengths clear of the rest of the field. He has since come back to work very sharply over the local surface, most recently posting a best-of-100 drill that was almost a full second faster than the next-fastest of the other 99 workers. He remains listed at a big price today versus the Chad Brown and Bill Mott shippers, and could be tough to beat here in his second start (worth noting he has the experience edge over the lower-priced pair, who are each attempting two turns in their career debuts). #6 VAN GINKLE (2/1 ml) Listed as the favorite, this first time starter for Chad Brown worked a half-dozen times in a row with GARAMOND, who came out of those drills to win at Tampa Bay Downs a couple of weeks ago as a heavy -125 favorite. Worth noting however, I watched their Jan. 19 drill and GARAMOND was clearly best of the two. Looks like an underlay, although he could be useful in exactas. #8 MCCORVEY (3/1 ml) Not much pertinent info is available on this regally-bred Curlin/Songbird colt (no video), as he’s mostly been working with unraced horses, although he did work a few weeks ago with Race 3 entrant SHE’S A GEMMA, so you may upgrade this one if SHE’S A GEMMA runs well in the earlier race today. Tampa Bay Downs - Race 11 (Sam F. Davis Stakes) 🏇 #8 NAUGHTY RASCAL (6/1 ml) We picked NAUGHTY RASCAL last time out, when he won the Pasco Stakes at +310 odds (via DQ, as he finished a length behind -200 favorite OWEN ALMIGHTY, who is also entered here and figures to run well). NAUGHTY RASCAL had previously looked very sharp while running a good secoond behind our -110 winner DONUT GOD in the Inaugural Stakes. Bottom line, NAUGHTY RASCAL has shown good speed and has been highly competitive vs. some very good horses (particularly DONUT GOD), and he has also won previously around two turns, whereas today’s favorites OWEN ALMIGHTY and JOHN HANCOCK have not. Further, he’s listed at double the price of that pair. I’ve also seen a quote from NAUGHTY RASCAL’s trainer saying that he should improve today around two turns. Seems like this is where the value lies, although this is a tough race. #3 JOHN HANCOCK (3/1 ml) As mentioned in the MAD HOUSE analysis above, JOHN HANCOCK looked super when beating that good foe, winning by 3 lengths (gate-to-wire) in a fast 1:09.45 (with a final quarter in 24 flat). He should be upgraded here if MAD HOUSE wins in Race 7, and we must also note that JOHN HANCOCK had previously worked with last weekend’s impressive Gulfstream Park winner EMERGRENCE (who himself had previously worked a couple of times in a row with our Holy Bull Stakes second-place finisher TAPPAN STREET). Expecting a good performance here, and I was willing to pick JOHN HANCOCK on top today except for NAUGHTY RASCAL being listed at double the price, and I’m also a little concerned about JOHN HANCOCK’s inner post-draw, with the speedy OWEN ALMIGHTY and NAUGHTY RASCAL drawn to his outside and possibly breathing down his neck from the outset as he attempts two turns for the first time. On the bright side (assuming he does lead early), JOHN HANCOCK should get to the first turn in front and be able to cut the corner and perhaps open a clear lead onto the backstretch. It's also possible he’ll take back and attempt to swing around the other pair (which seems preferable imo), although neither scenario is an optimal situation to be in. Tough spot, but he may simply just be the best horse in the race. Must-use for exactas with the top pick and/or OWEN ALMIGHTY, and a legit win threat (particularly if MAD HOUSE looks good in Race 7). Gulfstream Park - Race 8 🏇 #5 CRUDO (4/1 ml) Quick-footed Justify colt for Todd Pletcher has shown high speed in a couple of recent gate drills, absolutely crushing his lesser workmates. He also previously worked twice in a row with older 4yo APPELLATE, who came out of those drills to win a two-turn turf race at Gulfstream last weekend. Looks tough to beat here. #10 X Y PRIME (6/1 ml) Good price on this flashy grey colt for Jorge Delgado, as he looked sharp and speedy in a fast 46.63 solo drill a few weeks ago. Following that drill, he worked with ROCK D’ORO, who was last seen winning by 3 lengths (gate-to-wire) at Tampa Bay Downs as a heavy -200 favorite. X Y PRIME should run well here at the nice price, and he looks like a good exacta partner with the top pick. #6 SUMMER VIBES (6/1 ml) First time starter for Brendan Walsh has looked decent in training, working with Churchill Downs winner SWEET NOTE before then working with KING OF ASHES, who came out of that drill to win at Gulfstream a few weeks ago. He also worked recently with GOSGER, who finished second in his only start in December. Possible for underneath in exactas, although I prefer the top pair.

COLLOQUIAL wins easily at -133 odds ✅