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Dr. Green and White

@PaulFanson

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I love math, college sports, and I like to write about both. Staff writer, Chief Data Scientist & Optimism Officer for Spartans Illustrated. @SpartansRivals

Michigan, USA
Joined May 2011
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 month
This is part two (of two) of my annual simulation-based analysis of the Big Ten basketball race. I break down MSU's schedule, forecast the total number of wins, predict BTT seeding, I even know the odds and most likely record needed to hang a banner. Check it out:.
@SpartansRivals
Spartans Illustrated
1 month
Dr. Green and White (@paulfanson) concludes his #math-based analysis of the Big Ten race as an early Xmas gift for subscribers. How many Big Ten games will MSU win? What are the odds to hang a regular season and/or BTT banner? It's all here:.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 months
Isn't it weird how in the Big Ten it is always the same team?. When was the last time that there was even a semi-serious incident involving a Big Ten team where Michigan was not involved?. No, really. I am curious. I mean, did Iowa and Wisconsin throw down once and I missed it?.
@DarkoStateNews
Justin Spiro
2 months
Another postgame fight with 1 common denominator.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
11 months
Five of Michigan State's 11 non-conference opponents have advanced to the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament:. James Madison.Oakland.Duke.Baylor.Arizona. It's six if you count the Tennessee exhibition.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
The entire crowd, both red and green in Columbus joined together to chant: "F*** Jim Harbaugh." It is touching that the current scandal in Ann Arbor in bringing members of Big Ten family together in harmony.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
Fun Fact of the day: since 2015, MSU has had 2 good years, 1 mediocre year, and 1 bad year. Harbaugh has had 3 of UofM's best year in the last decade. YET: . Top 25 wins:.MSU: 9.UofM: 8. Top 20 wins:.MSU: 8 (5 on the road).UofM: 6 (all at home). Top 10 wins:.MSU: 6.UofM: 1.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
For those scoring at home, Michigan has only two wins over teams seeded No. 5 or better back to 2014, and one of those wins was on Saturday. In the same span, MSU has 6 wins over top 5 seeds, including two wins over No. 1 seeds.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 years
Sure, Michigan State is 8-0, but are we really sure that they have played anyone? 😂🤣.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
On Sunday, MSU fans should root for:. Nebraska (+9) to upset Iowa.Purdue (-8) to beat Illinois.Penn State (+1) to beat Maryland.Rutgers (-4) to beat Northwestern. 4/4 => MSU is the No. 3 seed.3/4 => No. 4 seed.2/4 => No. 5 seed.1/4 => No. 6 seed.0/4 => No. 7 seed. #math.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 months
MSU had:. -More first downs.-Higher 3rd down conversion rate.-76 more yards total (including over 100 more yards passing).-More yards per carry on the ground (with less total yards).-Long time of possession.-Only 3 penalties. Yet MSU lost. That's frustrating.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
It's decision time for Andy Petitti, the Big Ten, and the NCAA. Penn State and Ohio State failed to solve the problem for them. Now, they either have to act to ban Michigan from the postseason or allow known cheaters to play for a championship. Cheaters should not prosper.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
"MSU only beats bad Michigan teams". Fact check: false. Ironically, it is the opposite that is true. Since 1950, Michigan has exactly two wins (2-18 overall) vs. MSU teams that won 70% of their other games. By contrast, MSU is 14-29 against similarly "good" UofM teams.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
10 months
Every single member of the NCAA Hockey Selection Committee should be fired and given a lifetime ban from working in sports.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 years
There is one major statistical trend that favors MSU next weekend. Michigan basically never beats "good" MSU teams. Since 1950, if MSU wins over 70% of all other regular season games, MSU is 17-2 (90%) against Michigan. The only loses were in 1989 and 1955.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
Just remember. You think that you want Bama. You rarely, if even, actually want Bama. Good luck, Wolverines and enjoy Pasadena. It is super nice and you 100% don't deserve to go there.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
The firm US Integrity, which monitors irregularities in sports results for Vegas, would beg to differ.
@Johnubacon
John U. Bacon
1 year
Anyone who continues to claim that Michigan's success is due to Connor Stallions is a stone-cold idiot.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
Congrats to Michigan football today on tying the record for all time Bowl losses at 27 (now shared with Nebraska). Truly impressive!.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
I found out this week that my cat has the equivalent of a torn ACL, which is weird, because she doesn't even play left tackle for MSU.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
A lot of people have commented that Harbaugh is now 1-6 in Bowl games at Michigan. For some additional context, UM was favored in 5 of those 7 bowls and the expected number of wins (based on the spreads) was 4.0. Yikes.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
6 years
Here is a comparison of 2 Big Ten football coaches after their first 12 years on the job:. Top 10 wins:.Coach A: 10.Coach B: 8. Top 25 wins:.Coach A: 21.Coach B: 18. Bowl Record:.A: 5-6.B: 1-7. Outright Conference Titles:.A: 2.B: 2.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 years
Certain fan bases love to point out Izzo's 1st round loss to No. 15 MTSU, but here is a partial list of the other 9 coaches to lose to a No. 15 as a No. 2 seed:. Coach K.Lute Olson.Jim Boeheim.John Calipari. That club has 316 NCAA Tournament wins, 36 Final Four, and 9 Titles.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 months
Remember that time the Big Ten sent UofM a letter detailing a laundry list of "uncontroverted" evidence of a "impermissible scheme," that "the violations were pervasive, systemic, and occurred over multiple years” and that they compromised "the integrity of the competition?".
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Dr. Green and White
4 years
The idea that MSU is the younger brother to UofM makes some sense. Our older bro is like a balding, overweight, recovering alcoholic who still lives in Mom's basements, drones on about the "good old days," and only works hard to minimize the accomplishments of his younger bro.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 years
In case anyone was wondering:. Tom Izzo: 13.Michigan: 4.Juwan Howard: 1.(since 1998). Also. since 2014. Tom Izzo: 5.Michigan: 2.
@itsAntWright
ᗩᑎT ᗯᖇIGᕼT
3 years
Wins over Top 3 seeds in the last 20 years. Gonzaga: 1.Saint Peter’s: 2.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 years
As for the UofM fans out their, It should now be clear that the win over OSU, in the snow, during flu season was biggest fluke of the year. The future in AA will most likely look a lot like the past 15-20 years with loses to OSU, MSU, and in bowls. 2021 is likely the peak.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
This tweet got me thinking. what is MSU's record vs. Top 3 seeds since 2001? It turns out that it is:. 11-10 (52%). As for other Big Ten notables:. Wisconsin = 5-7 (42%).Ohio State = 3-4 (43%).Michigan = 3-6 (33%).Indiana = 2-6 (25%).Illinois = 1-6 (14%).Purdue = 1-9 (10%).
@itsAntWright
ᗩᑎT ᗯᖇIGᕼT
4 years
Gonzaga is 1-12 vs seed 3 or higher since 2001?. Keep telling me the WCC gets them ready for the tourney though.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 years
Here is some more data re: MSU vs. UofM over the last 10 years. MSU has:. More wins (254-247).More B1G wins (126-118).More B1G Titles (4-3).More BTT titles (4-2).Held the higher BTT seed (8-2).Finished higher in Kenpom (6-4).Beaten more Top 3 seeds (5-4).Won head-to-head (12-9).
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
If Jim Harbaugh shows his face in Beaver Stadium tomorrow (restraining order or not), the Big Ten should declare the game a forfeit and cancel the rest of Michigan's schedule. If they cannot abide by the Big Ten's decision, they should not be able to play any more Big Ten games.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 months
As of 12:30 am, all FBS games are complete. Here are the updated stats for Michigan State. Expected wins: 5.88.Odds to make a bowl: 71%. Projected odds:. MSU (+6) at Illinois.Purdue at MSU (-18).Rutgers at MSU (-5). Translation: Everybody chill the F out.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
I cannot say what should be done about COVID-19, but I also cannot in any way pretend that I am at all unbiased about this topic. All I will say is this: if the NCAA Tournament is cancelled, for me, emotionally, this is akin to telling an 8-year that Christmas is cancelled.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
While all accomplishments have merit, big boy programs hang banners for three things: Final Fours, regular season titles, and tournament titles. Here is an accounting of "banners" over the past 10 years:. MSU: 8.Wisconsin: 6.Michigan: 5.Purdue: 4.Illinois: 2.IU/Iowa/Maryland: 1.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
One does not get to claim "sweet revenge" when one there is "uncontroverted" evidence of an "unprecedented" cheating scheme that threatened the "integrity of competition." (Note language very similar to the definition of Level I NCAA violations). Villains don't get revenge.
@Local4News
Local 4 WDIV Detroit
1 year
Michigan football is one win away from some sweet revenge after how the Big Ten commissioner handled the Jim Harbaugh suspension. 🏆
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 years
Question: what happens if you calculate yards per attempt, both rushing and passing, offense and defense, for MSU and UofM against their three common opponents (Rutgers, Nebraska, and Northwestern)? You get the attached graph.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
For a little additional context and data:. Top 10 wins since 1950.UofM: 58.MSU: 50. Top 10 wins since 2000.MSU: 14.UofM: 10. Top 5 wins since 1950.MSU: 23.UofM: 21. Top 5 wins since 2000.MSU: 7.UofM: 2.
@MattBrownCFB
Matt Brown
4 years
With its win against Georgia, Alabama tied Notre Dame for most all-time wins against AP Top 10 opponents. Alabama 80.Notre Dame 80.USC 78.Oklahoma 77.Michigan 70.Ohio State 69.Texas 66.LSU 64.Florida 60.Auburn 58.Florida State 51.Miami 51.Michigan State 51.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
If anyone out there is confused as to why nothing was done and nothing was public about Mel Tucker until early this morning, it was because MSU was conducting .confidential investigation, by the book. This thread has the details about how Title IX investigations work.
@DavidHarns
David Harns
1 year
This is what people are missing when they say that Haller has known about this for months. Title IX investigations are kept extremely confidential. People can lose their jobs if they leak information. Haller most likely learned the graphic details from the USA Today article today.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
As I have said before, Michigan’s most serious rival isn’t Ohio State or MSU, it’s reality.
@isaiahhole
Isaiah Hole
4 years
Now-former #Michigan WR Nico Collins asserts that the supposed talent gap between the Wolverines and Ohio State is a myth. "I feel like it’s pretty much equal or we pretty much have more than them." MORE:
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
7 days
Things that are true about the Big Ten race:. 1. MSU has played the easiest schedule so far.2. Purdue has played the second easiest schedule so far.3. MSU has the best Strength of Resume in Big Ten play by over 1 game (+3.33).4. MSU leads the field by 1.5 games.
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@TheFieldOf68
The Field of 68
7 days
Michigan State is 9-0 in Big 10 play. Michigan State has played:
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
Here is the thing to remember about Izzo: he is a master of psychology. He knows what buttons to push and when to get the best out of his team. He WANTS Hoggard to do this because he wants Hoggard to lead. The national folks often don't get it.
@DavidHarns
David Harns
1 year
Nice job by Marvin Hall (@photodude88) capturing the moment:
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
What Michigan did broke the rules. This is not in dispute, even by Michigan. What OSU did (as far as we know) did not. The only open question is if Michigan's scheme was more effective than "traditional" sign stealing and the answer seems to be 'yes.'.
@UnnecRoughness
Unnecessary Roughness
1 year
JJ McCarthy didn't hold back
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
Big Ten Tournament Final Results from the Parallel Universe. No 2. seed Michigan State defeats No. 9 seed Michigan 79-60. Like the game at Breslin, MSU dominated. For the 2nd straight year, MSU beats UofM to claim the Big Ten Tournament crown. @TheOnlyColors .#ParallelUniversity.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
11 months
BTT seeding scenarios for MSU:. No. 5 seed:. -MSU beats Indiana.-Illinois beats Iowa.-Wisconsin loses to both Rutgers and Purdue. No. 6 seed:. -MSU beats Indiana.-Illinois beats Iowa AND Wisconsin wins at least one more game OR Iowa beats Illinois AND Wisconsin loses 2x (con't).
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
Friday's Results from the Parallel Universe BTT:. 9-Michigan: 70.1-Wisconsin: 64. 4-Illinois: 77.12-Minnesota: 57. 2-Michigan State: 70.7-Ohio State: 66. 3-Maryland: 77.11-Indiana: 59. This sets at some interesting match-us later today. @TheOnlyColors.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
MSU actually edged up in Kenpom with the loss at Illinois and are now at No. 17. Yes. MSU is 1-4, but the four losses are four of the toughest seven games on the conference schedule. The sky is not falling just yet.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
Dear Texas, UCLA, and Alabama:. If you think that this is fun, try playing a team like this twice a week for over two months. Signed,. The Big Ten Conference. #MarchMadness.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
Beating Michigan, no matter how bad they are, is always satisfying. MSU hit only 2-of-14 from deep, lost the rebounding battle, yet still won on the road by double digits. Nice.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
The best thing about the Michigan* cheating scandal is that the entire nation is learning what MSU fans have known about the Wolverines for decades. The lying, cheating, and the gaslighting of their own fans with the help of local media is not new. It's the Michigan difference.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 years
FWIW, I checked the college football parallel universe to see what would have happened if the officials had not overturned the fumble / TD at the end of the 1H in the MSU/UofM game. Payton Thorne wound up leading MSU on a 2-minute drill TD to close out the half. MSU won 42-37.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
Michigan fans in 2018:. "Injuries are no excuse.".
@DanielDash_
Daniel Dash
5 years
Gattis says Michigan hasn’t had a single practice with 11 healthy offensive starters all season, even dating back to the spring. @WolverineLounge.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
Dear @Johnubacon .Last summer, we talked briefly here about concerns that I had over the data you presented about the academics of the UofM football team in your book Overtime. I promised to conduct some research and to get back to you. I have concluded my investigation (thread).
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
The first Regional Final of the evening is finished in Indianapolis in the Parallel Universe with the following result:. No. 2 Michigan State downs No. 1 Kansas, 72-65. It was an epic battle in a game that many stated before hand might be the defacto National Title game.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
6 years
Coach A is Mark Dantonio.Coach B is Bo Schembechler. #MSU.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
Fun Rivalry Stat:. Michigan State's record vs. Michigan since 1950: . 32-39 (45.1%). Michigan's record vs. Ohio State since 1950:. 30-41 (42.8%).
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
11 months
Immediate take. I don't hate MSU's draw.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
MSU blows out Northwestern. Michigan gets curb-stomped in Madison. Get ready for wall-to-wall Curtis Blackwell coverage for the next 7-14 days. .
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
11 months
With Wisconsin's win over Rutgers tonight, the No. 5 seed is off the table for MSU. The updated situation is:. No. 6 seed (40%).MSU beats IU.Illinois beats Iowa. No. 7 seed (28%).MSU beats IU.Iowa beats Illinois. No. 8 seed (32%).IU beats MSU.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
11 months
I flat out do not agree that UNC is better than MSU. They are not. MSU just played like crap for the final 10 minutes of the half. MSU played an A- game in the first 10 minutes and a C game in the final 10 minutes of the half.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
10 months
Current Mood:
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 days
I ran a set of "what if" simulations to estimate how MSU's trip to southern CA will impact the Big Ten race. (I also assumed that Purdue handles Indiana Friday night). A sweep will push the odds to ~75%. A split will leave MSU with a narrow lead (57% to 47%). 0-2? Odds to 37%.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 months
Recap of this thread so far:. Me: Please give ONE example of this happening in the Big Ten to a team not named Michigan. Michigan fans: SHUT UP! YOU'RE JUST JEALOUS! (and stop making us feel bad. ). Me: LOLOLOLOLOL.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
Exhibition or not, calling a foul in a tie game in a mad scramble with 2 seconds on the clock should be grounds for termination. That was an AWFUL call.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
I have defended this team all year, but that very, very, very bad. Ohio State and Iowa are not *good* and MSU just lost to both, at home, back-to-back. This team is lost right now and needs to figure it out, NOW.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
Won or lose, one thing is certain: this is one of the worst officiating crews I have ever seen.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 years
While I am glad to see that MSU football is doing well, rankings-wise in football recruiting, I would remind everyone (from every fanbase) that these numbers mean essentially nothing until signing day at the very earliest.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
Cool stat. Here is what you get if you count wins over teams seeded No. 6 or better since 2013:. Kentucky: 8.Villanova: 8.UNC: 7.MSU: 7.Wisconsin: 7.UofM: 6.Duke: 5.Gonzaga: 5.Syracuse: 5.
@SKORNACKI
Steve Kornacki
4 years
NCAA #MarchMadness Blue Bloods in wins since 2013: Michigan 19, Kentucky-North Carolina-Duke-Gonzaga 18 apiece. #GoBlue #B1G Gonzaga, Wolverines vying to become only schools with 4 consecutive Sweet 16s.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
Here is a weird one. The Selection Committee's official seed list has VCU *ahead* of Saint Bonaventure. The Bonnies just beat VCU in the A-10 tournament to go 2-1 against VCU for the season. They also had a better record, more quad one wins, and a higher NET and Kenpom rank. Nuts.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
The University of Michigan's association with "Air Jordan" makes perfect sense. Both were good in the 1980s, peaked in the 1990s, have not played competitively since 2003, and most people who have worked with them think that they are jerks.
@OVO301978
〽
4 years
Lmao you’re not 😂🤦‍♂️Jordan brand material.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
With all due respect, I must call BS here. The fairy tale that UofM fans love to tell about the academics of UofM's athletes is just that: a fairy tale. The record shows a long history of lies and a pattern of behavior that mirrors what went on at UNC.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
Every day brings a new embarrassing and hilarious new angle to this story. Michigan* is now clearly crying to actual lawmakers to save them. They literally have no shame to go along with their complete lack of ethics, sportsmanship, or intelligence.
@ChrisVannini
Chris Vannini
1 year
Eleven Michigan lawmakers have sent a letter to the Big Ten urging commissioner Tony Petitti to "act prudently and refrain from taking any premature measures against one of our state universities, including their athletic program, football team or coaching staff."
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
Note that in January of 2020, Cassius Winston and Xavier Tillman lost in West Lafayette by a score of 71-42. It doesn't matter. I didn't even watch the game today. because it doesn't matter. What DOES matter is that MSU gets 6 days off and now can build towards March.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
11 months
Greg Kampe: national treasure. Seriously, he might just be the coolest head coach in America. Prove me wrong.
@JeannaTrotmanTV
Jeanna Trotman
11 months
I am dead 💀 @KampeOU is working the drive thru at the McDonald’s on the corner of Walton and Adams. A portion of shamrock shake sales goes to the @RMHC. As you can imagine, he’s cracking all the jokes to customers, but also giving away free tickets to Thursday’s game.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
Emoni Bates to MSU bottom line:.1) Bates is not draft eligible until 2023, based on the current rules.2) The WOTS is that the 1-&-done rule is NOT going to change (the owners like the rule).3) Bates still might reclassify to 2021. 4) Bates *might* wind up at MSU for 2 years. 😃.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
If you are a diehard Spartan fan who still has hopes the MSU can make a bowl game at 5-7, here is your guide to the weekend. MSU can reach the postseason IF. 1) MSU beats Penn State (8% odds). 2) No more than 6 of the teams listed first in games below win (8% odds)
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
MSU fans can look forward on Saturday to watching either K-State roll FAU by 30 and thinking "that could be us" or watching K-State commit 25 turnovers and shoot 25% from the field and thinking "where the hell was that on Thursday night." It should be fun. #MarchMadness.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
I have been skeptical that the NCAA or Big Ten would actually act, but this just gets worse for Big Blue by the hour. It looks like there is overwhelming evidence that Michigan willfully and obviously broke several NCAA rules and then lied about it. Wow. Just wow.
@NicoleAuerbach
Nicole Auerbach
1 year
"Among the pieces of evidence the outside law firm presented was a detailed schedule of Michigan’s planned sign-stealing travel for the rest of this season, which games Michigan scouts would attend, and how much money was budgeted for travel and tickets."
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
Michigan State is now No. 25 in Kenpom, behind only Purdue and Maryland in the Big Ten.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 months
There is about a 40% chance that Michigan loses by double digits at home to USC this weekend (based on the Vegas spread). If that happens, Michigan's odds of simply making a bowl game will likely drop to below 50%.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
If Boeheim wins today, he will tie Tom Izzo for the most wins as a lower seed in Tournament history at 15. That said, Izzo has coached in ten fewer tournaments.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
Really nice analysis on why, once again, the talking points coming out of Ann Arbor are deeply flawed, if not blatantly false. Michigan broke rules to gain a competitive advantage like nothing seen before in college football. That is FACT. It is time to accept the consequences.
@CollegeHuddle
The College Huddle 🎙️
1 year
After reviewing the recent opinion piece by @DanWetzel titled, "Either everyone's guilty, or no one is," I believe Dan got a few things wrong that I would like to address:. 1. "In the end, they both stole, or participated in the stealing of, the same thing — information on
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
With the win over Nebraska, MSU *should* be a lock for the NCAA Tournament and, at worst, would be the No. 9 seed in the Big Ten Tournament. MSU's most likely BTT seed is the No. 6 or No. 7, which almost certain avoids Purdue.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
Somehow over the next few year Indiana needs to win enough games to make a bowl where they will face USC so that we can get quotes like, "Trojan coaches say they have a plan to keep Penix under wraps.". I feel college football owes me that much.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
17 days
MSU took the lead with a Zapala free throw with 10:28 to play and never gave it up. Holloman led the Spartans with 17 points despite going 0-for-3 from three. Fiddler and Carr chipped in 11 points each. Every Spartan who played scored at least four points.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
Here is a little late-night Big Ten Tournament seeding math:. Right now, MSU's odds to get a Top 10 seed (and avoid playing on Wednesday) is about 75%. If MSU beats either Indiana or Maryland, those odds to to 95%+. If MSU wins both games, MSU is a near lock for the 8/9 seed.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
MSU shot 47% from three. TO were even. Rebounds were even (and MSU had more offensive rebounds), FT were relatively even until under 2 minutes. This team is just snakebit right now and does not have the will to close out games. 1-for-8 in the final 4:30. I got nothing.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
I have been saying for a while that not playing Minnesota probably didn't matter. I reran the numbers this morning, and as things have played out. I was wrong. There is a really good chance that MSU will miss out on a double bye without that win.
@SpartansRivals
Spartans Illustrated
2 years
A week ago it appeared that not rescheduling the Minnesota game would have little impact on Michigan State's Big Ten Tournament seed. With all of the upsets in the past few days, that has now changed. Check out @PaulFanson's exclusive break down here:.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
Coach Izzo now has 16 upsets win the NCAA Tournament, breaking a tie with the now retired Jim Boeheim. The next closest active coach is Bruce Pearl with nine. #MSU #MarchMadness.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
3 years
Since 2007, MSU is 11-3 in the game following the UofM game. Based on the spreads in those games, the expected win total was 8.0. In contrast, UofM is only 7-7 after the MSU game in that timeframe. Based on the spreads, the expected win total was 9.0.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
I am starting to come to the conclusion that MSU Football is going to go undefeated in 2020.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
A year ago John U. Bacon published a book which included a reassurance that past concerns over the academic integrity of athletes at UofM were a thing of the past. His chapter contained several errors. So, now we have to ask: is UofM still lying?.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
Tough weekend for the "Izzo is washed" crowd. How you folks doing tonight? You OK? I know that it's hard to accept when the predetermined narrative that you desperately want to be true is shown to be B.S. Please make sure to reach out to a friend or loved one if you need help.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
While it would certainly be better if MSU were ranked, it honestly doesn't matter. at all. Here is what does matter: MSU is ranked No. 20 overall in Kenpom and more critically No. 7 on defense. Kenpom is predictive of future performance and MSU's offense will improve.
@kylebaustin
Kyle Austin
1 year
Michigan State is unranked in this week's AP poll. From No. 4 to unranked in three weeks after a 3-3 start.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
One more fun rivalry stat:. MSU and U of M began playing for the Paul Bunyan trophy in 1953. The Spartans dominated the series in the first two decades and led the series 11-4-2 in 1970. Michigan would not take the lead in the Paul Bunyan part of the series until 1979.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
I am seeing some negativity about MSU's loss to Arizona yesterday, but I am still very encouraged by the ceiling of this team. Zona looks VERY good to me and MSU led with under 4 minutes to go with Walker looking less than 100%. It's still only November, folks.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
MSU Running Back Kenneth Walker has been named first-team All-Big Ten by Pro Football Focus (PFF). J.D. Duplain, Jacob Slade, Drew Beesley, Jacub Panasiuk, Matt Coghlin, and Jayden Reed were also honored. Check out the details on The Only Colors.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
4 years
I am starting to wonder if Mick Cronin's half time speech during the First Four game with MSU was actually the greatest and most effective motivational speech in the history of sport.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 months
Obviously, the story is the turnovers and to a lesser extent getting FGs instead of TDs. Chiles did not have his best game. But the talent is there. IF he can cut down on errors, this offense could be lethal. Also, it is obvious that this is a MUCH better coached team.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
1 year
Tough afternoon for the "Izzo is washed" crowd.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
Rutgers Coach Steve Pikiell may be the best coach in the Big Ten not named Izzo. The things that he has done with the previously down-trodden program is extremely impressive. They are hard to play and hard to root against.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
But, it is not just Harbaugh. Since the 2003 season, UM is only 3-13 in bowls, including 6 upset losses and only 1 upset win. The expected win total over that timespan was 7.8. Double yikes! That is like "post-season Purdue in basketball" bad.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
The 2020 Parallel Universe NCAA Tournament is now complete and your champion is. The Michigan State Spartans as. No. 2 Michigan State edged No. 5 Ohio State, 68-67. MSU made the plays that mattered to secure the program's third National Title and Izzo's second.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
MSU is in the bracket with the weakest No. 2 and the second weakest No. 3 seed. That's nice.
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
5 years
Great commentary starting at about the 2:44 mark in the 3rd qt of the MSU game:. "The Wolverines have been exposed again. It’s just every year it seems like everyone jumps on that bandwagon early and they disappoint before you hit October.". "My question is why, though? (con't).
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@PaulFanson
Dr. Green and White
2 years
That feels like the first good thing to happen to MSU football in. a month?.
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