Patrick Basham
@PatrickBashamDI
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Pollster • Pundit • Author • Strategist • Democracy Institute director “The most credible poll in the country: the Democracy Institute poll.”~ Wayne Allyn Root
USA & UK
Joined March 2023
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Trump +4 > Harris. Our new
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
@Daily_Express
national likely voter poll.
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BREAKING: Trump leads Harris across Rust Belt in our new
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
@Daily_Express
swing states poll
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💯 accurate
The RFK Jr endorsement is the culmination point of the largest realignment in American politics since the reconstruction era.
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BREAKING: Trump +8 > Harris. Our new
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
@Daily_Express
poll. 62% say Harris lied about Biden’s health.
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Trump beats Harris on most personality traits - our new
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
@Daily_Express
national likely voter poll.
New poll shows voters think Trump is more 'competent, genuine and intelligent' than Harris
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BREAKING: Our
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
post-assassination attempt poll on Trump v Biden, etc.
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🙏
Second survivor of Trump rally shooting, James Copenhaver, released from hospital
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BREAKING NEWS: Our
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
poll finds 61% of voters (51% of Democrats): Biden's removal is "undemocratic." 60% of voters (55% of Democrats): Installing Harris as the candidate is "undemocratic."
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BREAKING POLL: Trump wins debate 61% to 19%. Trump now +5 > Biden; Trump now +7 > Biden & RFK. Our
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
post-debate poll.
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Our
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
poll: voters think Kamala Harris replacing Joe Biden is "undemocratic"
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In Istanbul for Sunday's Turkish election, here's a visual reminder of the West's abject failure to isolate & impoverish Russian finances through sanctions, etc. Who could have predicted this? Oh, yes,
@barnes_law
@Peoples_Pundit
@JosephFordCotto
&
@PatrickBashamDI
did so.
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My
@ExpressUSNews
OpEd explains ascending presidential prospects of
@realDonaldTrump
&
@RobertKennedyJr
, descending prospects of
@RonDeSantis
&
@POTUS
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BREAKING: Our new
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
poll finds Trump’s VP JD Vance popular with likely voters nationally
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Joe Biden's approval rating in freefall as poll reveals voters want Donald Trump back
@DavidPBMaddox
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"Democrats Wish Trump’s Immigration Masterclass Was Illegal" - my essay on the electoral wisdom of
@realDonaldTrump
&
@elonmusk
migration chat.
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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
is a phenomenal pollster. Period.
Baris has explained the trajectory of this primary and the dynamics at play well in advance of anyone else in the polling/data industry.
I read a lot of sources. What I just said is undeniable.
And where are we? DeSantis is 30%+ behind Trump.
Just like Rich said.
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Alternative headline: "Reading 'Lord of the Rings' & '1984' Could Lead to a Healthy Skepticism of Big Government & Deep State Practices, Political History Warns."
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It's been an awful few days for Western political 'experts', i.e., the legion of globalist, statist, anti-populist, anti-nationalist pundits. A major downside of disparaging & ignoring the peasantry is you don't know what they think of the ruling class until it's far too
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Carville remains the wisest of Democrats.
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Congrats
@barnes_law
!
Today, we beat
@TysonFoods
in federal court, and the court awarded summary judgment on liability to the plaintiff employees who lost their jobs to a vaccine mandate.
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Le Pen is the real winner of 🇫🇷 France 🇫🇷 election. Being the face of the government is a poisoned chalice under Macron's shadow. Now, she won't be damaged by the next 2 years of further economic/social decay. So, Le Pen/ populist Right better placed for 2027 presidential vote.
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Biden is still Democrats best hope. Harris is a disaster for Democrats.
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Trump seems serious about defending financial freedom.
DONALD TRUMP TO SPEAK AT BITCOIN 2024 CONFERENCE IN NASHVILLE
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Our new
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
poll via
@DavidPBMaddox
Donald Trump is America's favourite pick for next Speaker: bombshell poll
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Saying the quiet part out loud...
The Atlantic Magazine: The Feds Use Migration to Cut Wages via
@BreitbartNews
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Global trend in favor of right-wing populists is unmistakable & continues apace. All rather bad news for America's uniparty-based political establishment.
🇳🇱
#Netherlands
, general election exit poll (seats):
According to the Ipsos exit poll, the Party for Freedom (PVV) of Geert Wilders will come in first place with 35 seats.
This would be by far the best result ever for the far-right party.
#Verkiezingen2023
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Racial & ethnic minority
#s
are fascinating. Hispanic opposition to Sanctuary City status is slam dunk opportunity for
@realDonaldTrump
Poll: Most Chicagoans Now Want End to ‘Sanctuary City‘ Policy via
@BreitbartNews
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For some time now, the FT hasn't done accurate political forecasting...
"The humiliation of the Dutch establishment
Victory of Geert Wilders shows voters desperate to hit back against elites. Last week Financial Times declared these ‘elections are tapping into a mood for dry moderation’ Dutch don’t do wild political leaps’
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Crucial insight from
@barnes_law
...
The key to
#Kennedy
voters is appealing policies on issues that matter to them: like
#MedicalFreedom
from
#BigPharma
&
#FoodFreedom
from
#BigFood
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My new poll for
@ExpressUSNews
has good news for
#DonaldTrump
&
@RobertKennedyJr
, bad news for
@POTUS
&
@GovRonDeSantis
Biden "too old and frail" to be President according to exclusive poll for
@ExpressUSNews
by
@PatrickBashamDI
and the
#DemocracyInstitute
... story via
@DavidPBMaddox
more to follow in the coming days...
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Our new
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
presidential poll result via
@paulwithers05
@DavidPBMaddox
Donald Trump tipped to win 2024 election if RFK runs as independent - new poll
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Decent night for our
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
Iowa GOP caucus poll: Trump's vote = 52% est. v 51% actual; Trump's winning margin = 32% est. v 30% actual.
@DavidPBMaddox
@ExpressPolitics
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Must-watch: Incredibly important
@Peoples_Pundit
polling data (food freedom, medical freedom, financial freedom, political freedom) & crucial
@barnes_law
insights & analysis.
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Our
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
Trump VP poll:
"Bombshell poll lays bare top voter choice for Trump's vice president"
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Lives will be saved if the WHO changes its view on e-cigarettes, says PATRICK BASHAM
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Spot on
@Peoples_Pundit
(as always).
Yes, the
@RobertKennedyJr
ad was very good.
And it's the kind of ad that would appeal to otherwise
@realDonaldTrump
voters, especially in key states.
Biden voters do not care about nostalgia or wholesomeness.
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Kissinger told the West to negotiate a peace settlement with Russia (WEF speech, 23 May 2022). Wisdom lost on the young Western ‘experts’ bungling Ukraine. Our rulers blindly ignored the doyen of foreign policy realism. Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians are dead as a result.
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Only Trump can beat Biden, our new
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
poll shows via
@DavidPBMaddox
@ExpressPolitics
Today
@ExpressUSNews
officially launches with
#DemocracyInstitute
poll from
@PatrickBashamDI
revealing that only Donald Trump can beat Biden. Story via
@DavidPBMaddox
@Daily_Express
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"Managed democracy" in action, Pakistani version.
Pakistan Effectively Bans Ex-PM Imran Khan from TV via
@BreitbartNews
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Must Watch!
@barnes_law
kills it on...
@realDonaldTrump
@RobertKennedyJr
#2024Election
#CovidVaccines
#UkraineWar
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Populism rising: Turnout in today's 🇫🇷 French 🇫🇷 parliamentary elections is the highest in 4 decades.
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EXCLUSIVE: A new poll by the
#DemocracyInstitute
and
@PatrickBashamDI
has found the riots across France have opened the door for rightwing candidate Marine Le Pen to win the French Presidency....story via
@DavidPBMaddox
@Daily_Express
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An important read from
@cboyack
@DeAngelisCorey
"If the tide of mediocrity was rising four decades ago, we believe that its dangerously high level today has now submerged millions of students beneath its destructive force."
New op-ed from me and
@DeAngelisCorey
in
@NRO
today:
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A truly terrific line.
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Great article
@Adam_Creighton
"Those screaming loudest about misinformation and disinformation have been the greatest purveyors of it."
Biased FBI, complicit media failed US democracy
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Very important new
@seamusbruner
book
Exclusive—Seamus Bruner Blows the Lid Off the Agenda of Billionaire ‘Controligarchs’ via
@BreitbartNews
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Terrific
@NileGardiner
critique of
@POTUS
foreign policy
Joe Biden’s shameful mistreatment of Britain is a monumental folly
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A realistic approach...
Harris Team Asks If Her Mic Can Just Be Muted For The Whole Debate
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As millennial & Gen Z working class (especially minority) women already fled to Trump & RFK in droves, it's actually Harris who has the mathematical problem with women.
Expect a repeat of 2016 Hillary arguments as to how Trump can't win.
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ALERT! 4 PM Eastern: We release our
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
exclusive weekend poll on voter reaction to Biden’s removal from Democratic nomination. "Democracy in action" or a "bloodless coup"? We've got the hard
#s
...Stay tuned...
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Excellent analysis from
@joelpollak
Blue State Blues: The Conservative Case for Kennedy via
@BreitbartNews
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@RepThomasMassie
This proposal was central to Pat Buchanan's economic policy during his campaign for the 1996 GOP presidential nomination.
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Joke of the Day nominee..
CNBC: Chicago Fed President Goolsbee says if economy deteriorates, Fed will "fix it”
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Voluntarily added their names to the new "Useful Idiots" membership list.
More than 200 George W. Bush, John McCain, and Mitt Romney aides endorse Kamala Harris
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Pray for the souls of the innocent murdered during today's failed assassination attempt on former President Trump
#GoodvanquishesEvil
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Love or loathe Trump, his political skill set is vast.
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"Innocent until proven guilty" seemingly not a Team DeSantis thing...?
New: Team DeSantis is lobbying for an RNC rule change that would ban anyone under indictment from receiving the nomination, per Rich Baris.
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💋 💋 💋
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Libertarian populist
@JMilei
has gained >5 pts on establishment candidate
@SergioMassa
since 1st round. Can he today pull off shock win? Yes. Will he? Probably (Deep State permitting...).
🇦🇷
#Argentina
, presidential election poll (2nd round):
Massa (UP): 46,7 %
Milei (LLA): 45,3 %
CELAG, 08/11/23
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Well worth a watch
@the_tpa
@iealondon
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If NYC jury convicts Trump, will voters rally to him or abandon him? The answer was in our
#DemocracyInstitute
@ExpressUSNews
Oct '23 poll:
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Huge credit is owed to
@barnes_law
&
@Peoples_Pundit
. Their work - gathering the relevant public opinion data & establishing the favorable electoral calculus - provided the ball Trump has wisely picked up & is now running with towards the goal line.
Medical Freedom is very popular & holding
#BigPharma
accountable is essential to that. Smart move by Trump.
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Race is fluid. Kamala Harris practices what she preaches.
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From
@DavidPBMaddox
exclusive insights on British legal case's potential to harm UK-US diplomatic relations
Government moves to hold Darroch leak allegations case in secret
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Key insight from
@barnes_law
The NY case alleges all the criminal acts occured while Trump was President in order to stay President to cover up an alleged plan to steal the Presidency. The NY judge never conducted the pretrial analysis
#SCOTUS
requires in any indictment of a President. Verdict should vacate.
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💯
It might be very good for Trump if Harris has to stand there alone, answering 90 minutes of questions about her record, in front of a massive live TV audience..
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A transatlantic trade boost for Brexit Britain via
@DavidPBMaddox
EXCLUSIVE: Republicans already preparing for US-UK trade deal 'whoever wins' White House candidacy...
@DavidPBMaddox
@Daily_Express
interviews
@KevinRobertsTX
, President of
@Heritage
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Terrific
@dr4liberty
@CatoInstitute
piece on the (predictable) unintended consequences of drug & cigarette prohibition
Senators Tacitly Admit That Prohibition Benefits Mexican Drug Cartels via
@CatoInstitute
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A fascinating proposal, one championed by Pat Buchanan while seeking the 1996 GOP presidential nomination.
JUST IN: Donald Trump has suggested eliminating U.S. income tax and replacing it with tariffs on imports, per CNBC.
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A Manhattan jury has voted to elect Trump the next president.
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Asking for a friend...
Why do i need a $200 passport to leave this country when I don't need one to get in?
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Key insight from
@barnes_law
With Trump on the Colorado ballot, Biden is a strong favorite to win the state. Take Trump off the ballot, and there is a good chance Biden loses the state to Robert Kennedy. Democrats might want to rethink their strategy.
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Thanks to NZ radio legend Leighton Smith for permitting me to pontificate for 35 mins on Kamala Harris' poor presidential prospects.
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America's "fork in the road" election: my 2024 outlook via
@DavidPBMaddox
@ExpressPolitics
2024 is the 'year of elections' that will change world forever... analysis via
@DavidPBMaddox
+ expertise from
@PatrickBashamDI
@dp_williamson
@ShakdamC
@Furedibyte
@StepanenkoSF
@ONIOVIRI
and
@AmandeepBhogal
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Six months of sleepness nights ahead for the Biden campaign...
🚨New: Robert F Kennedy Jr has officially gained access to the 2024 California Presidential Ballot.
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🇫🇷 France 🇫🇷 is now probably looking at a leftist-dominated coalition government of populist left, greens, centre-left. But a hung parliament is still possible.
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Terrific line!
I haven’t seen the Kennedy’s this mad since they stopped prohibition.
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Perfectly stated
@elonmusk
“At its heart, wokeness is divisive, exclusionary, and hateful. It basically gives mean people a shield to be mean and cruel, armored in false virtue.”
― Elon Musk
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Insightful
@joffemd
@CatoInstitute
analysis
Maui Wildfire Response Sure Looks Like Government Failure via
@CatoInstitute
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🇫🇷 Actual votes (like facts) are stubborn things 🇫🇷
At 95% counted, the popular vote is as follows
RN (far-right): 38%
NFP (left): 25%
ENS (Macronist): 24%
LR (conservative): 10%
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Welcome to the (un)Democratic People's Republic of Amerika...
“Hamas is coming”
Union Station July 24, 2024 - Washington D.C.
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Safest bet in 2024: there will be no Biden-Trump presidential debate.
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🇺🇸 Happy Independence Day!!! 🇺🇸 On the 4th of July, we 🇬🇧 Brits 🇬🇧 just gotta take the L.
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Supreme Court hands Trump victory in Colorado 14th Amendment ballot challenge
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Leftists never fail to punish, rather than reward, success.
'California takes on oil companies again with law that could cap profits in state'
Get ready for more inflation at the petrol pump.
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Three (very) Wise Men
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The smart strategy.
Trump will show up to the FOX debate on September 4 by himself and treat it as a golden town hall just for himself.
Then last minute he will attend the September 10 ABC debate, depriving Harris of the opportunity for her own event.
Master gamesmanship
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Our Business Daily Africa oped on foreign investment in Kenya, an abridged version of our much longer essay on FDI & Africa
@ArmstrongOngera
@KehosaFDICenter
#FDI
#Kenya
#Africa
via
@BD_Africa
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Alternative headline: "unDemocratic Party's ruling class anoints its presidential candidate."
Kamala Harris gets enough delegates to secure Dem nomination — despite never winning a primary
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America's "voting with their feet" exodus continues apace
@JD_Tuccille
@reason
Americans Are Still Fleeing High-Tax States via
@reason
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Then the Greens came for the Asians...
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