Patrick Dunleavy
@PJDunleavy
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Political scientist, LSE - elections & parties, state theory, power, digital era governance, government IT. Higher education & academic authoring.
LSE, London
Joined April 2010
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When we speak of ministers "looting"" the public purse for private gain, a £15,000 in-flight food and booze bill for a single Liz Truss flight to Australia is what we mean.
Just like ministers getting taxpayers to cover their lying defamatory tweets
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Absolutely right, and the person who gave it all away at knockdown prices was Margaret Thatcher as PM. See Stephanie Hoops’ brilliant PhD thesis, free to download here.
Norway has a £1.2tn wealth fund £200,000 for every single citizen. This is because they tax Fossil Fuel at 78%, or own it outright.
If the UK had done the same, we would be even richer than them.
But it has all been stolen, Trillions of it, and all tax free.
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This is the story you cannot read on the BBC website, demonstrating once again that they no longer have any public service ethos.
Peter Cruddas: Peer donated £500,000 to Conservative Party days after joining House of Lords | Politics News | Sky News
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I’ve never read such a load of tripe attributed to an IR academic in my life. If the quoted comments are accurate, they verge into major professional irresponsibility.
How on earth would it be in rUK’s or NATO’s interest to create a defenceless Scotland?
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Catastrophic Lib Dem vote-splitting here. Why do they persist in gifting the Tories where they have no hope of winning?
Cambridgeshire PCC Election Result:
🌳 CON: 38.3% (-4.6)
🌹 LAB: 36.0% (+4.7)
🔶 LDM: 25.7% (+3.4)
No RFM (-3.5) as previous.
Conservative HOLD.
Changes w/ 2021.
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Sadly, still so true under Sunak….from 2021
There is more corruption and corruption risk in and around this government than any British government since 1945 | British Politics and Policy at LSE
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This is what Margaret Thatcher didn’t do with UK oil wealth in 1980s... start a sovereign wealth fund. Now Norway’s fund owns 5% of European stocks and 1.4% of all global stocks by value.
The biggest return in its sovereign wealth fund's history. Read more:
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An absolutely classic case of bias leading respondents. Every single question item shows anti-immigrant bias, and none takes a counter viewpoint. This is a wholly illegitimate poll with zero credibility. The survey firm & commissioning journalists/paper should be wholly ashamed.
NEW: After dividing the commentariat, were voters attracted to or repulsed by Suella Braverman's immigration speech?
We polled extracts with a representative sample of 🇬🇧 British adults to find out. 👇
Covered in The Sunday Times by
@ShippersUnbound
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I'm very honoured to have been asked by LSE to act as Editor-in-Chief for
@LSEPress
with a mission to develop digital open access publishing in the social sciences. See also
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Yet again, this raises questions about the role of the Cabinet Secretary, Simon Case. Either the first statement was untrue, or the current one is. It cannot be both, can it?
How can you determine whether something is “unambiguously irrelevant” if you aren’t actually in possession of it?
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Heritage organisations need to be free of government meddling, but only so long as they say what the government wants.
This is blatant Orbanization, identical to the tactics used in Hungary.
Accounts of British history must 'not start from a position of guilt and shame or a denigration of this country's past'.🤦♂️
Sunday Telegraph.
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Simon Case as Cabinet Secretary has never run a Whitehall Department, has no idea about government IT, has been 14 years a ‘diplomat’/ public relations official only, barring a short spook stint. His job signals the complete politicisation of policy-making
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FT reports that fraud around the government’s various Covid 19 scheme will total £5 billion, that is 2.5 times losses due to all welfare mistakes and fraud.
Will this loss be investigated 2.5 times as hard, and results publicised, including prosecutions?
Will it heck.
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The government won’t release its analyses of Brexit’s impact. We have a right to see them
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This seems to be what makes Whitehall nervous - GDP growth in Czech Republic and Slovakia after their independence
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These numbers are based solely on assuming that Scotland's costs of trading with the UK would rise by 15% to 30%. So it is little wonder that the outcome is sharply negative. The answer is pre-determined by such a huge cost increase - a 5% increase might be more reasonable.
Finding 2. Independence and Brexit combined estimated to reduce Scottish income per capita by 6-9% in long run
These estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty & do not incorporate potential productivity changes, but show losses from independence could be substantial. 3/
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Sadhguru: We must move fast to save our soil from dying | LSE Business Review
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“Three billionaire families – the Murdochs, Rothermeres and Barclays – control an estimated 68% of UK national newspaper circulation”. Naturally they all live in tax havens overseas. Press Gazette
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Where is the Government’s Anti-Corruption ‘Champion’? – Byline Times
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Excess deaths in 2022 among worst in 50 years - BBC News
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The Times (30 January 2021) reports p. 19:
“Russian-linked donors have given the Conservatives more than £1 million since the Intelligence and Security Committee (ISC) submitted its report on Kremlin interference in 2019”.
No wonder nothing has been done! Well, some things...
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PhD students supervised collectively rather than individually are quicker to complete their theses
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Feeble stuff isn’t it? Yet another of the UK’s weak and hopeless “integrity agencies” flapping its hands in the air, too late, and doing nothing effective.
@AdamBienkov
EXCLUSIVE: The Information Commissioners Office has written to the Conservatives to remind them "of the need to comply with the law" after they sent out thousands of fake driving charge notices designed to trick voters into handing over their personal data
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Long read | It’s the English, stupid! Brexit is an expression of English nationalism
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‘Westminster refuses to deny it pushed academics to delete blog on indy Scotland”
We published this cogent piece, and we think it’s a very worthwhile contribution. It’s disturbing if government was in *any* way implicated in its no longer being available
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It takes a special kind of political leader to pursue naked partisan self-interest at the real risk of triggering civic disobedience in a country with 300 million guns. Reckless doesn’t begin to cover it.
Pandemonium outside the Minnesota Governor’s Residence.
Horns are blaring. A few hundred people are here. Many chant “Open Up!”
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To use Google and Scholar search most effectively, these eight tips are helpful
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New from me - ‘The UK needs an independent commission against corruption’
“No decade in post-war British history has evidenced anything on the scale of this stunningly pervasive & serious collapse of ethical or public-interested central state governance”.
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Policy Exchange is a front organization for anonymous capital interests, not a think tank, still less anywhere that does research or produces evidence. Unless you on the far right, don’t ever work with them, attend their events or give them publicity.
Meet the team at
@Policy_Exchange
who also write untrue articles about fracking & Global Heating for the Telegraph.
We also advise Braverman about small boat crossings & we are the lobbyists who advocated for
@XR
&
@GreenpeaceUK
to be categorised as extremist.
Thanks Priti.
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Your essential ‘how-to’ guide to writing good abstracts
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Robert Jenrick should resign. He has two serious incidents of apparent malfeasance combined with patent political favouritism. NAO found he & colleague over-ruled 60% of civil service objective nominations to towns fund, and gave all to Cons target seats
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“It’s a question of cost,” said Phillips O’Brien. ‘If you can destroy an expensive, heavy system for something that costs much much less, then actually the power differential between two countries [great vs little powers] doesn’t matter as much.”
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Key are national vote shares: Con 42.4%, Lab 40.1, Lib Dem 7.2, SNP 3.1, UKIP 1.9, Green 1.6. Con lead 2.3. No 'hard Brexit' mandate here
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Highly selective Taxpayers Alliance wakes from its slumber on £ billions wasted on Corona Bonanza and test and trace scandals in order to fidget about £0.4m of perfectly legitimate HR training. Demonstrates their complete neglect of any genuine taxpayer interest.
Whitehall departments spent over £400,000 on "unconscious bias" training in the last two financial years. 🤦♀️🤦♂️
Taxpayers’ money should be focused on high quality services, not wasted on woke causes!
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Really devastated that Stuart Weir, a founding father of Charter 88, creator of Democratic Audit, & a key shaper of the UK’s best constitutional reforms, has sadly died.
Social scientists mostly only talk about the world, while the point is to make it better - which Stuart did
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Channel 4 guy makes elementary mistakes. Quotes £262m as Scottish Social security cost, but this is total cost of SS + big tax changes. Claims this is a net cost ... it is not. UK paid £200m, so net cost is £62m. And all done BEFORE independence, so not on transition bill at all
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Why do academics choose useless titles for articles and chapters? Four steps to getting a better title.
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Interesting Channel 4 News highly selective, hostile questioning of Nicola Sturgeon confuses policy costs with set-up costs.
"I don't have all of these figures right at the tip of my fingers right now."
Nicola Sturgeon is challenged over the transition costs of an independent Scotland.
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I normally never retweet politicians, but this video encapsulates why the UK government now needs to appoint a single anti-corruption investigator with wide powers to compel civil servants & ministers to give evidence under oath on how many deals under the Corona Bonanza happened
For the vast majority, this pandemic has been utter misery.
But for a wealthy few, it has been an opportunity to cash-in on connections.
And boy have they cashed in.
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Civil Service has ‘no automatic right to exist’, warns Cabinet Secretary
Extraordinary statement from an evidently failing holder of top civil service leadership role
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Interesting research here shows beyond any doubt that UK MPs with 2nd jobs ask 60% more questions in Parliament than comparable MPs, and that most of these are related to the firms or interests paying them. Paying MPs gets you information, influence, privileged access..
Really excited that “Politicians’ Private Sector Jobs and Parliamentary Behavior" is now out
@AJPS_editor
.
(ungated: )
Tldr: Politicians w/ private sector jobs while in parliament change their behavior
Summary of main findings 👇
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No longer welcome: the EU academics in Britain told to ‘make arrangements to leave’
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Most political scientists only look back, some feeling it’s “unscientific” to look ahead. Brendan O’Leary’s wonderful and topical book shows how much can be gained by evidence-based thinking about the near future of a potentially united Ireland.
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Margret Thatcher wasted all the UK’s North Sea oil revenues on subsidising ideological-austerity job losses, privatising BNOC & British Gas resources for peanuts, & investing nothing for the future. Stephanie Hoops’ great LSE PhD thesis tells the tale
We shouldn’t feel envious of this, we should be asking why we allowed it to happen in the first place, that Norway can afford to do this, and we have to ask another government to fund our vulnerable businesses. Think about it 🤔
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In the light of the possible Brexit policy debacle, some folks have asked me to provide an open access version of an old (1995) paper of mine on why the UK suffers uniquely from macro-policy disasters. Hope it still reads as plausible.
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Just found my Ireland-born grandfather might just qualify me for an Irish passport, & so hold on to EU citizenship. What a great country!
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If the Brexit vote was fraudulent because of Leave’s overspending, then the result is legally void, and Article 50 can be revoked. via
@LSEpoliticsblog
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A PhD is not just a degree - it is an opportunity to develop the skills needed to deliver impact
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NEW: Company with just £85 in the bank made £20m profit after Dominic Cummings referred Innova Medical into the ‘VIP’ lane - Good Law Project
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Say it once, say it right: Seven strategies to improve your academic writing.
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This will do wonders for public sector morale & recruitment. Not. Countries that make restrictions on strikes work guarantee by law that public and private pay stay in step, cf Japan. UK government is run by short-termists and chancers who just exploit public sector workers
Sunak is considering new emergency powers to break a winter of strikes.
No10 has told ministers to provide more options to disrupt unions’ co-ordinated bids to paralyse the UK this month and beyond.
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It is a very, very good question
A powerful projection on Kensington town hall this evening from Grenfell campaigners. The fourth anniversary of the fire is next week
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Contrary to popular and academic belief, Adam Smith did not accept inequality as a necessary trade-off for a more prosperous economy
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It has never been more important than now for academic and scientific research to be properly communicated to both expert and wider audiences. My latest book with Jane Tinkler provides 400 pages of suggestions for getting that done.
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The Times reports that Lord Keen (who resigned from the government over the Internal Market bill breaking international law) said of the move: “It’s a cunning plan with two Ms”.
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LSE announces new School of Public Policy
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Editor of The Lancet medical journal, tweeted: "If Dominic Cummings attended meetings of SAGE, then the government led by Boris Johnson has utterly corrupted independent scientific advice." Looks like the 2003 Iraq ‘dodgy dossier’ problem all over again.
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Our allegedly “worst” universities in fact are key agents for urban & regional development & growth. They provide key innovation inputs for small businesses, not least in their students who bring in fresh insights on tech, management etc. Letting any one go under would be folly
A totally inaccurate article, because it assumes that the universities collapsing will be at the 'bottom' of the traditional league table. Let me tell you, the cookie won't crumble like that. Let this play out, and you'll be surprised where weakness shows.
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Why anyone takes JLPartners seriously as a polling firm I just do not understand. They are rigged question experts
NEW: 3 polls out tonight show no clear change in the picture so far from the opening days of the campaign
@JLPartnersPolls
has Labour lead at 12, down from 15
@Survation
has Labour lead at 23, up from 19
@RedfieldWilton
has Lab lead at 23, up from 22
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PPE Firm Subject to £122m Recovery Action from UK Government Has Only £4m in Assets – Byline Times
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To understand Grenfell, how did the UK's mass housing blocks first get built? Free, open access version of book now
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Despite the focus on Russell Group institutions as drivers of social mobility, it is actually universities outside this group that are contributing most strongly to social mobility | Impact of Social Sciences
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A classic example of “new public management” (NPM) in action, supposedly more ‘business like’, in fact destroying public services’ resilience pursuing an illusory ‘leanness’.
Like 95% bed occupancy in NHS prepared COVID disaster, or over-cuts in armed forces left UK undefended
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Struggling to understand how the government can remain so attached to zombie NPM outsourcing on test & trace, I went back to an article of mine that's now 26 years old, on the globalization of public services production. Stands up OK still, I think?
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Great to get this news.
New
@BritishAcademy_
Fellows include sociologist
@GKBhambra
, political scientist
@PJDunleavy
, philosopher
@HawleyKatherine
, legal scholar
@CSBarnard24
. The full list is here
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Very alarmed to see LSE publicizing a totally flawed argument that lockdowns cost more in life-years lost thru cancer care postponed than saved thru care for the elderly. Lockdowns stop the NHS from collapsing catastrophically and hugely harming cancer and every other patients
"Lockdown policies have had a direct impact on people’s willingness – and ability – to access health and social services." COVID-19 policies might result in more life-years lost than saved, finds research from
@LSE_PBS
'
@profpauldolan
.
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More than 50,000 LSE theses are now downloaded every month. PhDs are one often-overlooked source of gold within open access repositories
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Becoming more creative in academic work - Advice for authoring a PhD or academic book - Medium
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There is no skills-gap: it is employers who have not kept up with the improved skills of graduates
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Yet another silly piece of legislation that addresses a complete non-problem. Ministers seem to have no idea of anything constructive to do.
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This is so short-sighted of Starmer.
In a multi-party UK you just cannot govern well on the basis of a ‘we are the masters now” artificial majority, as he seems to be envisaging.
BREAKING:
@Keir_Starmer
reveals he thinks First Past the Post gave us the "strong government" of Johnson, Truss and Sunak, and is "not making any changes to it".
Farage and Braverman will be laughing their heads off right now. 😳
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Author Hilary Mantel says UK needs written constitution "to stop rogue prime ministers illegally interfering with the workings of Parliament".
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Thanks so much Laura!
This is one of the most helpful books I've ever read on authoring a PhD,
@PJDunleavy
. I love it. People laugh at my sticky notes, but every point is important!
#phdlife
#acwri
#books
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@davidschneider
Today’s rotten economic data reconfirm what everyone but PM, Rishi Sunak, and Tory right wing knows..
you have to defeat Covid first, because only then will the economy fully recover
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Salmond "Alba will contest the upcoming Scottish elections as a list-only party, seeking to build a super-majority for independence in the Scottish Parliament’.
Could strengthen independence in May by electing MSPs at the list stage when SNP cannot. Smart
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Brexit is not the will of the British people – it never has been
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Reform electoral system or keep losing to Tories, Keir Starmer warned
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Nice to see that LSE escapes the flood with climate change still, but only to have a fine view of the lake.
Maps show which parts of London could be underwater in just a decade
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“Having been introduced into the Lords in July, I was advised by some very wise heads that the best way to learn the ropes is to be present for debates – to understand and get familiar with the processes.”
You could not make this drivel up, could you?
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I like the fact that 1/3 of voters blame Gordon Brown back in 2010 for the HGV driver shortage. That is serious partisanship, beyond any possible rationale.
Or (maybe) a metric for “dazed and confused”?
Large majority (68%) of voters blame Brexit alongside the pandemic either completely or partly for the HGV driver shortage. 67% blame the PM. They include a significant chunk of Leave voters. Pretty grim reading for
@10DowningStreet
. ~AA
Full story:
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Shockingly bad
@BBCNews
coverage with an election night from the 1980s, & obvious biases throughout - as picture shows.
And no mention of vote shares - the key democracy factor - even in the morning-after coverage.
This was a disaster, while
@SkyNews
and
@itvnews
were far better
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Academic journals with a presence on Twitter are more widely disseminated and receive a higher number of citations
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A personality cult that plays on popular fears: how Erdoğan won the Turkish referendum
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The BBC is so desperate to find anyone to defend the Sunak shambles, that they dredge up a front organization for loony right winger anonymous funders, which has no interest in taxpayers, except in criticizing tiny things like 'diversity training' while ministers loot mega sums
The BBC &
#PoliticsLive
*once again* wilfully platforming a representative of a Tufton Street-based, opaquely-funded think tank (lobby group) to argue for policies that almost certainly benefit whoever funds them
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The UK needs an independent commission against corruption
Diagram shows police-proofed forms of malversation endemic in the UK in the last 14 years now
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Tax Payers Alliance is another 'front' organization for undisclosed (rich corporate) interests. It's a paid mouthpiece, not a 'thinktank'. It has no interest at all in ordinary taxpayers, public services or efficiency, just thinly disguised propagandizing for public sector cuts
So what does the TPA have to say about the
@NAOorguk
report of the cavalier use of 10s of billions public funds for Covid? I'll wait.
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Poll shows 74% of people want NHS Test and Trace taken away from private firms
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The SNP’s exponential rise is throwing the British system of government into turmoil
http://t.co/Xggo4ajjdu
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Our new textbook/ handbook of British politics is "The UK's Changing Democracy: Democratic Audit 2018", out today from LSE Press. It's completely and permanently free to download (in three different digital formats) at
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How the U.K. Became One of the Poorest Countries in Western Europe - The Atlantic
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To restate: Indy set up costs £200m. 10 year transition costs another £ 400m Eg v.v. Wrong Scottish media coverage
http://t.co/g3GVsRwKnJ
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Publish or Perish is the ultimate stress-inducing, unhelpful and inaccurate advice. Let’s ban it completely from further re-use.
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It's time for academics to take back control of research journals
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UK Treasury press release on
#Scotland
costs of government badly misrepresents LSE research
http://t.co/41QX5H4bwa
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For more sensible comments on the size and costs of a post-independent Scotland's armed forces (and foreign ministry and intelligence services) please see this 2018 report from the LSE Public Policy Group, now public in full for the first time. DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.17188.76161
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Scotland's referendum is about choosing a State to live in for the long term - not next week's supermarket prices
http://t.co/gKuy1Jb38u
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