The Betting Analyst
@Odds_Analyst
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Experienced bettor | Quality over quantity | Data & Tactical analyst sharing value | Last season my bets returned an ROI of 30.73%📈
Joined August 2023
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Pinned Tweet
April Results
This was the biggest month by far in terms of volume of bets with a total of 40 shared on here this month
I will break it down in more detail below and in the coming few days but here is a summary of all bets posted/suggested with 1 unit on each:
Total Bets = 40
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@FCB_ACEE
@AbzSemtex
@goal
Very relevant. Messi and Ronaldo were always big game players. Messi showed that this year in the World Cup.
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@TheEuropeanLad
Only argument against Pep is he’s never won as the underdog. Mourinho and Porto and Sir Alex with Aberdeen for example
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If this bet wins ill give £21.42 to someone who likes this post (must be following)
Declan Rice & Onana 1+ shot @ 1.85 with Bet365
The same bet is 1.3 on PP and 1.43 on Sky
Reasoning is below⬇️
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Current profit/loss of bets shared on here and on instagram over the last few months.
Our strategy is conservative and we are huge on quality over quantity, if the odds aren't where we want them to be we don't take the bet. Its not all about odds, a losing bet is losing bet
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If this bet wins ill give £22.72 to a follower who likes this post (extra entry if you retweet)
Republic of Ireland vs England
Saka 1+ SOT @ 1.9 with Bet365📈
Hopefully we can make it 2 giveaway wins in a row🍀
Reasoning is below⬇️
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Seen that the bookies are advertising 'safer gambling week'
It's an industry where the bookies pull all the strings. They actively ban winning punters, only letting consistent losers and the most vulnerable play but they will never talk about that.
They are the problem.
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🏴Chelsea vs Man City
Manchester City Win. Odds are too generous here.
Odds rose following Chelseas 4-1 win to Spurs, not sure why, they still struggled in parts against 9 men Spurs.
Manchester City still the best team in the league.
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If this wins I’ll give £17 to someone who likes this tweet (must be following)
Olise been back 4 games now and 2+ SOT landed in 3/4
Havertz had 2+ SOT in 4 of last 5 & United rank 2nd for shots conceded
Salah had 2+ SOT in 4 of last 5
Kluivert had 1+ SOT in 9 of his last 11
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@brfootball
Trent ranks 3rd for shot creating actions per 90 this season across Europes top 5 leagues🏆
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If this wins I’ll give £13.69 to someone who likes this tweet (must be following)
This one’s just for fun so won’t be tracked
Anyone else had a long shot?
#EURO2024
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Both bets were placed when the score was 1-1 with the assumption Chelsea would score and force Spurs to be a little more attacking.
Variable change.
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@PremLeaguePanel
Konsa is also so underrated. Been solid for Villa this season. The chart shows premier league defenders ranked by % of dribblers tackled. The stat indicates how good they are in one-on-one situations.
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We're a dedicated team of profitable betting analysts, committed to bringing you betting tips, analysis, and insights.
Our core principles are:
📈 Value Betting: We find odds that offer better value than the actual probability of the outcome. This approach aims for long-term
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Weekend bets (so far) summary⬇️
Victor Kristiansen 1+ foul drawn @ 2.1 with PP
Pape Sarr 1+ foul drawn @ 1.83 with PP
Tyrick Mitchell 1+ shot @ 2.2 with PP
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 1+ foul @ 1.91 with PP
Matt Clarke 1+ shot @ 1.83 with Bet365
As mentioned in last months P&L
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Weekend summary:
Barkley 1+ foul @ 1.73♻️
Cash 1+ foul & Fulham 2.5 SOT@ 2.16❌
Connor Ogivie 1+ shot @ 1.83✅
Muniz & Eze 1+ SOT @ 2.62✅
Cash 1+ foul drawn @ 1.83✅
Tyrick Mitchell 1+ SOT @ 2.5✅
That's it from me this weekend. Thanks to everyone who has interacted
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Callum Hudson-Odoi 1+ SOT @ 1.91 with PP
Odoi has had a SOT now in 14 of his last 15 premier league starts = 2,0,1,2,1,1,2,1,2,2,1,1,1,1,1
365 have him priced at 1.57
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Two stat sheets I've put together for this weekend
Shots on target & fouls committed 80% and 100% hit rates based on their last 5 games
To use as research for your own bets hopefully we will have a few winners🍀
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September Results
I posted 34 bets in September with 21 winning (61.8% win rate) returning a ROI of 15% based on a flat 1 unit stake
As mentioned in last months P&L I said I’d focus more on singles with a slightly relaxed criteria. Out of the 34 bets, 26 were singles with 16
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For abit of fun this is how I’ve used my free bet credits
If this wins I’ll give £22.57 to someone who likes this post (must be following)
• Hudson-Odoi had 1+ shot on target in last 9/9 starts
• Tarkowski had 1+ foul last 10/12
• Bogle had 1+ shot last 6/6
• Brereton
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@TalkinTactics
I’m a big fan of Konsa too, he’s also great in one v ones. He had 2nd highest % of dribblers tackled in the prem despite frequently playing at RB
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3/3 today🧹
Lewis-Potter 1+ SOT @ 1.83✅
Jimenez 1+ SOT @ 1.72✅
Tete 1+ shot @ 1.91✅
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Full Euro profit and loss attached below:
29% ROI or +7.83 units (+195.75 based on £25 per unit) on main bets
On review some good value found and some profit made which i'm happy with considering the variability /unpredictability of team selection this tournament.
Small loss
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Buonanotte 1+ shot & Ayew 1+ foul @ 1.83 with Skybet
Ayew has committed 1+ foul in all 5 starts for Leicester = 2,1,2,1,1. He's expected to start in front of Skipp and Ndidi up against a Southampton midfield of Aribo, Downes and Fernandes who are all great for drawing fouls
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Buonanotte 2+ shots @ 2.2 with Skybet (same bet is 1.44 with Bet365)
Averaged 2.59 per 90 / 1.86 per game so far for Leicester. Last 5 = 3,2,5,1,2 including 2 away to Arsenal
Southampton rank 3rd for shots conceded and 1st for home shots conceded so far this season
Buonanotte 1+ shot & Ayew 1+ foul @ 1.83 with Skybet
Ayew has committed 1+ foul in all 5 starts for Leicester = 2,1,2,1,1. He's expected to start in front of Skipp and Ndidi up against a Southampton midfield of Aribo, Downes and Fernandes who are all great for drawing fouls
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Aston Villa vs Arsenal🏴
With Bet365 offering this promotion I have suggested a Bet Builder had a look at the stats that will hopefully provide some value with your personal bets for this game
This is the first time I have done this so RTs ♻️& likes🩷much appreciated if you
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Four value 1+ SOT bets for this weekend
1️⃣ McNeil 1+ SOT @ 2.1 with PP
2️⃣ Tavernier 1+ SOT @ 1.83 with Bet365
3️⃣ Fabio Silva 1+ SOT @ 1.79 with BetMGM
4️⃣ Afolayan 1+ SOT @ 1.9 with BetMGM
GL if you decide to follow
Reasoning below⬇️
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Pereira 1+ foul & Rogers 1+ foul won @ 1.82 with PP/BF
Pereira has committed 1+ foul in 4 of his last 5 starts = 1, 1, 1, 2, 0
I have backed midfielders' fouls against Villa quite a few times now, and even without McGinn and Onana, both Rogers and Tielemans are great for
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Trippier has only managed 2 tackles in 1 of his last 10 appearances for England = 0,0,1,0,0,1,2,1,1,1
Switzerland have faced two opponents at Euro 2024 who have played a back 4 and the opposition left back went under this line both times = 1,0
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Todays summary:
• Ben Brereton 1+SOT @ 1.72 ✅
• Ben Brereton 2+ SOT @ 4.5 ✅
• Revan 1+ Shot @ 1.72 ✅
• Havertz 1+ SOT @ 2✅ (untracked)
• Odoi 1+ SOT & Reguilon 1+ shot @ 2.6❌
That’s all from me today enjoy your weekend🤝
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✅
Kevin De Bruyne 1+ SOT @ 2.1 with Paddy Power
KDB has had 1+ SOT in 9 of his last 10 games for Belgium = 3,1,1,3,1,1,2,1,0,1 including one against France at the Euros
He has good club form too with 1+ SOT landing in 8 of his last 10 premier league starts for Man City
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Todays bets 🧹🧹
Antonio 1+ SOT @ 2.6 ✅
Olise 1+ SOT @ 1.9 ✅
Ben Brenton 1+ SOT @ 2.1✅
Matt Clarke 1+ shot @ 1.9✅
Janelt 1+ foul @ 1.8 ✅
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Tielemans 1+ foul committed & 1+ foul drawn @ 1.83 with Skybet
Tielemans fouls committed this season = 3,2,2,2,1,2,1
Tielemans fouls drawn this season = 3,3,2,1,2,1,2
Looks a good match up here too with Musiala great for drawing & committing fouls and Pavlovic great for
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Tyrick Mitchell 1+ shot @ 2 with Bet365
Tyrick Mitchell has now had 1+ shot in 8 of his last 10 = 1,1,0,1,1,1,2,0,1,2
Leicester currently rank 2nd for shots conceded away from home after conceding 18 shots to Fulham in GW2
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No luck here and the winning run comes to an end
Kante - Under 72.5 passes @ 1.83✅
Posch - 2+ fouls @ 2.37 ✅
Lukaku 2+ SOT @ 2.37 ✅
Vavro 1+ shot @ 2.1 ✅
Pekarik 1+ foul @ 1.8 ✅
Robin Le Normand 1+ foul @ 1.9 ✅
Robin Le Normand 2+ fouls @ 4.5 ✅
Nuno Mendes 1+ foul ❌
Nuno Mendes has had 1+ foul in 4 of his last 5 starts for Portugal including both starts at Euro 2024 = 1,2,1,0,1
For PSG this season he’s averaged 1 foul per game and 1.34/90. 1+ foul has landed in 5 of his last 7 for PSG
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@AndyRobsonTips
Alvarez starting up top today so I have had a look into his shots on target when he’s started as a striker this season in the premier league
Shots on target playing striker:
- 2 (Brighton)
- 3 (Villa)
- 2 (Burnley)
- 3 (Newcastle)
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Premier league 80% and 100% shot on target lists based on their previous 5 games
Not tips, just to use in your own research to help you build your own informed bets🍀
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New Manager Bounce🧐
How much money would you have made staking £25 on each new managers first 3 games in the Premier league last season? ⬇️
New manager bounce is where a team experiences a short-term improvement in performance immediately following the appointment of a new
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Jimenez 1+ SOT @ 1.72 with Bet365
Jimenez has now started two Premier League matches this season, registering 2 shots on target against West Ham and 3 shots on target at home to Newcastle
Including last season, he has now had 1+ SOT in 7 of his last 8 Premier League starts = 3,
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Goutas has averaged 1.07 shots per game over Cardiffs last 15 home games
1+ shot has landed in 9 of his last 10 Championship games at home = 2,1,1,1,1,0,1,2,1,1
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Billy Gilmour 1+ shot @ 3 with Bet365
Gilmour has had 1+ shot in 9 of his last 11 starts for Scotland = 1,0,2,1,1,0,3,1,1,1,1 averaging 1.1 per 90 over Scotlands last 30 games
Scotland will be big underdogs but the price is too big here to turn down
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Another first half winner✅
#FACup
Palmer 2+ SOT landed in 5 of his last 6 prem games = 5,1,5,4,2,2
Averaged 1.75 per game this season and will hopefully be full of confidence after scoring 4 against Everton. I expect some rotation from City here too. All considered I think this is a good price imo
GL if you
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Had 1+ foul in 5 of his last 6 for Turkey = 1,1,2,0,1,1
In all competitions 1+ foul has landed in 9 of his last 10 = 1,1,2,0,1,1,2,1,1,2
Over Galatasarays last 30 games he’s averaged 1.14 fouls per 90 and 0.95 per game
Arnautovic expected to start up top for Austria who has
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Over Spains last 30 games Robin Le Normand has averaged 1.61 fouls per 90 and 1.36 per game
For Real Sociedad he has averaged 1.3 fouls per game this season
1+ foul has landed in all 5 of his last 5 starts = 3,2,3,2,1
Georgia's two strikers fouls drawn at Euro 2024:
I have found a player 1+ foul bet that has landed in all 5 of his last 5 starts priced at 1.9
2+ fouls has also landed in 4 of his last 5 starts priced at 4.5
Posted on my blog⬇️
#EURO2024
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Done within the first 10mins✅
Tyrick Mitchell 1+ shot @ 2.5 with PP
Since Crystal Palace adopted a back 3 Tyrick Mitchell has played as a LWB and towards the end of last season his shot output increased having 1+ shot in 5 of his last 6 premier league games 1,1,2,0,1,2
Same odds available at 365 but have
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3 months ago I noticed my bet builders with 3+ selections weren't profitable so I decided to limit these types of bets focusing more on singles and doubles
I have compared the performance of my singles vs doubles/bet builders with 2 selections over the last 3 months
Singles =
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✅
Had 1+ foul in 7 of his last 10 for Slovakia (46+ mins)
He’s averaged 1.25 fouls per 90 and 1.13 per game over Slovakias last 10 games
Big occasion and will likely be up directly up against Foden and Jude when he drifts out who are both good for drawing fouls
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May P&L update below:
Currently -4.36 units after 18 bets. Not how I would have wanted to end the Premier League season but it happens
Big thanks to everyone who has engaged with me since I started posting on here at the start of the year🤝
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August P&L
I posted 17 bets in August with 10 winning (58.8% win rate) returning a ROI of 24.76% based on a flat 1 unit stake
Looking back at the results like previous months it was the doubles and trebles that let us down. Out of the 17 bets, 10 were singles with 6 doubles and
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Giveaway bet is a winner🥳
I will add all the likes to a wheel spinner and draw the winner tomorrow
Thanks all for engaging will be doing the same next week🤝
If this bet wins ill give £21.42 to someone who likes this post (must be following)
Declan Rice & Onana 1+ shot @ 1.85 with Bet365
The same bet is 1.3 on PP and 1.43 on Sky
Reasoning is below⬇️
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Thomas Partey & Jorginho 1+ foul @ 2.3 with Bet365
Partey has now had 1+ foul in 8 of his last 10 starts = 0,2,3,3,3,0,2,2,2,1
Jorginho has had 1+ foul in 9 of his last 10 starts = 2,2,2,1,4,1,0,2,1,1
I have seen so many different predicted line ups for this game but have
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✅
Ndidi 1+ shot @ 2.37
At home Ndidi has had 1+ shot in 6 of his last 7 = 0,3,2,1,2,3,2
He’s priced at 1.17 for 1+ shot with PP🤣
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Bakayoko 1+ SOT @ 2.3 with Paddy Power
Over PSVs last 30 games Bakayoko has averaged 1.08 shots on target per game with 1+ SOT landing in 20 of his last 23 starts
I had a look at his shot on target stats in last seasons Champions League campaign (shown in image below from
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Two first half winners✅
Mangala & Tielemans 1+ foul @ 1.77 with Bet365
Mangala had 1+ foul in all 3 starts this season for Everton = 1, 2, 1
I expect he will start CM against Newcastle’s CMs of Joelinton, Tonali, and Guimarães who are all good for drawing fouls (see screenshot from
@soccerbase
).
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Nuno Mendes has had 1+ foul in 4 of his last 5 starts for Portugal including both starts at Euro 2024 = 1,2,1,0,1
For PSG this season he’s averaged 1 foul per game and 1.34/90. 1+ foul has landed in 5 of his last 7 for PSG
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Winner within 3 mins✅
Duran 2+ first half shots @ 1.8 with PP
I expect Duran will start for Villa tonight and from what I've seen of him this season he's pretty much shoot on site averaging 4.41 shots per 90 over Villas last 30
This season he had 2 in 28 mins vs Wolves, 3 in 30 mins vs Young boys, 3
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Had 1+ foul in 7 of his last 10 for Slovakia (46+ mins)
He’s averaged 1.25 fouls per 90 and 1.13 per game over Slovakias last 10 games
Big occasion and will likely be up directly up against Foden and Jude when he drifts out who are both good for drawing fouls
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@AndyRobsonTips
GL Andy, few angles I’m on
Ashley Young 1+ shot @ 2.2 with Bet365. He started the season as a full back but has moved to right midfield and of his 7 starts in this position 1+ shot has landed in 5/7 (I’d wait for line ups/be ready to cash if not starting RM)
Palmer shots on
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Todays summary:
Rubin Colwill 1+ SOT @ 1.8✅
Cristian Romero 1+ Shot @ 1.72❌
Buonanotte 1+ shot & Ayew 1+ foul @ 1.83♻️/✅
Buonanotte 2+ shots @ 2.2✅
Pereira 1+ foul & Rogers 1+ foul won @ 1.82✅
Dara O’Shea 1+ Shot @ 1.81✅
Liam Delap 1+ SOT @ 1.72❌
Hlozek & Olise 1+ Shot on
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Double @ 1.84 with PP
Odegaard has drawn 1+ foul in 14 of his last 15 games away from home = 0,3,2,2,1,2,2,3,1,1,1,2,2,2,1. Villa midfielders are good for committing fouls with Rogers, McGinn, Tielemans and Onana all averaging ~1 foul per game
Munoz had 1+ foul in 16 of his
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Pape Sarr 1+ foul drawn @ 1.83 with PP
Sarr has averaged 1.35 fouls drawn per 90 and 0.9 per game over his last 10 for Tottenham. He’s has drawn 1+ foul in 6 of his last 7 = 1,1,1,0,2,2,1
Screen shot from
@soccerbase
shows he’s unlikely to play the full 90 so extra value with
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Ndidi 1+ shot @ 2.37
At home Ndidi has had 1+ shot in 6 of his last 7 = 0,3,2,1,2,3,2
He’s priced at 1.17 for 1+ shot with PP🤣
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Taylor Harwood-Bellis 1+ foul @ 1.8 with PP (same price with Bet365 but get the benefit of the super sub feature with PP)
In the Premier League this season he's started 4 games and has averaged 1.8 fouls per game and 2.52 per 90
1+ foul has landed in 9 of his last 10 league
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Been asked this quite a few times recently. I have no private group at the moment but that is a long term goal for me
If you would like to be first to know you can leave your email on my website (link in my bio)
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I’ve analysed Saturdays Premier League games and suggested some value bets, complete with my reasoning below⬇️
GL if you decide to follow🍀
4 bets covered [🧵]
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Rafael Leao 1+ SOT @ 1.91 with Paddy Power
He’s averaged 1.07 shots on target over Milan’s last 30 games and 1+ SOT has landed in 8 of his last 10 for Milan = 1,1,0,2,2,1,3,1,0,1
His SOT record is even stronger at home landing in 12 of his last 13 at the San Siro
Slightly
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@bet365
B. Johnson has had 1+ SOT in 9 of his last 10 appearances for Tottenham = 1,1,1,1,2,1,1,1,0,1
This season he's averaged 1 per game and 1.37 per 90
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@AndyRobsonTips
What I’m on
Antonio had 1+ SOT in 5 of his last 6 premier league games = 1,0,1,2,1,2
Had a look at lone strikers vs Liverpool and 4 of the last 5 had at least 1 shot on target:
Calvert Lewin = 2
Muniz = 1
Mateta = 2
Hojlund = 0
Welbeck = 1
Think he’s priced too high
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✅
Also taking this bet-builder that qualifies for the 25% winning boost
Think Villa are a great price, a lot of quality in their side who will be eager to impress.
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@AndyRobsonTips
Garnacho averaged 0.81 SOT per game this season and 1 per 90. Without Rashford I expect he will start LW where his SOT output is significantly higher
In 2024 he has started as LW 4 times and had a SOT in all 4 = 1,5,2,1,
Olise since coming back had a SOT in all 3 starts =
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✅
Jack Clarke 1+ shot & Villa double chance @ 1.95
Clarke is making his first league start here, he's played 68 mins this season coming off the bench having 3 shots, an average of 3.97 shots per 90. Great value at 1.5 for one shot here imo
Ipswich have not won yet this season
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@bet365
Bellingham averages 0.76 shots on target per game for England and 1+ SOT has landed in 5 of his last 10 = 2,0,0,1,1,0,0,1,2,0
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Also on this
Matt Clarke 1+ shot @ 1.83 with 365
1+ shot has landed in 8 of his last 10 at home = 1,1,0,1,1,1,1,4,0,2
⚽️Middlesbrough vs Preston
🔹Matt Clarke is over in 14/17, 7/8 at home
🔹Scored in 3/8 from centre back and in his last 2/3 games
🔹Preston conceded 4 shots to centre backs in their last game
📈1 unit @ 1.83
Like if tailing ❤️
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Double @ 2.16
Cash had 1+ foul in 9 of his last 10 premier league starts = 1,1,3,2,2,2,1,3,0,1
I expect he will be directly up against Summerville and/or Kudus who are both great for drawing fouls. Summerville was the Championships 5th most fouled player last season and Kudus
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Was an amazing day for the 80% and 100% SOT lists Saturday with 10/12 landing with some decent prices available for singles too
Premier league 80% and 100% shot on target lists based on their previous 5 games
Not tips, just to use in your own research to help you build your own informed bets🍀
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Premier league 80% and 100% shot on target lists based on their previous 5 games
Not tips, just to use in your own research to help you build your own informed bets🍀
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Like the thinking and reasoning behind this so have tailed
Kante has gone under this line in 9 of his last 10 competitive games = 64, 53, 46, 55 ,60, 38, 50, 55, 92, 58
🇫🇷 v 🇵🇱
📅 Tuesday 25th June
💰 1 Unit
✍🏻
Failed to hit this line in his last 4 games in his return to France.
64, 53, 46 and 55.
Poland are already out so there’s a chance he could rotate the team or make early subs to give players a run out .
Poland have only conceded
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Brereton 2+ SOT lands @ 4.5 ✅
Ben Brenton has now had 1+ SOT in 11 of his last 13 and averaged 1.38 per game
Last 5 = 3,2,3,1,1
GL if you follow🍀
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Mangala & Tielemans 1+ foul @ 1.77 with Bet365
Mangala had 1+ foul in all 3 starts this season for Everton = 1, 2, 1
I expect he will start CM against Newcastle’s CMs of Joelinton, Tonali, and Guimarães who are all good for drawing fouls (see screenshot from
@soccerbase
).
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First bet for May
Ayoub El Kaabi has had 1+ SOT in 19 of his last 20 games
This season he’s averaged 2.04 per 90 and 1.57 per game
Has landed in 6/7 games in Europe
Villa a stronger opponent here but can’t turn down that price when the stats are so strong
GL if you
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✅
Aberdeen to win @ 1.73 with William Hill
Really like this reasoning below
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✅
Gundogan 2+ shots @ 1.8 with PP/BF (same bet is 1.53 on 365)
He's averaging 2.47 per 90 since returning to City and 2+ shots has landed in 4/4 Premier League starts and in all of his 6 appearances for City he's played 30+ mins = 2,3,2,2,3,2
Stats from
@soccerbase
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Taylor Harwood-Bellis 1+ foul @ 1.91 with Paddy Power
1+ foul landed in 8 of his last 10 for Southampton = 1,2,2,1,4,1,2,0,1,0
He’s averaged 2.03 fouls per 90 over the opening 3 games so far this season
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@AndyRobsonTips
Man Utd at home concede on average 15.1 shots per game which is the 3rd highest in the league
Utd also missing a few key players. WhoScored predict the same CB partnership that featured in the 4-0 loss at Palace of Evans and Casemiro. Rashford and Bruno are still doubtful
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Mainoo has started 3 times for England and had 1+ shot in all 3 = 2,1,1
Landed in 9 of his last 13 starts in all competitions = 2,1,1,0,1,0,0,1,1,0,1,1,1
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No luck here which ends a poor weekend for me on here. Been let down by:
Havertz who had no SOT for the first time in 15 games
Palmer had no SOT for the first time in 12 games
Brereton no SOT for the first time in 7 games
Bad runs are inevitable but will all be recorded
Man Utd at home concede on average 15.1 shots per game which is the 3rd highest in the league
Utd also missing a few key players. WhoScored predict the same CB partnership that featured in the 4-0 loss at Palace of Evans and Casemiro. Rashford and Bruno are still doubtful
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Few angles I’m on for Chelsea vs Everton
Ashley Young 1+ shot @ 2.2 with Bet365. He started the season as a full back but has moved to right midfield and of his 7 starts in this position 1+ shot has landed in 5/7 (I’d wait for line ups/be ready to cash if not starting RM)
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In just before half time✅
Have taken Trent 1+ foul at 2.2 which is still available with 365. Bet is based of his positional switch, there’s not strong data behind it
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Todays Premier league 80% and 100% shot on target lists based on their previous 5 games
Was a great day for these last weekend with 10/12 landing. All 13 in an acca pays 315/1
Not tips, just to use in your own research to help you build your own informed bets🍀
Drop your best
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Brereton has played 8 games this season and had 1+ shot on target in 7 of them = 1,1,0,2,1,1,1,2
He’s had a shot on target in 4/4 home games he’s played this season
Averaged 1.37 per 90 and 1.13 per game so far this season
Same bet is 1.3 with Sky and 1.44 with Paddy/Betfair
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Early winner✅
Brereton has played 8 games this season and had 1+ shot on target in 7 of them = 1,1,0,2,1,1,1,2
He’s had a shot on target in 4/4 home games he’s played this season
Averaged 1.37 per 90 and 1.13 per game so far this season
Same bet is 1.3 with Sky and 1.44 with Paddy/Betfair
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First half winner✅
Goutas has averaged 1.07 shots per game over Cardiffs last 15 home games
1+ shot has landed in 9 of his last 10 Championship games at home = 2,1,1,1,1,0,1,2,1,1
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May P&L
Not been a good month for me on here and unfortunately this is the first month I have ended with a loss ending -5.91 units
Had a poor loosing run and too many bet builder doubles let down by the 'safe leg' used to bring the odds up. Will look at the risk to reward of
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Duran 2+ first half shots @ 1.8 with PP
I expect Duran will start for Villa tonight and from what I've seen of him this season he's pretty much shoot on site averaging 4.41 shots per 90 over Villas last 30
This season he had 2 in 28 mins vs Wolves, 3 in 30 mins vs Young boys, 3
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Have seen this bet tipped a lot but I’m also on it. Think it’s good value.
Callum Hudson-Odoi 1+ shot on target @ 2.5 with Paddy Power
Callum Hudson-Odoi 2+ shot on target @ 8.5 with Paddy Power
Shots on target last 5 at home = 2,2,1,1,1
GL if you follow🍀
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Chris Wood 1+ SOT @ 1.9 ✅
Baleba 2+ shots @ 3 ❌
Timber & Califiori 1+ foul @ 1.7 ✅
Not really got going these last few weeks but another day of small profit
That makes it 7/11 this weekend. Will start to look ahead at next weeks fixtures ✍️
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Croatia will need to win here but a draw will probably be good enough to see Italy through
At Euro 2024 Croatia are ranked 2nd for goal attempts with 36. Italy rank 20th with only 20
This has landed in both Croatias games including against Spain.
This line also landed in
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