New World Geopolitics
@NWEWarReports
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🇺🇸 American Reporting on conflicts and geopolitical events objectively, if you want me to take sides I'm not your guy. In focus : Russo-Ukraine War
Denver, Colorado
Joined January 2023
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The Ten Basic Commandments of Military Propaganda:
1. We do not want war, we only defend ourselves!
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Why is Russia preparing the Crimea for what looks like D-Day when Ukraine doesn’t even have a navy. Who do they think is coming and what are they going to float on?
Russia is building new long trenches along Crimea's shores. The trench line seen in this
@planet
imagery from March 2 is at least 3.6km, running along the beaches just west of Yevpatoriya (video attached shows on-ground reference).
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When Ukraine is already low on medium/long range ADS they can't afford to lose fully loaded s-300 launchers like this.
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I am going to go out on a limb and say those that predict a new Russian offensive and have also said it would begin after the fall of Bakhmut are probably correct. As Ukraine loses more ground here, we are seeing an uptick in Russian activity on other parts of the Front
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Bakhmut Map via Pro-Russian Source Rybar. IMO the Ukrainian plan was probably to blow the dams to cover a retreat, but Wagner already captured one dam and was closing on the other. So they blew it before they lost the opportunity.
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The ISW map is showing a Russian Advance into Stepove north of Avidiivka. ISW is typically VERY conservative with their mapping and their reports have a clear bias. I am surprised this is marked in red and not the typical yellow (which basically means visually unconfirmed.
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WUT
Russian eagle-interceptor in the fight against drones
Military expert Vladislav Shurigin published a video in which a trained eagle can be seen intercepting drones. He was commenting on the proposal of the first deputy chairman of the State Duma defense committee Alexei
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It should be clearly evident to everyone by this point that nobody really has ANY idea how many missiles Russia has. All "estimations" along this topic are just propaganda
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People might have said the small town of Bastogne was irrelevant too. Just people that cant read maps.
sure Andrew - Bakhmut is completely irrelevant
why was it defended so desperatly?
Perhaps because it is THE main crossroad over there?
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Map of Bakhmut from
@ThetiMapping
highlighting the back roads and minor paths left in control of Ukrainian forces. Some have said that a retreat is no longer possible and I disagree. The heavy equipment will have a hard time, but the manpower has a number of paths for escape.
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Ukraine Loses Orlivka, Tonenke, Berdychi Line | Russian Zaporizhzhia Offensive
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This is the closest large Ukrainian formations have been to encirclement since the first month of the war where Russia achieved the complete encirclement of Mariupol.
If the recent reports coming from both Ukrainian and Russian map sources hold true and Ukraine fails to retake the lost ground (Red circle) then thousands of Ukrainian troops will be limited to this single road for supplies and evacuation.
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Can someone edit this video and sub in the sound of Tie-Fighters? for no other reason than I think it would be funny.
All jokes aside. Russian Aviation has been very active on the Zaporizhzhia/south Donetsk front. It will be interesting to see if Ukraine has a plan for this.
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It troubles me how much some people glorify violence in this war. Its a fringe group of pro-Ukr and pro-Rus that seem to really enjoy videos of dead soldiers from the other side. It is your right to share and say what you want, but that doesn't mean your not a sack of shit...
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Why is the fire being put out by a robot
Official footage from Ternopil, where they completed the extinguishing of a purely peaceful warehouse, through which they flew in last night
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This leads me to believe Ukraine has lost almost double the reported # of Bradley's (17 officially)
US 🇺🇸 could announce a military aid package for Ukraine 🇺🇦 as soon as tomorrow worth $500 million, according to US Officals (Reuters)
It is expected to include:
30 Bradley IFVs
25 Stryker APCs
HIMARS missiles
Stinger MANPADS
Patriot Air Defense Missiles
Javelin Anti-Tank Systems
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In Wagner's report today they claimed control over "most of Berkhivka" waiting on more evidence to verify
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the tanks are probably about the same. From what I have read the BMP-3 is better than the Marder, which is prone to breakdowns. Very Prone
⚡️In your opinion, if a tank battle took place at the front with the support of BMP, who would win:
🇺🇦Ukrainian: 🇷🇺Russian:
Leopard2A6 tanks. T-90M tanks
BMP "Marder". BMP-3
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So I just found a copy-cat channel on youtube that has posted 6 videos of mine, 23 videos total and it already has 4 times the subscribers and gets 3 times the views as me per video :/ like wtf why don't I understand Youtube's algorithm
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Video update on the situation in Bakhmut, I try not to put time frame on my predictions but the Ukrainian withdrawal from Bakhmut could be imminent. The distance for Russia to close the pocket is nearly Identical to that in Lysychansk last July.
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There is a lot of talk about an upcoming 🇺🇦 offensive, but I believe it would be a mistake to forget about the possibility of a new 🇷🇺 attack.
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Interesting map of the Bakhmut Situation
The gray line is the front on 07.02.
- The red line is the front at the time of 24.02.
- The Bruze line is the supply road for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
- Black lines - lost supply routes or under the fire control of Wagner Mercs.
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I am waiting for more information to come out to do an update today. There are claims of a full frontal Russians offensive from Kupyansk down to Kreminna but I've yet to see any definitive evidence and Ukrainian MOD isn't even claiming any daily repulsed attacks in the area.
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Todays LiveUA map, essentially a reflection of Ukrainian MOD reports. Notice there isn't a single attack Icon along the entire line, despite reports of a new Russian assault and continued fighting around Bakhmut. Someone is lying, I just don't know which side yet..
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Personally I don't agree with very much of what Gonzalo Lira says. But there is nothing more Un-American than celebrating the arrest of a Journalist for speaking the wrong words. You should be ashamed of yourself.
It's a good weekend to be an American in Kharkiv Oblast...
Unless you are Gonzalo Lira.
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You might also be interested to know the Current President of Georgia was born in France, got a career as a NATO official before she ever visited Georgia, and barely even speaks the language. All via Wikipedia of course...
How do you go from being head of state in a country to become a governor in another country???
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Really look into the history of beach landings and the huge flotillas required to carry them out, with 0 guarantee of success. Either this is a waste of resources or the Russians believe someone else might come along and take their prize
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Lots of assault Icons near Kremmina today. Its starting to look like something big is happening
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So am I to believe that the Currently Imprisoned, western backed, former President of Georgia,(indited for embezzlement and involvement in the murder of an MP), was also the former Ukrainian Governor of Odessa and that's just the worlds biggest coincidence?
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I have so many new followers I will explain my position so everyone knows. I report strictly from an analytical standpoint, if you expect me to take a side I am not your guy. I both agree and disagree with statements made by both Pro-Ukrainian and Pro-Russian Sources.
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Yeahhhhhh now I’m really leaning bullshit on this. I was willing to believe private resources could do this with the right money and equipment but what I had in mind wouldn’t fit on a boat like this
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Territorial Losses, Fired Generals, and Lost Sieges. Things are NOT well in Ukraine.
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“Politics is war without blood, while war is politics with blood.”
― Mao Tse-tung
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A counteroffensive into the center of the Russian army, during the muddy season. I am really skeptical of this. Doesn't mean it wont happen. It's just risky. I wouldnt believe reports that Russia stretched too thin here.
Major battle coming Russians dig in. AFU prepares a Counteroffensive of the Bakhmut
20 brigades are expected to participate in the counteroffensive 2 tank & 3 artillery In total, up to 50,000 - 55,000 troops from north of Soledar to the northern outskirts of Toretsk.
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I love how they highlight the Russian Guys Tattoo, which is clearly a Nazi Tattoo, yet completely ignore the fact that the Tattoo and the Azov logo are the same symbol.
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Todays Bakhmut Map From the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)
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Also from
@Suriyakmaps
the Russian Army made several small advances as well. Both of these areas have been back and forth for months, no guarantees this is permanent.
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Ukrainian soldier retrieving ammo from a water filled trench after warm weather melts away the snow. Safe to say it’s probably pretty muddy in Ukraine right now.
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Russian Troops are very close to the city administration in Bakhmut. In addition I have managed to geolocate some of the fighting in the Kreminna forests.
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Russian Forces have captured Zaliznyanske and have broken through in the area of the Industrial college of Bakhmut.
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The reports early in the war about 20-some dead Russian generals were always Bullshit. Generals are very well-known people and hiding their deaths in Russian Society for more than a few weeks would be impossible
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Came across a post that I really enjoyed, The 10 Commandments of Military Propaganda. Tell me you don't see every single one of these every day from 🇷🇺🇺🇦🇺🇸🇪🇺🇵🇱🇱🇻🇱🇹🇧🇾 😂😂
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It looks like the mud base is drying up very quickly. its hard to imagine this WONT allow an opportunity for a Ukrainian crossing after another month. I wouldn't be surprised if there was a serious attempt by Ukraine to seize the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant
The Kakhovka Reservoir has practically turned into a Dry Wasteland after the Destruction of the Kakhovka Dam and Hydroelectric Power Plant, while this continues to be a Massive Humanitarian Disaster the Ecological Impact to the Dnipro River-Basin as well as the surrounding Region
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this is also a possibility. but retreat has been uncharacteristic of the Ukrainian army thus far. If reports of Ukrainian troops reaching the Berkhivka reservoir are accurate then I doubt they will retreat.
The fact that the AFU counterattacked to unblock the roads to Chasiv Yar at this stage in the game possibly indicates an intention to pull out the remaining personnel in Bakhmut. They may be ready at last to abandon the city.
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I consider this account to be among the least reliable, they make official looking graphics tho. I tried using it as a source for information about a year ago and it was almost always fantasy and wishful thinking. The video is from 2019 btw. Moving T-34s to Moscow for a parade.
FLAMING COFFINS: Desperate to make up its battlefield losses, and unable to mass produce more modern designs, RU is shipping eighty-year-old T-34 main battle tanks to Ukraine. Designed before World War II, these antiques will quickly become food for Leopards.
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A Rybar report today gave me the impression the Russians were worried about the Ukrainians attempting to force the Dnipro River. These are interesting machines.
⚡⚡🇺🇦💪
#Ukrainian
military are trained in the formation of water barriers.
#RussiaInvadedUkraine
#Ukraine
#UkraineRussiaWar
#Kyiv
#UkraineWar
#UkraineRussianWar
#ukrainecounteroffensive
#UkraineWillWin
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I feel as if there is a troubling lack of coverage on suspension of elections in Ukraine. My limited understanding is that Ukrainian parliament recently decided no elections until 6 months after the war is over. Main stream media is completely silent on this.
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I have an elementary understanding of plate tectonics, so correct me if I am wrong, but basically all the plates are somewhat buoyant and floating on the earths mantle, so a big enough quake can reverberate across the earth, (kindof like a 10 car fender-bender on the freeway)?
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I think they are all very different beasts. Honestly I would classify all Russian/soviet tanks as "Medium Tanks" and Leopards Abrams and Challenger as heavy tanks.
⚡️Medvedev said that the T-90M outperforms the Leopard and Abrams tanks.
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If the recent reports coming from both Ukrainian and Russian map sources hold true and Ukraine fails to retake the lost ground (Red circle) then thousands of Ukrainian troops will be limited to this single road for supplies and evacuation.
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So far no big news out of Ukraine, it seems possible the Wagner Mercenaries captured Yahidne (a small village near Bakhmut) but they have been present there for a few days. No news of a new offensive, Ukraine does report heavy artillery barrages on the border towns.
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Looking at the muddy conditions I’m convinced it’s just PR. Could be wrong but attempting a large counter offensive at one of the strongest points on Russias line in the mud doesn’t seem ideal.
Ukrainian counter offensive should start any day in the Bakhmut direction if they hope to salvage the situation around the city.
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Ukrainian offensive is off to a rocky start, meanwhile a major environmental disaster has occurred in Ukraine
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Im curious where the equipment information came from. US satellite data?
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There has got to be more to this, no way does a kid in the Air Force reserve have access to joint chiefs docs, either there is more to it or those documents had a lower level of classification than previously claimed.
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lol yeah I mean clearly a T-55 has no business taking on a challenger. Same as a BMP i think we can all agree. The T-55 isn't likely to take on an anti-tank role though. Most likely will be used as an assault gun, simply increasing fire power.
⚡️Soon at the front a tank battle 🇺🇦Ukrainian tank Challenger against 🇷🇺Russian tank T-55
Your rates😁
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It's crazy how the Pro-Whatever crowd literally see's everyone that isn't with them as their enemy. I catch it from both sides.
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Russian Troops Storm Ukraine's Final Bakhmut Defense
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OKay so dont waste you time with this article. its a huge nothing burger. No evidence, no accusations or leads. Only the US believes the group that carried it out was "pro-ukrainian" Which honestly means it could have been the Biden Administration because they are pro Ukrainian😂
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Trying to get back into regular updates on the youtube channel. My absence has resulted in the loss of my audience. But, I have risen from the ashes twice before. Third time is a charm. Wish me Luck
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Russo-Ukraine War Report Feb 2nd.
Kremmina
Its possible that a Russian offensive has begun in the direction of Lyman, a day late from pro-Ukrainian milblogger predictions.
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Russian forces continue to make gains in the Bakhmut Pocket
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Ukraine can’t really afford to keep losing ground on the northern flank
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Interesting.
@pespi_manaise
There is no blackmailing if the invasion happened.
Russia didnt blackmail Ukraine; Russia warned of military action against Ukraine - and proceeded to fulfilled it threats.
Thats what major military power does throughout history.
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Its kindof a joke to say these are "russian pro- Ukrainian forces" they are Russian speaking units crossing from Ukraine into Russia, Ukraine being a country where half the population speaks Russian. These are Ukrainian army operations.
NEW: The All-Russian pro-Ukrainian Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK), Freedom of Russia Legion (LSR), and Siberian Battalion conducted a limited cross-border incursion into Belgorod and Kursk oblasts on the morning of March 12. 🧵(1/7)
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The rate that Paul pays him $8 a month remains the same
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It looks like the Battle of Bakhmut is coming to an end
#UkrainianArmy
withdrew from eastern bank of Bakhmut (
#RussianArmy
began combing operations to clean the area from remaining troops). In addition Ukrainians began withdrawal from the rest of the city from secondary roads after Russians got fire control over the main supply routes
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@DefensePolitics
I'd say the war in the Congo is probably bigger than all of them. Hard to tell though because there has never been much reporting
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Russia Makes their first Notable gains in their attack towards Kupyansk.
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Chechnya isn't a country it is an internal Russian region that was in open rebellion.
So technically following this logic you should say in 2014 Ukraine invaded Donbass
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Vuhledar
Russian sources report that the ukrainian 80th air assault brigade has been transferred from Kremmina to Vuhledar. If true this could be a sign that Ukraine is giving up on an offensive on the Kremmina/Svatove front.
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I’ve heard it’s so bad they only have 1 shovel for every 2 soldiers, so when the one with the shovel is killed, the next picks up the shovel and swings!
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This is the news, but not worth celebrating yet for Ukraine. I would be very surprised if they were delivered in 2023. There is a number of systems inside the Abrams considered "top secret" by the US government so they will have to be removed before handing them over.
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New episodes will be live every Saturday. Next Weeks topic will be Alternate History. "What if Donald Trump succeeded in withdrawing the US from NATO?" What would be the consequences and what would the world look like today.
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This same video has been posted by both Ukrainian and Russian sources, both claim it it their tank. There are no visible markings, no flags present in the trench being fired upon 🧵/1
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10 brigades is too much for this small area
⚡️Notable Russian sources, including those close to Wagner, report that the armed forces of Ukraine have a large strike group made up of up to 10 brigades currently in Chasiv Yar, preparing to conduct a wide counterattack in the Bakhmut direction.
They claim that Ukraine will
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To call the ruling party of Georgia "pro russian" when they explicitly support joining Nato and the EU is a huge lie. For any wondering the Law in question requires NGO's that receive more than 20 percent revenue from abroad have to register as foreign agents.
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Congratulations to this guy! Great battlefield updates, and brilliant analysis!
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Lmao this list makes a bit more sense if you replace “freedom level” with “socialist level” at least for the first 10
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Agreed, and the Main battle tank needs a complete redesign.
What a terrifying world we are in right now.
A single FPV suicide drone can cause a cook off and totally destroy a modern main battle tank - in this case, a Ukrainian Leopard 2.
War doctrines had to be redesigned now, in my opinion.
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Russian Sourced maps of the Area of the counter attack.
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Now that they are on the way, you can probably expect them to be on the battlefield in the summer campaign. It will take a few months to train up on them.
Ukraine 🇺🇦 gathered 12 Countries that, in total, have agreed to provide them with ~100 Leopard 2 Tanks, a Senior Ukrainian Official told ABC
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Just had a great discussion live with
@WeebUnionWar
on our new History and War Podcast.
Catch todays discussion on Bakhut and Stalingrad here
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What is "international law" ? How can something be a law if there is no federal body to enforce it? A UN member trying to enforce it is essentially the equivalent of a citizens arrest.
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Soledar 2
Ukrainian reinforcements deployed to the area have slowed the momentum of Wagner troops after the capture of Soledar. Another view might be that the Russian grouping is working on consolidating their gains and preparing for a fresh attack
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honestly pretty gross. In the past, typically you show the shoes of your own dead, so you can say look what they do to us. Nobody should be bragging about how many people they have killed to the public. No matter if it is just or not.
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Us military aid in conflicts with either direct or indirect involvement. I’m surprised how expensive the Korean War was.
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“The whole secret lies in confusing the enemy, so that he cannot fathom our real intent.”
― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
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Alright final presentation
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😂😂😂😂
Desperate to make up for its battlefield losses and unable to produce more modern designs, Russia is pulling its 2200 years old Roman Legions out of storage.
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I think the main reason he says that is because they have been de facto members for decades. NATO would intervene in Finland and Sweden if Russia invaded, regardless of membership. US voters actually support defending them over most current NATO members
Finland is 5 million people w 25k active personnel. Mainly defensively organised (with conscriptions)
Ukraine 42 million people. Largest military force in Europe before the war started.
Yeah... this 2 country is the comparable... yeah right.....
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I have said several times that I believe Russia has significant reserves. Nobody serious is claiming Russia lost the entirety of their Levied Reserves over the winter campaign or anywhere near it.
@NWEWarReports
@GeromanAT
Would this influence your opinion since it was just reported today? BTW, last week Ret. Lt. Col Douglas MacGreggor said the same on his YouTube.,,
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wow very interesting. Couple thing to note here. The movement back and forward, perhaps increases survivability? (Harder to hit a moving target). Also this was 2 whole minutes without a Russian Artillery response.
🎥Ukrainian 110th Mechanized Brigade storming Russian positions, reportedly in the area of
#Bakhmut
.
#UkraineRussiaWar
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I try my hardest, and I 💯 get things wrong all the time. Though I believe my reporting has value. In this day and age there are so many that distrust what they are being told. It's not a bad thing to have more people expressing their objective opinions. Thanks
@DefensePolitics
NWE is neutral
Neutral War Enalysis okay~! .... i think i spelt something wrong. hahaha
I always enjoy NWE (Ian)'s insight and analysis. He definitely deserve way more followers and subscribers on youtube~
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