NHL Hockey Bets
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Follow Daniel Negreanu’s NHL bets
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Pinned Tweet
Will be posting all my NHL picks and hockey related tweets from here.
I am not a professional handicapper. We got beat up last season but hope to run better this year.
Follow along or fade my picks, whatever you choose I’m good with it! 😂
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Bookies don’t set lines based on what they think the outcome will be. They set lines they think will get half the people betting one side and half on the other side.
Like poker, you can exploit the public’s mistakes and make some value plays.
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Halfway through the game and our two unit LOCK is officially a winner!
That puts us as a perfect 3-0 when betting two units for especially good spots.
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LOCK OF THE YEAR
We bet over 6 TOR/NYR for double units and it’s a winner just 5 minutes into the second period.
That’s how we like it!
This one felt like found money.
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Three plays for opening night!
VGK -1.5 +154
TOR -1.5 -115
WSH +133
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Since December 1st this account is +28 units! Up 22 units on the year.
For a look at all the bet details this season checkout the link to the spreadsheet in the Twitter bio.
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Ok here is what I’m firing on series bets. Good luck me:
PIT -229
CAR -130
EDM -182
ARI +116
MIN +102
WPG +111
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First bets of the year, each for 5 units:
Season Point Totals
ANA O 81.5 +103
BOS U 100.5 -108
BUF O 83.5 -113
CHI U 89.5 -108
CLB O 83.5 -108
NJ O 90.5 -113
NYR U 89.5 -108
PHI O 89.5 -108
PIT U 96.5 -108
WPJ U 93.5 +103
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HOCKEY IS BACK!!!
No bets yet, but I will be watching a lot of
VEGAS
TORONTO
NEW JERSEY
OTTAWA
CAROLINA
Let’s all hope we have a season with not too much COVID disruption.
13
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Alright folks, another perfect day going 2-0 which brings us to 8-1 on the year!
Let’s keep this train rolling tomorrow. Will be a full slate of games and I should have my plays posted by 3pm PST
10
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Just watched a breakdown that had Colorado over Philadelphia in the finals and I didn’t hate it.
Not saying that’s my pick, but it was a reasonable argument.
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Today’s plays all sides:
MTL -133
SJ +215
CAR -110
TOR +156
NYR +126
WPG +194
DET +111
OTT +308
CHI +178
FLA +115
ANA +136
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Spreadsheet will be updated by tomorrow but December has been 🔥🔥🔥
Up 20 units in December and close to 14 on the season.
Merry Christmas everyone, let’s finish December STRONG!
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We are back! Today’s plays we are betting on goal scoring to be down right after the break with each of the plays:
DAL/TB U 5.5 -101
VAN/STL U 5.5 +104
SJ/ANA U 5.5 -118
Salami U 36.5 -108
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Nov 27 Results:
Buffalo +1.23 W 3-2
Carolina -1.15 W 2-1
Arizona +1.76 W 4-3
Arizona U 5.5 +1.00 L 4-3
TB U 6 -1.11 W 3-1
Record 4-1
Units +3.99
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Sometimes when it rains... it pours.
TB up 4-2 with 11 seconds to go, Anaheim scores a meaningless goal. Haha.
Hockey is nuts, but we love it.
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One play tonight:
EDM +195
Mike Smith in net for EDM stopped 35 of 36 in BOS Saturday.
Leafs are on 🔥 under Keefe, but I think EDM has a better than 33% chance to win this game.
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LOCK OF THE YEAR
NEW JERSEY.
Hope you all bet as much as you could!
Late push from the Pens in the third period but Blackwood shut the door.
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No plays Jan 1st due to our top handicapper being hungover from NYE festivities plus an engagement to the love of his life.
We will be back in action tomorrow.
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If an NHL player doesn’t want to fight he should never have to.
For those that do want to fight, they should be allowed to both do that and have a beer after the game if they choose... which fans will happily pay for.
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This is filthy. Oh. My. God.
With speed he pulls this off its outrageous!!!
Nils Höglander might have just scored the nicest goal in World Junior Championship history 😳😳😳😳
#WorldJuniors
🇸🇪
191
2K
7K
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Today’s Plays:
DAL -114
DAL/TOR U 6 -108
WSH -152
EDM -117
ARI -121
Laying juice on all plays and the highest amount of any play in the WSH bet. If you don’t like laying the juice there, take the puck line.
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Let’s see how bold the Vegas Golden Knights are. Bruce Boudreau is now available.
Under DeBoer the team is allowing approximately 8.23 goals against per game.
Fire DeBoer
Hire Boudreau
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We got pretty lucky tonight going 3-0 on all games we laid -1.5 in. Edmonton was a blowout, but we needed a lot of luck to win the TB and CAR. I’ll take it!
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He is the best player to ever play the game.
Forget nostalgia and accomplishments of yesteryear, no human being has ever played hockey better than this guy.
No other human is capable of doing what he is doing.
Connor McDavid‘s 82-game pace: 50 goals, 146 points.
Eight players in NHL history have done that, in years where the league’s average save percentages were in the .870s or .880s and 7-8 goals were scored per game.
He’s doing it in a .910 league where under 6 goals are scored.
82
286
2K
14
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Going with
TB -166 today
Columbus coming off an emotional roller coaster adrenaline rush
Tampa Bay isn’t built like the Toronto Pansies. They have depth, and grit, and toughness along with oodles or skill.
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YES!!! We won a damn shootout +162 Vancouver baby!
Locked up a profit on the night and can go 4-1 with a big Vegas win
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Today’s plays:
NJ -127
WPG -122
ARI/STL U 5.5 -129
TB/VGK O 6 -118
FLA -134
This is rare. 5 plays all laying juice.
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Nov 28 Plays:
TOR/SJ U 6 +1.08
FLA/ANA U 5.5 -1.02
Year to Date:
Record 4-1 .800
Units +3.99
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Huge Tuesday slate and we like a lot of the matchups:
TOR -1.5 +105
TOR/LAK O 6.5 -116
NJ +120
NJ/WPJ O 6.5 -115
DAL -136
ARI +147
SJ/CHI O 6.5 -110
VAN -119
ANA -123
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Way to close out the year with a +23 unit December! You can find the entire results spreadsheet in my bio on here.
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Post Christmas we are going to key in on Tampa Bay and overs depending on the prices.
I expect them to have much better results the rest of the season for lots of key reasons.
Specifically analytics and strength of schedule.
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If you are following along on these bets, expect to lose more often than you win.
We will usually be on underdogs and hope to win about 40% of bets made. That’s enough to show a profit by seasons end.
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Went 2-4 in the qualifying round, here is what I’m going with now:
ARI +232
VGK -317
DAL -115
WSH -160
TB -225
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Early leans for the 8 play in series bets. These aren’t official and likely won’t bet them all and/or on these teams:
PITT -210
CAR -149
FLA +103
CLB +150
EDM -186
ARI +116
MIN +111
WPJ +103
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Today’s Play:
STL +108 (In Reg)
NSH +108 (In Reg)
FLA/TB O 6.5 -117
CLB +150
NJ/CHI O 6 -108
Up 13 units or so the last couple weeks so let’s keep it rolling!
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We were 2 minutes away from a perfect 4-0 after the break, but 3-1 isn’t too shabby.
Only two games on the slate tonight. Ottawa and St. Louis both on back to backs, but we aren’t playing anything in either game.
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Today’s plays:
TOR/NJ O 6 -119 2 UNITS!
WSH -1.5 +116
CHI +124
EDM +104
Leafs going with Hutchinson in net. Post Christmas expect some defensive breakdowns on both sides. Leafs could score 6 on their own.
**2-0 betting 2 Unit Plays**
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4pm PST viewing set up at home in Vegas.
Main TV: VGK
@NJ
Top Left: PHI vs TOR
Top Right: FLA vs MIN
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If we lose this VGK O 3.5 when they score 3 in the first 10 minutes we are shutting this account down forever! 😂😂😂
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Oct 3rd we have 4 plays:
NYR -117
NYR/WPG O 6.5 +105
BUF +172
DAL -107
Season to date:
Sides 1-0 +1.33
Spreads 2-0 +2.54
Total 3-0 +3.87
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One play today:
CHI/BOS U 6 -108
Normally I wouldn’t go under with both teams on the tail end of a back to back, but I have faith in Halak and Lerner both. Both are solid goalies.
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This is atrocious from Vegas wow.
We bet VGK +4 goals and laid -370
This won’t count for our tally but I’m steaming haha
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More of this please...
truly losing it at Konecny doing his best to hold it together.
268
2K
13K
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Today’s Plays:
TB/DET O 6.5 -102
ANA -105
VAN +174
Another winning night last night going 3-1, 38 seconds from 4-0.
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Just signed Jack Hughes to a 15 year deal in my fantasy league.
He will be a member of my team until I’m 61 years old.
Been in the same league since 1996 and it’s the best thing in the world.
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The plan for Feb 15 is to save you all money and lock up 0.00 units by passing on today’s slate
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Nov 28 Results:
TOR/SJ U 6 +1.08 L 5-3
FLA/ANA U 5.5 -1.02 W 3-2
Record 1-1
Units 0
Year to Date:
Record 5-2 .714
Units +3.99
6
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The Vegas Golden Knights are a good hockey team.
This is my hot take.
7
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26
One play tonight:
DAL -133
I’m confident in Khudobin as a backup in a stingy system against a team that struggles to put the puck in the net ranking 29th in goals for.
The total is 5 for a reason.
Dallas has won 4 straight is the much better team.
8
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27
Early play!
PHI -116
Last night we went 3-1 and hit Buffalo +172 to go 6-1
Fully transparent spreadsheet link is in the bio
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27
Today’s plays. Will be adding one additional play later today
COL/NYR O 6.5 -110
SJ/STL O 5.5 -116
CAL/CHI O 6.5 +103
Later play will involve the VGK game. Just waiting to confirm a few details before firing.
12
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25
Today’s plays:
NJ +119
DAL/NYI O 5 -127
VAN +181
BUF +158
WAS -1.5 +105
OTT -108
WPG +111
WPG/NAS O 6.5 +100
ARI -122
18
1
25
Can we get a clean slate today? San Jose up 3-0 if they “hang on” we can right the ship with a 4-0 day and some gravy with 3 dogs.
7
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24
Today’s busy Saturday:
EDM +192
VGK -140
NJ +183
TB/OTT O 6.5 -118
FLA/BUF O 6.5 -115
NYR/VAN O 6.5 +100
NSH -120
We don’t bet VGK often, but this is an awful spot for the Blues from a travel perspective.
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November 29
Lock in Buffalo +1.70
Pretty crazy for a team on a 10 game winning streak to get this price against a backup goalie.
Will have more to follow...
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@robpizzola
Well, we shall see long term how the account does. What is hard to understand about the motivation? These are my plays and I’m sharing them with those interested. If they want to bet them, cool. If not, cool. 🤷♀️
4
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26
Our record in OT and shootouts falls to something like
4 wins and 789 losses.
4
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25
We have Vancouver +166 and it’s about to go to a shoot out. Holding my breath...
3
0
25
Today’s Plays:
ARI +201
VAN/FLA O 6.5 -114
EDM/MTL O 6 -118
WPG +1.5 -112
BUF +189
NSH/CHI O 6.5 +104
MIN/CAL O 6 -114
VGK -1.5 -101
SJ -115
15
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22
Well, once again we hit an over about half way through the game lol
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Today’s Plays
EDM -116
VGK -122
TOR/CHI O 6.5 -129
FLA/DET O 6.5 +104
NJ +185
BUF +170
DAL/MIN O 5 -134
8
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20
I have the uncanny ability to bet against Boston when they win, and when I back them... they lose.
Fade any and all bets I make involving the Bruins.
8
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23
Oct 5th plays:
NJ/BUF O 5.5 -108
CLB +180
VAN +182
A couple big dogs here that I think are overpriced.
May add players later, but these are locked in.
8
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23
Last night Chicago was outshot 41-14... they scored 7 times! Hahahaha hockey is crazy
3
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24
Big schedule of games, but just one play on the day:
ARI/NYI U 5 +123
Happy to get plus money on two stingy teams who don’t play a wide open game.
Arizona is scoring more this year, but I could see this being a 1-0 or 2-1 final
13
1
24
Big night tonight we sweep the slate with a 4-0 record good for 5.19 units
VGK/NJ O 6 -115 W 5-4
VGK O 3.5 +140 W 4
ARI +140 W 4-3
EDM O 3.5 +139 W 4
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22
Next round series bets:
TB -124
DAL +213
VGK -310
Best possible matchups for VGK were precisely CHI & VAN. Two teams that they have dominated historically.
14
0
22
It is time to change the wording for the NHL MVP award to “Best player in the league”
The current “most valuable to his team” punishes players on great teams and that’s stupid. How could anyone on Tampa Bay win that award? They really can’t.
15
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Feb 12 NHL Plays
CHI +182
TOR In Reg +119
CLB In Reg +112
PHI +147
ARI +219
These are the plays I am making. Based on recent results, I would not at all be offending if you bet the other side on all of them 😂😂😂
8
0
21
Today’s plays:
TOR -112
CLB +100
NJ +106 (bet two units!)
This NJ bet might be my favorite of the year. We ride them a lot, because this team is MUCH better than their record.
Pittsburgh without Crosby a favorite? We think not!
14
1
18
You want some New Year outdoor action? Let’s go with:
DAL -123
Also of interest is the under 5.5 but we aren’t going to lay -133. If you can find -118 or less, fire away!
7
0
22
Nov 29 Plays:
NYI +1.42
CLB -1.20
BUF +1.70
CLB/MIN U 6 -1.04
10
1
22
Dec 1st:
DAL -1.13
TOR +1.12
TOR U 6 +1.12
BOS U 5.5 +1.00
TB/FLA U 6.5 +1.04
ARI -1.21
14
4
22
Two plays today and considering one more we may add (NSH IN REG)
ARI -117
VAN -115
16
0
21
Not my boldest take ever, and I said it before the the season started, but I think the Winnipeg Jets are a lock to finish in the bottom 10 in goals against.
As long as the lines allow, we are going to fire the over as often as possible.
5
0
21
Tune in to this epic WJC Gold medal game!!!
Canads Russia all tied up!!!
9
2
21
Looking for a price that the Vegas penalty kill scores more goals per 60 minutes than at least one NHL team at 5 on 5.
1
0
20
Only two games tonight but we have three plays:
TOR -133
CLB -117
CLB/BUF U 6 -112
8
0
20
It’s game 7 of the Stanley Cup final, which one of these players would you most want on your team?
Mario Lemieux
1578
Wayne Gretzky
5110
Patrick Roy
1464
Bobby Orr
753
70
8
19
Well that was quick! We locked up the over half way through the game WPG/NYR
2
0
20
Firing big on Winnipeg Jets tonight -136 and a little on the total under 6.
Biggest bet of the year.
Will take a small miracle for VGK to score 3+ in this one.
9
0
20
Adding a second play tonight:
DET +290
Expect to lose this one. Seriously.
We aren’t betting Detroit here because we think they will win, we just think they have close to 30% to win so there is value.
9
0
19
@rfine48
@TuckonSports
@Happy_John
Disagree. Lemieux was:
Bigger.
Stronger.
More skilled and a better goal scorer.
He didn’t need a Semenko to protect him.
Gretzky just played a lot more games in an even softer time period. Lemieux was the GOAT.
13
2
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Today’s plays:
NSH +1.5 -209
DET +1.5 +107
SJ +112
TOR/NYR O 6.5 +107
Let’s keep the winning train rolling! We have never laid -200 in a game this season but expect a tight one in Pittsburgh.
14
0
18
Today’s Plays:
FLA -135
WPG +132
CAL/NYR O 6.5 +105
STL/COL O 5.5 -118
VGK/PHI U 6 +103
We don’t bet the Jets often but that’s a lot of juice at home despite being against a hot Leaf team.
14
1
18
Today’s plays:
WSH/NJ O 6.5 +102
NYR/NYI U 6 +106
FLA -1.5 +148
TOR/CAL O 6.5 -115
TB/MIN O 6.5 -109
BUF +179
SJ +210
#IStandWithGallant
4
1
17
No bets today. Nothing on there that sticks out to me.
9
0
18
Only four teams have made the NHL Playoffs each of the last four years, can you name them?
55
2
19
Oct 18 Plays
DAL +127
WSH -1.5 +120
WSH/NYR O 6.5 -114
CAR -119
13
0
20
We escaped in the CLB/MIN game! We win the side with Columbus winning 4-2 and faded the Under 6 with a scoreless 3rd period.
Up one unit on the night.
4
0
20
Today’s plays:
TOR/ARI O 6.5 +107
FLA/NJ O 6.5 -110
NYI/PHI U 6 -112
WPG -114
MIN +130
DAL -122
OTT +251
COL/OTT O 6.5 -107
EDM/CHI U 6 -108
11
0
17