Tymofiy Mylovanov
@Mylovanov
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President, Kyiv School of Economics; Minister of economy, Ukraine, 2019-2020; Associate professor, University of Pittsburgh
United States
Joined August 2012
This Christmas Eve, please donate to support the education of children displaced by war in Ukraine. Meet Anastasiia Bazir: from hiding from tanks at 10 to leading at KSE. Her village lies in ruins, but she’s rebuilding her future - and helping others to do the same 1/
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"I dedicate this to those athletes who cannot come here because Russia killed them.". Olga Kharlan wins Ukraine's first Olympic medal. Last year, Olga was unfairly disqualified for her principled stance, refusing to shake hands with a Russian athlete supporting the war 1/
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If Putin dies, the next Russian tsar will be worse. If Assad dies, Syria’s future will be worse. Syria. Today. No Assad. No hijab. Media interview. A woman to woman.
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Day 14. Good morning. Video: Kherson - the only regional capital that has fallen. Ukrainian crowd of protestors gets angry after Russian troop start beating up a protestor. Russians open fire (in the air) and that does not stop but mobilize protestors. Pure anger and no fear
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Today, Putin admits that Russian economy is in trouble, the losses are not sustainable, but he won't negotiate with Zelensky, only with Trump. Why? Zelensky won't surrender Ukraine, he hopes Trump might. Here is what he says and what he means: 1/
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Prigozhin-Putin debacle has shown:. 1. Russia is a failed state. 2. Putin is weak and was forced to negotiate and let Prigozhin get away with the mutiny. 3. Putin’s intelligence services are a joke: they missed the mutiny. 4. The military was unable to suppress PMC. 1/.
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I am back in Ukraine and the mood is pitch black. Ukraine feels betrayed. "Failing that, the West will have years to repent the betrayal of the courageous Ukrainians, whose only crime was their wish to join the Western democratic order" 1/.
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Russia withdraws its last Black Sea Fleet ship, quietly accepting defeat in the sea warfare against Ukraine. Two immediate implications: . 1. Ukraine can successfully pressure Crimea, making it key leverage to end the war 1/.
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Good morning. Day 2 of the most recent Kyiv blackout. Day 274 of the war. There is no electricity, no heating, no water. Outside temperature is around freezing. The apartment is still warm from the previous days. We will see how long it lasts. We have blankets, sleeping bags, 1/
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Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/
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The Economist: In Crimea, Ukraine is beating Russia. It is becoming a death trap for the Kremlin’s forces. Ukraine success in Crimea provides lessons about how Ukraine can succeed elsewhere. Those lessons are straightforward, really: . 1. Saturate Ukraine with weapons 1/
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Russia’s economy is in worse shape than Ukraine’s. Russian Central Bank head Nabiullina admits it has nearly exhausted its resources. Addressing parliament today, Nabiullina complained about . 1. No people left. A record-low unemployment at 2.4%, worsening labor shortages 1/
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Former Ukrainian President Kuchma to BBC: “When Hitler invaded Poland, no one knew that the WWII had started. If Ukraine can stop and win over Russia, WWIII will be avoided. Otherwise, it has already started.”.
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Many believe that Russia is invincible, but they are wrong . There are important early signs that the ridiculously high losses of Russian soldiers are unsustainable 1/
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Saving cats, dogs, and humans in Kherson and Kakhovka 1/
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Ukrainian mathematician Maryna Viazovska has won the Fields Medal, a Nobel Prize for mathematics. She is the second woman ever to receive the medal. Maryna solved a 400-year-old sphere packing problem. Today she is teaching at a math summer school at our university KSE 1/
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This is Moscow today. Russian media report over 20 Ukrainian drones intercepted over the city (though this one wasn’t) and 144 drones intercepted across Russia. Key things:. 1. Russian official media are no longer downplaying these attacks—they can’t ignore them anymore 1/
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Today Russia and Ukraine have exchanged conditions for peace. In short, Russia has asked Ukraine to surrender, Ukraine refused and asked Russia to withdraw. Russia has lost its standing and power, but it will take time for Russia to accept this 1/.
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Good morning. Day 3 of Kyiv Blackout. I woke up cold. The heating and electricity are off, again. Water is there. But it might not last. Another attack or just too much pressure on the system. So, yesterday, after the water came back, we filled every bottle and bucket. 1/.
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This is so unfair! . Ukrainian fencer Olha Harlan has been disqualified from the World Cup in Milan for refusing to shake hands with Russian opponent Anna Smirnova. Here is a picture of Anna wearing Russia military hat (tweeted by @Podolyak_M ). We Ukrainians have difficulty
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In case you are wondering - this is McDonalds in Kyiv, today, Friday night. Note how many young people are there.
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An incredibly tough but fascinating interview with Ukrainian military medic Yuriy Armash. Yuriy was captured by Russians in the early days of the war and recently released in a prisoners' swap. In captivity, he helped hundreds of tortured Ukrainians to survive. A must read 1/
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Russian conscripts in Kursk are surrendering en masse, citing fear of Ukrainian heavy armor, a lack of air defense, and complete abandonment by Kadyrov’s forces. Estimates suggest that up to 2,000 Russian soldiers have been captured by Ukraine 1/.
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Russian media outlet Kommersant reports from Kursk, and the quotes are telling. People feel abandoned, lied to, & disillusioned with the government. They harbor hatred for the West, but doubts are creeping in about whether they can actually win this war 1/
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Zelensky told Fridman that Ukraine is ready to spend $300B of frozen Russian assets on U.S. weapons, has Europe’s best anti-corruption system, and proves Western security promises are worthless. 1/
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The Pentagon's tone has noticeably shifted. Ukraine is doing what it needs to do. The days of concern over Ukraine taking back Kharkiv or Kherson are long gone. Now, no one seems to bat an eye that Ukraine has invaded Russia.
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Some in Washington argue that Ukraine holds no strategic value for the US and should be abandoned - a sentiment I’ve heard directly from certain, not all, voices in the Trump camp. Their point - a Ukraine fall doesn't threaten Ohio. Here are the reasons why they are wrong 1/.
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Medvedev: Russia is open to negotiations with Ukraine, and added later. “Today, Ukraine is facing a choice: to be with Russia or to disappear forever" . Well, I have news for you - Ukraine’s outlived the Soviet Union and it will outlive Russia .
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Ukraine's offensive in Kursk demonstrates that Russia's nuclear threat is a bluff and renders the entire US Biden administration's doctrine of de-escalation irrelevant. First, Ukraine has clearly escalated the conflict 1/.
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Trump appears to have fallen for Ukraine: cooperating with Saudis to drop oil prices and hit Russia, pressing Xi to push Putin, says Zelensky ready to negotiate while Putin resists, NATO countries move to 5% defense spending, and (ouch!) Putin’s election results are frankly
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32 years ago in 1991 the Soviet Union collapsed and Ukraine declared independence. That year I was graduating from high school. The world around me crumbled. I realized that my life was a lie. Everything I had been taught about the world was not true 1/
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum writes the West must defeat Russia. But why? Why should an ordinary citizen of a Western democracy care about defeating Russia? Don't they have bigger problems at home?. Here is a list of 10 reasons why.1/.
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78% of Ukrainians have relatives or friends who have died or been wounded in the war. That’s 4 out of 5. The Russian idea of brotherly nations is gone. By Russia’s doing. The war has become personal for everyone in Ukraine. It is us vs them. 1/.
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Zelensky to NYTimes. Key points. 1. The U.S. policy of no strikes on Russia. Zelensky: I have asked Blinken, I have asked Sullivan, I have asked everyone … let’s us strike Russians when they gather at the border to attack us. 1/
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As a Ukrainian citizen and a US legal person, I am outraged. Elon Musk mocks the Ukrainian president asking for help to fight off Russians murdering Ukrainians. I wonder if Musk would find asking for help funny if his country was invaded and his friends and relatives killed
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Zelensky: In the Trump’s world, Europe needs to learn to take care of itself, we must unite defense and security, production and strategy. Also, Europe can’t expect to continue to buy gas from Russia and get free security from the U.S. 1/
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Russian milbloggers are panicking, reporting on Ukraine's drone innovations. Some are so simple yet ingenious, you can’t help but think, "Why didn’t I come up with that?" Would you?. A list. 1. Fast FPV drones paired with slow bombers to protect them from Russian air defense 1/.
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Occupiers abandon positions en masse in Kherson Oblast – Partisan movement Artesh, UA media. Russian forces from the 205th Motorized Rifle Brigade are experiencing mass desertions on the Dnipro River front in Kherson Oblast 1/
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An incremental victory for Ukraine that shows that Russia can be isolated economically, financially, and logistically. Poland follows Finland and Baltic countries and ban Russian cars from entering. Now, there are lines at the border as Russians are unwilling to turn back 1/
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Zelensky says the West doesn’t want Ukraine to win. His words are careful, but the meaning is clear. He talks about the U.S. fear of Russia loosing and thus preventing Ukraine from winning . But the implication is simple - the war will go on 1/.
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Putin's tirade at the security council laid bare his delusions on Ukraine, going on a bizarre rant about Poland's ingratitude to Stalin & wanting to annex Ukraine. His projections & delusions are becoming more severe. This is what he said & why it's disconnected from reality. 1/
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The mystery of disappearing likes on anti-Musk tweet. So much for Musk’s free speech commitment. But now there is evidence 1/.
In today's #vatniksoup, I'll introduce a South African-American(!) businessman and social media figure, Elon Musk (@elonmusk). He's best-known for being the wealthiest man in the world, running Tesla Inc., SpaceX & Twitter, and for parroting Kremlin's propaganda narratives. 1/24
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Last words of Ukrainian servicemen:. Guys, let me just lie quietly here for a bit . Boys, help me, I wanna live, begging you. I am about to go, but you stay, live for the both of us, to the fullest. I will be waiting for you, brother. Guys, who survives, tell my wife and.
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NYTimes publishes a (paid) letter by 14 US national security experts. Jeffrey Sachs among the signees. It calls for peace by stopping to support Ukraine. Every claim it makes is misguided and uninformed. The arguments in the letter are embarrassingly weak. 1/
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Putin’s speech this morning on Prigozhin mutiny is weak and lacks strategy. It deviates from his standard style of denying agency to the opponent and emanating the sense of control. He made 5 points: . 1. He recognized the mutiny. 1/.
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Russian economy is tanking. Here is new evidence. 1. Food inflation alone in Russia has surged 70% this year. Potato prices up 73% and butter 30%. True inflation since the invasion in 2022 is 71.4%, dwarfing the official number of 28% 1/
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1. The Battle for Donbas has de facto started. Ukraine needs weapons now. Despite all you’ve read in the news. 2. The war is not going to be over soon, not in a couple of months. 3. It is Russia (and friends) against everyone. You cannot sit it out on sidelines. Choose a side.
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Slovakian Prime Minister Robert Fico called Ukraine "the most corrupt country in the world,” implying his opposition to Ukraine support. But let’s look at the corruption and even! murder scandals connected with Robert Fico 1/
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What? Lavrov now claims Russia’s war in Ukraine was never about territories and they are fine not having them, they just want peace and human treatment for Russian speaking Ukrainians. I guess that’s why they killed so many ethnic Russians in Donbas, especially Mariupol 1/
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Ukraine has destroyed the myth of a mighty Russian military. And also the myth of Putin strategic genius. What’s left is the myth that Western politicians and experts know better than Ukrainians what’s good for Ukraine and how it “should” compromise with Russia.
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Nazis in Ukraine. Today a waiter in a Kyiv cafe told me a story she was accused of being a Nazi. A couple of days ago, she had a customer. He ordered in Russian, the waiter replied in Ukrainian. That’s the law, by the way. Even though the waiter usually speaks Russian in
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Blackouts are no more. We now have a 100kw diesel generator at the Kyiv School of Economics. It is enough to power up the entire building. We are very grateful to our donors.
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The war crimes in Brovary and Chernihiv directions might be more heinous that those in Bucha. We have eyewitness accounts through friends, relatives and students. We need help documenting them Journalists and lawyers who can help please contact @ZoyaMylovanova Examples: 1/.
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Ukraine and Poland understand what Washington doesn’t: Poland is next. In 2013, Crimea’s annexation seemed unthinkable; by 2022, a full-scale invasion was a reality. Zelenskyy: Ukraine's independence is a fundamental condition for the security of Poland and Europe. 1/
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Elon Musk said "there is no way in hell" that Putin can lose the war in Ukraine. He believes that if Putin backed down, he would be assassinated. Even if it were true, which it is not - so what? We have to resist aggressors and it is actually good if they lose power in process 1/.
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Good evening. Day 278. I am in Kyiv, Ukraine. After the latest attack, I have made a resolution to write about ordinary life in Kyiv and at the Kyiv School of Economics (KSE) twice a day. So that people outside of Ukraine can get a sense what an ordinary life is like in a war 1/
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Russia lost more elite soldiers in 1 year near Vuhledar than in 10 years of Chechen War, BBC reports . These losses are not sustainable regardless of what Russia wants you to believe 1/.
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Ukrainian mathematician Maryna Viazovska has won the Fields Medal, a Nobel Prize for mathematics. She is the second woman ever to receive the medal. Maryna solved a 400-year-old sphere packing problem. Now she founded a new int'l mathematics research center in Kyiv. 1/
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The war is tough. And the mood in Kyiv reflects the reality. Yesterday, the Kyiv School of Economics held its annual fundraiser. Many influential people attended: 7 ministers, many from the Ukrainian Forbes list. I spoke to them privately. And this is what they said. 1/.
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Russians chant “Ukrainians are good people” at Navalny funeral. Thats shocking for me. But it should be shocking for Putin.
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New satellite images reveal total devastation of Russian military bases far behind the front lines. These appear not drones, but Ukrainian cruise missiles, deployed in numbers, with precision. The before-and-after shots are unbelievable: it's surgical, everything wiped out 1/
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Tucker Carlson yesterday made incorrect and false claims about the situation with Kakhovka dam explosion. The list of claims and refutations. 1. The Dam was effectively Russian. It was built by the Russian government, and it is in Russian-controlled territory. 1/
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Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine: . “Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”.1/.
Putin to reject Trump’s opening peace offer, says Russian tycoon
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This a school basement in a Chernihiv village that Russians turned into a concentration camp. I visited it today. And I listened to survivors for hours, shocked, in disbelief. The media narratives do not do the justice to what happened there. 1/
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Zelensky: we killed 30-35 000 Russians in Kursk, Trump is a strong leader feared by Putin. Russia can occupy any EU country, and so EU can’t survive without Ukraine army. 1/
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Fatigue. Everyone is tired of Ukraine when does it stop, people ask. Here is today’s video of Russian guided bomb hitting a civilian apartment building. The war will stop when we make Putin stop sending planes to bomb Ukraine, not when we get tired of it
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Ukraine says 20,000 children have been abducted by Russia during the war. Only 400 have been returned. The UN has complained there is no mechanism to return kids back. Now, Qatar has established a way to get kids back to Ukraine. The first 4 kids are returned this week 1/.
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Ukraine conducted a major special operation near occupied Yevpatoria in Crimea last night. This is different from the attack on the ships in Sevastopol. Ukraine's security service SBU says its drones first struck Russian air defense radars and antennas. 1/
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Miracles happen. Slovakian Prime Minister Fico met with Ukrainian counterpart Shmygal and they fell in (diplomatic) love. There are no disagreements anymore. Parties agreed:. 1. Slovakia will not block Ukraine's purchases of weapons and equipment from Slovak businesses 1/
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Another successful attack on Russian Black fleet: reports @tweetsNV . Frankly, I am starting to lose track… . This time Ukraine's SBU used experimental naval drone "Sea Tadpole" to strike Russian missile ship Samum near Sevastopol 1/
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Georgia: the Russian imperialism will be over . It is a third night of protests over the govt turning away from EU accession. Hundreds are detained. Violent clashes with police. Public is getting angrier 1/.
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First, Ukraine President Zelensky. Now, House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman McCaul!. They demand Biden administration finally lets Ukraine strike Russia on its territory. It gets personal too. 1/
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Day 500 of the Russian war in Ukraine. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war. These are the lessons I learned. 1/.
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In Kursk, Ukraine might have delivered a political blow to Putin, nurturing his people's suspicion that he may not be able to protect them. Putin lives by the law of the strong, which dictates that he is to be replaced when perceived weak 1/.
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The Russian Black Sea fleet commander is dead. Ukrainian military: the recent attack on Russian fleet HQ in Crimea killed 62 Russian marines, including 34 officers and the Russian fleet commander. An additional 105 were wounded. The command HQ can’t be repaired 1/
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From Ukraine’s top commander Zaluzhnyi's interview with the Washington Post, it became strikingly clear to me why Ukraine is unjustly disadvantaged. How could anyone possibly expect Ukraine to prevail or even manage a successful counteroffensive if. 1. Ukraine isn’t allowed 1/.
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Zelensky speech at the UN in short. 1. The most important message was directed to Global South nations with war experience. Zelensky said that we have a genuine chance to end this aggression on the terms of the country attacked and fully reclaim its land and sovereignty. 1/
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The Syrian forces’ spectacular collapse in Aleppo shows exactly how Russia will fall one day. Ukrainian Kharkiv offensive in 2022, Kursk offensive in 2024, and Prigozhin offensive in 2023 prove a pattern 1/.
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In 2023, Ukraine called Russia's bluff by breaking maritime blockage after Russia exited the Grain Deal. The implications are significant:. 1. Once again, Ukraine defied expectations and critics 1/
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The magic with anti-Musk tweet continues. Yesterday, there were community notes about disappearing likes under the tweet criticizing Musk. With links to evidence. Today, these community notes miraculously evaporated. I hope they come back 1/.
In today's #vatniksoup, I'll introduce a South African-American(!) businessman and social media figure, Elon Musk (@elonmusk). He's best-known for being the wealthiest man in the world, running Tesla Inc., SpaceX & Twitter, and for parroting Kremlin's propaganda narratives. 1/24
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A major assassination in Ukraine. Iryna Farion, a prominent and controversial linguist and right-wing Ukrainian politician, was assassinated and died today in Lviv. To me, this is likely a Russian attempt to destabilize Ukraine, given their lack of progress on the frontlines 1/
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Ukraine morning update:. 1. Russian attack on Kramatorsk in Ukraine. 2. US sanctions on Wagner companies . 3. Ukraine crosses Dnipro river near Kakhovka and regains territory. 4. For the first time, Ukraine regains territory lost in 2014. Details and interpretations: 1/.
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British intelligence says Russia's losses over the past six weeks are the highest since the full-scale invasion began. But WSJ says this will be a difficult defensive winter for Ukraine and its position could weaken. NATO Secretary Stolenberg reconciles these views. 1/.
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Today the US media reported leaks from the U.S. intelligence officials about the Russian mutiny. Here are the key points, and my view on whether it is true or info op. 1. Prigozhin would not have attempted the mutiny without support from other power holders. 1/.
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Wed: Russia withdraws the core of its Black Sea Fleet from Crimea in response to successful Ukrainian attacks, WSJ. Thursday: Russia’ll set up a naval base in a break away Georgian Abkhazia controlled by Russia . What does it mean?. 1. Russia can and will be contained 1/
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British intelligence reports that Russia has lost between 150,000 to 190,000 troops since the war began … and other Ukraine news . 1. According to UK analysts, the Russian military has seen a 90% spike in troop losses 1/.
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Putin loses at G7. 1. Led by the US and France, G7 agrees to give $50bln to Ukraine backed by Russian assets. 2. US and Ukraine sign a security agreement. 3. Russia is pissed and promises retaliation 1/.
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G7 agree to use Russian assets to give Ukraine $50 bln by the end of this year. This is a major blow to Russia 1/.
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Tensions between Poland and Belarus continue to escalate. Polish combat helicopters now patrol the Belarus border, armed and authorized to fire without hesitation. This response follows airspace violations by Belarusian military helicopters who flew low and undetected 1/
Something is brewing between Belarus and Poland and how to understand it. Two Belarusian helicopters conducting training exercises entered Polish airspace. In a change of policy, Poland MoD made a public statement, emphasizing that it was impossible to detect the helicopters. 1/
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John Bolton offers a lesson of how to deal with nuclear blackmail. "It must be said personally and publicly — if Russia uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine, Vladimir Putin will be signing his own death warrant.".
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Report from Kyiv. I am used to the war. But today I cried. 50 kids- orphans and refugees came to KSE. Our students organized presents for them. Everyone was happy, but then there was a missile alarm. Kids panicked. Some younger ones were resisting going to shelter because 1/
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Today Trump spoke about tariffs on Mexico to stop drugs, Greenland’s 45,000 people wanting to join the U.S., how he defeated ISIS, Ukraine being the EU’s problem, taking Canada by economic force, and using the military to take the Panama Canal from China. His best quotes: 1/
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Jeffrey Sachs new article: The War in Ukraine Was Provoked. He claims that the war was provoked by NATO expansion and started in 2022 with the US-sponsored violent coup. Again all his arguments are false, but they should be taken seriously and must be refuted. 1/.
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A video of #Kyiv McDonalds yesterday got 10M views. People were shocked to see civilian life , good service, and positive vibe. They said “it doesn’t look like a war zone”. But it is. People share other misconceptions about city life in war. I explore them here 1/.
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With today’s mass arrests in Georgia, the parallels with Ukraine’s 2014 uprising are striking. In both cases, the people’s aspirations to join Europe are crushed by a pro-Russian leader who abruptly abandons negotiations for EU integration. But there is a puzzle 1/
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Violence and looting in France makes no sense to me, a Ukrainian. Please help me understand. We Ukrainians have had 2 revolutions over the last 30 years, a declaration of Independence, and the Russian invasion. But no riots, no vandalism, no burning cars or destroying shops. 1/.
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Forbes: In 13 Weeks, Ukraine Has Lost Just Five Of Its 71 Leopard 2 Tanks. Nearly all crew members from the five destroyed tanks managed to escape, underscoring the tank's safety features 1/
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The war in Ukraine starts to escalate. Evidence: . 1. On April 11 Russia destroyed the largest power plant in Kyiv 1/
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Putin tells lies, half-truths, and fantasies at his year-end address. This is propaganda, but it works. So, we must resist and refute each point. Here is what he said about Ukraine and the West and why it's wrong . 1. Putin blames the West for the war in 2014 and 2022 1/
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Once a Russian airplane violated Turkey airspace and Erdogan ordered to shoot it down. No more violations after that.
Russian SU-24, pictured 5❗km's inside Swedish airspace on Saturday, near Gotland. Pilot ignored warnings over radio until Gripen's forced it to turn around. These airspace violations are getting worse. Russian ambassador has been summoned for a protest.
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