Matt Glassman
@MattGlassman312
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Now @GAIGeorgetown . Then @CRS4Congress . Always: House procedure nerd. Poker/bridge/Oh Hell tweets @mattg312cards
Vienna, VA
Joined February 2009
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Just a reminder that Queen Elizabeth has reigned for 30% of U.S. history.
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Whatever is going on in Russia is the first major event where Twitter is a major letdown as a source of info. I had been vaguely aware that, post-Musk, either the platform was serving me a worse feed or many good sources had left, but my UX right now is obviously substandard.
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People who think the job of a member of Congress during a local natural disaster is purely performative have definitely never been around a member of Congress during a local natural disaster. It might be the single situation where they can (and do) most affect policy outcomes.
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Like him or not, I’ve never met a member of Congress quite like Amash; he take every vote—even procedural votes in committee—dead seriously, and he is extraordinarily principled, and almost absurdly not partisan. Often to a fault, mind you.
This does not surprise me, at all.
Here are my principal conclusions:
1. Attorney General Barr has deliberately misrepresented Mueller’s report.
2. President Trump has engaged in impeachable conduct.
3. Partisanship has eroded our system of checks and balances.
4. Few members of Congress have read the report.
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Woodward and Bernstein watching Nixon’s resignation announcement, 44 years ago this evening.
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A reminder that there’s no horserace aspect to counting votes. No one “pulls ahead” in the count or “makes up ground” or “loses their lead” in any real sense. It’s just an artifact of the process, the order in which votes are counted, an order part mandated and part random.
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The primary reason to remove Trump right now is to prevent him from causing any further harm in the next two weeks, but one extra benefit is that Pence will attend inauguration and participate in the ceremonial transfer of power.
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One reason Trump is having a hard time rhetorically in this crisis is that it is very difficult to square a political desire to shift blame onto state governors and an ego desire to claim total authority over them.
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It’s really academic at this point, but Trump’s veto bargaining strategy on the Omnibus/COVID bill is both a masterclass in how not to use the powers of the POTUS to influence public policy, as well as exemplary of his entire debacle of a legislative presidency.
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About twice a year I remember that The Monkeys outsold the Beatles and Stones combined in 1967, and also had Jimi Hendrix open for them that summer, and it always reminds me that everything in our culture is a lot more complicated than the neat and tidy stories we tell ourselves.
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People with bad news to dump, call your PR folks ASAP.
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These tests were impossible, because the ambiguity in the questions allowed the examiner to selectively fail anyone they wanted.
That said, there’s little evidence this specific test (which makes the rounds regularly as an example) was ever used. 1/
Absolutely losing it over this old Slate article that calls a Louisiana voting literacy test from the 60s "impossible"
Spoiler: the issue of its usage aside, the test was not impossible
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The Brits think 100 miles is a long distance. The Americans think 100 years is a long time.
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Queen Elizabeth became monarch with Churchill as Prime Minster.
Churchill was elected MP for the first time in 1900, during Queen Victoria's reign.
Queen Victoria was born while George III was still King.
There's all of U.S. history, post-British empire.
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Yup. The horserace is a complete and total illusion; an artifact of the process.
Key point by
@dhopkins1776
on the
@FiveThirtyEight
liveblog: Biden isn't "pulling ahead at the last second", these votes were all cast on/before Election Day. "The illusion of a dramatic horse race is simply a product of the order in which we count votes."
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Probably the most incorrect lesson liberals learned from the 60s--and many continue to carry today---is the idea that the Supreme Court is an ally of liberal public policy development, when in fact historically its role has largely been the opposite.
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Pardoning corrupt and disgraced members of Congress because they were early and vocal supporters is pretty much the chef’s kiss of what Trump really meant by Drain the Swamp: punish his DC enemies and reward those who support his own corrupt political practices.
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George W Bush
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There is literally no one on the planet who in good faith believes that the murder rate in a city is a function of who their representative is in the house.
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The Wallace interview made you cringe, but these Swan clips just feel totally absurd. Like Christopher Guest wrote the script. Comedy.
Trump as the political Nigel Tufnel.
Even Swan’s accent has mockumentary written all over it.
.
@jonathanvswan
: “Oh, you’re doing death as a proportion of cases. I’m talking about death as a proportion of population. That’s where the U.S. is really bad. Much worse than South Korea, Germany, etc.”
@realdonaldtrump
: “You can’t do that.”
Swan: “Why can’t I do that?”
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One for literally everything.
Wow was Ted Cruz disloyal to his very capable director of communication. He used him as a scape goat-fired like a dog! Ted panicked.
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WANNA WATCH WIZARD OF OZ AND LISTEN TO DARK SIDE OF THE MOON?!?!
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Imagine being axed for craziness from a legal team that includes Rudy Giuliani!
This is like when Guns and Roses booted Steven Adler for drug use.
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The chaos in the Democratic primary must be causing some real headaches for whoever at the White House is leading up the effort to get a criminal investigation open on the eventual nominee.
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Step 1: refuse to engage publicly for months.
Step 2: watch a supermajority pass a bill.
Step 3: forcefully threaten to veto it unless demands met.
Step 4: back down and sign it; look weak.
As a bonus, you enrage your party and hang your SecTreas out to dry.
What a world.
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Whatever happens going forward, I'm proud the House impeached POTUS in the immediate wake of objectively bad behavior, without lengthy committee debate or procedural distraction.
This is good precedent and, while it can be abused, on balance good for Congress.
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Did you notice how great the TV camera work was in House yesterday? Without House rules and without a Speaker, the cameras are being operated by CSPAN with free reign. Once there's a Speaker, they'll likely be directed to go back to limited wide shots.
#GeneralParliamentaryLaw
1/
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There is no doubt in my mind that the best writings of any U.S. President are Grant's memoirs, and his recollections of Lee's surrender in Appomattox---156 year ago this morning---are perhaps the best parts of those memoirs.
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THE HOUSE AND SENATE SHOULD IMMEDIATELY PASS ALL THE THINGS MY CAMPAIGN TEAM IS YELLING AT ME ABOUT FOR CANCELLING THIS AFTERNOON.
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If you spend two months pretending, without any evidence, that the election was a grand fraudulent conspiracy, don't expect to get a lot of traction when your opposition to impeachment is based on needing "national unity."
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I’m definitely one of those weirdos who thinks it’s more or less nuts to not get the vaccine, and also thinks it’s more or less nuts to not return to essentially your pre-pandemic life once you do get the vaccine.
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I cannot relate to anyone who looks at this picture and doesn't think it represents the best of our national ideals and identity.
Welcome to America, kids!
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Bob Mueller’s a Purple Heart combat vet & lifelong GOP Justice guy. We’re just days from the right declaring him part of a Dem conspiracy.
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A lot can change, of course, but I think it’s becoming more and more clear that the rebels aren’t really bargaining. It’s just a flex, and what they mostly want is a scalp. And that probably means McCarthy is sunk. 1/
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I don't post much about Musk and/or Twitter because I don't find it at all interesting. But this might be the worst piece of political analysis I've seen from him, and that's saying something.
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House: our goal is to keep this inquiry narrow and focused.
Trump: not on my watch, folks!
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When you step back, these tweets are just very sad.
This is the President of the United States of America, and he seems totally overwhlemed---and overtaken---by events.
Sleepy Joe Biden’s people are so Radical Left that they are working to get the Anarchists out of jail, and probably more. Joe doesn’t know anything about it, he is clueless, but they will be the real power, not Joe. They will be calling the shots! Big tax increases for all, Plus!
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Trump’s continued refusal to address the riot is itself a damning indictment of his fitness for office. Any other POTUS of our lifetime would have by now visited the Capitol, spoke publicly many times, and proposed policy changes to address the problems.
You know, been a leader.
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Correct. Only Members-elect. The House is not currently organized.
Welcome to 1855.
So, until noon tomorrow, there are no members of the U.S. House?
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I'm genuinely stunned. When McHenry nominated him, they absolutely 100% thought they had it. In all their body language. Can't remember the last time I saw the leadership that floored by a loss. TARP failure in '08?
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Really feels like this was an inevitable crescendo for these last four years. The Onion Presidency finally finds some actual fake news, except he thinks it's real real news.
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In most situations, members of Congress are legislators, not executives. But in local emergencies, they often take on a role that mimics executive decision-making, as they become a federal coordinator / POC for local executives.
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Unless you think having witnesses in the Senate trial could actually lead to a removal, there’s a decent case to be made that the Dems are politically better off having them blocked. Especially as more info leaks out.
The ammunition of an “unfair trial” seems quite valuable.
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Congress has a retirement problem. And now you're going to have to deal with a goddamn tweetstorm from me about it. 1/
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In the legislature, they are one of 435 or 100. In a local emergency, they are conduit to tons of resources and a resource who can effectively coordinate certain sets of actors and lean on people to make things happen. Can very much turn into administrators.
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Trying and failing to pull off a Saturday Night Massacre because no one will listen to your orders really is the best illustration I could think of for the weakness of this POTUS.
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It's sort of like their normal casework load, but on steroids and short notice. There's a reason members are glued to their phones and don't sleep when a natural disaster hits their district, and it's emphatically *not* so they can show their constituents how hard they work.
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Biden literally sent a letter to House Dems two days that said “Fuck off, I’m running, get on board.”
This is a shot across the bow from Pelosi. It feels like they want him either out, or running a very different, more active and engaged public campaign ASAP.
🚨PELOSI on Biden on
@Morning_Joe
: "It's up to the president to decide if he is going to run. We're all encouraging him to to make that decision. Because time is running short."
LEMIRE: Do you want him to run
PELOSI: "I want him to do whatever he decides to do. And that's the
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This is one of the most destructive attitudes in politics, but you see it over and over again. The last thing you want to do is alienate the people on the other side of the aisle most likely to ally with you.
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This is the brutal number. They’ve been trial ballooning it for an entire week, apparently with no traction.
Oh, and the WaPo/ABC poll finds net support for declaring an emergency at -35.
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The One Unifying Law of Twitter is that as soon as something you know a lot about becomes a hot topic of discussion, you will want to throw a chair through the wall.
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The essence of 2020 politics is a bunch of heavily armed protesters wearing bulletproof vests and SWAT helmets loudly screaming that it’s cowardly to wear a cloth mask to protect yourself against something that might try to kill you.
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So what just happened? Here’s a rundown.
Member-elect Cole moved to adjourn. That triggers an immediate voice vote.
The Dems did not want to adjourn. So there were loud screams both for and against.
The presiding officer needs to make a call as to who won. She hesitated. 1/
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This has been my four-year understanding of the Trump presidency. He’s just super bad at presidenting and super weak when it comes to influence, especially legislative influence.
I continue to believe the Neustadt interpretation of Trump is the correct one: this is a weak president in in danger of a complete failed presidency. Today's cave-in speech on the shutdown is further evidence of this. 1/
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Anyone who tried to shut down this investigation or advocated for it to be shut down should be pretty ashamed of themselves today.
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I spent all of 2017-2019 telling liberals the 25th amendment was not a real option for removing Trump so, fuck me, of course I’m spending an entire 2020 weekend explaining why the 25th amendment should be invoked as a precaution for the continuity of government leadership.
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That the 2019 March For Life now will be remembered by many as a Trump-inspired teenage nativist/racist mob is a pretty good reflection of what has happened to social conservatism in the last three years.
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I'm going to go ahead and say Lincoln dumping Hannibal Hamlin (a typical anti-slavery Republican) and putting Andrew Johnson on the '64 ticket is almost certainly not going to be topped in terms of historical impact.
Placeholder for future analysis: In a Trump vs. Biden-Harris rematch, Trump's VP pick could loom larger than pretty much any VP pick ever.
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Luckily, once this vote is over, none of these people ever have to work together again.
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BTW, the original calculation was done by dividing her reign (since February 1952, 70.5 years) by the time since the ratification of the Constitution (June 1788, 234.17 years). 70.5/234.17 = .302
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I continue to believe the Neustadt interpretation of Trump is the correct one: this is a weak president in in danger of a complete failed presidency. Today's cave-in speech on the shutdown is further evidence of this. 1/
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People seriously underestimate the role
@FiveThirtyEight
played in improving the ratio of data analysis to pundit bullshit in elections reporting. It's hard to remember, but before 2008, media and public discussion was *way* dumber, and
@NateSilver538
really helped change that.
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Gonna be people voting for president in 2024 who weren't alive the last time the GOP won the popular vote nationwide.
No requirement, of course, that you win the popular vote nationwide. But it's certainly helpful in securing legitimacy, especially under a populist philosophy.
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One underrated terrible thing about Trump is that he turned a huge number of formerly optimistic conservatives into grievance-oriented negative nellies who whine about every perceived cultural micro-slight, an awful trait I used to mostly associate with a sliver of the far left.
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@marknilsstrand
That wasn't the claim. The claim is that it is significantly worse than Twitter of the past, which was also much better than other media sources.
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At some point relatively soon, I would like to hear from the president's doctor and, if possible, the president himself.
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Every. Single. Thing.
Millions without electricity across NY & NJ. The media has covered for Obama’s massive failure. Can you imagine if this was another Pres?
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I'd be very surprised if Taylor Swift resentment is good electoral politics, but I strongly suspect it is *very* good conservative media politics aimed at the right wing grievance base.
And, in a nutshell, that misalignment is one of the Gordian knots in GOP politics right now.
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The math is very simple now.
In addition to his called states, Biden is leading in MI, WI, NV, and AZ.
If that doesn’t change he has 270 electoral votes and wins.
He doesn’t need PA or GA. And he doesn’t need anything more counted.
Trump is the one who needs more counting.
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1/ I’d like to pushback a little bit on the idea that McCain et. al are not really opposing Trump.
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Its not that hard: the election and aftermath has not been as bad as some expected, in part because many things aren’t actually broken, in part because many political actors worked hard, and in part because it actually was pretty bad but we’ve dangerously lowered expectations.
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Try to think of the dumbest, worst possible reading of the Federalist Papers that you can imagine.
Then cast your gaze on this:
Chuck Schumer has never read the Federalist Papers in his life. Congress is not supposed to check the executive, it's supposed to give him good legislation to implement and enforce.
@cnsnews
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Reports that McCarthy has begun talks with Dems! Woah!
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The most damning thing in the whistleblower letter is the fact that the WH took steps to cover things up. They knew this was trouble, and broke protocol (and law?) to try to hide it.
That’s...not good for the POTUS claim that this was all above-board.
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Trump is suggesting full pardons and apologies for people who violently stormed the US Capitol in an attempt to overturn an election result.
There's no point in pretending you believe in even the most basic norms of democracy and the rule of law if you support this. You don't.
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Nothing says “I’m gonna fight day and night to reverse this fraudulent election” quite like a leisurely round of golf.
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The real summit was the coins we minted along the way.
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Trump is totally incoherent on the wall, because he wants to say it’s both completed and needs to be built, and that the problem is huge but also solved, and that Mexico is still going to pay for it, and already has.
Incumbent demagogue populism is just really tricky.
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These threads are LOL, but it’s clear that none of the vote-fraud allegations are actual attempts to legally contest the election; they’re political moves to (1) build base opposition to Biden; (2) justify/build future support for Trump, and *maybe* (3) Hail Mary the election.
My CNN colleagues looked into 50 of the names on a viral MAGA list supposedly showing 14,000 Michigan cases of ballots being cast in the name of dead people.
Result:
- 37 are dead, no vote cast
- 5 are alive and voted
- 8 are alive and didn’t vote
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Good for Ted. And shame on the liberals who will mock him in response to this.
If you want conservatives to join forces with you, applaud them when they do.
Thanks in advance for the flame-replies.
We must speak clearly to combat evil in any form it takes. What we saw yesterday was a heinous act of terrorism and white supremacy. There is no place for this in El Paso, in Texas, or anywhere across our nation.
We are all Americans and we are all standing united with El Paso.
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With Scott Adams jumping off the Trump train, I figure it's time to bring this thread back. If Trump gets crushed in a month, the recriminations are going to be wild, but so are the people who will deny ever supporting him.
It’s gonna be crazy in five years when so many people are going to pretend they either didn’t vote for Trump in 2016 or stopped supporting him early in 2017.
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The main dividing line I see among Republicans right now—elites and voters alike—is that some of them are becoming stridently vocal, and some of them are becoming uncharacteristically quiet.
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One of the more amazing thing about this trial is the refusal of a major segment of the Members/media/public on both sides to understand this basic fact.
The president cannot “claim executive privilege” to suppress voluntary testimony. It’s just not a thing.
Sure, Trump waived executive privilege by discussing Bolton allegation, but it’s even simpler:
Executive privilege cannot be used to prevent someone from answering questions if that person wants to answer. 1/
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Great moments in Hatch Act worry: when I worked at CRS, I had some of my political memorabilia in my office, including a 1960 Kennedy campaign poster and a framed 1884 Blaine/Logan handkerchief. I was advised multiple times to remove them.
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I am thoroughly convinced that neither Hunter Biden nor Donald Trump should be trusted with the presidency in 2025.
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I'm not kidding when I say this: this makes legislative term limits---itself a bad idea---look absolutely brilliant by comparison.
I honestly think this is dumber than Vivek's plan to cut a random half of federal workers.
Under
#TheFreedomPlan
, we won’t just have term limits for politicians—we will limit bureaucrats too. No bureaucrat should hold the same position for more than five years.
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One obvious advantage of mail-in / no-excuse absentee voting is that it equalizes the individual burden of voting across the entire population.
Any system that ascribes to a ‘one man, one vote’ standard probably shouldn’t have disparate wait times that are measured in hours.
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Lt. Jane Patterson, WAVE. Died 8/9/1945, military train crash, one of the last casualties, just days before the war ended.
Four years later, her younger sister had a baby and named my mom after her.
@jaketapper
#MemorialDayWeekend2018
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NATO is the vaccine of American foreign policy. It has real definable costs, but its amazing success over multiple generations has left people largely forgetting what it prevented and how effective it has been, and thus given rise to challenges to it on largely ignorant grounds.
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The most striking thing about the indictment is that, far from being some sort of FBI/DOJ witch hunt, it all seems like such an unforced error by Trump. If he just gave the stuff back upon request, it doesn't appear that anything would have been made of it.
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In a week of surprising House GOP retirements, they saved the shocker for last.
Quite possibly the single best Member of Congress. No one is irreplaceable, but it’s not a good sign when people like Hurd are running for the exits rather than staying and fighting.
I have made the decision to not seek reelection for the 23rd Congressional District of Texas in order to pursue opportunities outside the halls of Congress to solve problems at the nexus between technology and national security.
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My "I cannot vote against the terrorists because that will provoke more terrorism" shirt has a lot of people asking questions already answered by the shirt.
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My gripe with all POTUS debates is candidates perpetuate the myth POTUS can snap fingers, make laws. The real q’s are:
1 What’s your foreign policy?
2 What agenda will you prioritize for Congress?
3 What’s your cabinet look like?
The rest is green-lanternism, of the worst kind.
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DeSantis and Abbott shipping migrants to other states might be good politics for them, but it also feels like the triumph of shitposting as a substitute for serious policy. It's not a viable immigration strategy. But in a world of shitposting, it might seem downright innovative.
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"I had a very powerful alternative, but I didn't want to use it."
My whole office is roraring laughing. Paging Dick Neustadt.
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You can’t win or lose in the count. It’s not a football game with an outcome yet to be determined. It’s the slow unwrapping of a present, the awaiting of knowing the actual and unchangeable state of the world.
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Good grief, this is not how I'd want to see my candidate hours before the polls close.
On the other hand, this feels like some evidence for a "Trump quickly accepts the results and goes quietly/graciously if he gets beaten solidly."
President Trump says "losing is never easy" during a stop to the RNC office in Arlington, Virginia.
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I'm extremely wary of the gov indicting active opposition political figures, to the point where IMO opposition leaders should be given some latitude even if they openly break laws, just to guard against any/all harassment by government.
But I don't see how to avoid it here.
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His word—even his public word—is garbage. And everyone in Washington knows it. And that’s very dangerous for a president.
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