Mark Mellman
@MarkMellman
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By calling for his withdrawal Democrats did more damage to the president than he did to himself
Media decided an aging & inarticulate Biden deserved vastly more attention than a dishonest Trump who is dangerously detached from reality
& more in my column
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Whatever one thinks re Soleimani assassination, there’s some contradiction between
@SecPompeo
saying “Americans in the region are much safer today after the demise of Soleimani."
And
@StateDept
saying “depart Iraq immediately. U.S. citizens...should not approach the Embassy.”
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Hey
@realDonaldTrump
...who’da thunk it....but when one side reneges on an agreement, apparently the other side no longer has to abide by it
Who could have imagined that?
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With respect Congresswoman
@IlhanMN
... Christianity is the official state religion of 13 nations including Argentina, Costa Rica, Denmark, England & Greece
Are none of them democracies?
Islam is the state religion of 27 countries
There’s 1 Jewish state & it is a democracy
.
@IlhanMN
on Israel:
"When I see Israel institute a law that recognizes it as a Jewish state .. and we still uphold it as a democracy in the Middle East, I almost chuckle, b/c ... we see that in any other society we would criticize it, we would call it out. We do that to Iran."
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I finally figured out
@realDonaldTrump
’s strategy for tonight: No one is still talking about his tax avoidance, tax fraud and massive debt...success 😉
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I was John Kerry’s pollster in 2004.
I wish I could say Ohio, and the election, were stolen from Kerry, who would have been a vastly better President than his opponent.
They weren’t.
@RobertKennedyJr
is just plain wrong about this and much else.
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With Sarah Sanders admitting she lied to the press and public...making up a specific story out of whole cloth... how can any reporter give her future statements any credence whatever
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I’m so grateful to be with
@yairlapid
on this historic day, and so proud of the miracle he made.
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I'm sorry but these kinds of leaks in the midst of a military conflict are dangerous. The leakers should know that better than I and should stop it.
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Not 1st time US allowed anti Israel res
@UN
...
Under...
LBJ 7
Nixon 15
Ford 2
Carter 14
Reagan 21
GHWB 9
WJC 3
GWB 6
BHO 1
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Thanks for pointing out yet another pre/post debate study showing no direct impact of the debate on the horserace. In fact it suggests small movement TOWARD Biden.
As per my latest column
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So it turns out
@potus
@JoeBiden
’s dogged persistence, thoughtful strategizing and careful alliance building is more effective than
@realDonaldTrump
’s narcissistic bluster.
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Borrowing from my friend Bruce Arbit this Yom Kippur eve
To those I may have wronged,
I ask for your forgiveness.
To those I may have helped,
I wish I had done more.
To those I neglected to help,
I ask for your understanding.
To those who helped me,
I thank you with all my heart
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A
@realDonaldTrump
who is impeached & prevented from running again, not only protects the nation, it also solves some problems for the
@GOP
...just sayin'
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On this Yom Kippur eve:
To those I may have wronged,
I ask for your forgiveness.
To those I may have helped,
I wish I had done more.
To those I neglected to help,
I ask for your understanding.
To those who helped me,
I thank you with all my heart
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Here’s the real question....does this poll question have to be this arcane and unintelligible to get the answer they want?
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non hypo version of question
"You (Kavanaugh) argued in a 1995 memo to Ken Starr that a President could be required to respond to a subpoena and a subpoena was subsequently issued in that case. Was the argument you made then correct or incorrect? "
Feinstein: Can a sitting president be required to respond to a subpoena?
Kavanaugh: "I can't give you an answer on that hypothetical."
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May your father’s memory always be a blessing and an inspiration.
My family lost a parent and grandparent, a source of love and inspiration — my father Donald Blinken. A member of the U.S. Army Air Corps, a U.S. Ambassador, president of the Mark Rothko Foundation, chair of the State University of New York dad served his city, state and country.
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The truth from Trump’s lips: He only cares about himself.
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@jacobkornbluh
Tischler is disgusting ...and the police should be investigating his role in fomenting violence
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This disgusting display is yet another clear sign this man needs serious psychological help.
Republicans who don’t condemn this ad are complicit in the dismemberment of our society.
Thank you to
@washingtonpost
for hosting our video on their website!
Everybody can visit the link below to see our new ad!
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Hmm... how does that square with GOP claim that insurance Cos are leaving Ocare cause it's killing them?
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The man is known for some lousy investments...think of his campaign as the Taj Mahal of politics
The president, who hated writing checks to his own campaign and did so reluctantly in 2016, is supposedly considering a huge investment of $100 million of his own money for the final 8 weeks
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Some
@realDonaldTrump
advisors apparently believe POTUS can be re-elected if the economy is stronger, but a million+ people are dead and half the country gets sick...
This is morally repugnant, as well as politically stupid
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So you ARE insane
There is no real world in which Chelsea Clinton’s condemnation of anti semitism contributes to Islamophobia or leads to the horrific massacre in NZ
There *is* a world in which your specious and absurd argument aids and abets anti semitism & Islamophobia
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Lots to discuss but quickie
Trump won non college whites by almost 40
But also won coll whites by 4
Assumed earlier he would lose coll whts
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think i could get Pres Trump to bet me $1 million on that?
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.
@yairlapid
is vacating this office—designated for the leader of the opposition—to make room for its next occupant, soon-to-be former Prime Minister
@netanyahu
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this poll has
@HillaryClinton
losing Clark Cty. WILL NOT happen
$1000 to respective favorite charities if anyone
@CNN
will take me up on it
CNN/ORC NEVADA POLL
Oct. 27-Nov. 1
Trump 49%
Clinton 43%
Johnson 5%
None 2%
Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts
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This, and other evidence, suggests that the whole “the responsibility of office will change him” argument ought to be ignored until there is solid evidence to support it in a particular case
“Washington Not Alarmed As Hitler Rises to Power”—ninety years ago today:
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Yes...but getting even this far is a miracle made by
@yairlapid
. I've already made a shehecheyanu and hope to make more.
OK. Calm down. Netanyahu’s still prime minister for a few more days until the confidence vote and he’s going to fight every inch of the way to deny the new government its wafer-thin majority. This is still very far from over.
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Narcissism goes nuclear
Source who has discussed North Korea with Trump tells Axios: “He thinks, ‘Just get me in the room with the guy [Kim Jong-un] and I’ll figure it out.’”
Trump aides are reportedly much more skeptical, some believe meeting with Kim Jong-un is naive.
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On this Yom Kippur Eve:
To those I have wronged,
I ask your forgiveness.
To those I may have helped,
I wish I had done more.
To those I neglected to help,
I ask for your understanding.
To those who helped me,
I thank you with all my heart.
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I've said it before...but networks have no obligation to put this (either or both) lunatic/liar on the air
Trump spokeswoman Katrina Pierson claims Hillary suffers from serious brain damage:
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My 1st Sen client
@SenCarlLevin
hired us because we were cheap, but I would've paid him for the privilege. Exactly the kind of person I got into business to help. Brilliant, decent, committed to the just & the good, a perfect public servant. His memory will always be a blessing.
With great sadness and heavy hearts, the Levin Family and Levin Center at Wayne Law announce the passing of Senator Carl Levin – a dearly beloved husband, father, grandfather, brother and uncle, and life-long public servant.
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76% want an investigation into accusations of sexual harassment & assault agiainst President Trump…”
By shielding Trump from an inquiry into allegations, Republicans risk turning a nonpartisan moment into a weapon pointed at themselves.
my column...
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Turns out I may have been right on this...
I'm watching tonight's
#Debate2020
, but if you're looking for it to change the race's trajectory don't bet on it
Last debate was 1 of the worst for any candidate ever, but poll averages show no impact on the horserace
see my column before last debacle
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The man has no understanding of what's valuable in, and important about, western civilization
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Do 4 candidates out of some 467 really consititute a “wave”?
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Facts are not
@realDonaldTrump
forte, truth is not his calling card ...but...
If that soldier fell at age 18 and was born when his parents were 18....during the last campaign his parents would have been 101...
Trump claims, preposterously, that parents of Korean War veterans came up to him during the 2016 campaign and said, "when you can, we'd love our son to be brought back home -- you know, the remains."
The Korean War ended in 1953.
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Kellyanne my friend, if I recall correctly, you didn't want Trump to be POTUS until after your first choice lost
FEC report: Mueller's team includes big Democrat donors. Some maxed out, none wanted Trump to be POTUS.
@CNNPolitics
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These Emerson polls should be completely ignored....they are landline only...thereforeexclude huge percentage of the electorate
Emerson College Poll: Clinton Leads Trump in Washington State by Just 6 Points, 44% to 38%. Only 60% of Bernie voters back Clinton.
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.
@HotlineJosh
nails a unique & critical dynamic as we head to Election 2022
Riots will cost GOP its natural advantage in 2022
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Gasoline prices went down 7.7% in July.
US gas prices have fallen for 57 consecutive days.
When the CPI numbers came out last week, the national average price per gallon was $4.01. That was down from $4.68 the previous month.
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Smart
@saletan
takedown of Nikki Haley on Ukraine…though my candidate for “most preposterous complaint” is her repeated assertion “You never negotiate, you never deal with your enemies.”
That’d make just about every Pres in history wrong
@BulwarkOnline
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Disgusting. McCarthy knows a grand jury & an independent counsel, not Biden, indicted Trump.
& McCarthy rendered a public judgment before seeing the evidence or even the charges against Trump.
His statement is indefensible. His loyalty to Trump supersedes his loyalty to America
Today is indeed a dark day for the United States of America.
It is unconscionable for a President to indict the leading candidate opposing him. Joe Biden kept classified documents for decades.
I, and every American who believes in the rule of law, stand with President Trump
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Prayers for Republican members of Congress and Capitol police shot today
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If this bill becomes law after Graham votes for it tonight, the only honorable thing for him would be to resign from the Senate
Lindsey Graham says GOP bill is "a fraud...terrible policy and horrible politics" — but will vote for it if it doesn't become law.
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The overwhelming majority of American Jews are outraged at almost every public comment you make
@StephenMillerAL
Stephen Miller, Senior White House Policy Adviser on Fox News Sunday for an Exclusive interview with Chris Wallace tells Chris "As an American Jew I am profoundly outraged by the comments from Ocasio-Cortez"
#FNS
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were there "telepathic," "emotional," "mental," or "psychological" wiretaps?
or just none of any kind?
NUNES confirms DOJ report rebuts Trump wiretapping allegation. "Were there physical wiretaps of Trump Tower? No, there never was," he said
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Moving.
Women from the Army, Navy, Marine Corps, Air Force, Coast Guard, & Space Force salute
#RBG
as her remains enter Arlington National Cemetery for burial. They are standing in front of the Memorial For Military Women.
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Fantastic metaphor...and column
the presidency is coming at Donald Trump like chocolates on that I Love Lucy conveyor belt:
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Sheriff Carmichael's massive defeat in Mecklenburg Cty NC sends a strong message to local law enforcement nationwide:
Cooperate with Trump's deportation squad and voters will punish you
#ACLU
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I’d bet on a closer election than this
But before somebody says, “look at the state polls”
You can lose the popular vote by 3 or 4 points & still win the electoral vote
In the real world, you cannot lose the popular vote by 10 or 15 points and still win the Electoral College
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Just after the debate
@DataProgress
had Trump +3. Now Biden +1.
Either
A. Dems & media saying Biden can’t win has given him a boost
Or
B. All polls are noisy with error, statistical and other
My conclusion: Resist over analyzing small changes/ differences in poll data.
2024 National GE:
Biden 47% (+1)
Trump 46%
.
Harris 46%
Trump 46%
.
Trump 41% (+1)
Biden 40%
Kennedy 10%
West 1%
Stein 1%
Oliver 1%
.
@DataProgress
/
@SplitTicket_
, 2,067 LV, 7/1-3
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Repeating charge made by Russian oriented news site
Trump incorrectly blames Obama administration attorney general for letting Russian lawyer into U.S.
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Is this a joke? As silly attempt at misinformation? A 1st grader's coloring book?
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The explanation is really pretty simple.
Republicans oppose a Supreme Court ethics code because the
@GOP
recognizes that their Justices are the unethical ones.
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May their memories be blessings
Two months after my Mum died, my father Jolyon followed her today. He was kind and tolerant. And, even at 90, he was still a charmer! But, after 68 years of a happy marriage, he missed Shirley too much. His heart just stopped.
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Whatever Republicans think about the sexual assault issues, one fact is incontrovertible--Kavanaugh made clear he will be unable to rule impartially in cases that involve Democrats
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But he voted for it anyway?
Partisanship is a powerful drug
Apparently strong enough to make one support a hoax.
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Mook right, Trump Jr wrong: How Putin Weaponized Wikileaks to Influence the Election of an American President
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@realDonaldTrump
clearly states that he expected his Attorney General to shut down the Russia investigation before it resulted in 19 indictments and 5 guilty pleas
Intent to obstruct justice? Pretty clear
The Russian Witch Hunt Hoax continues, all because Jeff Sessions didn’t tell me he was going to recuse himself...I would have quickly picked someone else. So much time and money wasted, so many lives ruined...and Sessions knew better than most that there was No Collusion!
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Except there are not more and more independents...that's a myth
Gov. Kasich on American political parties: "There are more and more independents because of the squabbling."
#MTP
#ComPRESSed
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if the Lady of The Lake handed her a sword, I think she is the rightful Queen
Eight-year-old Swedish girl pulls Viking era sword from lake
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"All models are wrong. Some are useful."
George Box, distinguished statistician
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the 94 political “catastrophe resulted from everyone focusing on their own specific objections, while ignoring the bigger & far more important picture — the need to look strong, unified & successful in achieving central priorities for the American people”
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Omg
Officials sent asylum seekers to wait in Mexico with no address to reach them to notify them of court hearings. They gave them an (800) number to call for info. It can only be used in the U.S. Read
@mollymotoole
's terrific report on
#RemainInMexico
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Won't bring me friends..
I'm disappointed & hope
@Sen_JoeManchin
changes his mind on BBB
But the next Sen from WV (whoever, whenever) will be far less progressive than Manchin (WV=Trump +39 pts)
The answer is a Dem brand that can win & hold Senate seats in NC, PA, OH, WI, AZ etc
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Call me crazy...but I just don’t think The MELLMAN Group is going to do that
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If a private company tried to do this we’d call it consumer fraud
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The SCOTUS majority claim to be originalists. In fact they are just political hacks in black robes.
Out of hypocrisy or ignorance they did not sustain the Founders. They overturned the Founders who said presidents CAN be tried with no greater standing than a governor.
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True, rural white voters will turn out...but the question is...will they give
@realDonaldTrump
the same level of support they did in 2016?
I don't think so
Dems are deluding themselves if they think rural white voters aren’t going to turn out. It’ll be through the roof.
To me, the biggest remaining question mark is rural *nonwhite* turnout - esp. in FL/GA/NC/TX.
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Aftr fam watched rkt explode @ Cape, JG told em, "If anthng hpns don't blame r country, don't blame NASA. Theyr doing everything pssible"
Best John Glenn quote: "As I hurtled through space, one thought kept crossing my mind - every part of rocket was supplied by lowest bidder."
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Which of these reps is willing 2 walk the plank, supporting a horrific bill that will never become law because it'll never pass the Senate
I keep looking at this whip list, trying to see how they get there.
I think it's still very tight for Republicans.
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I hold no brief for Manafort, but keeping him in solitary is inhuman, as it is for most others held that way
That prisons cannot guarantee the safety of inmates is an indictment of the system & a clarion call for major reform
Paul Manafort is being kept in solitary confinement for 23 hours a day ahead of his July 25 trial
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.
@HouseGOP
are asking Dr. Bright a lot of questions about hydroxychloroquine...
Why aren’t they asking his views on using bleach to cure Corona?
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Another outrage, another needless tragedy
She had been held since mid-April on $500 bail tied to a misdemeanor sex work and drug possession charges.
@RosaGoldensohn
@ReuvenBlau
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Incredible stability ...
@realDonaldTrump
in a 2 point range, never higher than 41%...
@JoeBiden
also in a 2 point range, never lower than 49%
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IMHO, saying the wall is not "important" is an amazing admission of hypocrisy
Potus calling the wall political bait isn't much news - him trying to get EPN to go along with it in spite of that is.
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This race is tight as can be…
Average of the poll averages (via:
@PatrickRuffini
)
@realDonaldTrump
ahead by less than 4/10ths of percentage point!
Tied.
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Stan
@TheBudgetGuy
was a caring friend and a truly nice guy who was always ready to share his vast storehouse of knowledge and wisdom....he will be much missed but his memory will be a blessing
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