MULawPoll
@MULawPoll
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Nonpartisan, public, transparent polls on Wisconsin policy & politics since 2012. National polls on the Supreme Court etc since 2019. Directed by @PollsAndVotes
Milwaukee, WI
Joined December 2011
In new Marquette Law School Poll, 51% of registered WI voters support Democrat Mandela Barnes, 44% support Republican Ron Johnson in US Senate race. In June @mulawpoll, it was Barnes 46% and Johnson 44%. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll finds Biden widening his lead over Trump in WI. Results put Biden at 49%, Trump at 41%. In early May, it was Biden 46%, Trump 43%. #mulawpoll.
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Among those who say they will vote by mail, 81% support Biden, 14% Trump. Among those who will vote on election day, 67% support Trump, 26% Biden. #mulawpoll.
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In new Marquette Law School Poll of Democratic presidential primary voters, 65% support Joe Biden, 32% support Bernie Sanders. #mulawpoll.
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In poll in early May, 93% of Republicans supported Trump. In mid-June, it was 83%. #mulawpoll.
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Should masks be required in public places? 72% say yes, 26% say no. in August, it was 69% and 29%. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll finds Clinton leading Trump among likely voters in WI 46% to 40%. #mulawpoll.
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In presidential race in WI, Biden holds an advantage over Trump among 18-29 year old voters, leading in that group 51% to 41%. Biden also leads among voters 60 and over, 55% to 37%. #mulawpoll.
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In new Marquette Law School Poll, Joe Biden is the choice for president of 48% of likely WI voters, Donald Trump is the choice of 43%. Libertarian Jo Jorgensen supported by 2%, and 8% gave no choice. #mulawpoll.
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Support for Trump among Republicans declined since our last poll, and opposition to Trump grew among independents. #mulawpoll.
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Barnes has big Democratic support (95%) and Johnson has overwhelming Republican support (92%). Among independents, 52% support Barnes, 38% support Johnson. In June among independents, it was 41% for each of them.
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Among likely voters in WI:.Thursday: Trump 41%, Clinton 40%.Friday: Clinton 44%, Trump 38%.Saturday and Sunday: Clinton 49%, Trump 30%.
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New Marquette Law School Poll finds that if the presidential election were held now, 49% of registered Wisconsin voters would vote for Biden, 47% for DeSantis. Between Biden and Trump, 52% would vote for Biden and 43% for Trump. #mulawpoll.
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Trump’s handling of coronavirus issues: 40% approve, 58% disapprove. In June it was 44% approve, 52% disapprove. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll of likely voters in Wisconsin finds Joe Biden supported by 49%, Donald Trump by 44%. #mulawpoll.
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Legalization of marijuana: Overall, 69% favor, 23% oppose. Among Republicans, 51% favor, 39% oppose, Among Democrats, 81% favor, 10% oppose. Among independents, 75% favor, 20% oppose. #mulawpoll.
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A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin finds Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris supported by 52% of registered voters and Republican former President Donald Trump supported by 48% in a head-to-head matchup in the race for president. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin voters finds Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris supported by 52% and Republican former President Donald Trump supported by 48% among registered voters. Among likely voters, it is also 52% for Harris and 48% for Trump. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin finds Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris supported by 50% and Republican former President Donald Trump supported by 49% in head-to-head matchup among likely voters. #mulawpoll.
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Views of former President Donald Trump: 37% have favorable view of Trump, 55% unfavorable. In October 2020, 44% viewed him favorably, 54% viewed him unfavorably. #mulawpoll.
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In new Marquette Law School Poll, 49% of likely voters in WI support Republican incumbent Johnson in the Senate race and 48% support Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes. In August, among likely voters, Barnes was supported by 52% and Johnson by 45%. #mulawpoll.
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Among independents, 53% say they will vote for Biden and 46% for Trump, In our February poll, 54% of independents said they would vote for Trump and 43% for Biden. #mulawpoll.
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Permitting carrying a concealed weapon without requiring people to have a license: 19% are in favor of that, 81% are opposed. #mulawpoll.
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Approval of President Trump’s handling of coronavirus in new poll is 44%, with 51% disapproval. In March, it was 51% approval, 46% disapproval. #mulawpoll.
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Since July 2021, Biden job approval among whites has gone from 50% to 40%. Among Blacks, it has gone from 88% to 56%. Among Hispanics, it’s gone from 56% to 51%. @pollsandvotes points to the decline among Blacks as particularly striking. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll finds a wider margin in the US Senate race than in @mulawpoll a month ago, with Republican Ron Johnson supported by 52% and Democrat Mandela Barnes by 46% among likely voters. In September, it was Johnson 49%, Barnes 48%. #mulawpoll.
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Among WI likely voters, 46% say they will vote for Joe Biden, 41% say they will vote for Donald Trump, 4% for Libertarian Jo Jorgensen in presidential election. #mulawpoll.
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In new Marquette Law School Poll, 50% of likely voters in WI support Republican incumbent Ron Johnson in the Senate race and 48% support Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes. In early October, August, it was Johnson 52% and Barnes 46%. #mulawpoll.
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Among likely voters in the nationwide sample, 50% say they will vote for Joe Biden, 40% for Donald Trump, 3% for Libertarian Jo Jorgensen, and 2% for Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins. #mulawpoll.
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Among likely voters, it is Harris 48%, Trump 43%, Kennedy 6%, Oliver 1%, Stein 1%, Terry 1%, and West 1%. #mulawpoll.
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Does Joe Biden care about “people like you”? 56% of all registered voters say yes, 40% say no. In mid-June, it was 46% yes, 42% no. #mulawpoll.
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What do you think of how Gov. Tony Evers is doing his job? 50% approve, 41% disapprove. In October 2021, it was 45% approve, 46% disapprove. #mulawpoll.
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Among likely voters in a multi-candidate race, it is Harris 49%, Trump 44%, Kennedy 3%, De la Cruz 0%, Oliver 1%, Stein 1%, Terry 1%, and West 0%. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll finds 57% of Wisconsin voters say they approve of the job Tony Evers is doing as governor, while 39% disapprove. In Oct. 2022, the last time we did a Wisconsin poll, 46% approved of Evers’ job performance and 47% disapproved. #mulawpoll.
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Would you like Trump to run for president in 2024? Among Republicans, yes 59%, no 33%. Among Democrats, yes 3%, no 97%. Among independents, yes 2%, no 66%. #mulawpoll.
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Sanders is doing a bit better than Clinton against Republicans, @PollsAndVotes says there's not an easy answer as to why. #mulawpoll.
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Among likely voters in Wisconsin, Harris is the choice of 50% and Trump the choice of 49%. These results include initially undecided voters who were then asked who they would vote for if they had to choose. #mulawpoll.
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Different levels of turnout on possible Senate outcome: Among all registered voters, it’s Barnes 51%, Johnson 44%; among those certain or very likely to vote, it’s Barnes 52%, Johnson 45%; among only those who are certain to vote, it’s Barnes 52%, Johnson 45%. #mulawpoll.
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How the Wisconsin legislature is handling its job: 36% approve, 50% disapprove. Last time we asked this, in May, it was 46% approve, 40% disapprove. In January 2019, it was 52% approve, 31% disapprove. #mulawpoll.
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Similarly, in Senate race, it’s Johnson 52% and Barnes 46% among “absolutely certain” voters, but among those less than certain to vote, it’s Barnes 51% and Johnson 31%. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll finds support for Democrat Tony Evers at 49%, Republican Scott Walker at 44% among likely voters in WI governor’s race. #mulawpoll.
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The partisan makeup of the Wisconsin sample is 36% Republican, 31% Democratic, and 34% independent. Since January 2020, the long-term partisan balance has been 31% Republican and 29% Democratic, with 40% independent. #mulawpoll.
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In new Marquette Law School Poll, Biden leads Trump 49% to 45%; it’s Sanders 47% vs. Trump 46%; Trump 48% vs. Warren 45%; Trump 46% vs. Buttigieg 44%. #mulawpoll.
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Should abortion be legal in cases of incest or rape? Overall, 88% say yes. Among Republicans, 79% yes; among Democrats, 97% yes; among independents, 87% yes. #mulawpoll.
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Sen. Ron Johnson is viewed favorably by 35%, unfavorably by 42%, while 23% say they don’t have an opinion of him. In October 2020, it was 38% favorable, 36% unfavorable, 26% no opinion. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll finds that presidential race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden remains close in Wisconsin, with Biden at 46%, Trump at 43%. #mulawpoll.
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Head to head (in alphabetical order), it is Barnes 46% and Johnson 44%. It is Godlewski 45% and Johnson 43%. It is Johnson 45% and Lasry 42%. And it is Nelson 44% and Johnson 43%. #mulawpoll.
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Abortion opinions: Overall, 33% favor and 60% oppose the US Supreme Court decision that overturned Roe v Wade, which made abortion legal in every state. #mulawpoll.
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In new Marquette Law School Poll, 45% of registered WI voters support Democrat Tony Evers for governor, 43% support Republican Tim MIchels, 7% support independent Joan Beglinger, 5% didn’t give a choice. #mulawpoll.
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In the new poll, Biden-Trump head to head is Biden 48% and Trump 45%. In Sanders match, it’s Trump 47% and Sanders 45%. #mulawpoll.
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“A top choice” numbers: Sanders, 32%; Biden, 29%; Warren, 17%; Harris, 11%; O’Rourke, 10%; Booker, 9%; Klobuchar, 8%; Buttigieg, 7%; Castro, 4%; Inslee, 2%; Gillibrand, 2%; Hickenlooper, 1%. #mulawpoll.
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In US Senate race in WI, Marquette Law School Poll finds 49% of likely voters support Democrat Tammy Baldwin, 47% support Republican Leah Vukmir. #mulawpoll.
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Head to read (in alphabetical order), it is Evers 47% and Kleefisch 43%. It is Evers 48% and Michels 41%. It is Evers 48% and Nicholson 40%. And it is Evers 51% and Ramthun 34%. #mulawpoll.
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Among those voting absentee by mail, Harris is supported by 70% and Trump by 30%. #mulawpoll.
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27% say they would definitely vote to reelect Trump in 2020, 12% say they probably would, 8% probably vote for someone else, 49% definitely vote for someone else. #mulawpoll.
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When asked who they would pick if the choice was between only Trump and DeSantis, 57% of Republicans say DeSantis and 41% say Trump. Among those who favored other Republican candidates, 74% favor DeSantis and 25% Trump when asked to choose between the two. #mulawpoll.
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New @mulawpoll results for Wisconsin beginning at 12:15 p.m. today -- the last poll before the election. Follow the live video at or the postings here. #mulawpoll.
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New @mulawpoll results coming, starting at 12:15 p.m. central time today. These are for a survey of Wisconsin registered voters. #mulawpoll.
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Among early voters, 64% for Clinton, 25% for Trump. In Senate race, 58% for Feingold, 29% for Johnson. #mulawpoll.
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Among WI likely voters, 47% say they will vote for Joe Biden, 43% say they will vote for Donald Trump in presidential election. #mulawpoll.
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Trump and Biden each supported by 90 percent or more of those from their parties. Among independents, 57% support Biden, 43% support Trump. #mulawpoll.
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Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin finds support of former President Donald Trump at 50% and support of Vice President Kamala Harris at 49% among registered voters in a head-to-head matchup in the race for president. #mulawpoll.
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Should private school vouchers be extended statewide without income limits for families? 58% say yes, 33% say no. #mulawpoll.
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Among Wisconsinites who say they will vote on election day (11/5), Trump gets 56% support, Harris 44%. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll finds a tie in the race for WI governor between Democrat Tony Evers and Republican Scott Walker. Each at 47% among likely voters. #mulawpoll.
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Should the Court ban the use of race as a factor in college admissions? 75% say yes, 25% say no. By partisanship: 89% of Republicans say yes, as do 76% of independents and 58% of Democrats. #mulawpoll.
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Among those unfavorable to both, 57% support Biden and 43% support Trump. In November 2023, Trump had the advantage with those unfavorable to both, 52% to Biden’s 48%, but Biden has held the advantage in each of our 2024 polls. #mulawpoll.
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We missed the presidential by 1.9 points and the Senate by 1.1 points. Our long term average absolute error is 2.1 points. Our average error on the margin is -0.5, meaning half a percent too Democratic. We have been too Republican in 8 elections & too Democratic in 8 elections.
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New @mulawpoll finds Trump currently leading in head-to-head matches with Biden, Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg among Wisconsin registered voters. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds nearly 2 to 1 support for nomination of Judge Katanji Brown Jackson to the US Supreme Court, with 66% of adults saying they would vote for Jackson if they were senators, 34% saying they would vote against. #mulawpoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll results for Wisconsin—the last before election day – will be released starting in several minutes. Stay tuned here for tweets. #mulawpoll.
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In Democratic prez primary in Wisconsin, new Marquette Law School Poll shows race at Sanders 49%, Clinton 45%. #mulawpoll.
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Among likely voters, it is also Harris as the choice of 52% and Trump of 48%. These results include initially undecided voters who were then asked whom they would vote for if they had to choose. #mulawpoll.
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Do you think Republican Sen. Ron Johnson can be described as someone who “cares about people like me”? 39%% say yes, 50% say no. #mulawpoll.
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WI GOVERNOR: Walker 47%, Evers 46%, Anderson 5%, no preference 1% (likely voters) #MULawPoll.
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New Marquette Law School Poll finds 51% support Joe Biden and 42% support Donald Trump in potential 2020 presidential match. #mulawpoll.
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New Wisconsin poll in field, release Wednesday, Oct. 30, 12:15 Central.
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New Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin likely voters: .Clinton 44% .Trump 37% .Johnson 9%.Stein 3%.#MULawPoll.
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Among all registered voters, the results are more favorable to Democrats in both Senate and governor races. Among all registered voters, it’s Evers 46% and Michels 41%. In the Senate race, it’s 47% for Barnes and 47% for Johnson. #mulawpoll.
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One strength for Biden: 60% of those who “somewhat disapprove” of his job performance support him over Trump. In November, 55% of the “somewhat disapproving” supported Biden against Trump. #mulawpoll.
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Do you support automatic voter registration for eligible 18-year-olds? 63% yes, 31% no. #mulawpoll.
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In a multi-candidate race, Harris also leads with 46% to Trump’s 44%, while Robert F. Kennedy Jr. receives 5%, the Party for Socialism and Liberation’s Claudia De la Cruz 0%, Libertarian party’s Chase Oliver 2%. #mulawpoll.
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Among likely voters in WI, Clinton 52%, Trump 37%, with 10% supporting neither. In July, it was 45%/41%/14%. #mulawpoll.
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Support for legalization of marijuana continues to grow. 61% of WI voters favor legalization and 31% oppose it in new poll. In October 2013, it was 50% in favor, 45% opposed. In January 2019, it was 59% in favor, 35% opposed. #mulawpoll.
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Support for Medicare for All has declined from October, when it was 34%, to now, when it is 26%. #mulawpoll.
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The @MULawPoll Release is delayed by a tornado warning. We'll post results at 1:15CT but hope to do an abbreviated presentation if the storm warning lifts sooner. A first in 10 years of releases.
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In new results, 40% of WI registered voters think Trump should be impeached and removed from office, 53% do not think so, 6% don’t know. #mulawpoll.
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Trump’s overall job performance: 44% approve, 54% disapprove. In June, it was 45% approve, 51% disapprove. #mulawpoll.
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In May, Trump’s job rating among independents was 50%, disapproval was 36%. In mid-June, it was 36% approval, 57% disapproval. #mulawpoll.
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Among City of Milwaukee voters, Biden has 76% support, Trump 19%. Among voters in the rest of the Milwaukee area, it’s Trump 47%, Biden 40%. #mulawpoll.
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Large majority (76%) approve of Gov. Evers’ handling of coronavirus issue, 17% disapprove. #mulawpoll.
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Among independents, in March 64% approved and 36% disapproved of the Court’s work. In July, it was 39% approve and 60% disapprove. #mulawpoll.
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In a possible rematch in 2024 between Joe Biden and Trump, 42% support Biden, 34% support Trump, 18% say they wouldn’t vote for either and 6% say they would not vote. #mulawpoll.
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In the U.S. Senate race, Sen. Tammy Baldwin is supported by 53% to Eric Hovde’s 46% among registered voters. Among likely voters, the results are the same. #mulawpoll.
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For former President Donald Trump, 36% of WI voters are favorable, 57% unfavorable. In October 2021, it was 38% favorable, 57% unfavorable. #mulawpol.
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Since November, support among WI Dem voters for Sanders has risen from 17% to 29%, while support for Biden has fallen from 30% to 15%. #mulawpoll.
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GOP presidential nomination outlook: Among Republican and Republican-leaning voters in WI, 31% support Donald Trump, 30% Ron DeSantis, 6% Mike Pence, 5% Tim Scott, and 21% say they haven’t decided. #mulawpoll.
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In the U.S. Senate race, Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin is supported by 52% to Republican Eric Hovde’s 48% among registered voters. Among likely voters, Baldwin receives 52% and Hovde receives 47%. #mulawpoll.
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Head to head matchups in the February poll: Klobuchar 46% and Trump 46%. Sanders 48% and Trump 46%. Warren 44% and Trump 47%. #mulawpoll.
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