Lone Stock Trader
@LoneStockTrader
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16Y full-time trader - US stocks & cryptos - F*ck the win rate. Focus on R/R
Main Street 🇹🇭🇫🇷
Joined September 2016
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Pinned Tweet
The
#LSTMarketSignals
switched back to Neutral today.
Pretty choppy year so far.
And as always, it doesn't predict but reacts.
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I lost $700k of my money in the stock market 12 years ago.
I lost $700k of profits I should have made last year, had I just followed my strategy.
No matter how much experience you have or how much money you've made or lost, never ever take trading for granted.
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Trading is a job.
Ain't no passive income.
BUT, it's a job where:
▪️ u have no employees
▪️ no boss
▪️ no customers
▪️ it's location independent
▪️ u get uncapped & exponentially growing salary
Worth it? Only if u're willing to endure the long & painful learning curve
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People buying on a pullback
vs
me buying a on pullback
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I don’t see triangles, flags, cups w/ handle, candlesticks, sup/res...
I see ppl trapped at a loss, ppl waiting to get breakeven before getting out, ppl SL triggered now on the sidelines, ppl having to cover their shorts, ppl waiting a pullback, ppl afraid to be missing out,...
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I haven't told anyone, but I've got a HUGE edge in the market:
My wife
She's always believed in me & supported me during the most difficult times.
She's the reason I've never quit trading.
She's counting on me.
No way on Earth I'll let her down.
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If you’re too scared, the market won’t give you.
If you’re too cocky or angry, the market will take from you.
If you’re prepared and composed, the market will reward you.
The market is basically trying to teach you emotional balance.
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Trading:
We think we signed up for easy money, but then realize we actually signed up for a constant battle with ourselves, a lifelong journey of self-discovery.
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I'm not a millionaire just yet.
BUT I can take care of my family, spend a lot of time with them, no one to answer to, I can work from anywhere in the world, and I will be a millionaire within a couple of years.
Be persistent, resilient, patient & enjoy the ride.
#trading
HAGW
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Trading is a bit like sex:
We're usually terrible at it in the beginning
The more pressure you put on yourself, the harder it is to perform
The positions you hold must feel comfortable or you're doing it wrong
Too many people think they're good at it but few actually are 😆
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Trading learning curve:
Expectations vs Reality
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In my short 12 years of trading, the amount of money I left on the table because I got scared by the headlines and the general market is absolutely insane.
All part of the learning curve.
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Don’t give up on trading.
It is a difficult skill to acquire.
It will require years of trials and errors before you get good at it.
But once acquired, that skill will allow you to compound your money for the rest of your life like nothing else can.
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I always cringe at the glamorous lifestyle advertised by some trading “gurus”.
Trading is as unsexy as it gets.
You spend thousands of hours in front of a screen studying charts, reviewing your past trades, doing some statistical research, reading, and losing money regularly.
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No matter how much you read about new traders mistakes and why they fail, a trader needs to experience making all of those mistakes, repeatedly, in order to start understanding how the game works.
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Trading is not a game of knowledge, but a game of skill.
The skill of being able to act decisively when it’s warranted, the skill of doing nothing when there’s nothing to do, the skill of recognizing and accepting when you’re wrong, the skill of accepting you just don’t know.
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Making money is not a sign that you’re getting better.
Keeping it is.
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Here’s what happens when you look too hard for a trade... 😖
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1- Record your trades
2- Review your trades
3- Discover what works
4- Focus on what works
5- Bet bigger on what works
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Well-deserved thank you gift to wifey, for sticking with me through all my drawdowns and always supporting me on my
#trading
journey 🙏🏻
Having someone believing in you even when you’re doubting yourself is a huge edge in the market, and in life.
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11 years ago, my dream of being financially free was shattered as I lost almost everything I had in the markets.
Going back to the corporate world was absolutely out of the question for me.
So after a failed start up business, I decided to go back to th…
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I love the stock market.
It just doesn’t care about the color of your skin, your gender (or lack thereof), how you dress, where you come from, your IQ, ...
It will reward emotional intelligence, discipline, flexibility, a good work ethic, and a never give up attitude.
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My mindset going into 2021:
One trade can make your year.
Trade like you didn’t need to.
Only take the trades you know the reward-to-risk is so skewed in your favor you have no choice but to put your money to work.
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New traders’ weakness is cutting their losses.
Break even traders’ weakness is letting their winners run.
Profitable traders can do both.
Great traders can do both with large positions.
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In trading, once you properly manage your risk, you are not taking risks anymore. You are taking opportunities.
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I honestly respect every single traders and investors who've been putting their hard-earned money on the line for years, regardless of their styles and their results.
It takes courage to get punched in the face repeatedly and keep coming back for more.
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My "unstable job" as a full-time trader is now more stable than many "stable jobs"...
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My biggest strength is that I’m NOT expecting to make money every month or even every quarter.
Experience taught me that only one big trade can make my year.
Only one big trade can allow me to outperform 99% of all the traders out there.
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11 years in the trading game, and I only really started reaping the rewards, being able to be with wifey and my baby girl 24/7, with 5-6 hours workweeks.
Don’t overestimate what you do in the short term.
Don’t underestimate what you can do in the long term.
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I’m honestly amazed with traders who seem to have mastered many different strategies and setups.
I’ve been trading the exact same strategy and setup for the last 12 years and I still have plenty of room for improvement.
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What I learned from losing +$700k in the markets (Part 1/3):
▪️be grateful to be able to take a loss while still small
▪️huge losses will show u who u really are & what u need to change
▪️stop depending on others. You alone are the key to ur future. Create your own luck
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Don't waste your time trying to convince someone else that it's possible to trade for a living.
The only person you need to convince is yourself.
Be the living example, not the talking example.
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If you want to test whether you truly believe in yourself, there’s no need to climb Mount Everest.
Just open a trading account, and try to make a living out of it.
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Unpopular opinion:
Most rich investors didn’t get rich from a high win rate.
They got rich from a handful of investments (among many average and failed ones) that paid off big time.
Low to average win rate, but very high reward to risk ratio.
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If u really want to make it as a trader, I think u have to sacrifice at least 3-5Y on avg before it starts to click and u starting making some $ consistently from it.
And there is absolutely NO guarantee u'll make it.
Worth it?
Only u can answer that very personal question 🍻
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I've made TONS of mistakes this year
After a much needed break, I'm now focused, ready
I won't share advice anymore & will now only focus on my trading. I'm putting on that proverbial oxygen mask 1st
This feed will now be my diary of thoughts & self-reminders, nothing more🙏
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Here’s my “why”, the why that keeps me going through drawdowns and losing streaks 😊
Sunset here in Thailand. Have a great week ahead!
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Something to ponder:
If u risk 1% of ur acct on any trade with 5% stop losses, and u average 20% profit/trade,
18 winning trades can double ur account.
12 trades with 30% moves.
Of course u’ll get losing trades.
But it shows that it can pay much more to ONLY take A+ setups.
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I can’t count the number of times the market humbled me...
But every single time, I found ways to improve either my strategy, my process or my mindset.
Never let a good beating go to waste.
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"Full-time trading" does NOT mean being stuck in front of your screens trading all day long.
It only means that trading is your main activity and source of income.
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A couple of traders who’ve been losing money for a couple of years contacted me, asking how I turned my trading around.
Here’s my answer.
That’s basically how I became profitable:
(note: you need to have already taken at least 100-200 trades or more with your current strategy)
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Flying back to old Europe to finally introduce the little one to her grandparents.
Calling it a year.
Wishing all of you a Merry Christmas and a Fantastic New Year 2022.
Health, Wealth & Fulfillment 🥂
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My trading journey:
- fixed my tendency to let losses run
- fixed my lack of a complete trading strategy
- fixed my tendency to take profits too early
- fixed my lack of stats
- optimized my position sizing rules
Next
- fix my overtrading
- intelligent watchlists
- $1M
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Here's an example of post-analysis work I do on a regular basis.
The important information is not the result, but the PROCESS.
Journaling your trades and monitoring your stats are IMHO the most important steps toward consistent profitability:
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I’ve never had a triple digits year so far.
I’m not the best trader out there, nor the best version of myself.
I make tons of mistakes.
I’m just a simple dude who doesn’t give up.
Slowly compounding my way to financial f*cking freedom.
If I can do it, anyone can.
HAGW 🍻
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If you’re too scared, the market won’t give you.
If you’re too cocky or angry, the market will take from you.
If you’re prepared and composed, the market will reward you.
The market is basically trying to teach you emotional balance.
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Full-time traders are just like full-time artists.
They can’t expect to earn a regular income.
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One of the biggest advantages of trading for a living is that when things are not going well, we can’t just close our eyes & rely on a salary.
We have no choice but to be fully accountable, face reality, and find out what the problem is, as we have to feed ourselves & our family.
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The longer I'm in this game, the more I realize that it's about saying "nope, not interested" most of the time, until my experience tells me a trade has so much potential that I have no choice but to put my money to work.
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If this chart applies to you, you’re probably trading too big
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Many similarities with 1999
- Lots of Bulls, Lots of Bears. NO ONE's expecting weeks/months of chops
- Entering a new era, the "4th indus revolution", IoT,5G,EV
- Valuations don't matter anymore, for now
- Record # of new retail traders
- Smart money's getting crushed
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If you’ve been trading seriously for 2Y+ but still haven’t figured out how to be profitable,
there’s no need to subscribe to an expensive chat room, service, trading coach, or god forbid, trading signals.
I can guarantee you that the solution lies in your trading journal.
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U can’t despise rich people and become one of them
U can’t want to always be right and succeed in a probability game
U can’t expect someone to help you if you only want to do it your way
U can’t act like the majority and get different results
Work on your internal conflicts
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In trading, being too early and right is basically the same as being wrong.
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When you are in a trade, if you watch every tick, every candle, every pullback and everyone else’s opinion, you will undoubtedly find a reason to sell before your trading strategy tells you to.
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Taught myself how to write Google scripts so I can speed up my process. My goal was never to spend long hours trading.
We’re not paid by the hour. Earning $100k/year while working 40h/week ain’t the same as earning $100k/year while working 8h/week. Time’s more valuable than money
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The dark side of trading for a living:
- the pressure to perform is multiplied several folds
- no fixed salary (can’t borrow money, difficult to plan for the future)
- every $ spent means less profits
- your mood/stress level can be highly correlated to your trading perf
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Making a million $ without risk management means it’s only a matter of time before the market takes it all back.
Making a million $ with proper risk management rules means it’s only a matter of time before you make much more.
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"𝘼𝙣 𝙞𝙙𝙞𝙤𝙩 𝙬𝙞𝙩𝙝 𝙖 𝙥𝙡𝙖𝙣 𝙘𝙖𝙣 𝙗𝙚𝙖𝙩 𝙖 𝙜𝙚𝙣𝙞𝙪𝙨 𝙬𝙞𝙩𝙝𝙤𝙪𝙩 𝙖 𝙥𝙡𝙖𝙣"
-- Warren Buffett
Spot on 🙌
#trading
#investing
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For the struggling traders out there, the day I became profitable is not the day my PnL started going up.
It’s the day I realized I’d have made money if I had just followed my strategy. It’s the day I realized I had to redirect my focus to execution instead of outcome.
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She’s growing faster than my trading account... 😆
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People often ask me why I use discretionary entries and systematic exits.
I use discretion in my entries because I use conditions that cannot be coded, and that also makes me part of my edge.
I use systematic exits because I lose my objectivity as soon as I’m in a trade.
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The market doesn’t care about the color of your skin. Or your gender. Or your education. In fact, the market doesn’t care about you.
You have no excuse. You can’t play the victim.
There’s only one person who’s fully responsible for your failures and successes. And that is you.
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Tesla went up 800%.
Zoom went up 800%.
Tupperware went up 3,000%.
It's NOT necessarily the most disruptive or fastest-growing company that goes up the most.
But that's not even important.
The only stocks you'll make serious money in are the ones you have conviction in.
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Been in the game for 12 years now, and I honestly still think I'm a newb... and I'll probably still feel like a newb in 20 years.
There's always room for improvement, always something new to learn either about the market or about myself.
Greatest game ever.
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I'm thinking of making short YouTube videos about trading (as a potential new hobby, for me to gain a new skill set).
What would you be interested in?
(e.g.: setups of interest, trading process, psychology, rants on trading, trading concepts, ...)
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As retail traders, we don't depend on anyone, hv no boss, no employees, a location-independent job, a creative job, an antifragile job, almost no overhead, full responsibility for both failures & successes, uncapped potential profits, our own hours.
Name a better job. I'll wait.
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After almost 2Y of daily meditation, I really start enjoying the benefits of it.
I'm more able to catch myself before engaging into mindless stuff like acting on fear/greed, arguing on social media, overeating, procrastinating...
Worth it imho.
Saved me a lot of time and money.
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In trading u must constantly be on guard against slips in discipline
One bad trade turned profitable can set u up for a huge loss down the road
One loss can trigger revenge trading or overtrading
One profitable trade can lead to overconfidence
Remain vigilant against yourself
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Be so busy improving yourself, improving your trading and enjoying life that you don’t have time for arguing with strangers on social media
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The main issue new traders have is to cut their losers while small. They still haven't experienced what a real devastating loss is.
The main issue more experienced traders have is to let their winners run. They're still traumatized by their past devastating losses.
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Being in a winning trade is luck.
Being able to stay in a winning trade until it’s time to exit is skill.
Doubling your trading account value is luck.
Managing risk and avoiding large drawdowns is skill.
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The distracted trader
(guilty as charged 🙋♂️...🤦♂️)
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Once you have profitable trading strategy with well-defined rules, trading becomes a game.
- Follow the rules of the game and get rewarded over time
- Fail to follow the rules and get punished over time
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One thing that blows my mind every single year is that by spending more time with my family, doing other stuff & only watching my positions once a day/week, I'd have made a lot more money.
Same conclusion every year:
Only take the best trades, have a stop, & go enjoy your life.
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Insanely powerful statement...
"Your lack of commitment is an insult to the people who believe in you."
- Conor McGregor
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Stuff that can trigger a lack of discipline:
- A loss after a winning streak
- A losing streak
- A change of market conditions
- Large positions
- Seeing others making $$
- News headlines
- Gurus' opinions
- Other ppl's opinions
- Worrying ab the general market
- Personal Issues
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Nothing triggers FOMO more than seeing other ppl seemingly making tons of $$$ while you’re not.
Every strategy has different cycles where they get in & out of favor in the market.
That’s why I mainly follow ppl who share wisdom - not charts or trading ideas.
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90% of trading “gurus” teaching trading be like:
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When things start to get tough, just pause for a moment, take a couple of deep breaths & ask urself:
- do I have a roof over my head? yes
- do I have enough money to buy food? yes
- are my loved ones safe? yes
Your life is pretty awesome
Some ppl would love to have ur bad days
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Just a sweet little thief, stealing a hug from the dog’s neighbor.
Have a GREAT WE!
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Almost in 2021.
Congrats to all of you who killed it this year👏
I personally got my ass handed to me by... myself.
But I know exactly what went wrong and what I will do to get back on track.
Taking a week off to refresh and get ready to absolutely crush 2021 💪💰
HNY! 🍾🥳
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Since trading is a probability game, a trade shouldn't be judged by its outcome, but by the thought-process that went into it.
It took me many years to accept that.
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No doubt most discretionary traders would make much more money if they could just wait for the very best setups, only, and bet bigger.
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Self-mastery:
- Feeling FOMO but not acting on it
- Feeling pain as a mental stop gets hit but cutting the position anyway
- Feeling fear as positions get extended but not selling til our plan tells us to
- Feeling euphoria after a big profit but not becoming overconfident
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As traders, We’re not paid by the hour.
Find ways to improve and optimize your process.
Work hard. But work smart.
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This little boy already figured out what took me 25Y to figure out.
This is how you succeed in life.
You FAIL, get back up, find ways to improve & try again.
Rinse & repeat 1 time, 10 or 1000 times.
Don’t give up. Don’t give in.
(src: IG:
@arat
.gym)
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If you don't see any interesting trade, don't look harder.
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I get tons of msg like:
"Bro. I want to get started in trading stocks. Can u help me?"
So I tell them:
1- Lose the "Bro"
2- Read these books first
Then they come back and say: "I don't have time to read all these books".
Then I reply: "Then maybe you don't want it bad enough".
@TheGoldenRatioo
Here are my fav
#trading
books of all time.
I’d also add:
- “New Trader Rich Trader” by
@SJosephBurns
for new traders
- “Trade Like A Casino” by
@TradeLikeCasino
for understanding how to make money consistently
- All the books from
@yvanbyeajee
on
#trading
psychology
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Be independent.
Find your own trades while they rely on other people’s ideas.
Follow your own plan while they worry about the news.
Review your past trades while they only look for the next one.
And one day, get results they only dream of.
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Be careful not to confuse a process for an event.
Losing 5 pounds is not an event. It’s a process.
Becoming consistently profitable is not an event. It’s a process.
Becoming wealthy is not an event. It’s a process.
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@TheGoldenRatioo
Here are my fav
#trading
books of all time.
I’d also add:
- “New Trader Rich Trader” by
@SJosephBurns
for new traders
- “Trade Like A Casino” by
@TradeLikeCasino
for understanding how to make money consistently
- All the books from
@yvanbyeajee
on
#trading
psychology
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[NEW BLOG POST]
I just wrote my half-year
#trading
review.
I wrote about what I’ve been up to, about my trading results, and a couple of things I learned along the way.
(and thx for the RT 🍻!)
👇👇👇
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Trading is not about those big fat winning trades.
It's about those hundreds/thousands of inevitable losing ones in between you have to deal with, all the while keeping faith in your strategy.
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