--- Thwaites Glacier ---

@xynyxs @larkam51 It's indeed very difficult to find out which actor contributes most to the warming of our surface. I'm afraid we'll have to wait for new satellites & their associated albedo anomaly data at global level. Until then, unfortunately, we'll have to make do with simple speculation.

@muskstinks20899 It is highly recommended to watch it on a very large screen.

@muskstinks20899 I know. You're totally right. The resolution is not helping us out here to show what's actually going on. I'm waiting for sharper images, which will most likely come in around 11 p.m. (UCT). This GIF is the most important one, to understand what's happening in the crucial area.

Both the eastern & western parts of the glacier tongue are rifting (including the Crosson Ice Shelf & the remnants of the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf). We also see the calving front moving further northeast. To be more specific about the TEIS, it's experiencing major shifts today.

Our apparently stable climate system is teetering. The warming of the Northern Hemisphere has entered a self-reinforcing state. The North Atlantic & North Pacific oceans are losing their moderating power. #AR7 #NorthernHemisphere @UNFCCC @EUClimateAction

@xynyxs @larkam51 It's not that crazy after all. And we know the causes: - Albedo (e.g. decreasing sea ice area) - GHGs (water vapour, CH₄, CO₂, ...) - El Niño - Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai - Decreasing global dimming (e.g.: less low cloud cover, less sulfur emissions, ...) - The warming itself!

RT @larry79115: @KrVaSt This post eerily resembles a previous post, except for the order of the charts. And as I said as I reposted the oth…

@peakaustria Our last chance to do something about the rapid warming was somewhere around the year 2010. Now we see that the warming since the last El Niño is reinforcing itself. Even 50 to 60 times faster than during the PETM (ETM 1). From now on it will no longer go slower than +0.2°C/year.

RT @oliver_phil: You can’t make this shit up. Well, you could actually, but Kris hasn’t. He’s just using the same data our governments use…

@stop_fossil_fue @JayHills319406 Indeed. Bad reference.

The Arctic Sea Ice Volume (SIV) shows that an irreversible spiral has been touched, in the overall climate system. At the moment it remains to be seen what will happen in the SH. But the extremely low SIV around Antarctica gives sufficient indications, most scientists believe.

@Hamid_1360 Indeed. But the thing is, if we get a shift during one of the spring tides in Feb-March, as was the case in 2019, & this without a solid TEIS & without a blocking iceberg B22a, then an irreversible crumbling could start, just above the steep subsea slope.

@smAshomAsh @SevereJury8 @adapt2030 @SamCarana 1) It's locked into the system. The warming is inevitable: CO₂, CH₄, water vapor, withering rainforests, crashing sea ice volume, ... The system is already switching to a 0.2°/year warming, even with the ENSO trend filtered out. 2) & 3) It's all happening/warming too fast.

@smAshomAsh @SevereJury8 @adapt2030 @SamCarana It's not about the temperature itself. We can handle that as civilized humans. What will be a big problem is the speed at which the warming occurs. Our current vegetation systems, the land & oceans will not be able to keep up. Far from it. And that is where it stops for humanity.

We're heading for monthly averages of over +3°C (relative to the base period 1850-1900) for the NH. Global monthly averages will rise above +2°C from mid-2025. Thawing permafrost, loss of rainforests & increased water vapour will accelerate this process.