kingjeffwx (王 ジェフ)
@KingJeffWx
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@UVA CS '22. #ElectionTwitter mapmaker, speedrunner, @Typeracer veteran, weather enthusiast, and box office analyst. 🇺🇸 /🇨🇳 日本語が勉強しています。
USA/美国/アメリカ
Joined December 2015
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Here's a list of when each minute barrier was broken in SM64 120 star, starting with Honey's first sub 2 hour time. (N64 times only)
Who will achieve the first 1:35?
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Evening, y'all. Here's a map of the 100 most educated counties in the USA, and how each voted in the 2020 presidential election.
Biden carried 81, while Trump won 19.
#ElectionTwitter
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Located in the suburbs of DFW, Frisco was America's fastest growing city in the 2010s. Here's how the city voted in recent years...
2014: R+47.6
2016: R+16.7
2018: R+4.5
2020: R+2.3
#ElectionTwitter
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Quick map of Obama 2012 vs Biden 2020 by state.
Utah is literally off the charts, lol.
#ElectionTwitter
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Biggest generation by state. Boomers are the biggest across most of the USA, but there are several were Millennials/Gen Z are the biggest.
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Which counties swung the same direction in both 2016 and 2020? Here they are.
#ElectionTwitter
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Siglemic achieved the first 1:43 in 120 star on April 23, 2014.
Since then, 79 people have bopped Siglemic's time. Here is the full list in chronological order.
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2010 was the last time Republicans were competitive in Fairfax County. In a red wave, Democrats only won the combined US house vote in the county+city by 2.3 points.
#ElectionTwitter
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Not sure if anyone has done this yet, but here's the swing from 2016 Presidential to 2021 Gov in Virginia.
#ElectionTwitter
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Majority hispanic precincts in Maricopa County.
#ElectionTwitter
2020 Pres: D+47.8
2016 Pres: D+48.9
A small R shift, which crucially allowed Biden to carry the state.
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2020 Presidential Election overlaid with a binary classification of rate of higher education (Bachelor's degree or higher, percent of persons age 25 years+, 2015-2019).
#ElectionTwitter
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Ever wondered about how America's top college towns voted in 2020? Look no further! Here's a screenshot of the dataset I'm building.
#ElectionTwitter
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Map of % of people with college degrees, by county in Virginia.
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Rich Men North of Richmond!
(every block group highlighted has an average household income of over $300k/year)
Election results:
2012 Pres: D+1.12
2016 Pres: D+24.14
2020 Pres: D+26.56
2021 Gov: D+17.04
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North Oaks is Minnesota's most educated town. 73% have a college degree.
2014 Senate: R+26.3
2020 President: D+14.5
A swing of over 40 points!
#ElectionTwitter
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All 158 people who have achieved a sub 50 minute time in 70 star, ordered by the date they first achieved it.
Zoom in, it's a long list 🙂
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In 2019, Democrats flipped the 10th state senate seat, located in the Richmond suburbs.
@SenatorHashmi
defeated incumbent
@GlenSturtevant
, thus flipping control of the chamber. As a result, the VA GOP remains one seat short of a trifecta.
#ElectionTwitter
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Counties with the biggest 2012-2020 swings (excluding Utah) toward Democrats.
#ElectionTwitter
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Happy Friday y'all!
Here's a map of early voting in Virginia by locality, colored by comparison to the statewide average.
#ElectionTwitter
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Haven't posted a proper election map in a while, so here it goes. This is the 2012-2020 swing in Presidential elections in the 50 most educated counties.
#ElectionTwitter
Data source:
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Relevant info for SD-17, HD-75, HD-82, HD-84, HD-89:
In these localities, the 2023 mail vote has nearly matched or even exceeded the total 2022 mail vote.
Still have 9 days to go till election day!
#ElectionTwitter
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Here's the 2020 VA congressional House results. The 9th district was uncontested, but Democrats still won the overall vote by 4.76%.
#ElectionTwitter
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I did it! 70 stars in under 70 minutes on 3D all stars!!
Not even invis wall on TTC can stop me =)
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Virginia: 2016 vs 2020 presidential election comparison by county.
#ElectionTwitter
@JMilesColeman
@SenhorRaposa
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Just noticed that Honey successfully pulled off Wilko Clip in their 1:47:05 120 star WR from March 2012!
What a pioneer!
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The most educated congressional district in America (if you could draw lines across states):
82.05% have at least a bachelor's degree
49.72% have a graduate degree
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So apparently I won one of the PACE Fall 2023 giveaways... 👀
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Better than yesterday's disaster, but I still got clocked.
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Map of the comparison between 2020 President and 2022 Senate in Pennsylvania.
@JohnFetterman
outperformed
@JoeBiden
in all but 2 counties.
#ElectionTwitter
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@maxtmcc
Sheen, this is the 7th week in a row you've shown an overperformance for Democrats in a special election
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From
@L2political
, modeled advantage for Democrats rises back to 25 points.
This is likely a reflection of the opening of additional satellite early voting locations in Fairfax County (where
@TerryMcAuliffe
won by 30 points), the state's most populous county.
#ElectionTwitter
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That's a worse showing for Republicans than in 2017:
Looks like all the votes are in and as expected Jed Arnold wins today’s Special Election
Write-in gets 19%
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Best performing Republican (using % of the vote) in Virginia broken down by county. Included statewide races from 2012-2020.
#ElectionTwitter
#VApol
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With this, cheese has managed to get a new 120 star PB every year from 2014-2023. 10 straight years!
We did it fam. Almost 2 years later, and BARELY before the end of 2023. WR NEXT!!!
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Virginia voters approved the passage of Constitutional Amendment 1 to establish a redistricting commission. The amendment passed nearly everywhere but fared noticeably worse in NOVA.
#ElectionTwitter
@JMilesColeman
@SenhorRaposa
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70 star PB
1:11:08 -> 1:10:52
Amazing beginning but I choked hard in the SSL split. Still managed to bring it back!
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The voters in the counties highlighted below strongly rejected
@BarackObama
's dark vision for America.
#ElectionTwitter
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70 star
1:11:57 -> 1:11:08
First PB in 2 weeks! 1:09 possible entering BitS but I fell, YEP
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Virginia Early Voting by Locality.
Green = higher turnout than state avg
Red = lower turnout than state avg
#ElectionTwitter
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Best performing
@vademocrats
in the 2023 elections, relative to 2021.
#ElectionTwitter
Best Senate incumbent:
@CreighDeeds
(13.42%)
Best Senate non-incumbent:
@EmilyScott4SD1
(11.73%)
Best House incumbent:
@DavidBulova
(11.05%)
Best House non-incumbent:
@rachelannelevy
(10.76%)
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Had a blast participating in the PACE 70 star relay. Thanks to
@Kingj0444
for organizing the event!
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Here's a map comparing the 2012 Presidential Election and the 2013 Gubernatorial Election in Virginia.
#ElectionTwitter
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Virginia Early Voting Update 10/12:
Thru 20 days:
2021: 243,233
2022: 215,366
2023: 204,224
2023 is starting to fall behind 2022.
#ElectionTwitter
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70 star PB
1:12:09 -> 1:11:57
1st attempt after PACE, lmao
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Happy 4/20,
#ElectionTwitter
!
Here's a map comparing Colorado's Amendment 64 to the concurrent Presidential election in 2012.
Amendment 64 passed, outrunning Obama by 5 points. This later led to the legalization of recreational marijuana in Colorado.
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Here's how the most populous cities in Kansas voted in 2012 vs 2020.
#ElectionTwitter
The largest swings are in JoCo, home to many white college-educated voters.
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This congressional district is the capital of the
#Resistance
57.47% white, 72.22% college educated, $185k mean household income.
2012-2020 swing: D+26.46
And this is before January 6th and Dobbs. Imagine what 2024 will look like?
#ElectionTwitter
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A look at the "Anti-Trump" vote in the 2016 Virginia Republican Presidential Primary.
#ElectionTwitter
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Zionsville, Indiana might be the most educated city in America to vote for Trump in 2020. According to the US Census Bureau QuickFacts, 71.9% are college educated.
Given the trends, however, the city likely flips in 2024.
#ElectionTwitter
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In 2010, the Senate race in California looked competitive. Some polls put
@CarlyFiorina
within the margin of error of defeating incumbent senator
@BarbaraBoxer
. In the end, however, Boxer was re-elected by a margin of 10 points.
#ElectionTwitter
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Virginia Early Voting Update 10/28
After 36 days:
2021: 619,155
2022: 558,982
2023: 469,973
#ElectionTwitter
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New 70 star PB!
Not only my first sub 1:20, but skipped 1:19 too!
やった！
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Map of every Lean/Likely D state rated by the Crystal Ball if Republicans flip the governorships in those states in 2021-2022.
#ElectionTwitter
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Albemarle County last voted Republican in 2009, when
@BobMcDonnell
won the county by 1%. Albemarle voted Dem for LtGov and AG that year.
#ElectionTwitter
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Here's a comparison between the performance of
@ewarren
and
@MikeBloomberg
in Fairfax County/city in the 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary.
Blue = Warren did better
Red = Bloomberg did better
#ElectionTwitter
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Virginia Early Voting Update after 2 weeks:
2021: 166,771
2022: 148,786
2023: 144,667
There is a backlog of mail that hasn't been counted, but otherwise 2023 is still tracking slightly ahead of 2022.
#ElectionTwitter
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The one precinct in Fairfax County where
@GlennYoungkin
did worse than Corey Stewart.
Without looking it up, can you guess what's special about this precinct?
#ElectionTwitter
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In 2019,
@HelmerVA
unseated
@TimHugo
in HD-40. Hugo was the last Republican to represent Fairfax County in the Virginia General Assembly.
#ElectionTwitter
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70 star
1:14:00 -> 1:13:20
I did it again! Don't look at that TTM...
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Virginia - NOVA would be a Republican leaning swing state (much like NC):
2016 Pres: Trump 50.59-44.00
2017 Gov: Gillespie 50.70-48.13
2018 Senate: Kaine 51.13-47.00
2020 Pres: Trump 50.19-47.97
2020 Senate: Warner 50.54-49.36
2021 Gov: Youngkin 56.59-42.59
#ElectionTwitter
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Change in seats in the House of Delegates for the governor's party:
1995: Allen (R), R+0
1999: Gilmore (R), R+3
2003: Warner (D), D+3
2007: Kaine (D), D+4
2011: McDonnell (R), R+8
2015: McAuliffe (D), D+1
2019: Northam (D), D+6
2023: Youngkin (R), D+3
#ElectionTwitter
This is the first time the governor's party (net) lost seats in the House of Delegates since 1995! And I can't remember the last time the governer's party lost control of the House of Delegates during an off-off year election...
#ElectionTwitter
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Just donated $250. Thank you for the reminder,
@DrewSav
!
#ElectionTwitter
I gave $5 to Susanna Gibson because it's crucial that Democrats flip the VA House. Thanks for letting me know how important this race is.👍
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Kansas redistricting. No county splits. 2016 numbers below:
#ElectionTwitter
@JMilesColeman
@SenhorRaposa
@kilometerbryman
Johnson county based: R+10.5
Topeka based: R+19.9
Wyandotte county based: R+29.3
Wichita based: R+25.2
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Here's the 2017 to 2021 "trend" (see the atlas for a definition) in VA gov elections.
#ElectionTwitter
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Virginia: 2023 Early Voting remains ahead of 2022
#ElectionTwitter
Day 4 of Virginia early voting saw 7,503 in-person early votes
In 2021, it was 7,333 and 2022 had 6,913
Large numbers of mail ballots are also starting to come in with 5,048 yesterday
Such early voting is impressive w no statewide or Federal election
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