Wizards Film Room
@KevinFolliNBA
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Data driven thinker using film and analytics to break down the #Wizards & the NBA. @JMU ‘21 Alum. CRE Finance Professional.
Arlington, VA
Joined January 2018
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Reminder: Beal’s agent is Mark Bartelstein of
@PrioritySports
.
The current Suns CEO is Josh Bartelstein who is the son of Beal’s agent.
If the Suns somehow land Beal without having any trade-able 1st round picks, a serious discussion may need to be had.
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A Wizards assistant coach has to be held back from going into the stands as a fan behind the bench must’ve been out of line with their comments.
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Deni Avdija breakout game tonight:
43 points
14 rebounds
3 assists
1 block
13/24 FG%
6/10 from 3
72.3% TS
+ 17 in a 7 point loss
Wizards might finally have one.
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My guess for the current starting 5:
PG: Tyus
SG: Poole
SF: Kispert
PF: Avdija
C: Gafford
There’s a lot of shooting in that lineup.
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No young players with upside and no 1st round picks in return for Beal.
Just an awful return considering you could’ve gotten a Gobert size return for him only 2 years ago. Asset mismanagement at its finest.
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Jokic: Serbian, 41st pick.
Vukcevic: Serbian, 42nd pick.
🤫
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If you’re trading Deni for that price, you absolutely have to get rid of Kuzma too. Go all in on the tank for the 2025 draft.
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The fact that a Beal/Porzingis/Kuzma trio couldn’t at least make the play-in is really disappointing and also shows how bad of a coach WUJ was.
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The best thing that can happen for this franchise is for Bradley Beal to request a trade this summer so the Wiz can embrace a full rebuild.
This experiment with him being the lead guy has been going on 4 seasons now and it’s led the team to nowhere.
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A 6’9 playmaking wing who does it all on both ends. His name is Deni Avdija and he’s only 23. Sky is the limit for him.
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Deni tonight:
▪️11 points on 5/6 shooting
▪️10 rebounds
▪️Team leading +18
▪️Elite defense once again.
He’s growing up right in front of our eyes folks.
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Deni Avdija tonight:
21 points
13 rebounds
5 assists
75.6% TS
Blossoming into the two-way stud the Wizards envisioned when they drafted him.
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If he starts knocking down stepback 3s, it’s over for the league.
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Deni Avdija is a hooper.
Last 10 games: 16/7/4 on 58/57/72 splits including 69% TS.
Wizards got a steal on that 4/$55M deal.
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I absolutely do not want Ayton.
Developing: Washington is in serious talks with two finalists – Miami and Phoenix – on a Bradley Beal trade, sources tell
@TheAthletic
@Stadium
. The Suns have emerged as a serious threat for Beal, who holds a no-trade clause.
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Corey f—ing Kispert! 😂
This story from
@FredKatz
about Coach Thibs and Corey Kispert is HILARIOUS😭
Kispert had 20 points at halftime and finished the game with 29
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A 7 foot Serbian center with a pick in the 40s. Where have we seen this before?
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Wizards might not be any good till 2028 or 2029 at this rate.
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Anyone else think a re-brand is needed? I’m thinking new name, logo, jerseys, everything lol
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Winger, Dawkins, and Schlenk could each probably run a team on their own. To have all three of them working together on one team is a massive get by Ted and the FO.
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This is the Deni Avdija that was mocked by many to be a top 4 pick in the 2020 draft.
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Opposing players are now shooting 32.8% when guarded by Deni. His defense is elite.
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Kevin Pelton gives the Wizards an A- for their work on draft night which included getting 3 of his top 15 prospects.
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Can’t explain how much the Wiz fleeced here:
1) Bagley has provided solid backup center minutes this year.
2) Livers has struggled shooting the ball this year (46% TS) but I like taking the swing on him.
3) And the Wiz got two seconds? Excellent trade by Winger and Dawkins.
The Pistons and Wizards are finalizing a deal to trade Marvin Bagley, Isaiah Livers, and two second-round picks for forwards Danilo Gallinari and Mike Muscala, sources tell ESPN.
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Hot take: If Porzingis can stay healthy, he’s the best overall player on this team. His impact on both ends is more valuable than Beal.
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Those 2028 and 2030 pick swaps are massive. There’s a great possibility that Phoenix doesn’t have any of Booker, Durant or Beal on the roster then.
Turned out to be a great trade by Winger.
Washington and Phoenix have finalized the Bradley Beal trade, landing the Wizards six second-round draft picks and four first-round pick swaps, sources tell ESPN. Suns are sending seconds in 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2030. Pick swaps in 2024, 2026, 2028 and 2030.
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Tristan Vukcevic per 36 numbers this year with Partizan:
20.9 ppg
6.8 rebounds
1.1 blocks
54/44/81 shooting splits
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We criticized the Wizards past regime for not swinging for upside in the last few drafts. The Coulibaly pick is just that and I’m excited to see his development.
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This Sheppard firing is huge. Whoever is hired will have no blind loyalty to Brad Beal and Wes Unseld Jr. It’s gonna be an interesting offseason.
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Final +/- for this trio was +13.
The trio of Kuz/Deni/Rui is out there. Will be tracking the +/- for this group.
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Vukcevic is a problem! The fluidity in movement for a guy his size is special.
The Wizards have a team option on him for the ‘24-25 season before he’s an RFA in ‘25-26 but I would expect them to decline the team option and sign him to a longer term deal, likely the “Sam Hinkie
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Kyle Kuzma this season in the clutch (coming into tonight):
▪️52/47/73 shooting splits
▪️+15.5 net rating
▪️72.1 TS%
With tonight’s win, the Wizards are now 15-3 in “clutch” games which is the best in the league.
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Also, if you still think Sabonis or Grant is the solution or the missing piece, you’re respectfully delusional.
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Beal was awful once again down the stretch and committed a terrible foul to give Kennard a 4 point play. Also got outplayed by Amir Coffey on his own home court. But some people tell me we’re supposed to build around him and mortgage future assets to make him happy.
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Deni Avdija is good. I’ll debate anyone on the topic.
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Porzingis as the lone max player with the young guys + the players you’d get back in a theoretical trade for Beal and Kuzma (s&t in Kuzma’s case) is a team I could get behind.
Porzingis has truly had an excellent season.
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Well we’re here. It’s time to have that serious discussion.
Reminder: Beal’s agent is Mark Bartelstein of
@PrioritySports
.
The current Suns CEO is Josh Bartelstein who is the son of Beal’s agent.
If the Suns somehow land Beal without having any trade-able 1st round picks, a serious discussion may need to be had.
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Jordan Goodwin needs his two-way deal converted to a standard contract asap.
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Kuzma might be a keeper. Great contract going forward and his growth this year in a versatile role has really shown off his game.
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Schlenk has had a role in drafting these notable players:
▪️Draymond Green (when he was w/ GSW)
▪️Trae Young
▪️John Collins
▪️Kevin Huerter
▪️DeAndre Hunter
▪️Onyeka Okongwu
▪️Jalen Johnson
▪️AJ Griffin
A strong draft record.
The Wizards are hiring former Hawks President of Basketball Operations Travis Schlenk as Senior VP of Player Personnel, sources tell ESPN. New Wizards president Michael Winger lands a well-regarded talent evaluator and executive as he continues his search for a general manager.
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When you put the ball in Deni Avdija’s hands, good things happen. Because he’s scoring so consistently now, it’s opened up his playmaking chops and some of these passes last night were fantastic.
In a forgettable season for Wizards fans, Avdija’s growth as a scorer and shooter
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I am completely out on the Jordan Poole experience.
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#Wizards
are the 4th best defensive team in the league and possessions like this one show why. Kuzma notices the pin-down action and the timely switch leads to a block on Franz.
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Sounds like Brad wants that franchise scoring record.
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Winger mistakenly uses “rebuild”, a word he’s tried to avoid using when describing the team and his reaction is priceless 😂
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Kuzma block leading to a lob from Deni to Porzingis. That was an awesome sequence.
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Tommy being able to get Porzingis while getting off Dinwiddie and Bertans’ contract without giving up nothing was the ultimate fleece job.
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Deni Avdija tonight:
25 points (ties career high)
7 rebounds
3 assists
1 block
11/17 shooting, 63.6% TS.
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The trio of Kuz/Deni/Rui is out there. Will be tracking the +/- for this group.
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Why trade for Sabonis when you already have him? 🤷🏾♂️
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One legged pull-up into a beautiful swish? Yea, I’m a fan of PBJ.
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Still don’t think Tommy Sheppard has lost a trade yet. He’s been really good in that area.
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If Kuzma leaves for nothing in FA, the Rui trade should be considered a disaster.
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Sounds like Wizards
#42
pick from the 2023 draft Tristan Vukcevic will be joining the Wizards in the coming days. If so, he had a very solid season with Partizan playing roughly 19 minutes per game:
10.9 PPG
3.6 RPG
0.6 Blocks
67.5% on 2s
44% on 3s
80.5% on FTs
Dude can
Tristan Vukcevic leaves Partizan after activating his NBA exit clause 👀
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Also I hate to be overly critical but Wes Unseld Jr has been a bottom 5 coach so far in his tenure. I’d heavily consider moving on this offseason, there are much better available coaches on the market.
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Call me crazy but this would be my current starting 5:
Deni
Kispert
Bilal
Kuzma
Gaff.
You place your three best defensive wings on the court, Deni and Kuz can take turns running the offense, Kispert is your shooter/floor spacer and Gafford is your PnR big and rim protector.
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This is why I’m not a fan of the Wizards’ two-timeline approach of trying to win now while trying to develop their young players. Deni needs on-ball reps to display his full potential but is relegated to a catch & shoot role with the Wizards.
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Whoever worked with Deni on his shot this summer needs a raise. The release is smoother, quicker and has much more arc. His improvement is exciting.
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Deni might legitimately be one of the best players in the league at attacking off the catch. Teams know he’s going right and he’s still able to blow by them because he attacks immediately as he’s catching the ball.
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One of Tyus/Delon/Monte has to be getting traded now.
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Ten consecutive losses now. And dare I say this is actually good for the long term outlook of this franchise?
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I just don’t understand this one. As I tweeted out on draft night, I think for Sarr to fully unlock his offensive potential, he has to play the 5. This signing makes it seem like they currently view him as a 4.
With Valanciunas joining the Wiz, there is now a surplus of centers
Free agent center Jonas Valanciunas has agreed on a three-year, $30 million deal with the Washington Wizards, sources tell ESPN.
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Wow, Tyus Jones is an excellent get by Winger. Jones is also valuable enough that you could trade him again at the deadline. Strong trade here by the Wizards.
Washington is completing a three-way deal with Boston and Memphis that will send guard Tyus Jones to the Wizards, sources tell ESPN.
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Look at Delon Wright’s activity on this possession: Initially stops the ball in transition, then digs down on Looney rolling to the rim forcing him to pass it back out and then runs Poole off the line and blocks his shot. Showing exactly why the Wiz got him.
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Wizards were beating the Timberwolves so bad that KAT gets in his feelings after Deni gets the rebound and blatantly tries to trip him. Dirty ass play by KAT.
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Remember: Bertans’ contract was considered negative value around the league. To get off his contract without sending any picks is a great move.
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If Poole wasn’t making $30MM, he personally wouldn’t be in my rotation. That’s how bad he’s been most of this season.
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It’s just been one game so far but I absolutely love Porzingis. What a game by him.
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I like to keep my commentary strictly on the actual basketball play but I feel like there’s a maturity level that Poole hasn’t reached yet to be a consistent producing NBA player.
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Corey Kispert’s shot chart is analytics nirvana. Everything is inside the paint or from 3.
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Porzingis is just an elite talent that the Wiz haven’t had in a longgg time.
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Solid value and he’s on a contract that can be traded. I always thought the best path for the Wiz was to re-sign Kuzma and then flip him at a later date. Good deal for both sides.
Free agent F Kyle Kuzma has agreed on a four-year, $102M deal to return to the Washington Wizards, co-head of
@CAA_Basketball
Austin Brown tells ESPN. Kuzma took a shorter deal with Lakers three years ago — and now cashes in after a career-year with Wizards.
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This is the most Davis Bertans’ shot you’ll ever see lol
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Disaster of an asset return for a good young player on a fantastic contract.
The Blazers are sending the second most favorable of their 2029 first-round picks and two second-round picks in the deal for Avdija, sources tell ESPN.
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Luka is going to love playing with Gaff
The Washington Wizards are nearing a deal to send Daniel Gafford to the Dallas Mavericks for Richaun Holmes and draft compensation, sources tell ESPN.
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I miss watching John hoop man
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Wes jr. quickly realizes the Bucks go to 2-3 zone and immediately directs the offense to run a play to counter. His record as an in-game tactician was one of the reasons he got the job and it’s been proven greatly thus far.
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Ted just had court side seats to his team blowing a 35 point lead at home.
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Coulibaly is the kind of player you take in a rebuild. He could be a project but he’s a high upside pick. I’m intrigued.
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Washington is preserving an asset. You don’t let a young asset walk out of the door for nothing in return. You preserve the asset and hope it continues to build its value up.
Not to mention, the asset isn’t that expensive and the downside risk is low.
"What is Washington doing, man?"
@DarthAmin
tries to piece together the Wizards future after extending Kyle Kuzma.
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Clever misdirection ATO drawn up by Wes here. Gafford comes up like he’s gonna screen for Sato but instead he goes to screen for Deni. The play confuses Edwards and KAT and Sato finishes the lob.
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If you can get two firsts for Kuzma, I’m doing it.
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Wizards are really going to miss Deni Avdija. He’s been a huge part of why they’re the
#6
defense since February.
The data backs up his defense too in the ‘D-LeBron’ tool which measures defensive impact per 100 possessions. He’s ahead of guys like Kawhi and others.
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John Wall and Reggie Jackson are now teammates. Never forget:
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If you’ve followed me for a while, you know that I’m a big Deni fan going back to when we drafted him and my tweets yesterday showed my disappointment in trading him.
But now that I’ve slept on it more, this is a very good haul for him. And if Bub really is that guy, it
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Credit where it’s due: Poole has shown way more effort defensively since the coaching change. His steal down the stretch was huge.
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We’ll see where his 3-point % ends up at the conclusion of the season but to go from 30% to 41% year over year is just fantastic improvement and speaks to how hard Deni worked on his shot this past off-season.
After three years of being a talented defender and weak scorer, Deni Avdija is experiencing career highs in rim finishing, 3-point %, and true shooting (and PPG).
DENI IS READY
Graphic via
@OptaAnalystUS
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We don’t get to see Deni take many jumpers off the dribble but was nice to see this one last night. I still personally think he has the highest upside out of all the guys under 25 on the roster.
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