Julius Lagodny
@JuliusLagodny
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Data @ ELPATO, Berlin | Visiting Fellow Data Lab Hertie School | PhD @cornellgov | Data Infrastructure and Modelling | Voting, Migration, Forecasts | he/him
Berlin, Germany
Joined December 2016
1/ Great to see our response in pre-print! Let me tell you a bit about the US state-level public opinion data set that we published 🧵
#OpenAccess from @SPPQjournal - Introducing the U.S. Partisanship and Presidential Approval Dataset: Rejoinder to Berry, Fording, and Crofoot - - @pete_enns, Rebekah Jones, Julianna Koch & @JuliusLagodny
#FirstView
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Ich befürchte weite Teile der CDU wollen lieber in rechtsfreien Parallelgesellschaften leben - außerhalb des "westlichen" Normen. Wir müssen dringend über re-Integration nachdenken
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RT @verasight_data: See how @pete_enns , Jonathan Colner, Anusha Kumar, and @JuliusLagodny used Verasight data to correctly forecast the U…
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Übrigens sind die Bedingungen für die "Expresseinbürgerung" so exorbitant hoch, dass Deutschland dumm wäre, die Personen, die diese Konditionen erfüllen, nicht einbürgern zu wollen. Rein aus Eigeninteresse
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Ich habe mir @m_forschung_de über unser Modell für die US Wählen 2024 gesprochen. @pete_enns, @jcolner99, Anusha Kumar und ich haben 100 Tage vor der Wahl ein Modell veröffentlicht, dass die Ergebnisse in allen Bundesstaaten korrekt prognostiziert hat.
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RT @Noahpinion: Unemployment hits only a few people, while inflation hits everyone. And in a democracy, it's one person, one vote. Democra…
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thanks for the shout out @MafaldaPratas
A group of political scientists published this piece back in October, before the election. They predicted *every* state correctly, a popular vote victory for Trump, and 3/4 chance of Trump victory in Electoral College. Fundamentals tell you more than pundits and pollsters.
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RT @pete_enns: Now 48/48 correctly forecasted with NV and AZ looking like they'll also align with our forecast. Much appreciation to my col…
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RT @will_pulido: 🇺🇸 1/ posiblemente, mejor #pronóstico de las #presidenciales americanas, basado en modelo robusto. Anticipó que Trump gan…
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RT @pete_enns: My 2024 election forecast published in @ps_polisci @CUP_PoliSci with @JuliusLagodny, @jcolner99, and Anusha Kumar correctly…
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RT @pete_enns: Our 2020 forecast correctly forecasted 49/50 states >100 days before the election:
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RT @pete_enns: Our 2024 forecast helps explain Biden's exit and shows the fundamentals 100 days out favored Trump.
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RT @pete_enns: 2024 U.S. Presidential election forecast w/ @JuliusLagodny, @jcolner99, and Anusha Kumar in @ps_polisci based on data 100 da…
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RT @ps_polisci: **NOW ONLINE** PS's Special Issue on #Forecasting the 2024 US #Elections is up & free to read! Check it out: https://t.…
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RT @ps_polisci: Guest edited by @MaryStegmaier & @p_mongrain, w/ contributions by @BrunoJerome_Z, @VeroniqueJEROME, @NadeauRichard3, @SCama…
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RT @MaryStegmaier: US election forecasts! 🇺🇸 Delighted to see the PS special issue (19 articles) available online. I’m grateful to my co-…
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