Julian Brigden
@JulianMI2
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Co-founder of Macro Intelligence 2 Partners, a global macroeconomic research firm (@MI2Partners). | Creator of MacroCapture, a platform for savvy investors.
Vail, CO
Joined February 2017
The PE double top continues to work, and I think we might be in the process of unwinding the whole of the Trump euphoria. #TSLA
Bloomberg is running with the headline "Tesla 4Q EPS Is Still Poised to Beat, Despite Sales Miss". So, the cheerleaders remain defiant. But I'm still sticking with my PE double top chart. PS Last time it hit the same PE level in 2022 it dropped 75%.
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Our view is investors have utterly understated AI competition and hence overstated the hyperscalers ROI on investment with dire consequences for their stocks. #MSFT move to offer OpenAI’s powerful o1 model free with Copilot is proof of that risk.
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RT @MI2Partners: Economic Jenga: Pull a tariff, see what falls. The Trump admin eyes 25% tariffs, Canada scrambles for a stimulus, and Laga…
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@DivergentVentur Sentiment towards Europe is at levels where typically you buy those markets and expect relative outperformance Vs the US. BUT it is very hard to get absolute gains if the US sells off hard.
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RT @MI2Partners: You know @JulianMI2 Brigden—the guy who made you go, “Ohhh, that’s why markets are doing this” in the Macro Insiders/Pro M…
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RT @MI2Partners: Remember when @JulianMI2 brought that sharp dose of macro research to @RealVision & Pro Macro to balance perspectives? Y…
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RT @MI2Partners: Sign up for an 8-week free trial to explore our full suite of Institutional-level macro research. 👉
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RT @MI2Partners: Wall Street: "Inflation’s over, let’s party!" Bonds: "Hold my yield." Markets are riding a wave of optimism, but rising pr…
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As I mentioned, with rampant euphoria, I think the risk is we aren't in banana zone but rather the banana skin zone. #cryptomarket #Bitcoin looks especially extended relative to other risk assets and recently that hasn't ended well.
I have a lot of respect for @RaoulGMI work, and he's had some great calls. But I was asked today if I agree with his idea that we are in a banana zone, i.e. a period of exponential melt-up in risk. My view is that today, we transitioned to the banana skin zone!
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Michael Happy New Year and many thanks for having me on the show!
Julian Brigden: The Disconnect Between Trump's Agenda and Market Expectations
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RT @MI2Partners: Kick off 2025 with MacroCapture by MI2 Partners! Market insights and strategies to turn RESOLUTIONS into RESULTS. Stay ah…
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@albanegger Given the outlook for inflation, I'm not willing to bet on lower rates saving the day. Also, while I'm not a fan of analysts in 2022, they had a bullish outlook on EPS (orange). Currently EPS forecasts would have to double to justify the current price!
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RT @OptoThemes: Julian Brigden (@JulianMI2): What Does 2025 Have in Store for the Markets? "A quite ugly correction" is coming in 2025, wa…
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@RA81516 Don't forget another great quote from the movie, "Bulls make money, bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered.".....recently everyone has been a little too greedy and pigish!
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I'm sticking with my view. This utterly ludicrous structure rang the bell on the top of the cypto for a while.
Ding Ding!
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